Ade_Krypt

$BTC Market Outlook

Bitcoin is steadily grinding higher and has now reached a key decision zone around 65k.

The last time price traded at this level, it was rejected and moved lower. I'm leaning toward a similar outcome unless $BTC can break and hold above the 65.2k–65.6k range.

A confirmed breakout above that resistance would invalidate the current bearish outlook, shift market structure to bullish, and likely trigger a wave of short liquidations. If that happens, BTC could rally toward the 67k–68k area over the coming days.

For now, I'm maintaining my short positions with clearly defined stop-loss levels above resistance. If price is rejected from this zone again, I expect increased volatility and a move toward 61.3k.

In short, Bitcoin is sitting at a major decision point. The next move will likely determine whether we see a drop to 61.3k or a breakout that pushes price into the 67k–68k mFVG zone.
#ChinaLaunchesBroadestTradeRetaliationOnUSFirms #ADPJulyPrivatePayrollsMissedExpectations

$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.

At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.

Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.

Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.

If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.

For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.

#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed

$BTC State of the Market & My View

Funding rates remain positive, while Coinbase is seeing heavy spot selling and its deepest discount in roughly two months. At the same time, Open Interest continues to rise.

Price is slowly bleeding lower as dip-buying longs continue getting squeezed.

For a short-term reversal, I’d want to see a proper long flush first , Open Interest dropping significantly and shorts beginning to cover.

ETF outflows also hit their highest level in weeks yesterday, and today looks like it could bring more selling pressure. That spot selling needs to slow down as well.

Right now, I’m seeing none of those conditions. So I’m staying patient and avoiding the long side until the market clears some of this leverage or gives us a proper liquidation candle.

For the bulls, $83K remains the key level to reclaim. Getting back above it could squeeze late shorts and trigger some relief. Daily closes above $83K would be especially important.

On the downside, $75K and $72K remain the main high-timeframe levels. The Daily 200MA/EMA and Bull Market Support Band are also sitting around that area, making it a region worth watching if this turns into a broader market reversal.

There’s nothing wrong with taking it easy after the incredible months we’ve had. Protecting your gains matters.

The biggest mistake is giving back what the market has already given you when conditions shift from easy mode to hard mode.

Sometimes the best trade is simply waiting.
#IMFSaysTokenizedMarketsSmall #FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause

$71.6M worth of U.S. government-linked $BTC just moved into Coinbase Prime addresses.

Naturally, the market immediately jumped to “sell.”

But the only thing we can confirm is that 833.6 BTC moved from government-linked wallets to two Coinbase Prime addresses.

Separately, $31.6M in seized $BNB also moved between unlabeled wallets.

I wouldn’t call either transaction confirmed selling pressure yet.

With current policy stating that forfeited BTC should remain in the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, wallet movements alone don’t tell us the full story.

We can see where the assets went onchain. But how much can we really infer about the intent behind the move?

#BinanceLaunchesBinanceIntelligence #WinklevossFilesSpotZcashETFApplication

$BTC next move:

Since Friday’s dump, Bitcoin has been grinding higher while traditional markets remain closed.

Looking beneath the price action, this move appears to be driven mainly by fresh perp longs entering the market, which isn’t the strongest signal.

I expect $BTC to push higher around the new weekly open, potentially retesting the golden Fibonacci level from the recent dump before resuming its bearish move.

My key downside targets are the liquidity clusters around $82.5K and $80K. I’ll look to use those levels to scale further into my existing swing long.

From a liquidity perspective, the setup makes sense. Most shorts were already flushed during last week’s sweep, and the current move is clearing out many of the remaining late shorts.

After that, I expect BTC to target the larger long liquidity clusters below before eventually continuing the broader uptrend.

The bull market remains intact. For me, every meaningful pullback is an opportunity to build further into my long position.
#SECHaltsCryptoETFReviewsAmidFundingLapse #FedOctoberRateHikeOddsFallTo17%

$BTC failed to hold the $84.5K low, triggering a small long flush.

We talked about this yesterday, and now we could see some weekend consolidation on Saturday, with more movement potentially coming on Sunday.

I’m staying out of positions over the weekend, but I’m already mapping out different Bitcoin scenarios for next week.

The downside move left two significant gaps, so we could see those areas get filled before any larger move lower.

If $BTC revisits the $85.7K–$86.7K region before testing $82K, I’ll be watching closely for potential short triggers.

$82K remains a valid POI for intraday or swing-long setups, especially as more liquidity continues building beneath the $82.5K lows.

Time to reset, recharge, and prepare for next week.
#CanaryFilesAmendedS1ForPEPEETF #FedOctoberRateHikeOddsFallTo17%

I’ve been using the Liberdus app, and what I like most is how simple everything feels.

Creating an account doesn’t require a phone number or email, so I can set up an identity without sharing unnecessary personal information.

The messaging experience is also straightforward. I can chat, join groups, share files, and communicate without depending on a traditional centralized account.

For me, Liberdus is a good example of how privacy and usability can work together. It feels familiar, but gives users more control over their digital identity and communication.

Still exploring it and seeing how the ecosystem develops.

$BTC $XRP $BNB #SECProposesCryptoCustodyRules #ICBASuesOCCOverCryptoBankCharters

$BTC is trading around $84,217, holding above the Trackline, while continuing to form higher lows. That’s starting to look interesting, but we’re not quite there yet.

Bitcoin is once again showing volatility shading, with price compressed inside the range I’ve been patiently staying away from. These conditions can often come before a strong move, and $BTC appears to be building toward another breakout attempt.

The Green Dot is also starting to flicker. I’m watching for a breakout above the yellow resistance zone, a Breakout Arrow from the shading, and confirmation from a few of my newer OS indicator signals.

If those signals align, the setup becomes much more compelling. I’ll keep you updated. And thanks for all the engagement lately , I genuinely enjoy replying to you guys
#EtherGains70.9%InQ3 #US10YearYieldNears5.3%

$BTC chose to sweep the range highs first.

As mentioned this morning, we were waiting for Bitcoin to pick a direction after liquidity built up around the range.

It went with the second scenario, taking the highs before moving toward the $82.5K lows.

That triggered the short toward $82.5K. If you’re in the trade, GG , you should already be risk-free with some profits secured.

Since the $82.5K lows remain untouched, I’d still like to see a sweep into the $82.2K area for potential longs.

Bitcoin often frontruns POIs when momentum is bullish, so I’ll be watching closely.

A test of $82.2K could offer a long setup. If we continue higher from here, I’ll look for a continuation entry.
#USADPAdds90000JobsInSeptember #SECToClarifyOnChainFundraisingRules

$BTC — Hourly Timeframe

Market update:

We front-ran the move once, and now I’m still watching for a move toward the weekly open.

I don’t see any attractive long setups here. My last long was stopped after TP1, so I’m more interested in trading the midrange toward the range high.

Why? We just deviated below the range low. Usually, that can set up a move toward the opposite side of the range. However, there’s also a chance this isn’t a true range and price is instead forming a downtrend channel, with lower lows potentially coming next. Given the broader bearish bias, that wouldn’t surprise me.

For that reason, I’d rather wait for confirmation and look for trades from midrange toward the range high/deviation, or potentially consider shorts around the range high or even midrange, instead of forcing a long.

The main job was already done with the higher-timeframe shorts from $83K, taking TP along the way.

For me, new opportunities become more interesting if price trades higher from here, unless we get a strong pullback at the right time of day.

Overall, the plan is simple: trade the range if it continues to behave like one, but stay flexible.

A range should be traded in both directions when the structure allows it. I’m still watching for that, but I’m also keeping an open mind that price may not reach the range highs as optimistically expected.
$BTC #BitMineETHHoldingsTop6Million #StrategyAdds1666BTCHoldingsReach847666

$BTC is facing rejection beneath a strong sell wall.

The first resistance zone sits around $85.2K–$85.8K, with another major supply area near $87K–$88K.

For now, Bitcoin is undergoing a correction.

$84K remains the key level to defend.

Holding $84K and reclaiming $85.8K could set up another move toward $87K–$88K.

Lose $84K, and the pullback could extend further.
#BitwiseFilesFinalNEARSpotETFProspectus #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening

$BTC has absorbed billions in ETF inflows and still can’t break free from the $84K area.

That may be the most interesting part of the market right now.

US spot ETFs attracted roughly $2.65B over five sessions, while the 10Y Treasury yield climbed above 5.2%, its highest level since 2007.

$BTC has essentially been caught between both forces, hovering around $84K after briefly falling below $83K.

To me, this is a more meaningful test of ETF demand than watching inflows during a straightforward risk-on environment.

There’s clearly strong demand underneath BTC, but investors suddenly have a 5%+ alternative in Treasuries.

So far, neither side has taken control.

The bigger question is: how much ETF buying will BTC need before bond-market moves stop having such a strong influence?
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo

On the lower timeframes, $BTC is still struggling to regain acceptance toward the range highs.

For the bullish move to continue, reclaiming $85K remains the key first step.

As I mentioned yesterday, $81K–$83K is the liquidity zone I expect price to revisit before making another attempt at the highs.

Bitcoin has already started sweeping that area overnight, but until $85K is reclaimed, I’m watching $81.5K and the previous range breakout for a potential retest.

If that level holds, another leg higher could begin.

If it fails, a move back into the $70Ks becomes possible.
#BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #US30YearYieldHighestSince2004

$BTC has been moving higher for almost four weeks now, and a lot of people seem to expect the rally to continue without any meaningful correction.

But remember, the narrative of an October bottom was being pushed heavily around the lows and throughout this entire move higher. Now that the rally has pushed bears into extreme despair, I wouldn’t be surprised to see some kind of pullback heading into October.

Looking at the downside liquidity, there’s a lot sitting below. Bulls are heavily positioned, greed is elevated, and markets rarely move in a straight line when sentiment gets this one-sided.

A healthy correction could shake out overleveraged bulls before the next major move higher.

Don’t lose sight of the bigger picture. Pullbacks can create better entries for longs and opportunities to accumulate more spot.

Wishing everyone prosperity and, as always, trade safely.
#AIStocksWhatNext #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP

Breaking the $83K swing pivot doesn’t mean $BTC can never trade below $83K again.

We saw a similar setup after the 2022 bottom. Bitcoin broke the final lower high near $21K, signaling a shift in the bearish market structure, but later revisited that level.

The importance of reclaiming $83K was never about creating an untouchable support level.

It was about breaking the pattern of lower highs and lower lows that defined the previous bear market.

Bitcoin can still retest $83K or even dip below it without automatically returning to a bear market.

The key is whether it begins forming a new sustained sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15%

$BTC COULD BE SETTING UP FOR A MAJOR BULL TRAP.

Bitcoin is back near the $84K resistance zone that has rejected price multiple times, and this setup looks increasingly risky.

Sentiment is turning bullish again, while the broader macro picture remains uncertain. Liquidity is tightening, rate hikes are back on the table, and we still haven’t seen the kind of fear-driven event that often accompanies a major macro bottom.

Even if $BTC pushes above resistance, I’d remain cautious about calling it a confirmed breakout. A liquidity sweep above $83K–$85K could still turn into a trap.

Below, the $69K–$72K FVG remains an important imbalance, followed by major liquidity around $60K and the previous range lows.

My current roadmap:

$83K–$85K sweep → $70K FVG → $60K → ~$54K macro bottom.

The key is staying disciplined while everyone else becomes increasingly bullish.

I’ll continue tracking major macro events and market developments daily, so follow and turn on notifications to stay updated.
#XRPRises8% #ZetaChainVotesToMigrateZETAToSolana

BITCOIN MAY BE ENTERING ANOTHER BULL TRAP

$BTC is now approaching the $82K–$83K resistance zone, an area where previous breakouts have repeatedly failed.

My outlook remains unchanged:

$78K → $70K → $62K → Bottom → $90K+

I’m still watching the $60K–$62K region as a potential bottom area before the next major move higher.

Stay patient, manage your risk, and don’t let leverage turn volatility into a costly mistake.

Bookmark this and revisit it later.
#BOJRaisesRatesTo31YearHigh #BTCBreaks80K

$BTC is showing serious strength during the NY session.

Bitcoin is pushing higher even as DXY strengthens, which means BTC is absorbing the dollar’s strength. That’s a notable sign of relative strength, and I like seeing this kind of aggressive price action.

Price has now reached my short POI, but there’s no trigger, so there’s no trade.

I understand the range-high thesis and why a short could make sense after a confirmed bearish trigger. If you’re taking that setup, I’d treat it as a short-term exhaustion trade against the trend. Wait for clear signs of exhaustion and a proper bearish confirmation.

Since the move toward $82K two weeks ago, my main focus has been finding quality long entries. $BTC has continued showing strength against DXY, suggesting buyers remain firmly in control.

This week already gave us two solid long opportunities. If you’re holding longs from good entries, I’d consider leaving a portion open as a runner.

The ideal scenario would be a clean breakout above the range high, followed by some consolidation and another opportunity to build longs at higher levels.

Stay reactive, manage risk properly, and adjust as market conditions change.

For now, let those longs do the heavy lifting. Have a great weekend ahead!
#BTCBreaks80K #比特币突破8万

$BTC pumped to $78K and reached our final long target.

Very clean PA on Bitcoin. You can see how buyers and sellers were manipulated to fuel the move higher.

Jobless claims came in bearish → initial trap move up → sweep to wipe out early buyers and induce sellers → strong move higher that cleared out sellers while leaving late buyers behind.

If you’re not familiar with this inducement game, you’ll probably get chopped up. Better to wait for clear confirmation.

This week gave us 2 clean long entries that played out nicely. My hedge short got stopped, but the long more than compensated, which is exactly how I approach hedging.

For today, we already had a strong pump and are now retesting a HTF short POI.

After a move like this, I’m only interested in local shorts after a clear trigger.

The untouched wick remains a valid POI. I like the $78.6K–$78.8K region, but if the trigger comes earlier, I’m fine with taking it there.

I’m not chasing longs locally. My first intraday long POI would be a retest of the gap around $76.9K.

Overall, a very solid week.
#HKMAPlansWholesaleCBDCByYearEnd #BOJHikesRatesTo31YearHigh