Warsh has just raised expectations for a September rate hike from about 40% to 62.6%, driving the 2Y Treasury yield higher sharply and putting pressure on risk assets.
But the market is splitting quite clearly:
• Gold -3%, Silver -4% as real yields rise • Nvidia -4.57%, AMD -2.3%, ARM down more than -6% • Amazon nearly +4%, Microsoft +1.68%, Google +1.74%, Meta up more than +1% • Elastic +19% as the AI story shifts from “burning money to buy GPUs” to “AI starts making money”
In simple terms: AI hardware is being sold off, while cloud and software are being viewed as “AI landlords.” Barclays estimates that for every $100 of revenue from AI model companies, about $35–45 flows into AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud—of which cloud providers can retain roughly $10–20 in operating profit.
This week also has a stack of catalysts:
Sep 1: Apple changes CEO, NIO earnings, and a surge in component price targets
TODAY’S MACRO WARNING: JAPAN’S BOND YIELD JUST HIT 3%
The yield on the Japanese government bond with a 10-year maturity has surpassed 3%, a level unseen in about 30 years. This is one of the most notable macro signals today, as markets face rising yield pressures and expectations of tighter monetary policy.
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said the government will continue to assess the economic and fiscal situation and the direction of interest rates to respond appropriately, but will avoid making specific commitments regarding interest-rate policy.
The point I care about most: BOJ + Fed becoming a variable for global liquidity at the same time. If Japanese yields continue to rise, pressure on the yen, bonds, and global capital flows could spill over into both equities and crypto.
This is the kind of news worth tracking today—not just another number in the bond market.
What do you think this yield spike will do to BTC in September?
Fogo has restarted the mainnet after the hack, and at the same time, the 237 million $fogo that were stolen have been recovered and removed permanently.
A total of 400M FOGO were affected; there are still 163M tokens that have not yet been reported as recovered.
I don’t know whether to call this recovery or crypto necromancy anymore. 😭 Hack, then rollback, burn tokens, restart mainnet — who’s still brave enough to jump in?
ETH SPOT ETF GHI RECORDS TOTAL $10.95M NET INFLOW ON THE DAY 1/9, EXTENDING A 12-DAY CONSECUTIVE STREAK WITH POSITIVE NET FLOWS. BlackRock ETHB leads with +$11.20M, Fidelity FETH +$4.81M. Although some other ETFs saw outflows, the entire Ethereum Spot ETF complex still ends the day with +$10.95M net inflow. #Ethereum✅ $ETH #etf #BrainrotCrypto
S&P + KAIKO JUST GAVE CRYPTO A BIGGER WALL STREET STAMP.
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kaiko have just announced the S&P Kaiko Digital Asset Indices — a set of digital asset indices with a shared brand.
Notable points:
• Combines S&P DJI’s existing crypto indices with Kaiko’s benchmarks and multi-asset indices. • Covers more than 4,000 reference levels and indices related to digital assets. • Kaiko handles crypto data infrastructure + market expertise. • S&P DJI handles licensing, global distribution, and benchmark administration. • Financial products that currently use Kaiko benchmarks can switch to the S&P Kaiko brand.
But the most important thing isn’t the addition of yet another index set.
This is a sign that crypto is being pulled deeper into benchmarking and TradFi’s financial infrastructure.
From:
Crypto index → Institutional benchmark → Financial products → Wall Street rails.
I think the next step is what’s really worth watching: as these benchmarks see wider adoption, crypto will increasingly look less like a “off-system” market and more like a standardized asset class for institutional capital flows.
Wall Street didn’t ape into crypto. They just gave it a spreadsheet and called it a benchmark. 💀
Do you think S&P Kaiko could become the standard benchmark for institutional crypto products in the next few years?
THE SEC IS FINALLY UPDATING RULES WRITTEN FOR THE 1970s
The SEC has just proposed a major overhaul of the regulations governing transfer agents—rules that have seen almost no significant updates since the late 1970s.
This time, the SEC wants to bring the regulations into the new era of blockchain, tokenized securities, smart contracts, and AI.
Transfer agents today are responsible for maintaining records of securities ownership and handling corporate actions. Under the new proposal, they would also need to account for:
• Blockchain data integrity • Token security • Automated systems and processes • Management of tokenized securities on a distributed ledger
Notably, SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce has also raised the question of whether future records could use digital wallet addresses alongside traditional identifying information.
This is no longer like a fringe crypto experiment.
Tokenized securities are gradually being integrated into the very infrastructure of the U.S. financial market.
The proposal is open for public comment for 60 days. If this regulation is approved, could tokenized TradFi become the next major crypto narrative?
BlackRock has just received 1,404.5 BTC from Coinbase Prime, worth approximately $109.35M, sending it to the IBIT wallet.
I don’t know if this is “buy the dip” or just buying the whole dip anymore. BlackRock is accumulating, and the rest of us are accumulating… until we liquidate. 💀
Is BlackRock preparing for another pump, or for another dump?
The U.S. Department of Commerce is putting official macroeconomic data onto the blockchain via Chainlink Data Feeds, with data sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
The indicators include:
Real GDP PCE Price Index Real Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers
Noteworthy point: this isn’t just a crypto story.
Official economic data can now be accessed by smart contracts and on-chain applications in a way that can be independently verified. Chainlink confirms this is part of its collaboration with the U.S. Department of Commerce to put government data on-chain.
I think this is the most interesting part: if RWA and DeFi want to scale, TradFi data has to go on-chain first.
If GDP, inflation, and other macroeconomic data can all become data feeds for smart contracts, what do you think the next big use case will be?
The UK National Crime Agency (NCA) froze more than $13.6 million in accounts at Barclays belonging to The Football Association Premier League Limited.
The money is believed to be the first payment under a four-year sponsorship deal between Sorare and the Premier League, announced in January 2023.
• 💰 Over $13.6M frozen • ⚽ The deal allows Sorare to issue NFT player cards for 20 Premier League clubs • 📅 The agreement runs until after the 2025–26 season • ⚖️ The freezing order was issued by Westminster Magistrates’ Court from January 2025 under the Proceeds of Crime Act • 🎰 Sorare is also facing a lawsuit from the UK Gambling Commission
A once-celebrated NFT deal—seen as a major step forward for crypto in football—has now surfaced in a case involving $13.6 million being frozen.
Crypto + football + NFTs + law enforcement = a combo no one bet on. 💀
Do you think this is just a separate legal issue for Sorare, or could it add pressure to the sports NFT model in general?
Strategy is buying Bitcoin again. But is the trend really back?
After about 10 weeks of pause, Strategy has bought an additional 4,603 BTC at an average price of $80,318, spending about $369.7M.
Total holdings now reach 845,050 BTC, with an average cost basis of around $75,412.
What’s more notable is the cash flow: • $369.7M → buying BTC • $151.8M → buying back STRC • $50.7M → STRC dividends • $30M → adding cash
Meanwhile, BTC has rebounded from around $62K to the $80K+ range, supported by Spot ETF inflows and spot demand.
But the problem is not that simple yet.
$81K–$86K is an important resistance zone. If BTC breaks through this area decisively and ETF inflows keep holding up, $90K–$95K could become the next target.
What if it gets rejected?
Strategy may have just bought the dip… near resistance. 💀
In my view, you need to look at 3 things: ETF flows, the likelihood of reclaiming $86K, and whether Strategy continues to buy steadily.
Is BTC starting a new trend, or is it merely bouncing within the $70K–$86K range?
Anthropic has just locked up another $35B in AI compute.
Anthropic has signed a $35 billion cloud deal with Lambda, a cloud provider backed by Nvidia, to expand computing capacity for Claude. Reuters confirmed the deal and said the facility in Texas has capacity of about 350 MW.
What’s notable is that Nvidia appears in almost every link in the chain: • Nvidia is an investor in Lambda • Lambda will deploy Nvidia GPUs in data centers • Nvidia is said to hold the lease for the data center • The data center is being developed by Hut 8 in Nueces County, Texas • Lambda provides computing capacity to Anthropic And this isn’t the only deal.
Just a few days earlier, Anthropic committed $45B over 6 years with Nscale to rent compute in West Virginia, using Nvidia Vera Rubin GPUs.
Anthropic is in an extremely expensive race to secure compute for Claude, especially as Claude Code and other AI products continue to drive demand.
$35B + $45B = $80B from just two recent cloud deals.
Nvidia is increasingly starting to look like something bigger than just a GPU company:
It sells the chips, backs the clouds, secures the capacity — and helps finance the AI infrastructure.
I think the most interesting question right now isn’t how much compute Anthropic will need.
It’s how much real revenue this AI infrastructure boom will generate to justify the hundreds of billions of dollars of capital flowing into it?
🚨 JUST IN: Another Solana DeFi protocol just got drained for ~$2.5M.
Aquifer AMM on Solana was attacked on August 31, causing losses of about $2.5M.
But Aquifer came up with a pretty… DeFi deal:
🏴☠️ The attacker returns at least 80% of the assets 💰 The attacker can keep up to 20% as a white-hat bounty ⏰ Deadline: 20:00 on September 3 ⚖️ If they comply, the project pledges not to pursue a civil lawsuit
Aquifer: “You can keep 20%.” Attacker: “Hmm… let me think.” 💀
After this incident, the question is: is a white-hat bounty really an effective way to recover funds after an exploit—or is it unintentionally turning the hack into a negotiation deal? 👀
Andreessen Horowitz is hiring Partner 20, Social Media Lead, Crypto for the crypto team.
This is a remote, full-time position, with a salary listed around $199K–$232K per year. a16z’s official careers page is still listing this role.
The interesting part is the requirements.
They want someone who is “extremely online,” understands crypto and internet culture, can create content independently and ship fast, but most importantly:
smart without being corporate, not cringe.
The job isn’t just managing X.
This role spans: • Podcast • Investment content • Events • Editorial • Memes • Short-form clips • Social strategy
a16z is also investing heavily in New Media as part of how it supports portfolio companies in building their brand and winning attention.
In other words:
VC firms are becoming media companies.
And in crypto, the ability to understand culture + attention + distribution may be turning into a skill that’s as valuable as traditional marketing.
$200K+ to become an “extremely online” person. Honestly, that's one hell of a job description.
Do you think a Crypto KOL/CT has the skills to jump into this role?
🚨 JUST IN: Spot Bitcoin & Ethereum ETFs are still pulling serious institutional attention.
According to SoSoValue data updated to 31/08/2026, the Spot ETF market is recording:
• Total net assets: ~$98.28B • Cumulative net inflow: ~$54.66B • Daily net inflow: +$10.8M • Trading volume for the day: ~$2.36B • More than 1.26M BTC are being held by these ETFs
For the BTC ETF, BlackRock IBIT continues to lead with about $1.88B volume in the most recent session.
For ETH, BlackRock ETHA is also leading with about $574.8M volume.
What’s notable is that crypto ETFs are not only growing in size but also diversifying products—from low-fee ETFs to staking ETFs and offerings from major financial institutions.
BlackRock: “Institutional adoption?” Crypto: “Finally, you guys made it.” 💀
Will BTC or ETH ETFs be the stronger channel for pulling in capital inflows in the period ahead? 👀