fed

$BTC
🚨🚨 Current financial market forecasts indicate a 97.1% probability that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 25 basis points this coming December

This high figure does not reflect arbitrary speculation; rather, it is anchored in clear economic indicators—including recent inflation data, employment levels, and statements from Fed officials leaning towards monetary tightening to curb inflation and bring it back down to the targeted 2% level

$ETH

​From a practical standpoint, this decision carries direct implications for the markets. It means an additional rise in borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, continued pressure on risk assets, and, conversely, higher yields on fixed-income instruments and the US dollar

The markets have now almost fully priced in this decision, meaning that the true focus is no longer solely on the 25-basis-point increment, but rather on the future signals and guidance the Fed will provide regarding the interest rate trajectory throughout the coming year

$SOL
#Fed #KevinWarshDisclosed

⚠️🇺🇸#FED #CPI
CME FedWatch: After the inflation report, bets began to rise that the Fed will raise rates by 0.5% in December

WSJ: The Fed will choose between a 0.5% and 0.25% increase in December

Goldman: The Fed may continue raising rates in 2027

🔥 US CPI HOTTER THAN EXPECTED — DEC HIKE NOW ALMOST LOCKED IN*

US Consumer Prices rose *+0.4% MoM* in October vs +0.3% expected.

Core CPI: *+0.3% MoM* vs +0.2% expected — 3rd straight month at 0.3%

No YoY number this time — BLS couldn't collect Oct 2025 data during last year's shutdown.

What does it mean?

CME FedWatch before the release:
*98.9% chance of 25bp hike in December*
*1.1% chance of 50bp hike*
*0% chance of hold*

And Waller just warned: if core prints 0.3%+, "more robust action" may be needed.

BTC dipped, Gold dropped 2%+ on the print.

Next stop: *PPI Friday* → then *FOMC Dec 9*

#CPI #FED #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto $BTC

US October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month (vs 0.3% expected); core CPI rose 0.3% (vs 0.2%) — both hotter than forecast, and the last CPI print before the Fed's December 8–9 meeting.
The 50bp December hike is back on the table: core CPI hit the 0.3% threshold Governor Waller flagged, and analyst Ira Jersey says a 50bp move would make another hike in March extremely likely.
Fed watcher Nick Timiraos notes core CPI has run near 0.3% for three straight months, with the three-month annualized rate at 3.75% versus 1.6% in July.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan says the Fed needs at least two more 25 bps rate hikes, and they may come faster this winter.

• Logan: the FOMC needs at least two more 25 bps increases, possibly moving more rapidly this winter
• She estimates the fed funds range is at least 50 bps below a modestly restrictive level
• The Fed hiked in September and skipped in October; the next FOMC meeting is December 8-9

Why it matters: Fed rate expectations drive the dollar and risk appetite, and crypto often trades on shifts in those expectations.
Source: Dallas Fed (President Logan speech, Nov. 10)
Not financial advice.

💬 Are two more Fed hikes already priced into crypto?

#Fed #FOMC #RateHike

🔴 Bearish

🚨 FED HAWKISH STANCE INTENSIFIES AFTER HOT CPI!

Today's CPI report showed inflation remains stickier than anticipated, pushing core prices up 0.3% (excluding food and energy). This was higher than the forecasted 0.2% increase.

📊 Market Impact: Futures markets are now pricing in a near-guaranteed December rate hike, with some Fed officials hinting at a 50 basis point increase to combat persistent inflation. This spells caution for risk assets like crypto.

#Fed #CPI

Fed's Waller was RIGHT ⚠️

He said: If Core CPI hits 0.3%, 50 bps hike should be considered.

Today's CPI just came in:
Headline: 0.4% vs 0.3% expected
Core: 0.3% vs 0.2% expected

Waller's trigger is HIT.

25 bps is now locked. 50 bps is now LIVE at 15% odds.

#Fed #FOMC‬⁩ #CPIdata #Inflationrate #FederalReserve

The Fed held at 3.75–4.00% but didn't rule out a December hike, and markets price it as the base case. Higher-for-longer is the headwind for risk assets. Watch the dollar and yields as closely as the charts. #Fed #Macro

🚨 CPI IS HOT - FED WILL HIKE RATES?

October CPI came in at 0.4% vs 0.3% expected.
Core CPI at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.

Result?
$BTC
dropped below $74,000
$ETH
dropped below $2,050
$170M+ longs liquidated in 5 minutes

CME FedWatch now shows 100% chance of a Fed rate hike in December.

My View: This is not a crash. This is FEAR.
Fear & Greed Index is at 12 - Extreme Fear.

When everyone is scared, smart money waits.

Will $BTC hold $73,000 or go to $70,000?

Comment: HOLD $73K or DROP TO $70K 👇

Not financial advice.
#BTC #CPI #Fed

Fed official Logan says the Fed may raise rates faster than before this winter — at least two more hikes, 25bp each.
Logan adds that moving step by step can reduce the risk of the economy slowing more than necessary.
The remarks follow October CPI that ran hotter than expected: the 10-year yield hit 4.99%, and markets now price at least two hikes by mid-2027, with a 50bp December move back on the table.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

CPI came in hot on both measures, and the Fed hike is now almost fully priced in. ⚠️

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported October CPI up 0.4 percent, above the 0.3 percent economists expected, and core CPI up 0.3 percent against a 0.2 percent forecast, with food up 0.5 percent, energy up 0.7 percent and housing up 0.3 percent, according to Bitcoin Magazine. 📰 Futures markets now put the chance of a December rate hike at 89 percent, up from about 70 percent last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool cited by Stocktwits, and Fed Governor Christopher Waller has said he is open to a half point move. My reading is that a hot print on both measures leaves the Fed little room to wait, so the market has to price higher rates for longer, and that is why Bitcoin fell below 74,000 dollars within minutes of the release.

Does a near certain December hike mean Bitcoin stays under pressure, or is the bad news already in the price? 🤔

Follow for more trades.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #FuturesTrading #TradingSignals #Fed

🚨 Polymarket Odds of a 25 BPS Fed Rate Hike in December Surge to 87% After US CPI Exceeds Expectations! 📈

👀 Inflation data is putting fresh pressure on the Federal Reserve, raising expectations of tighter monetary policy. This could bring more volatility to crypto and traditional markets. ⚡

#Fed #CPI #Polymarket #Bitcoin #CryptoNews

#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced
🔥 100% Odds for a Hike. The Debate Is Now 25 or 50

October CPI beat forecasts on both lines, and traders now fully price a Fed hike on Dec 9.

📊 CPI +0.4% m/m vs 0.3% expected; core +0.3% vs 0.2% (BLS)
🏦 FedWatch: 25bp hike fully priced, 13.6% odds of 50bp (CNBC)
📈 2-year Treasury yield jumped ~14bp to 4.69% (CoinDesk)
📉 BTC dipped to $73,524 on Binance right after the print

My read: a 25bp hike looks priced in; a 50bp surprise is the real risk for crypto.

25bp or 50bp from the Fed on Dec 9? 👇

$BTC $ETH
#HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #Fed #Bitcoin

Fed Governor Waller said overnight he'd back a December hike even if inflation came in cool. October CPI then came in at 0.4% against a 0.3% forecast.
$BTC was near $74,300 before the number. It's around $73,200 now.

Core CPI, the version without food and energy, rose 0.3% against 0.2% expected. September's headline was 0.6%, so prices did slow down, just not as much as anyone hoped. There's still no year-on-year figure, because October 2025 was never fully collected during the shutdown.

Waller had a second line ready too: a hot print could make a 50bp move worth considering. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped about 14bp after the release as traders priced in a small chance of exactly that.

Bitcoin dipped to about $73,500 in the first five minutes and kept sliding from there. Roughly $200M of crypto longs were closed out around the release.

A hike was already the base case before the print. The data didn't change the plan. It just signed it.

#CPI #Fed
NFA. DYOR.

$GS warns that high inflation could lead to more interest rate hikes next year.

#Inflation #Fed

🇺🇸 INSIGHT: Fed Governor Waller floats a 50 bps December hike if October core CPI rises about 0.3% or more month over month.

How much do you think core CPI rose in October?

#Crypto #Fed

🚨 BREAKING: US monthly inflation rose 0.4% in October.

Rising price pressures could push the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate hikes, which may slow economic growth and shake market dynamics. 📉

Higher rates tend to tighten liquidity, so risk assets could feel the squeeze. 👀

How do you think the Fed responds next? 🤔

Follow me for breaking crypto news 🔔

#BreakingNews #CryptoNews #Fed

🔴 Fed governor Christopher Waller said he would vote to raise rates by 0.25% at the December FOMC meeting. ⚡ Bitcoin and stock futures trended lower after the speech, per CoinTelegraph, with market bets on a hike cited at 96%. Policy-rate signals like this shape dollar liquidity across both crypto and traditional markets.

How do Fed rate decisions change the way you price or manage inventory in your P2P trading? 👇

#fed #waller #fomc #bitcoin #rates

Traders now price an 85 percent chance of a December Fed hike. One CPI print could change that. ⚠️

The CME FedWatch tool cited by CoinDesk and Blockonomi puts about an 80 to 85 percent chance on a quarter point rate increase at the Fed meeting on 9 December, and Fed Governor Christopher Waller has said he favoured a higher rate even if inflation cooled. 📊 The October CPI report lands at 18:30 PKT today, with economists expecting headline inflation up 0.3 percent and core up 0.2 percent. My reading is that hike odds this high mean a soft print is the surprise that moves markets most, because a hot print only confirms what is already priced in, while a soft print forces traders to reprice December fast.

If CPI comes in soft, does the December hike get priced out, or does the Fed hike anyway? 🤔

Follow for more trades.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #FuturesTrading #TradingSignals #Fed