๐ดNOT A BEARMARKET!!! here's BITCOIN PRICE FORECAST for March 10 - 14 | Macro Analysis by โช@Hoteliercryptoโฌ
๐ Bitcoin Trend Analysis for March 10-14, 2025 | Macro Insights by โช@Hoteliercryptoโฌ ๐ Wondering where Bitcoin is heading this week? This video analyzes BTC price trends based on macro indicators, global liquidity shifts, and key economic events. Stay ahead of the market! ๐ข REMEMBER= Fundamental ALWAYS Move the Market, while Technical is for Timing the Market๐๐
1. If S&P Global Services PMI and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data ๐ฅRED => LONG๐ 2. If S&P Global Services PMI and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data ๐ฉGREEN => SHORT๐ 3. If both of them has different color or ๐ฅ๐ฉMIXED => DON'T TRADE๐ 4. Don't be greedy, discipline Take Profits.
Data releases at 13:45 GMT You can check the data on the Economic Calendar here: investing. com/economic-calendar or Investing apps (playstore/ appstore)
NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a Buy/Sell Signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฉ00:00โ09:00 โ Up => Asian session relief bounce. Japan CPI data is expected to rise, weakening the yen and supporting risk assets. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open with low volume. Markets digest the Japan data. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. S&P Global PMIs and Michigan Inflation Expectations. Sticky inflation data may push Bitcoin higher as the dollar remains pressured. ๐ฅ15:00โ18:00 โ Down => Afternoon US session. Geopolitical tensions with Iran and weekend positioning trigger profit-taking. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the weekend.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish (Pump and Dump) RSI: 46.03 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Yesterday, Initial Jobless Claims printed at a 52-year low, which is pure manipulation. Fewer claims mean a stronger dollar and a drop to 81k. It makes no sense that jobless claims are falling while bankruptcies surge and gas prices remain high. The "poor" are the inflation airdrop, and the data is masking the real economic pain. Today, the focus is Japan CPI and US Michigan Inflation Expectations. Rising Japanese inflation forces Japan to defend the yen, weakening the dollar and supporting Bitcoin. However, the threat of Iran attacking US allies during the election period remains a major wildcard. Expect a pump on the data, followed by a dump if war headlines escalate before the weekend. ๐ Jobless Claims at 52-year low. Blatant manipulation. DXY up, BTC dumped. ๐ฏ๐ต Japan CPI rising. Weak yen supports Bitcoin. ๐ War fears escalate. Iran threatening US allies during elections. ๐ Strategy: Today is data-heavy with weekend war risk. Do not chase the initial pump. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table before the US close. If you are not positioned, wait for a clear signal. Always manage risk and protect your capital ahead of next week's FOMC.
1. If Initial Jobless Claims data ๐ฅRED => LONG๐ 2. If Initial Jobless Claims data ๐ฉGREEN => SHORT๐ 3. Don't be greedy, discipline Take Profits.
Data releases at 12:30 GMT You can check the data on the Economic Calendar here: investing. com/economic-calendar or Investing apps (playstore/ appstore)
NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a Buy/Sell Signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
GM Market Briefingโ๏ธ Thursday, October 22 2026
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฉ00:00โ09:00 โ Up => Asian session continuation. Momentum from yesterday's pump holds as Blackrock continues its accumulation phase ahead of October 27. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open with low volume. Markets wait for US data. Range-bound. ๐จ11:00โ15:00 โ Slow => US session. Initial Jobless Claims due. The data is likely to be flat and politicised ahead of the midterms. Expect choppy, data-dependent movement. ๐ฅ15:00โ18:00 โ Down => Afternoon US session. Profit-taking may emerge as the market digests the labour data. Sideways movement with a bearish skew. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Fed's Balance Sheet later. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 57.33 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Bitcoin jumped to 84k as Crude Oil Inventories improved, dragging the dollar down. The global cost of living crisis is spreading from France to Saudi Arabia and Thailand, but this is not entirely organic. Geopolitical tensions are being amplified. In this environment, cash is king, and stablecoin arbitrage is a tolerable risk. Today's focus is Initial Jobless Claims, which is expected to be flat and manipulated. Blackrock is still buying heavily until October 27. Expect consolidation with a bullish tilt. ๐ข Crude Oil Inventories improved. DXY dropped, Bitcoin pumped. ๐ Global living costs rising. Geopolitical chaos amplifying the narrative. ๐ Initial Jobless Claims likely manipulated. Flat data expected. ๐ Strategy: The trend remains bullish with Blackrock accumulating. Do not chase the pump. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table. If you are not positioned, wait for a dip. Always manage risk and protect your capital.
GM Market Briefingโ๏ธ Wednesday, October 21 2026
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian session. Consolidation after Tuesday's green close. Thin liquidity, no major catalysts yet. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open with low volume. Markets wait for US data. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. Crude Oil Inventories data. Following last week's massive drawdown, a return to a build would signal easing supply pressures, weakening the dollar and supporting Bitcoin. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon US session. 20-Year Bond Auction may cause yield volatility. Profit-taking may emerge. Sideways movement. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 52.06 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Tuesday closed green despite weak housing data. Pending Home Sales crashed to -7.3%, proving the government has not yet triggered a new housing exit liquidity trap. The market is looking past this and focusing on oil. Todayโs main event is Crude Oil Inventories. The previous drawdown was massive. If it reverses or slows down, inflationary pressures will ease, supporting risk assets like Bitcoin. ๐ Pending Home Sales crash to -7.3%. Market shrugs off weak housing data. ๐ข Crude Oil Inventories. A return to a build will ease inflation fears. ๐ RSI neutral at 52. TD Sequential 2 Up suggests short-term consolidation. ๐ Strategy: Today is data-dependent. Wait for the crude oil data to settle before entering. Do not chase the initial spike. Manage your risk and always protect your capital.
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian session. China Loan Prime Rate expected to hold steady. No major catalysts. Range-bound. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Markets wait for US data. Low volume. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. Housing Starts and Building Permits data due. If Housing Starts rise, DXY firms, but Bitcoin may hold as housing debt is delayed inflation. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon US session. Profit-taking may emerge. Sideways consolidation. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 46.96 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Yesterdayโs NAHB housing index was weak, confirming the government has not yet turned housing into an inflation exit trap. Todayโs focus is Housing Starts. Oil is the key, and housing is exit liquidity. If Housing Starts rise, the dollar may strengthen, but Bitcoin might not fall because mortgages represent delayed inflation and a new generation of dollar holders. Expect a bounce on the data, followed by consolidation. ๐ NAHB weak. No immediate housing inflation trap. ๐ Housing Starts due. Rising data may firm DXY but BTC may hold. ๐ RSI 46, neutral. MACD bearish but TD Sequential suggests a bounce. ๐ Strategy: Today is data-dependent. Do not chase the initial spike. If in profit, take some off. If not positioned, wait for a clear signal. Always manage risk.
Macroeconomy Weekly Outlook of 19 โ 25 October 2026.
$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlookโ๏ธ Weekly Bias: ๐ฉBullish | Key catalysts this week include China GDP, US Housing Starts, Crude Oil Inventories, and Japan CPI. The dollar remains under pressure as liquidity seeks alternatives. War premium remains the wildcard. Monday, 19 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. China GDP and Industrial Production data. Chinaโs economic growth amidst prolonged deflation could force a shift towards inflation to sustain growth. This would weaken the dollar and support Bitcoin. Prediction: $81,000~$83,500 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Tuesday, 20 Oct: ๐ฉ Bullish with Wick. Housing Starts and Building Permits. Rising housing data strengthens the dollar short-term, but housing debt is delayed inflation. Expect an initial pump followed by a pullback as the market digests the debt narrative. Prediction: $81,500~$84,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Wednesday, 21 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. Crude Oil Inventories. Following last week's massive drawdown, a return to a build (positive print) is expected. This would indicate easing supply pressures, weakening the dollar and lifting Bitcoin. Prediction: $82,000~$84,500 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Thursday, 22 Oct: ๐จ Sideways. Initial Jobless Claims. Labour data is increasingly politicised ahead of the midterms to project economic strength. Expect a flat, slightly bearish day as the market waits for Fridayโs data. Prediction: $81,500~$83,000 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Friday, 23 Oct: ๐ฉ๐ฅ Volatile. Japan CPI and US PMIs. Rising Japanese inflation forces Japan to defend the yen, weakening the dollar and supporting Bitcoin. However, geopolitical tensions with Iran escalating during the US election period could trigger a pump and dump before the weekend. Prediction: $82,000~$85,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish then ๐ฅBearish (Pump and Dump) Saturday, October 24 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $82,500~$84,000 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Sunday, October 25 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $82,500~$84,000 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Bias: The structural bull case remains intact. China's shifting economic policy and Japan's inflation will continue to pressure the dollar. Dips should be bought. War premiums remain the wildcard. Always manage risk. #NFA #DYOR ๐ฅ Not a futures signal๐ $ETH $BNB #cpi #InitialJoblessClaims #crudeoil #ElSalvadorBitcoinHoldingsSurpass7800BTC
Macroeconomy Weekly Outlook of 12 โ 18 October 2026.
$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlookโ๏ธ Weekly Bias: ๐ฉBullish | CPI is the key catalyst this week. Expect core inflation to remain stable, giving the Fed no room to be hawkish. The dollar is likely to weaken, supporting Bitcoin. Key events: Existing Home Sales, CPI, PPI, and Fed Chair speech. War premium remains the wildcard. Monday, 12 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. Japan and US holidays. No major data. Early start shifts to Monday as liquidity returns. Expect a gradual rise. Prediction: $82,500~$84,500 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Tuesday, 13 Oct: ๐ฅ Red. Existing Home Sales expected to rise, which strengthens the dollar and pressures Bitcoin. Housing data remains a manipulated inflation pocket. Prediction: $81,500~$83,500 Direction: ๐ฅBearish Wednesday, 14 Oct: ๐ฉ Bullish. CPI day. Core CPI is the key. If core does not rise, the Fed cannot be hawkish, and Bitcoin will rally. If CPI falls, Bitcoin rockets. Prediction: $83,000~$86,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Thursday, 15 Oct: ๐จ Sideways. PPI expected to fall, which is dovish but already priced in. Bitcoin likely flat. Prediction: $82,500~$84,500 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Friday, 16 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. Fed Chair speaks. With weak NFP and election pressure, the Fed cannot be hawkish. Bitcoin rises. Prediction: $84,000~$87,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Saturday, October 17 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $84,000~$85,500 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Sunday, October 18 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $84,000~$85,500 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Bias: The structural bull case remains intact. The Fed cannot be hawkish with weak NFP and elections approaching. CPI is the key. If core inflation stays stable, Bitcoin will rise. Dips should be bought. War premiums remain the wildcard. Always manage risk. #NFA #DYOR ๐ฅ Not a futures signal๐ Random Tags: $ETH $XRP #PPI #cpi #Fed #StateCouncilCallsForNationalBlockchainNetwork
GM Market Briefingโ๏ธ Saturday, October 10 2026
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian weekend session. Thin liquidity. Bitcoin stabilises near 82.6k after Friday's wild swing. No major catalysts. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Low volume. Range-bound. ๐จ11:00โ15:00 โ Slow => US session. No major data. Weekend positioning. Sideways movement. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon consolidation. Geopolitical headlines may cause sudden wicks. Caution advised. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Sideways RSI: 50.36 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Friday's Michigan Inflation Expectations came in higher than forecast at 4.7%, which is hawkish and supports the dollar. Consumer sentiment also dropped sharply to 46.3, a dovish signal, but the inflation print dominated. Bitcoin initially dropped but then recovered to close near 82.6k. The market is confused by mixed signals. The bigger risk is the US military campaign against Iran, which could escalate over the long weekend. Teacher says he cannot predict war. Today is Saturday, liquidity is thin, and war headlines could cause sudden spikes. Stay cautious. ๐ Michigan Inflation Expectations rose to 4.7%. Hawkish = DXY up, BTC down. ๐ Consumer sentiment dropped to 46.3. Dovish but secondary. ๐ US military campaign against Iran. Long weekend war risk. ๐ RSI 50, CCI oversold. Bounce possible, but war headlines dominate. ๐ Strategy: Weekend liquidity is thin. Do not chase any move. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table. If you are not positioned, wait for next week. Always manage risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฅ00:00โ09:00 โ Down => Asian session. China back from holiday but sentiment remains weak. Bitcoin continues to bleed after yesterday's crash. No major data. Thin liquidity. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Markets digest the recent drop. Low volume. Range-bound with a bearish bias. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations at 14:00. If inflation expectations fall, dovish for dollar, supportive for Bitcoin. A relief bounce is possible. ๐ฅ15:00โ18:00 โ Down => Afternoon US session. Profit-taking may emerge after the bounce. War fears ahead of the long weekend weigh on sentiment. Expect a pullback. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the weekend. No fresh catalysts. Geopolitical headlines may cause sudden wicks.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 47.48 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Today's focus is Michigan Inflation Expectations. If expectations fall, the dollar should weaken and Bitcoin should bounce. However, the bigger story is the US preparing an intense three-day military campaign against Iran, targeting energy facilities. ๐ Initial Claims fell but data is contradictory. DXY up, Bitcoin down. ๐ Michigan Inflation Expectations expected to fall. Dovish = DXY down, BTC up. ๐ข US prepares military campaign against Iran. War premium over long weekend. ๐ RSI 47, CCI oversold. Bounce likely, but war risk may cap gains. ๐ Strategy: Today is a data-driven day with a long weekend ahead. Do not chase any move. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table. If you are not positioned, wait for next week. Always manage risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฅ00:00โ09:00 โ Down => Asian session. China holiday, thin liquidity. Bitcoin continues to bleed after yesterday's crash. Fed Waller speaks at 08:30 but no major impact expected. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Markets digest Waller and wait for US data. Range-bound with a bearish bias. ๐จ11:00โ15:00 โ Slow => US session. Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30. A rise would be dovish, but data is unreliable. Expect choppy, data-dependent movement. ๐ฅ15:00โ18:00 โ Down => Afternoon US session. Atlanta Fed GDPNow and 30-Year Bond Auction. If yields rise, Bitcoin may extend losses. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Fed's Balance Sheet and Japan data. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Bearish RSI: 52.60 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Todayโs focus is Initial Jobless Claims. A rise would normally weaken the dollar and support Bitcoin, but the data is manipulated. Fed Waller speaks early, but his impact is limited. The trend remains bearish in the short term, but oversold conditions (CCI -121) suggest a bounce is possible. Expect another red day, but the downside may be limited. ๐ Bitcoin crashed to 82k. Data inconsistency and Blackrock selling. ๐ Initial Jobless Claims later. Dovish if it rises, but data unreliable. ๐ Fed Waller speaks. Low impact. ๐ Strategy: Today is data-dependent. Do not chase the downside. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table. If you are not positioned, wait for a clear signal. Always manage risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
GM Market Briefingโ๏ธ Wednesday, October 7 2026
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฅ00:00โ09:00 โ Down => Asian session. China holiday, thin liquidity. Bitcoin drops to 84k. No support from Asian markets. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Low volume. Markets wait for US data. Range-bound. ๐ฅ11:00โ15:00 โ Down => US session. Crude Oil Inventories at 14:30. A drawdown signals a strong economy, strengthening the dollar and pressuring Bitcoin. ๐ฅ15:00โ18:00 โ Down => Afternoon US session. FOMC Minutes at 18:00. Expect volatility. Hawkish tone would extend the drop. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Bearish RSI: 55.83 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
China is on holiday, and the market feels lifeless without them. Bitcoin dropped to 84k this morning. Todayโs main event is Crude Oil Inventories. A drawdown signals a strong economy, which strengthens the dollar and pressures Bitcoin. The FOMC Minutes at 18:00 could add volatility. US debt has hit 40.2 trillion, with interest at 1.3 trillion a year. The yield is the insurance against default. The rate hike was based on one NFP print, which looks like a drama to protect the Fedโs independence narrative. Bitcoinโs rise remains fundamental. Expect a red day. ๐ China holiday. Thin liquidity. Bitcoin drops to 84k. ๐ข Crude drawdown = strong economy = DXY up = BTC down. ๐ US debt 40.2T, interest 1.3T. Yield is the risk premium. ๐ RSI 55.83, CCI -25.87. Neutral zone. MACD bearish. ๐ Strategy: Today is a data-driven day with FOMC Minutes. Do not chase any move. If in profit, take some off. If not positioned, wait for a clear signal. Always manage risk.
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian session. China holiday, thin liquidity. No data. Bitcoin holds near 86k after Monday's wicky close. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Markets wait for the US session. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. No major data. Blackrock buying continues (1,860 BTC on 2 Oct). Positive sentiment pushes Bitcoin higher. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon consolidation. Profit-taking may emerge. Sideways movement. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 64.79 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Monday closed red with a wick, a classic shakeout. Blackrock bought another 1,860 BTC on 2 October, confirming continued accumulation. No major data today, and China is on holiday, so liquidity is thin. The dollar is likely to stay weak, and Bitcoin should grind higher. Teacher expects another up day. RSI is overbought and CCI is overbought, so caution is warranted. Expect a gradual rise, but do not chase pumps. ๐ Monday red wicky. Shakeout before continuation. ๐ฆ Blackrock bought 1,860 BTC on 2 Oct. Strong bullish signal. ๐จ๐ณ China holiday. Thin liquidity. DXY likely weak. ๐ RSI 64.79, CCI overbought. Caution. ๐ Strategy: Trend remains bullish. If in profit, take some off. If not positioned, wait for a dip. Always manage risk.
1. If ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data ๐ฅRED => SHORT๐ 2. If ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data ๐ฉGREEN => LONG๐ 3. If ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data are ๐ฉMIXED๐ฅ => DON'T TRADE๐ 4. Don't be greedy, discipline Take Profits.
Data releases at 14:00 GMT You can check the data on the Economic Calendar here: investing. com/economic-calendar or Investing apps (playstore/ appstore)
NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a Buy/Sell Signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐ฅ00:00โ09:00 โ Down => Early profit-taking after Sunday's green start. Thin liquidity with China on holiday. Asian session drifts lower. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open with low volume. Markets wait for US data. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US data. S&P Services PMI steady, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI expected to cool. Dovish for dollar, bullish for Bitcoin. Push higher. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon consolidation. Profit-taking may emerge. Sideways movement. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 68.08 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Weekend early start confirmed. Bitcoin pushed back to 86k before institutions open. This week has no major data, so DXY tends to weaken and Blackrock tends to buy. Todayโs focus is S&P and ISM Non-Manufacturing data. Both are expected to cool, which is dovish for the dollar and supportive for Bitcoin. RSI is nearing overbought and there is a bearish divergence, so caution is warranted. Expect a bullish day but with possible pullbacks. ๐ ISM Non-Manufacturing expected to cool. Dovish = DXY down. ๐ RSI 68, CCI overbought. Caution warranted. ๐ฆ Blackrock likely to keep buying. Structural support. ๐ Strategy: Trend remains bullish but overbought. Do not chase pumps. If in profit, take some off. If not positioned, wait for a dip. Always manage risk.
$BTC Macroeconomy Weekly Outlookโ๏ธ Weekly Bias: ๐ฉBullish but cautious | Strong bullish trend intact with ADX confirming strength. RSI at 64.65, nearing overbought. TD Sequential at 4 Up suggests momentum continuing but a pullback is possible. Key catalysts this week: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, FOMC Meeting Minutes, Jobless Claims, and Michigan Sentiment. War premium and oil price volatility remain the wildcards. Monday, 5 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. S&P Global Services PMI expected unchanged, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI expected to cool. Both data points lean dovish for the dollar, supporting Bitcoin. China holiday reduces liquidity. Analysis: The services data is expected to show a slowdown, with ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI forecast to drop from 55.7 to 54.4. This is a dovish signal that weakens the dollar and supports Bitcoin. S&P Global Services PMI is expected to hold steady. With China on holiday, liquidity is thin, but the dovish data tilt should push Bitcoin higher. Prediction: $84,500~$86,500 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Tuesday, 6 Oct: ๐จ Sideways to ๐ฉ Bullish. ADP Employment Change Weekly, Trade Balance, and FOMC Member Bowman speaks. Trade deficit expected to widen, a dollar-negative signal. Bowman may sound hawkish, but weak data may temper her tone. Analysis: The trade balance is expected to widen to -95.20B from -88.60B, which is structurally bearish for the dollar and supportive for Bitcoin. ADP Weekly is low impact. Bowman speaks, but given the weak NFP last week, she may not be aggressively hawkish. With China still on holiday, expect a slow session with a mild bullish bias. Prediction: $84,500~$86,000 Direction: ๐จSideways to ๐ฉBullish Wednesday, 7 Oct: ๐ฉ Bullish (High Volatility). FOMC Meeting Minutes from the September meeting where rates were hiked 25bps. The market will scrutinise the minutes for any dovish signals. Crude Oil Inventories, NY Fed Inflation Expectations, and Consumer Credit also due. Analysis: The FOMC minutes are the main event. Given the weak NFP and cooling inflation, the minutes may reveal that the hike was a close call or that the Fed is concerned about the economy. If the minutes are dovish, Bitcoin will rally. Crude oil inventories may show a build, but oil has been falling. The NY Fed inflation expectations are expected to cool. Overall, the data leans dovish, supporting Bitcoin. Expect high volatility. Prediction: $85,000~$88,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Thursday, 8 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. Fed Waller speaks, Initial Jobless Claims expected to rise, Fed's Balance Sheet. Jobless claims rising is dovish, supporting Bitcoin. Waller may be hawkish, but weak data should dominate. Analysis: Initial Jobless Claims are forecast to rise to 200K from 197K, a dovish signal that weakens the dollar. The Fed's Balance Sheet will show whether the Fed is still shrinking or expanding its holdings. Any expansion would be bullish for Bitcoin. Waller speaks, but his hawkish stance may be muted by the weak data. Expect a green day. Prediction: $85,500~$87,500 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Friday, 9 Oct: ๐ฉ Green. Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations. Sentiment expected to drop, and inflation expectations may cool slightly. Both are dovish for the dollar, supporting Bitcoin. WASDE report and CFTC positions are low impact. Analysis: Michigan Consumer Sentiment is forecast to drop to 47.6 from 48.1, a dovish signal. Inflation expectations are expected to remain stable or cool slightly. These data points support the dovish narrative and weaken the dollar. Bitcoin should rise. Prediction: $86,000~$88,000 Direction: ๐ฉBullish Saturday, October 10 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $86,000~$87,500 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Sunday, October 11 Analysis: Weekend. No major data. Markets closed. Geopolitical headlines may emerge. Rest well. Prediction: $86,000~$87,500 Direction: ๐จSidewaysโ๏ธ Bias: The structural bull case remains intact. The Fed hiked rates but weak data now suggests that was a mistake. The FOMC minutes and continued dovish data flow should support Bitcoin. Dips should be bought, but overbought conditions and a bearish RSI divergence warrant caution. War premiums and oil price volatility remain the wildcards. Always manage risk. #NFA #DYOR ๐ฅ Not a futures signal๐
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian weekend session. Thin liquidity. Bitcoin holds near 84.6k after Friday's volatile NFP. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Low volume. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. Oil drops sharply (WTI -4%, Brent -2.6%), dollar softens. Bitcoin may recover. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon consolidation. Sideways. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift.
Bias: Cautiously Bullish RSI: 63.40 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
NFP came in at 29K vs 89K forecast, a massive miss. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, earnings cooled. Bitcoin pumped to 87.1k then dumped back to 84k. Oil crashed, which is dollar-negative and Bitcoin-positive. US is considering boots on ground in Iran after midterms, adding war risk. Inflation can erode the 40T debt, so hard assets remain the long-term play. Today is Saturday, liquidity is thin. Expect sideways with a bullish skew. ๐ NFP miss: 29K vs 89K. Dovish for dollar, bullish for Bitcoin. ๐ข Oil crashes: WTI -4%, Brent -2.6%. Dollar weakens. ๐ US considers Iran ground invasion after midterms. War premium persists. ๐ Strategy: Weekend liquidity is thin. Do not chase any move. If you are in profit, consider taking some off the table. If you are not positioned, wait for next week. Always manage risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
1. Follow the Trend! 2. If price moves up between $300 - $500 when NFP releases => LONG๐ 3. If price moves down between $300 - $500 when NFP releases => SHORT๐ 4. Don't be greedy, discipline Take Profits.
Data releases at 12:30 GMT. Check the data on the Economic Calendar here: investing. com/economic-calendar or Investing apps (Playstore/Appstore)
NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a Buy/Sell Signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
$BTC Outlook (GMT): ๐จ00:00โ09:00 โ Slow => Asian session. China holiday, thin liquidity. War rumours add caution. Bitcoin holds near 84.8k. ๐จ09:00โ11:00 โ Slow => London open. Markets wait for NFP. Range-bound. ๐ฉ11:00โ15:00 โ Up => US session. NFP release. Weak NFP expected, dovish for dollar, bullish for Bitcoin. Price may pump. ๐จ15:00โ18:00 โ Slow => Afternoon US session. Profit-taking may emerge after NFP spike. Sideways consolidation. ๐จ18:00โ00:00 โ Slow => Late US close. Sideways drift into the overnight. Bias: Bullish RSI: 64.31 NFA DYOR ๐ฅ Not a buy/sell signal๐ Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbedโ๏ธ
Yesterdayโs data showed Initial Jobless Claims flat, while S&P and ISM Manufacturing PMIs rose. DXY strengthened, but Bitcoin still held firm. That tells us the NFP will likely be weak, and Blackrock did not buy big on the eve of NFP. War rumours are escalating again, and a recession is now almost certain. Be careful: 2028 recession may be harder than the pandemic. Prepare yourself. Todayโs NFP is the key event. A weak print will weaken the dollar and support Bitcoin. A strong print would be a shock, but the broader fundamental story remains intact. ๐ Initial Jobless Claims flat, PMIs up. DXY up but Bitcoin resilient. ๐ NFP expected weak. Dovish for dollar, bullish for Bitcoin. ๐ข War rumours escalating. Recession risk for 2028. Stay alert. ๐ Strategy: Today is NFP day. Do not chase the initial spike. Wait for the data to settle. Manage risk, protect capital. The long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term volatility is high. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.