BTC dominance is Bitcoin's share of the total crypto market cap.
High dominance (58%+) = Risk-off. Money hiding in BTC. Alts underperforming. Falling dominance = Risk-on. Money rotating into alts. Alt season potential.
During bear markets, dominance usually rises. BTC seen as safer. During alt seasons, dominance drops as alts outperform.
Track dominance to know when to hold BTC vs when to rotate to alts.
Since 2011, Bitcoin has survived 5 drawdowns exceeding 70% and still delivered over 200x to patient holders.
→ Glassnode data shows long-term holder supply hit all-time highs during the 2022 bear market. Smart money accumulates when prices are boring. → Missing just the 10 best days in Bitcoin over any 4-year window cuts total returns by more than 60%. Time in market beats timing. → The average crypto bear market lasts 12-18 months while bull cycles run 24-36 months. Compounding happens across full cycles, not single quarters. → Watch MVRV and SOPR for context. Historically, long-term holder profit plus short-term holder capitulation marks accumulation zones. Use them as guides, not triggers.
The market rewards those who endure the uncomfortable middle. Hold based on data, not emotion. The next cycle will not wait for a perfect entry.
Pengingat singkat: Tingkat pendanaan positif yang tinggi berarti posisi long membayar posisi short. Tingkat negatif yang tinggi berarti sebaliknya. Waspadai nilai ekstrem.
Institusi tidak sedang membeli saat harga turun. Mereka membangun posisi untuk puluhan tahun.
→ AUM ETF Bitcoin melampaui $60 miliar dalam hitungan bulan 🔸 Dana pensiun dan dana abadi diam-diam menambah alokasi → Para investor besar sudah bergerak. Kebanyakan orang belum menyadarinya. → Volume kontrak berjangka Bitcoin CME mencapai rekor tertinggi
Kini, setiap institusi keuangan besar punya strategi kripto. Bagaimana denganmu?