#ETH走势分析 I don't know how many people cursed me at the time, saying that Ethereum is simply a hopeless case. The facts have proven that those who criticized me have been slapped in the face. Strong individuals never need to prove themselves. In this round, no one knows how high ETH will go, but if you had increased your position as I suggested back then, no matter how much it retraces, it won't reach your cost level. I still remain optimistic about $ETH
#币安Alpha新机遇 I've seen many people saying they want to leave Binance Alpha. As someone with a bit of common sense, you can think about it: at this stage, is there any investment with more certainty than this? So don’t just listen to what others say; look at what they do. I still strongly recommend that especially new players seize this opportunity. Additionally, don’t overlook Binance Coin; it is undoubtedly a golden shovel and one of the few mainstream coins that has its own moat. I firmly believe it can reach $1000 $BNB
Finally, I hope to communicate more with everyone in the future and share a red envelope.
风清扬Victories
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Strong premonition that Ethereum is going to rise, similar to a few years ago. The current price of Ethereum is very cost-effective and suitable for entry. Don't pay attention to what others say about Ethereum; you need to have your own judgment. Additionally, I have analyzed Kaito before; it remains a social mining airdrop. In the future, the weight of Kaito votes in airdrop distributions will become increasingly significant, essentially a preferential selection, so it can be appropriately allocated. $ETH
Today’s top gainers list—three coins have real weight. I’ll go through them one by one.
HNT has surged today straight up: in the past 24 hours it’s up 67.8%, with a current price of $0.38. It’s a representative of a decentralized wireless network. This time it’s moving in step with the AI and compute-power narrative. Trading volume is over $50 million—this looks like a genuine push rather than empty hype.
BCH has also come to the forefront, up 22.5%, currently at $265. Market cap is $5.3 billion, and 24-hour trading volume is $470 million. Among mainstream coins, such a large volume clearly indicates real capital flowing in. Combined with the pre-halving expectations being stirred up, this is the most solid one on the board today.
BTW is up 31.8%, with a market cap of $1.3 billion. It’s a newcomer in the Bitcoin ecosystem—there’s plenty of attention, but its staying power still needs to be verified.
Of the three, I’m relatively more bullish on BCH: the volume is there, the market cap is strong, and the logic is coherent. HNT has more upside potential, but its volatility is also higher—don’t chase and don’t hesitate when buying high.
The hottest topic in today’s plaza discussion is Bitcoin. Over the past 24 hours it has fallen 3.4%, dropping to $77,400, and the comments section is full of back-and-forth arguments between bulls and bears.
Some people are calling for a dip-buying opportunity, while others think it will break below $70,000. The disagreement is significant.
Another hot topic is that Charles Schwab plans to add SOL, AVAX, and LINK. Traditional brokerage firms are starting to reach into crypto, and that’s generally positive for the related tokens—but don’t expect an independent rally anytime soon.
There’s also what a Fed official, Waller, said. The market has pushed rate-hike expectations higher; the U.S. dollar has strengthened, and gold and silver have fallen accordingly. This kind of environment is not friendly to risk assets, and crypto can’t escape it either.
Overall, the plaza’s sentiment today is more cautious, moving in step with the decline in the big BTC.
My view is very direct: at this kind of position, don’t go looking for excitement. Wait for direction to become clear, and don’t sprint ahead amid disagreement.
Today Bitcoin spiked higher and then pulled back. The big bearish candle on the 28th dropped from 81,000 all the way to 77,000, a decline of about 3 percentage points, almost wiping out the gains from the past few days. After that, the rebound settled around 78,000. Today it just traded sideways again, with no meaningful increase in volume.
The key is the 80,000 level. If price can reclaim 80,000 on strong volume, then the previous candle can only be considered a washout, and the trend can still continue. If it can’t hold, then 78,000 becomes the trading midpoint in the range, and the next support to watch is 75,000. The judgment is straightforward: for the short term, observe first and don’t rush to buy the dip. If you already have a position, reduce some and lock in profits if it can’t get back above 80,000; place your defensive level at 77,000. Don’t catch the falling knife if it breaks below 77,000—wait for a move with strong volume before making a decision.
Tonight, #$DEXE leads the board, up about +21% over the last 24 hours. The quoted成交 amount is about 46.60 million USDT. Both price and volume are in the lead positions. This rally is still holding up. $NIL and $ONG are right behind, each up more than 10%, but with a smaller volume scale. Record this for now.
This week: The S&P 500 closed at 7712, up 0.49% for the week. Weekly high: 7771 / weekly low: 7638. The Nasdaq closed at 26402, up 0.85% for the week. The Dow closed at 53560, up 0.53% for the week. In the first half of the week, price action churned near the weekly low. On Thursday, the $NVDA earnings report pushed the Nasdaq higher. On Friday, after Waller's remarks, it pulled back again from around the weekly high.
Structurally, the S&P 500 touched the weekly high near 7771 but failed to hold. It tested the weekly low at 7638 once on Monday, but did not break it again afterward. The Nasdaq also failed to hold near its weekly high of 26701.
On events, the $NVDA this week’s earnings and guidance were on the strong side. On Thursday, a single-day move helped drive a sharp rise in the Nasdaq. On Friday, Waller at Jackson Hole said that the underlying trend of inflation has not improved meaningfully, and the CME-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from about 35% to about 57%. Guidance on profit margins was hit hard.
Weekend watch: US stock index futures are closed over the weekend. On Friday, ES closed around 7725, trading slightly above spot. For next Monday, treat it as a rise-then-fall scenario: if it recaptures and holds above 7770, the bearish thesis would be invalid; if it breaks below 7638, it will open the downside.
My view: Bearish in the short term. 7770 is currently resistance, not support.
Spot 24h: High 81478.87, low 76888, current price around 77874. It opened at 80172. After briefly testing the high at around 81.4k in the morning session, it gave back; in the late Asian session it急跌, broke below 80k and 78k, hitting a low of 76888. The price is currently stabilizing near 77.9k.
In terms of structure, above 80k has turned into supply. CoinGlass shows that the long liquidations were concentrated overnight; around 76.8k–77.5k is where there is buy-side support/absorption. After tagging 81.4k this time, it failed to hold; both the opening price and key integer levels have already been breached.
On events: after the hawkish tone from the Jackson Hole speech, the market has priced in the probability of a September rate hike at around 60%. With today’s conference wrapping up, the weekend will enter a phase of sentiment digestion; risk appetite is expected to ease ahead of the G20 finance ministers meeting.
Intraday trend: treat it as a rally that fades. The setup is invalid if price recovers and holds above 80000; a break below 76888 would open the downside. Weekend trading volume is relatively thin.
My take: bearish in the short term. 80k is temporary resistance, not support.
$HEMI 24 hours surged 40.27%, price at 0.01125, trading volume 29.3 million. In tonight’s hot token chart, it has the biggest volume and the most aggressive rise.
$MANTRA followed up, up 24.64% to 0.00516, with volume only a little over 5.2 million; from the order book it looks like it suddenly turned upward only in the second half. $EDEN rose 21.20%, price 0.07267, with 6.9 million in volume—its move is steadier and not as steep as the first two.
All three are jumping around in the low-price zone, and sentiment is already hot. I treat sentiment indicators as the guide—I don’t take percentage gains as direction. The key is whether volume continues to come in, and after a pullback whether there’s still a second leg opportunity; it matters more who stays greener than who’s greener. Binance spot 24-hour data.
The hottest at the square: #Bitcoin breaks above $80,000, hitting a three-month high
Discussion volume has already left other topics far behind. Meanwhile, on the side, there's also #Bitcoin holding at $79.4k. From holding the line to re-crossing $80k, the mood instantly turns hot—fear and greed are hovering near extreme greed.
In this kind of position, I don’t treat it as a signal light; it’s more like a mood thermometer. While the buzz around the breakout is lively, it doesn’t mean the baton pass will stay steady. Don’t let your position run off with the hype—first, see whether pullbacks can hold. Take a breather for the emotions before considering whether there might be a second leg opportunity.
Today at 4pm Beijing time, Deribit’s approximately $6.4 billion Bitcoin options expire. CoinDesk’s data indicates about 81,700 contracts, with more calls than puts; the put/call ratio is about 0.83.
The positions are most concentrated around call strike prices near 75k and 80k, with notionals of about $236 million and $157 million, respectively. Deribit risk manager Fernando noted that within 5% above and below the current price, more than $500 million in notional has been built up; hedging either pins the price or pushes it further after a breakout.
This week saw a move from the mid–60,000s up to the low–80,000s. Since expiration-week volatility is already prone to being amplified, I’m watching whether volatility after expiry will first come down a bit—when sentiment indicators get a breather, is there a second-chance setup.
I have always wanted to operate the square well, but I always find various excuses. Let’s start today and officially participate in every creation of the square, getting to know more outstanding creators.
AI has opened up the limits of humanity, but it has also exposed more privacy on the desktop, which is why I have always been hesitant to fully let Lobster work for me.
So why not take a look at what projects are currently delving into the privacy track? That's right, it's @MidnightNetwork . On-chain privacy has always been a lasting track in web3, and I hope the project team can take a different path.
Not really wanting to take profits, I have a feeling it will drop below 70,000 Based on historical cycles, most cryptocurrencies are down most of the time $BTC
Recently, I've been looking at some chains that focus more on privacy and usability. I find the direction of @MidnightNetwork quite interesting.
Many projects talk about performance and ecology, but not many seriously consider how to balance 'data protection' and 'on-chain application experience.' Midnight Network uses zero-knowledge technology to do this, and I think the approach is quite clear. If the subsequent ecological development goes smoothly, the potential of $NIGHT is also worth continued attention. I'll put it on my watchlist. #night
This position feels like there isn't much room for decline.
In the next 5-10 years, the best asset is not gold, not silver Trust me, it will definitely be $BTC , don't worry about the current price, invest 100 dollars every month, in the future you will thank me, this post will serve as a daily check-in from now on #比特币涨破7.1万美元
Notice: Last week I made $40 on opinion, although it's not much, I found a way. It's said that the expectation is $60. I hope to have a good meal before the New Year. In the end, I'll send a red envelope to share the joy. Everyone can also follow me; as long as I make money, I will frequently send red envelopes $BNB
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