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$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlook☕️
Weekly Bias: 🟩Bullish with Pullback Risks | Strong bullish trend intact with ADX confirming strength. RSI at 79.86 overbought, TD Sequential at 7 Up suggesting near-term exhaustion. Key catalysts this week: Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE, Jackson Hole Symposium, and Jobless Claims.
Monday, 24 Aug: 🟩 Green. No major US data. Markets continue to digest the Treasury buyback narrative and yen weakness. Weekend consolidation gives way to continued institutional accumulation.
Monday is a data-light session with no high-impact releases. The fundamental narrative from the previous week remains intact: the Treasury buyback is money printing, Japan's rising CPI forces UST selling, and the dollar weakens. BlackRock inflows remain strong. The technicals are overbought but the trend is strong. Expect a green start with a push towards 78k, though liquidity is thin and profit-taking may emerge.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,000~$78,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish
Tuesday, 25 Aug: 🟩🟡 Green with Wick. CB Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC forecast at 90.3 from 90.8 previous, a slight drop. New Home Sales forecast at 620K from 628K previous, a drop. Both are dovish signals that weaken the DXY and support Bitcoin. However, teacher warns that Blackrock may sell into strength, creating a wick.
Tuesday is Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales day. Both data points are expected to cool, which is dollar-negative and Bitcoin-positive. The consumer is showing signs of cracking, which reinforces the Fed pivot narrative. However, the market is heavily overbought, and profit-taking is likely. Expect a green candle but with a significant upper wick as institutions take profits. The range will be wide.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,500~$79,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish (Wick)
Wednesday, 26 Aug: 🟥 Red. GDP (QoQ) Q2 at 12:30 UTC forecast at 1.5% from 1.5% previous, flat. Core PCE Price Index (YoY) forecast at 3.3% from 3.3% previous, flat. Core PCE (MoM) forecast at 0.2% from 0.1% previous, a rise. Personal Spending forecast at 0.1% from 0.3% previous, a drop. Durable Goods Orders forecast at 0.5% from 0.5% previous, flat. Crude Oil Inventories at 14:30 UTC forecast at 4.405M from 4.405M previous, flat.
Wednesday is the heaviest data day of the week. The Core PCE MoM is expected to rise from 0.1% to 0.2%, a hawkish signal that gives the Fed an excuse to stay hawkish. GDP is flat, Personal Spending is cooling, but the Core PCE rise is the dominant catalyst. The market may interpret this as stubborn inflation, pressuring Bitcoin. Teacher predicts a drop on Wednesday. Crude inventories are massive and confirm weak consumption, adding to the bearish narrative. Expect a red day with a pullback towards 75k.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $74,500~$77,000
Direction: 🟥Bearish
Thursday, 27 Aug: 🟩 Green. Jackson Hole Symposium begins. Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC forecast at 208K from 206K previous, a rise. Goods Trade Balance forecast at -99.90B from -101.41B previous, an improvement. Tokyo Core CPI at 23:30 UTC forecast at 1.8% from 1.7% previous, a rise.
Thursday is Jackson Hole day. The symposium is a gathering of central bankers, and any dovish rhetoric will be bullish for Bitcoin. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise, a dovish labour signal. Tokyo Core CPI rising is a yen-weakening signal that supports risk assets. Teacher predicts Bitcoin will rise on Thursday after Wednesday's dip. Expect a recovery towards 77k.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $75,000~$77,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish
Friday, 28 Aug: 🟩🟡 Green with Caution. Jackson Hole continues. Chicago PMI at 13:45 UTC forecast at 57.8 from 57.6 previous, a slight beat. Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations at 14:00 UTC forecast at 4.3% from 4.3% previous, flat. Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC forecast at 51.0 from 51.0 previous, flat. Fed Governor Warish speaks at 14:00 UTC. Baker Hughes rig counts at 17:00 UTC.
Friday is the final day of Jackson Hole. The data is mixed but largely neutral. Chicago PMI is expected to beat slightly, a green signal that could cap the upside. Michigan sentiment is flat. The key catalyst is Fed Governor Warish's speech. If he sounds dovish, Bitcoin will rally. If hawkish, expect a dump. Teacher predicts Bitcoin will rise unless war breaks out. The weekend war premium is the wildcard. Expect a pump on dovish rhetoric, followed by profit-taking into the weekend.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,000~$79,000
Direction: 🟩Bullish (War Risk)
Saturday, August 29
Analysis: Jackson Hole Symposium continues. Weekend. No major data. Geopolitical headlines (War Premium) may emerge. It is advisable to not trade on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $76,500~$78,000 because no institution movement.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Sunday, August 30
Analysis: Japanese Industrial Production at 23:50 UTC forecast at 1.9% from 1.3% previous, a beat. Weekend is generally slow. It is advisable to not trade on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $76,500~$78,000 because low liquidity.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Bias: The structural bull case remains intact. The Treasury buyback, yen weakness, and Fed pivot narrative are strong. However, RSI at 79.86 and TD Sequential at 7 Up indicate that a pullback is healthy and overdue. Wednesday's Core PCE MoM rise could trigger that pullback to 75k. The overall trend is bullish, and dips should be bought. Jackson Hole is likely to reinforce the dovish pivot narrative, providing a catalyst for the next leg higher towards 80k. Risk management is key.
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a futures signal🛑
$ETH $BNB #AnthropicIPOCouldTopSpaceXRecordReportsSay #NvidiaAIServerPricesRiseOver15% #BSTREndsCantorSPACGoPublicPlan #USCanadaTradeTalksCollapseCanadaVowsRetaliation

$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlook☕️
Weekly Bias: 🟩Bullish with Pullback Risks | Strong bullish trend intact with ADX confirming strength. RSI at 79.86 overbought, TD Sequential at 7 Up suggesting near-term exhaustion. Key catalysts this week: Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE, Jackson Hole Symposium, and Jobless Claims.
Monday, 24 Aug: 🟩 Green. No major US data. Markets continue to digest the Treasury buyback narrative and yen weakness. Weekend consolidation gives way to continued institutional accumulation.
Monday is a data-light session with no high-impact releases. The fundamental narrative from the previous week remains intact: the Treasury buyback is money printing, Japan's rising CPI forces UST selling, and the dollar weakens. BlackRock inflows remain strong. The technicals are overbought but the trend is strong. Expect a green start with a push towards 78k, though liquidity is thin and profit-taking may emerge.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,000~$78,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish
Tuesday, 25 Aug: 🟩🟡 Green with Wick. CB Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC forecast at 90.3 from 90.8 previous, a slight drop. New Home Sales forecast at 620K from 628K previous, a drop. Both are dovish signals that weaken the DXY and support Bitcoin. However, teacher warns that Blackrock may sell into strength, creating a wick.
Tuesday is Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales day. Both data points are expected to cool, which is dollar-negative and Bitcoin-positive. The consumer is showing signs of cracking, which reinforces the Fed pivot narrative. However, the market is heavily overbought, and profit-taking is likely. Expect a green candle but with a significant upper wick as institutions take profits. The range will be wide.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,500~$79,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish (Wick)
Wednesday, 26 Aug: 🟥 Red. GDP (QoQ) Q2 at 12:30 UTC forecast at 1.5% from 1.5% previous, flat. Core PCE Price Index (YoY) forecast at 3.3% from 3.3% previous, flat. Core PCE (MoM) forecast at 0.2% from 0.1% previous, a rise. Personal Spending forecast at 0.1% from 0.3% previous, a drop. Durable Goods Orders forecast at 0.5% from 0.5% previous, flat. Crude Oil Inventories at 14:30 UTC forecast at 4.405M from 4.405M previous, flat.
Wednesday is the heaviest data day of the week. The Core PCE MoM is expected to rise from 0.1% to 0.2%, a hawkish signal that gives the Fed an excuse to stay hawkish. GDP is flat, Personal Spending is cooling, but the Core PCE rise is the dominant catalyst. The market may interpret this as stubborn inflation, pressuring Bitcoin. Teacher predicts a drop on Wednesday. Crude inventories are massive and confirm weak consumption, adding to the bearish narrative. Expect a red day with a pullback towards 75k.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $74,500~$77,000
Direction: 🟥Bearish
Thursday, 27 Aug: 🟩 Green. Jackson Hole Symposium begins. Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC forecast at 208K from 206K previous, a rise. Goods Trade Balance forecast at -99.90B from -101.41B previous, an improvement. Tokyo Core CPI at 23:30 UTC forecast at 1.8% from 1.7% previous, a rise.
Thursday is Jackson Hole day. The symposium is a gathering of central bankers, and any dovish rhetoric will be bullish for Bitcoin. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise, a dovish labour signal. Tokyo Core CPI rising is a yen-weakening signal that supports risk assets. Teacher predicts Bitcoin will rise on Thursday after Wednesday's dip. Expect a recovery towards 77k.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $75,000~$77,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish
Friday, 28 Aug: 🟩🟡 Green with Caution. Jackson Hole continues. Chicago PMI at 13:45 UTC forecast at 57.8 from 57.6 previous, a slight beat. Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations at 14:00 UTC forecast at 4.3% from 4.3% previous, flat. Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC forecast at 51.0 from 51.0 previous, flat. Fed Governor Warish speaks at 14:00 UTC. Baker Hughes rig counts at 17:00 UTC.
Friday is the final day of Jackson Hole. The data is mixed but largely neutral. Chicago PMI is expected to beat slightly, a green signal that could cap the upside. Michigan sentiment is flat. The key catalyst is Fed Governor Warish's speech. If he sounds dovish, Bitcoin will rally. If hawkish, expect a dump. Teacher predicts Bitcoin will rise unless war breaks out. The weekend war premium is the wildcard. Expect a pump on dovish rhetoric, followed by profit-taking into the weekend.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $76,000~$79,000
Direction: 🟩Bullish (War Risk)
Saturday, August 29
Analysis: Jackson Hole Symposium continues. Weekend. No major data. Geopolitical headlines (War Premium) may emerge. It is advisable to not trade on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $76,500~$78,000 because no institution movement.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Sunday, August 30
Analysis: Japanese Industrial Production at 23:50 UTC forecast at 1.9% from 1.3% previous, a beat. Weekend is generally slow. It is advisable to not trade on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $76,500~$78,000 because low liquidity.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Bias: The structural bull case remains intact. The Treasury buyback, yen weakness, and Fed pivot narrative are strong. However, RSI at 79.86 and TD Sequential at 7 Up indicate that a pullback is healthy and overdue. Wednesday's Core PCE MoM rise could trigger that pullback to 75k. The overall trend is bullish, and dips should be bought. Jackson Hole is likely to reinforce the dovish pivot narrative, providing a catalyst for the next leg higher towards 80k. Risk management is key.
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a futures signal🛑
$SOL $XRP #TRUMPBreaksAbove$3.4HighestSinceMarch21 #BSTREndsCantorSPACGoPublicPlan #NvidiaAIServerPricesRiseOver15% #USCanadaTradeTalksCollapseCanadaVowsRetaliation

$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlook☕️
Weekly Bias: 🟨Sideways to 🟥Bearish | TD Sequential at 7 Down suggests downside exhaustion, but ADX remains weak bearish. Price holding near lower BB. Key catalysts this week: Housing Starts, FOMC Minutes, Philly Fed, and PMIs.
Monday, 17 Aug: 🟨 Sideways. Minor data only. Chinese Industrial Production forecast at 5.0% from 5.4% previous, a slowdown signal. Japanese Industrial Production at 1.3%. US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index at 10.60 from 5.70 previous, a significant recovery. TIC Net Long-Term Transactions at 20:00 UTC.
Monday is a data-light session with low-impact catalysts. Chinese data is expected to cool slightly, which is a dovish global growth signal. The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index is expected to recover sharply from 5.70 to 10.60, a green signal that strengthens the DXY. The market will likely remain sideways as traders position for Tuesday's housing data. Expect a slow, choppy session with no clear direction.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with price range $62,500~$63,500
Direction: 🟨Sideways
Tuesday, 18 Aug: 🟥 Red. Housing data day. Housing Starts forecast at 1.350M from 1.177M previous, a significant beat. Building Permits forecast at 1.370M from 1.410M previous, a slight miss. Pending Home Sales forecast at 0.1% from -0.5% previous, a recovery. Industrial Production at 0.3% from 0.1% previous, a beat.
Tuesday is Housing day. Housing Starts are expected to jump from 1.177M to 1.350M, a massive beat that is dollar-positive and bearish for Bitcoin. Building Permits are expected to drop from 1.410M to 1.370M, a dovish signal that could limit the downside. Pending Home Sales are expected to recover from -0.5% to 0.1%, a green signal. Industrial Production is expected to beat at 0.3% from 0.1%. The data is mixed, but the Housing Starts beat is dominant. Expect a red day with selling pressure.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $61,500~$63,000
Direction: 🟥Bearish
Wednesday, 19 Aug: 🔴🟢 Volatile. Crude Oil Inventories at 14:30 UTC forecast at 17.423M from 17.423M previous, flat. Cushing Crude at 1.611M. FOMC Meeting Minutes at 18:00 UTC is the headline catalyst. 20-Year Bond Auction at 17:00 UTC at 5.163%.
Wednesday is the king of the week. The FOMC Minutes from the July meeting will be scrutinised for any hint of a dovish pivot. Given the negative NFP (-23K) and cooling CPI, the market expects dovish undertones. Any confirmation of a pivot will trigger a violent pump towards 65k. However, the crude data at 17.423M is massively bearish for oil, easing inflation fears and supporting risk assets. The 20-Year Bond Auction at 5.163% shows yield creep. Expect a volatile session with an initial pump on the FOMC Minutes, followed by profit-taking.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $62,000~$65,000
Direction: 🟩Bullish (FOMC Pivot)
Thursday, 20 Aug: 🟩 Green. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index forecast at 24.3 from 41.4 previous, a significant drop. Initial Jobless Claims forecast at 210K from 209K previous, a rise. Japanese National Core CPI at 23:30 UTC forecast at 1.8% from 1.6% previous, a rise. Japanese National CPI at 0.3% from 0.3% previous, flat.
Thursday is Philly Fed and Claims day. The Philly Fed Index is expected to crash from 41.4 to 24.3, a massive cooling signal that is dovish and weakens the DXY. Jobless Claims are expected to rise from 209K to 210K, a dovish signal. Japanese Core CPI rising from 1.6% to 1.8% is a yen-strengthening signal that supports risk assets. The data is overwhelmingly dovish. Expect a green day with a pump towards 64.5k.
Prediction: Bitcoin bullish with price range $63,000~$64,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish
Friday, 21 Aug: 🟩🟥 Volatile. PMI day. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI forecast at 54.0 from 53.9 previous, a slight beat. S&P Global Services PMI forecast at 53.9 from 51.2 previous, a massive beat. Japanese Services PMI at 00:30 UTC forecast at 51.2 from 51.9 previous, a slight miss.
Friday is PMI day. US Manufacturing PMI is expected to hold at 54.0, a green signal. US Services PMI is expected to explode from 51.2 to 53.9, a massive beat that is dollar-positive and bearish for Bitcoin. Japanese Services PMI is expected to drop from 51.9 to 51.2, a dovish signal. The US Services PMI beat is dominant. Expect a pump on the data, followed by a dump as weekend war fears and profit-taking kick in.
Prediction: Bitcoin volatile with price range $62,000~$64,500
Direction: 🟩Bullish then 🟥Bearish (Pump and Dump)
Saturday, August 22
Analysis: Weekend. No data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines (War Premium) may emerge. It is advisable to not trading on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $62,500~$63,500 because no data/holiday/no institution movement.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Sunday, August 23
Analysis: Weekend. No data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines (War Premium) may emerge. It is advisable to not trading on weekend, rest well and have fun with family and friends.
Prediction: Bitcoin slow with range $62,500~$63,500 because no data/holiday/no institution movement.
Direction: 🟨Sideways☕️
Bias: The stagflation narrative remains intact. FOMC Minutes are the most critical catalyst this week. If the minutes confirm a dovish pivot, Bitcoin could pump towards 65k. However, the Services PMI beat on Friday is a major risk to the downside. The structural bearish trend remains intact until we break above 65k with volume. TD Sequential at 7 Down suggests downside exhaustion, but ADX remains weak bearish. Expect choppy action with a slight bullish skew.
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a futures signal🛑
$ETH $BNB #fomc #FOMC‬⁩ #crudeoil #S&P500