#103
103
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5.7% in seven days. That’s the drop $JUP just took, while the broader market edged up 1.3%.
Does your bag hold a chunk of that? If so, you’re watching a coin that’s falling hard in the short term, even as the rest of the crypto world moves sideways.
It’s not the first time this has happened.
Coins can fall out of favor quickly, especially when the broader trend is quiet.
But when a coin moves that far in one week without a clear reason, it’s worth asking - what’s being traded here?
This isn’t a call to buy or sell - just a note that JUP is moving, and it’s moving fast.
What that means for your position? That’s your call.
—
Not financial advice. DYOR.
📌 Hotspot Watch · #103 · #CryptoTrends #CryptoSighted $JUP
Does your bag hold a chunk of that? If so, you’re watching a coin that’s falling hard in the short term, even as the rest of the crypto world moves sideways.
It’s not the first time this has happened.
Coins can fall out of favor quickly, especially when the broader trend is quiet.
But when a coin moves that far in one week without a clear reason, it’s worth asking - what’s being traded here?
This isn’t a call to buy or sell - just a note that JUP is moving, and it’s moving fast.
What that means for your position? That’s your call.
—
Not financial advice. DYOR.
📌 Hotspot Watch · #103 · #CryptoTrends #CryptoSighted $JUP
Contract Quant Brief #103｜The pullback continuation is still here, but I’d rather wait for a retracement; I don’t want to chase during the stretch
Today I’m sticking to the same approach: the funding rate isn’t out of control. What matters isn’t “who’s pumping the hardest,” but whether the trend hasn’t broken and whether dips can be bought and held. Right now I’ll first look at RIFUSDT; EDGE is second, but I won’t chase. LDO is only for backup observation.
Top candidates
1）RIFUSDT
This one is the most like trend-following continuation. In the 6-hour chart there’s continuation, and the 1-hour chart still hasn’t shown clear signs of going bad. OI is rising, and the funding rate is light—more like it’s not being pushed purely by emotional squeeze.
Observation zone: 0.1330—0.1338
Trigger condition: After a retracement, it reclaims/holds above 0.1350, then we see whether it can continue expanding
Invalidation condition: Falls back below 0.1325; if the retracement can’t be recovered, I’ll give up for now
I’ll first see if it can hold the area around the 20-day moving average. Holding it would suggest there’s room for a second push higher.
2）EDGEUSDT
The upside move has been very strong, but the 1h / 6h charts are already starting to diverge. OI keeps expanding, which implies very fast turnover inside. For that reason, I’m more willing to wait—I don’t want to chase during the extension phase.
Observation zone: 0.372—0.380
Trigger condition: After a retracement, it doesn’t break below 0.372 and then reclaims above 0.395
Invalidation condition: A break below 0.365—this would indicate the high-level turnover isn’t being taken up
You might miss the entry cost, but the prerequisite is that it first washes out the divergence; otherwise it’s easy to chase into high-volatility swings.
Backup watch / Not chasing for now:
LDOUSDT—volume and OI are still okay, but the pace is slower than the first two; adding it to the watchlist is enough for now.
Risk warning: Today is better for waiting for confirmation, not for chasing just because it’s rallying. If the retracement breaks the level, do less rather than force it—don’t hold on stubbornly.
Today I’m sticking to the same approach: the funding rate isn’t out of control. What matters isn’t “who’s pumping the hardest,” but whether the trend hasn’t broken and whether dips can be bought and held. Right now I’ll first look at RIFUSDT; EDGE is second, but I won’t chase. LDO is only for backup observation.
Top candidates
1）RIFUSDT
This one is the most like trend-following continuation. In the 6-hour chart there’s continuation, and the 1-hour chart still hasn’t shown clear signs of going bad. OI is rising, and the funding rate is light—more like it’s not being pushed purely by emotional squeeze.
Observation zone: 0.1330—0.1338
Trigger condition: After a retracement, it reclaims/holds above 0.1350, then we see whether it can continue expanding
Invalidation condition: Falls back below 0.1325; if the retracement can’t be recovered, I’ll give up for now
I’ll first see if it can hold the area around the 20-day moving average. Holding it would suggest there’s room for a second push higher.
2）EDGEUSDT
The upside move has been very strong, but the 1h / 6h charts are already starting to diverge. OI keeps expanding, which implies very fast turnover inside. For that reason, I’m more willing to wait—I don’t want to chase during the extension phase.
Observation zone: 0.372—0.380
Trigger condition: After a retracement, it doesn’t break below 0.372 and then reclaims above 0.395
Invalidation condition: A break below 0.365—this would indicate the high-level turnover isn’t being taken up
You might miss the entry cost, but the prerequisite is that it first washes out the divergence; otherwise it’s easy to chase into high-volatility swings.
Backup watch / Not chasing for now:
LDOUSDT—volume and OI are still okay, but the pace is slower than the first two; adding it to the watchlist is enough for now.
Risk warning: Today is better for waiting for confirmation, not for chasing just because it’s rallying. If the retracement breaks the level, do less rather than force it—don’t hold on stubbornly.
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