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Arthur Hayes warns: the crypto market is under threat! ⚠️💥
January 20, 2025, the day of Donald Trump's inauguration, could be a nightmare for cryptocurrencies, according to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes. He predicts a massive sell-off that could shake the market. 😱📉
Why is that? Arthur is confident that political instability and economic uncertainty could seriously damage investor confidence. In addition, he doubts the idea of a national Bitcoin reserve, calling it a "difficult task." 🏦❌
But what does this mean for us?
1️⃣ Prepare for volatility. 📊 2️⃣ Think through your strategies. 🤔 3️⃣ Remember that panic is not a trader's friend! 💡
Could this be another opportunity for smart investors? 🤷♂️ As always, time will tell.
What do you think of Hayes' predictions? Share your opinion in the comments! 💬👇
🟢 Bitcoin is holding firmly above $82,000 after Fed comments eased concerns about rate hikes in global markets ⚡. The concurrent rebound in tech stocks underscores a broader return to risk-on positioning, keeping liquidity 📈 focused on digital assets. Watch the $80,000 support level to confirm that this macroeconomic relief thesis remains intact.
Will Bitcoin hold support at $82K if central bank comments remain neutral until the next FOMC meeting? 👇
🟠 Will Bitcoin plunge to the $76,000 zone as macroeconomic pressure intensifies, or will spot buyers easily absorb this institutional outflow and reclaim $84,000?
🟢 Bitcoin whale wallets reached a record 20,338 addresses holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC, even as ETF investors withdrew $539 million. With Binance funding rates negative at -0.0073%, retail derivatives traders are aggressively shorting 📉 while major players accumulate spot assets. A return to $88,000 would remove the risk of a major liquidation cluster 🚀 that could fuel the next leg higher.
Will whale accumulation absorb macroeconomic selling pressure, or will negative spot ETF flows force a test of $74,000? 👇
🟢 Wall Street is absorbing Bitcoin while exporting digital dollars. Chainalysis reports that the US has become a net importer for the first time since 2022 📈 BTC: institutions are buying spot ETFs while retail investors sell. Meanwhile, Treasury-backed stablecoins are taking over the velocity of global trade ⚡. Watch net ETF flows for the next major supply shift.
Will institutional accumulation of Bitcoin in the US reduce the liquid supply on exchanges enough to trigger the next major macro squeeze? 👇
🧠 The price reversed from the 1h support zone 1h:S:1 on the 1h timeframe after a false breakout, providing a bounce setup against the broader bearish trend. The trade has enough room to reach the 1h resistance zone 1h:R:1 for TP1, with further targets at higher resistance levels on longer timeframes. Trigger — the current bullish reversal from the support zone.
🧠 1D remains in a broader uptrend, but on 4H the price is below the declining EMA20/50, while recent 1H reversals show repeated rejection beneath resistance at 747–749. There is more room to the next significant 4H support at 4h:S:1 than to target the tight 1H support directly. The trigger is active now, as price is trading below 1H/4H resistance without reclaiming above 1h:R:1.
🧠 Structure is bearish on 4h and 1d. A corrective bounce is underway on 1h, but it is losing steam below EMA50 and below the descending pivot high. The distance to the 5-touch 1d:S:1 zone gives TP1 at 1.9 ATR, with a reward/risk ratio better than the 1h:R:1 stop. The trigger is the inability to reclaim 0.085 after the recent bounce.
🧠 1d and 4h are mixed-bearish; on 4h, price is below EMA50 and VWAP, while on 1h, price has broken below EMA20/50, with downward momentum. The current price is below the nearest 1h resistance and has just moved below the 1h support shelf, so the clean directional trade is a continuation SHORT toward the well-tested 1d:S:1 demand zone. The catalyst is weak and does not change the structural picture.
🧠 1d and 4h are mixed, but on 1h the structure shows higher highs and higher lows after bouncing off clearly defined support. Using 1h support as the structural stop leaves room to work only up to the next resistance level, rather than the nearest 1h:R:1 cap. The active trigger is already in effect, as price is holding above the rising 1h EMA20/50 with a rising MACD histogram following the recent impulse.
🧠 The 1d trend remains broadly bullish, while the 1h structure shows higher highs/higher lows, with a breakout above the nearest support cluster still holding. First, there’s room to reach 4h:R:1, then 4h:R:2 and 1d:R:1 for the runner. The trigger is already active, but the entry is late in the impulse and the 1h is already extended.
Time to check the score: 3 of 5 calls hit this week, as market liquidity dried up.
October 10 BTC downside to $75k 🟠 Pressure held below $85k, but the $75k target hasn’t been hit yet. October 09 ETF selloff risk ✅ Hit. Outflows dragged BTC from $86k to $81.7k. October 09 Break-even cap ❌ Total miss. Price surged back above our $83k invalidation level, breaking through $83,112. October 09 MiCA stablecoin pressure 🟠 On track, though we’re still early in the 90-day window. October 09 Macro-driven selloff in high-beta assets ✅ Hit. Persistent yields crushed risk assets, sending ETH down -6.78%.
Which of these calls do you think will reverse first next week? Let us know in the comments 👇
🔴 The news pulse has hit 12.5, down 4.2 📉 in 24 hours. Mainstream headlines are in hysterics after $1B in longs got wiped out ⚡, sending the news backdrop to an absolute low. But gloomy headlines are a lagging indicator. Sentiment this paralyzed by fear 🐻 usually signals a juicy trap for late short sellers, not another drop. Is this a classic “buy the panic” signal, or are the headlines right to be terrified? What’s your call? Share below 👇
🧠 The 1D chart still looks broadly bullish, but the 4H structure shows lower highs and lower lows, and price remains below the 4H EMA50. On the 1H, the bounce ran into nearby resistance and stalled, consolidating below 754 and still trading below VWAP. There is enough room to 1h:S:1 for TP1, while deeper support levels could be suitable for the remainder of the position if the 4H downside momentum resumes.
🧠 The 4H trend is sharply bearish following a strong downward impulse. On the 1H, there is tight consolidation in the form of a bearish flag, with extremely low volatility (ATR percentile 1.0). We’re entering SHORT on the expected breakout, with TP1 set just before the next structural support level on 1h:S:2.