#GoldmanCutsGoldTargetTo$4900 📉 Gold is losing its shine due to the Warsh Fed
Goldman Sachs has slashed its gold target for the end of 2026 to $4,900, down from **$5,400 to $4,900 per ounce**. Gold is currently trading around **$4,168**, marking its third consecutive week of losses and a 25% pullback from its all-time high in January (~$5,600).
🔥 Why did Goldman cut its target?
1. The Warsh Fed buries rate cuts
On Tuesday, the Fed held rates steady (3.50%-3.75%), but 9 out of 18 members project at least one hike in 2026. Goldman pushed back its rate cut forecasts to June and December 2027 (previously expecting cuts in December 2026). Without cuts, gold loses its main fuel.
2. Massive ETF outflows in gold
Gold ETFs saw outflows of **$2 billion in May**, with Asian funds experiencing their first monthly outflow since August 2025 (-$1.2B).
3. Risk of a drop to $4,400**
If the Fed raises rates, Goldman warns that gold could drop to **$4,400 by year-end.
🟢 The silver lining: central banks are still buying
Despite the cut, Goldman maintains a "structurally constructive" view on gold in the medium term. Central banks added 19 tons in April, and a World Gold Council survey shows that 45% plan to increase their reserves in the coming year.
🧠 What does this mean for the crypto market?
· Gold becomes less attractive due to high rates → capital could rotate into Bitcoin as an alternative store of value.
· But beware: if the Fed raises rates, the dollar strengthens and liquidity tightens → bearish for all risk assets, including crypto.
Goldman sees gold with short-term bearish risks but medium-term bullish potential. For Bitcoin, the market continues to move in sync with the Warsh Fed.
Do you think gold will find a floor at $4,000 or will the drop continue? 👇
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