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White_Fang
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White_Fang

Hi, I'm White Fang. I'm here to share my investment journey, strategies, and insights on Binance.
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Decision lands 2:00 PM ET today, Warsh press conference at 2:30. Markets price 91% odds of a 25bp hike to the fed funds range, up from 3.50–3.75%. The dot plot matters more than the hike itself June's showed half the committee already leaning toward one by year-end. Watch the statement language, not the headline number. One hike changes little; a hawkish dot plot changes everything.
Decision lands 2:00 PM ET today, Warsh press conference at 2:30. Markets price 91% odds of a 25bp hike to the fed funds range, up from 3.50–3.75%. The dot plot matters more than the hike itself June's showed half the committee already leaning toward one by year-end. Watch the statement language, not the headline number. One hike changes little; a hawkish dot plot changes everything.
There are none coming. The Fed cut three times in Sept–Dec 2025, then held at 3.50–3.75% since. Markets now price a 91% chance of a hike at tomorrow's meeting the first hike since the cycle turned in 2023. Middle East-driven oil prices, not growth, are forcing the Fed's hand. The cut narrative is dead for now. Anyone still positioning for easing is trading last year's story.
There are none coming. The Fed cut three times in Sept–Dec 2025, then held at 3.50–3.75% since. Markets now price a 91% chance of a hike at tomorrow's meeting the first hike since the cycle turned in 2023. Middle East-driven oil prices, not growth, are forcing the Fed's hand. The cut narrative is dead for now. Anyone still positioning for easing is trading last year's story.
10-year Treasury yield hit 5.02% Tuesday, highest since 2007. 30-year at 5.384%, near 2004 levels. 2-year holding at 4.68%. Oil is doing the damage correlation with the 10-year is near 0.96. Markets price an 89% chance of a Fed hike this week, the first since 2023. This isn't a dip to buy. It's a repricing.
10-year Treasury yield hit 5.02% Tuesday, highest since 2007. 30-year at 5.384%, near 2004 levels. 2-year holding at 4.68%. Oil is doing the damage correlation with the 10-year is near 0.96. Markets price an 89% chance of a Fed hike this week, the first since 2023. This isn't a dip to buy. It's a repricing.
BTC at $76,798, down 1.3% on the day, off the $79,614 high. ETH at $2,473, down 2.1%, testing the low end of its range. No bounce structure yet this is continuation, not capitulation. Ethereum's sub-$2,000 zone stays untouched. Watching, not buying.
BTC at $76,798, down 1.3% on the day, off the $79,614 high. ETH at $2,473, down 2.1%, testing the low end of its range. No bounce structure yet this is continuation, not capitulation. Ethereum's sub-$2,000 zone stays untouched. Watching, not buying.
Quiet day, but the week ahead isn't: the Senate's CLARITY Act cloture vote (Sept 15) and the FOMC decision (Sept 15–16) both land almost immediately after. Worth pre-writing the setup piece now rather than scrambling Monday morning. Posture stays the same cash, patience, no forced trades into a binary week.
Quiet day, but the week ahead isn't: the Senate's CLARITY Act cloture vote (Sept 15) and the FOMC decision (Sept 15–16) both land almost immediately after. Worth pre-writing the setup piece now rather than scrambling Monday morning. Posture stays the same cash, patience, no forced trades into a binary week.
Equities close, crypto doesn't. Whatever Friday's CPI reaction was will keep extending or reversing over the weekend on thin volume weekend crypto moves are notoriously unreliable signals, so read them as noise until Monday confirms them.
Equities close, crypto doesn't. Whatever Friday's CPI reaction was will keep extending or reversing over the weekend on thin volume weekend crypto moves are notoriously unreliable signals, so read them as noise until Monday confirms them.
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