If weāre talking specifically about a BTC reversal, then as of August 18, 2026 I wouldnāt name an exact date. Right now, BTC is around $63.6k, and the market hasnāt yet provided full confirmation of a reversal.
My baseline scenario:
* AugustāSeptember: volatility is still possible, along with a retest of $58ā60k. * Q4 2026: the most likely window for forming the bottom ā this scenario is currently supported by several cyclical models. * Late 2026 ā early 2027: the most likely window to confirm a new sustained uptrend.
But thereās a level I would be watching
$66,000ā67,000 ā the nearest zone BTC needs to confidently reclaim. Technical analysts are also currently highlighting the $66,700 area as key resistance.
If BTC holds above it ā thatās the first serious reversal signal.
If then it returns to $70ā72k ā the probability of a full reversal becomes significantly higher.
And if it falls below $57ā58k, I wouldnāt talk about a reversal yet ā then the deeper-bottom scenario would remain relevant.
So my outlook is: a real reversal is more likely in Q4 2026 rather than August. And only after BTC confirmation would I expect a strong move in XRP/SOL/ETH.$ETH
Moreover, the situation has changed: in the official SEC documents, a broad list of potential eligible assets is already listedāBTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, AVAX, LTC, DOT, DOGE, HBAR, BCH, LINK, XLM, SHIB, and SUI. $SHIB
Galaxy previously identified DOGE, LTC, LINK, AVAX, DOT, SOL, HBAR, XRP, and ADA as assets with the most suitable infrastructure to speed up the ETF process. $DOT
If the question is specifically āwhich coin will move the market in 2026?ā, and not just which altcoin might deliver more percentage gains, then my choice right now is:
š„ XRP
XRP has several strong arguments specifically for 2026:
* spot XRP ETFs have already attracted more than $1.5 billion by early March; * in 2026, XRP showed capital inflows even during periods when BTC and ETH ETFs were seeing outflows; * institutional development around XRP/Ripple continues, along with the tokenization of real-world assets; * when a full altseason returns, XRP is capable of moving significantly faster than BTC due to its lower market capitalization.$XRP
Yes, if we look even deeper at past cycles, thereās an interesting pattern like this:
* 2017: first BTC, then ETH, and in the final phase a huge surge made XRP. In 2017, XRP grew by about 35,000%. * 2021: first BTC ā ETH, then the capital shifted toward riskier alts. SOL became one of the main winners, and XRP also grew by about 281% over the year. * Historically, altseason usually begins when BTC stops absorbing the bulk of liquidity and its dominance starts to decline. $XRP
Important point: the current cycle already produced an ATH for BTC in October 2025 at around $126k, after which BTC fell by more than 50%. So now the question is less about āwho was the locomotive,ā and more about who will lead the next major alt-rotation if the market shifts back to risk-on.
And this is where XRP becomes interesting.
If Saeed answers the question:
āWhich coin will be the locomotive of the next move?ā
I would give the following answer:
BTC ā the marketās locomotive. XRP ā one of the main candidates to serve as the locomotive for altcoins.
And it sounds stronger than simply saying āXRP will rise.ā
Because XRP has already shown the ability to sharply outperform the market: in 2021 it reached nearly $2, and now it has a completely different set of factorsāinstitutional interest and ETF infrastructure.
If XRP really becomes the leader of the next alt phase, then its move could be far more interesting than BTC itself in percentage terms.$XRP
current cycle; it is usually counted from the bottom after the previous bear marketāNovember 2022, when BTC formed a bottom at around $15.5K.
Key dates:
* November 2022 ā bottom of the previous cycle ā start of a new cycle. * January 2024 ā a more pronounced bull phase began. * April 20, 2024 ā BTC halving. * October 6, 2025 ā the current cycleās historical high based on a range of data. * 2026 ā the market is already in the post-ATH phase, and the question now is whether this is a correction or the formation of a new bottom.
That is, if Saeed says āthe locomotive of this cycle,ā he means the cycle that started from the bottom in November 2022.
If you analyze the previous cycle 2020ā2021, then yesāXRP was one of the notable alts, the main locomotive of the cycle.
In 2021 $XRP it rose from about $0.20 to $1.96āaround +880%, while BTC grew by about +683% from the halving to its peak. But XRP reached its maximum earlier than BTC, in April 2021.
And if youāre asking āwhich coin was the locomotive of the last cycle?ā, then the answer is more likely ETH, and among the individual hype altsāDOGE, SOL, and other narratives. XRP was strong, but not the main leader.
Enter the dong. Buy everything off! Below, in the next 2 months, it wonāt get cheaper! Use bigger leverage! Not financial advice!$BTC Said will put in 16 times more after 65k š¤š¤š¤
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