Insight EN

Yemen's Houthis said they attacked King Khalid airport in Riyadh with three cruise missiles.

The claim comes as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz keep rising, with Iran pressing its leverage over shipping lanes and the US tightening its maritime embargo.

Gulf airspace and energy shipping routes are back in focus for oil traders.

$BTC $ETH #oil #iran

Markets sank across the board on Tuesday as hot October CPI (+0.4% month on month, core +0.3%) cemented bets on a December Fed hike.

The S&P 500 fell 0.38% to 7,520.93, the Nasdaq lost 0.74% to 25,065.87, gold dropped about 2.6% to near $4,026, and Bitcoin slipped toward $73,800.

Nvidia fell another 5.5% after CEO Jensen Huang admitted to an affair and the board opened an independent investigation into whether he was targeted by a foreign intelligence effort. Microsoft briefly passed Nvidia as the world's second-most valuable company during the session, before Nvidia closed ahead again.

CME FedWatch now prices a 90% chance of a 25bp hike in December.

#cpiwatch $BTC $NVDA #fed

Chorshanba kuni ikki yo‘nalishda keskinlik kuchaydi: AQSh va Eron o‘rtasidagi qarama-qarshilik yanada keskinlashdi, Rossiya esa Qora dengizda yuk kemasiga hujum qilganini bildirdi.
Eronning yuqori lavozimli xavfsizlik rasmiysi Tehron yadroviy energiyada ishlaydigan harbiy kemalar va suvosti kemalarini ishlab chiqayotganini hamda boyitilgan yadro materiallaridan foydalanish imkoniga muhtojligini aytdi. U AQSh Eronga hujum qilsa, Tehron mintaqadan ancha uzoqda joylashgan Amerika bazalariga — jumladan, Amerika samolyotlari uchadigan Yevropa mamlakatlaridagi AQSh bazalariga ham — zarba berishini ogohlantirdi.
Rasmiyga ko‘ra, Rossiya prezidenti Eron rasmiysiga Vashingtonga Eron «ag‘darib tashlash mumkin bo‘lgan mamlakat emasligini» ta’kidlaganini aytgan.
Keskinlikning kuchayishi Qora dengizdan Hormuz bo‘g‘ozigacha bo‘lgan energiya tashish yo‘llarida yuz bergan bir qator hodisalarga qo‘shildi.
$BTC $ETH #iran #russia

Fed officials split on Tuesday over how much more tightening the US economy needs — and AI emerged as a new inflation factor.
Hawks led: Governor Waller said the Fed may need stronger action if inflation clearly beats expectations, while Kansas City chief Schmid called current rates 'quite loose'. The 10-year yield topped 5% after hot October CPI (+0.4% month on month).
Vice Chair Barr struck a cooler note: he forecast core PCE at 3.3% year on year for October, driven by energy prices and AI demand, and warned the benefits of more tightening must be weighed against the costs.
Bowman said the Fed is gathering data on counterparties tied to AI-driven debt, while Barr expects core PCE near the 2% target next year as the AI building boom and Middle East tensions ease.
CME FedWatch put a December hike at 88.5% for 25bp and 11.5% for 50bp, with no chance of a hold.
$BTC $ETH #cpiwatch #fed

Binance Futures Listing: $NU and $FRHC Perpetuals

Binance Futures will launch USDⓈ-margined perpetual contracts:

• $NU — NUUSDT, 12 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC, up to 20x leverage
• $FRHC — FRHCUSDT, 12 Nov 2026, 09:45 UTC, up to 20x leverage

Both contracts track US-listed equities — Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NU) and Freedom Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: FRHC) — settle in USDT, trade 24/7, and support Multi-Assets Mode.

Note: a Futures listing does not guarantee a Spot listing.

#Binance #Futures

Binance Futures is listing two new USD-margined perpetual contracts today: HYPEUSDC launches at 09:30 UTC and TRXUSDC at 09:35 UTC, both with up to 75x leverage. The contracts are USDC-settled and trade 24/7, with Multi-Assets Mode supported. Futures copy trading opens within 24 hours of launch.
$HYPE $TRX

An oil tanker caught fire after hitting a mine in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state media reported on Tuesday — the latest in a series of incidents in the strait.
Ukraine's foreign minister urged Washington to speed up deliveries of defensive ammunition as Russia keeps striking energy infrastructure, and warned war costs will rise further in 2027 without long-term funding commitments from allies.
At trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi — the first direct Russia–US–Ukraine meeting in nine months — Kyiv said a face-to-face Zelensky–Putin meeting could speed an end to the war, and tabled ceasefire proposals for the Black Sea and energy.
Zelensky, visiting Denmark, said Europe should join the talks on ending the war and on security guarantees.
$BTC $ETH #geopolitics #ukraine

Fed official Logan says the Fed may raise rates faster than before this winter — at least two more hikes, 25bp each.
Logan adds that moving step by step can reduce the risk of the economy slowing more than necessary.
The remarks follow October CPI that ran hotter than expected: the 10-year yield hit 4.99%, and markets now price at least two hikes by mid-2027, with a 50bp December move back on the table.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

US October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month (vs 0.3% expected); core CPI rose 0.3% (vs 0.2%) — both hotter than forecast, and the last CPI print before the Fed's December 8–9 meeting.
The 50bp December hike is back on the table: core CPI hit the 0.3% threshold Governor Waller flagged, and analyst Ira Jersey says a 50bp move would make another hike in March extremely likely.
Fed watcher Nick Timiraos notes core CPI has run near 0.3% for three straight months, with the three-month annualized rate at 3.75% versus 1.6% in July.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

🛢️ Saudi East-West Pipeline Targeted in Medina Region

Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry said the East-West (Petroline) pipeline in the Medina region was targeted on Monday, Nov 9. A limited fire was extinguished, with no injuries and pipeline operations unaffected, according to the ministry (via SPA).

The pipeline carries crude from Saudi Arabia's eastern fields to the Red Sea export terminal at Yanbu, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz — a key route for Saudi crude to reach the Red Sea.

Attacks on energy infrastructure remain a live risk for oil markets. Watch crude at the open — and US CPI, Tue, Nov 10, 13:30 UTC.

#oil #geopolitics

📅 Economic Calendar Spotlight: Key Events Ahead!

Here are the high-impact macro events to watch this week:

🇺🇸 Tue, Nov 10, 13:30 UTC – US CPI, Oct (Forecast: +0.3% m/m, Previous: +0.6%)
🇺🇸 Tue, Nov 10, 13:30 UTC – US Core CPI, Oct (Forecast: +0.2% m/m, Previous: +0.3%)
🇺🇸 Thu, Nov 12, 13:30 UTC – US Initial Jobless Claims (Forecast: 195K, Previous: 189K)
🇺🇸 Thu, Nov 12, 15:00 UTC – US Existing Home Sales, Oct (Forecast: 3.85–3.98M, Previous: 3.99M)
🇺🇸 Fri, Nov 13, 13:30 UTC – US PPI, Oct (Forecast: +0.4% m/m, Previous: +1.3%)

October CPI is the week's main event — the last inflation read before the Fed's Dec 9 decision. Note: BLS will not publish year-over-year CPI this time, as Oct 2025 prices were never collected. With December hike odds around 75–80%, the monthly core print is the number to watch.

#fed #cpiwatch

24H Crypto Liquidations Top $1B as Bitcoin Hits 11-Week Low

Nov 7 (UTC): Over $1.05B in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24h (CoinGlass), mostly longs (~$930M). About 199,000 traders were affected. $BTC accounted for ~$267M, $ETH ~$167M. The largest single liquidation was a $10.94M ETHUSDT position on Binance.

$BTC briefly fell below $75,000, an 11-week low, while $ETH dropped to $2,237, a 10-week low. The flush followed a broader tech selloff and ~$430M in spot $BTC ETF outflows. $BTC has since steadied near $75,760 (Nov 8, 03:00 UTC).

Not investment advice.
#Bitcoin #Liquidations #Crypto

**US unemployment fell to 4.1% in October, and spot gold dropped more than $30 an ounce to $4,042.** 📉

The Bureau of Labor Statistics report beat expectations on two fronts. The jobless rate came in below the 4.2% forecast and the 4.2% prior reading.

Revisions added to the strength:
- August payrolls were revised from +133K to +186K.
- September payrolls were revised from +29K to +60K.
- Together that is 84K more jobs than first reported.

Strong data matters here because the Fed raised rates on Sept 16, its first hike since 2023, under Chair Kevin Warsh. A tight labor market gives the Fed room to keep going. Short-term rate futures fell after the release, and traders added bets on another hike in December.

Gold doesn't pay yield, so higher-for-longer rates hurt it first. Canada went the other way: its unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high, which shows a growing split between the two economies.

For $BTC , a December hike would mean tighter liquidity and a stronger dollar, which usually pressures risk assets. My view is that the revisions matter more than the headline, because they show the labor market was stronger than the Fed thought when it hiked. Will the next CPI print confirm a December hike?

#NFP #Fed #InterestRates

The Bank of England just hiked for the first time since August 2023. 🇬🇧

On 5 November, the BoE raised rates by 25bp, from 3.75% to 4.00%, in line with market expectations. MPC member Mann wanted more and voted for a 50bp hike to 4.25%. GBP/USD jumped over 30 pips to 1.3468.

The growth upgrade matters as much as the hike:
- 2026 GDP forecast: 1.6% (July: 1.1%)
- 2027: 1.3% (July: 1.1%)
- 2028: 1.2% (July: 1.7%)

A stronger near-term outlook gives the BoE room to keep tightening. The Fed already raised rates on 16 September, so two major central banks are now moving the same way.

For $BTC , this is another sign that global liquidity is tightening, not easing. My read: the 50bp dissent is the detail to watch. If more members join Mann, the market will price a faster path.

Does crypto keep holding up if more central banks follow?

#BankOfEngland #InterestRates #GBP

AQShda ADP bo‘yicha oktyabr oyidagi bandlik ko‘rsatkichi 8.6 ni tashkil etdi — bu 6.9 lik prognozdan ancha yuqori. Avvalgi 9 ko‘rsatkichidan esa biroz past. 📊

Bozor sekinlashuvni kutgandi, ammo e’lon qilingan ko‘rsatkich prognozdan taxminan 1.7 punktga yuqori chiqdi. Ishga yollash hozircha barqaror, lekin tezlashmayapti.

Fed 16/09 kuni foiz stavkalarini oshirdi — bu 2023-yildan beri ilk oshirish bo‘ldi. Mehnat bozorining barqarorligi Fed raisi Kevin Warsh jamoasiga tanaffus qilish uchun kamroq asos beradi. Stavkalarni pasaytirish umidlari esa ortga surilmoqda.

Bozorlar uchun bandlik ko‘rsatkichining yuqori chiqishi odatda AQSh dollarini va G‘aznachilik obligatsiyalari daromadliligini qo‘llab-quvvatlaydi. Shuningdek, oltin va daromad keltirmaydigan boshqa aktivlarga bosim o‘tkazadi.

Kripto bozorida $BTC likvidlikka ta’sirchan. Foiz stavkalarining uzoqroq vaqt yuqori saqlanishi tavakkal qilish ishtiyoqiga salbiy ta’sir qiladi, ammo avvalgi ko‘rsatkichga bunchalik yaqin raqam kutilmagan holat emas. Menimcha, ADP ma’lumotlarining o‘zi Fed qaroriga ta’sir qilmaydi. Haqiqiy sinov — rasmiy bandlik hisoboti.

Agar navbatdagi bandlik ma’lumotlari bu kuchli holatni tasdiqlasa, Fed stavkani o‘zgarishsiz qoldiradimi yoki yana oshiradimi, deb o‘ylaysiz?

#ADP #Fed #Bitcoin

Eurozone inflation just hit 4% year on year, and it was exactly what the market expected. 🔴

The preliminary October CPI estimate shows:
- Annual rate: 4.0% (forecast 4.0%, September 3.8%)
- Monthly rate: 0.4% (forecast 0.4%, September 0.6%)

No surprise on the headline, so the details matter more. Annual inflation is still climbing, but monthly momentum cooled from 0.6% to 0.4%. That mix says price pressure is not accelerating, yet it is not fading either.

For markets, an in-line print keeps the ECB under pressure without forcing a new move. A 4% reading is far from comfortable for the euro area, and it lands after the Fed raised rates on 16/09. Bond yields and the euro will react to how the ECB reads the 3.8% to 4.0% drift.

For crypto, this is a "higher for longer" signal across major central banks. Tight policy usually drains liquidity from risk assets like $BTC , so I would watch the dollar and yields before expecting any relief rally.

My take: the slowing monthly figure is the only soft spot, and one month proves little. Will the November print confirm the cooling?

#Inflation #ECB #CPI

The RBA just pushed its cash rate to 4.85%, the highest since November 2008. 🇦🇺

On Nov 3, the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked 25 bps from 4.60%. That matched market expectations exactly, so the number itself was no surprise.

Why it matters: this is an 18-year high, and Australia is not moving alone. The Fed raised rates on Sept 16, its first hike since 2023. Two major central banks tightening within weeks of each other suggests the easing cycle is over for now.

For markets, an in-line hike is already priced in. The real signal is direction: higher yields support AUD and keep global liquidity tight, which tends to weigh on risk assets.

For crypto, this is another headwind for $BTC . Tighter money makes leveraged and speculative positions more expensive to hold. My watch item: whether other central banks follow, because synchronized tightening would hurt more than any single hike.

Does this make you more cautious on risk into year-end? 📉

#RBA #InterestRates #AUD

Yaponiya banki kengashidagi bir qarshi ovozdan keyinoq bozor keyin nima bo‘lishini so‘ray boshladi 🇯🇵

BOJ so‘nggi yig‘ilishida kutilganidek, asosiy stavkani 1,25% darajasida o‘zgarishsiz qoldirdi. Ovozlar 8 ga 1 bo‘ldi, kengash a’zosi Takeda Soh qarshi ovoz berdi. 25 bazis punktlik oshirish amalga oshirilgan avvalgi yig‘ilishda ovozlar 7 ga 2 bo‘lgan edi.

Nega bu muhim: BOJ asosiy inflyatsiya narxlar bo‘yicha maqsadiga mos darajaga yetganini aytdi. Shuningdek, 2027-moliya yili uchun bazaviy CPI prognozini iyuldagi 2,4% dan 2,6% ga oshirdi. 2026-moliya yili uchun prognoz 2,5%, 2028-moliya yili uchun esa 2,0% darajasida qoldi. Inflyatsiyaning prognozdan oshib ketish xavfiga alohida e’tibor qaratish kerakligi haqida ogohlantirdi.

Bozorlar uchun bu — o‘zgarishsiz qoldirilgan stavka, ammo ohangi qat’iyroq. Eng avvalo, iyena va Yaponiya davlat obligatsiyalari daromadliligini kuzatish kerak, chunki stavka yana oshirilishiga oid har qanday ishora global likvidlikni qisqartiradi. Bu esa allaqachon 16/09 kuni stavkalarni oshirgan Fed siyosatiga qo‘shimcha bosim bo‘ladi.

Kriptovalyutalar borasida fikrimcha, bu hozircha katalizator emas, balki $BTC uchun xavf. BOJ siyosatining tezroq qat’iylashishi iyenaga asoslangan carry-trade pozitsiyalarining yopilishi haqidagi xavotirlarni qayta kuchaytiradi. Keyingi yig‘ilishdagi ovozlar taqsimotini kuzating: qarshi ovozlar soni oshsa, stavka o‘zgarishsiz qolishiga baribir ishonasizmi?

#BOJ #InterestRates #JPY

Yevropa Markaziy banki prezidenti Kristin Lagard xodimlar va Yevropa Kengashi prezidenti António Kostaga 2027-yil 7-fevral kuni lavozimidan ketishini rasman ma’lum qildi. Shu bilan birga, yevro hududida oktyabr oyidagi iqtisodiy kayfiyat ko‘rsatkichi 97,5 kutilgan darajaga nisbatan 96,9 ga tushdi, xizmatlar PMI sekinlashdi, sanoat ishlab chiqarishi esa biroz yaxshilanib, -3,4 ni tashkil etdi.

Rahbariyat almashinuvi bo‘yicha ushbu muddat nozik makroiqtisodiy davrda Yevropa pul-kredit siyosatidagi o‘tish jarayoniga tizimli aniqlik kiritadi. Iqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlarning aralash manzarasi Yevropada turg‘unlik xavfi saqlanib qolayotganini ko‘rsatib, rahbariyat almashinuvi yaqinlashar ekan, ECBning kelgusi foiz stavkalari yo‘li haqidagi bozordagi bahslarni kuchaytirmoqda.

Xizmatlar va kayfiyat ko‘rsatkichlarining sustligi yevroga bosim o‘tkazgani, Yevropa obligatsiyalari daromadliligi esa pasaygani sababli an’anaviy moliya bozorlari ehtiyotkorona munosabat bildirdi. Bozorlar kelajakdagi markaziy bank rahbariyati davrida pul-kredit siyosatini yumshatish yo‘nalishini baholar ekan, valyuta o‘zgaruvchanligi saqlanib qolishi kutilmoqda.

Kripto bozori uchun Yevropadagi iqtisodiy sustlik $BTC kabi muqobil likvid aktivlarni izlashni kuchaytiradi. Markaziy banklar siyosatidagi tarkibiy tafovutlarning davom etishi odatda raqamli aktivlarni qabul qilishni rag‘batlantiradi, chunki investorlar fiat valyutalarga bosim kuchayayotgan bir paytda xatarlarni himoyalash imkoniyatlarini izlaydi. #ECB #Eurozone #MacroEconomy

Binance Futures $MELIUSDT doimiy shartnomasini ishga tushirmoqchi. 🚀 #Binance #MELI #Fyucherslar