fed

$BTC
🚨🚨 Current financial market forecasts indicate a 97.1% probability that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 25 basis points this coming December

This high figure does not reflect arbitrary speculation; rather, it is anchored in clear economic indicators—including recent inflation data, employment levels, and statements from Fed officials leaning towards monetary tightening to curb inflation and bring it back down to the targeted 2% level

$ETH

​From a practical standpoint, this decision carries direct implications for the markets. It means an additional rise in borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, continued pressure on risk assets, and, conversely, higher yields on fixed-income instruments and the US dollar

The markets have now almost fully priced in this decision, meaning that the true focus is no longer solely on the 25-basis-point increment, but rather on the future signals and guidance the Fed will provide regarding the interest rate trajectory throughout the coming year

$SOL
#Fed #KevinWarshDisclosed

$XRP
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:

the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening

Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth

$BTC

​Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump

But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes

$UNI
#Fed

🚨 SHOCKING: FED RATE HIKE FEARS EXPLODE! MARKETS BRACE FOR A MAJOR MOVE IN DECEMBER!

According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!

Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!

$BTC $XRP $XAG

#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?

The 50-point hike panic lasted about a day.

Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.

And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%

But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.

So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.

Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.

Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?

$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI

Not financial advice.

🔥 Hot CPI = December Hike Almost Confirmed. But Is The Fear Already Priced In?

October CPI just changed everything.

Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.

Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.

For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.

That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.

But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:

Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.

The real question is NOT December. The real question is:

Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?

If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.

So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:

1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes

Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.

Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?

Drop your view 👇

#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

⚠️🇺🇸#FED #CPI
CME FedWatch: After the inflation report, bets began to rise that the Fed will raise rates by 0.5% in December

WSJ: The Fed will choose between a 0.5% and 0.25% increase in December

Goldman: The Fed may continue raising rates in 2027

🚨 BREAKING: 90% CHANCE OF A FED RATE HIKE IN DECEMBER!

A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.

1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.

2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.

3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.

So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.

Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.

$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL

#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed

Educational only, not financial advice.

🚨 CORE CPI HIT WALLER'S 0.3% LINE, 50BP NOW ON THE TABLE

October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.

Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).

Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.

Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.

🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.

My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.

👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.

Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.

December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻

Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI

The CPI number that shook the market — in plain words.

Bitcoin now $73,350 (-2.0% in 24h), day low $72,727 — an 11-week low.

US inflation for October came in at +0.4%. Markets expected +0.3%. Core inflation was +0.3% vs +0.2% expected.

Small miss, big reaction:
• Over $632M in crypto positions got liquidated, most of them longs
• A December Fed hike is now priced as certain — the only question is 25 or 50 points
• Odds of a 50-point hike jumped from 1% to 15% after the number
• There was no yearly inflation number at all — the shutdown stopped the data collection

Why 50 is even on the table: Fed governor Waller said before the release that core at +0.3% or more could justify it. Core came in at exactly +0.3%.

This is also the last CPI the Fed sees before its December 8–9 meeting. So the market went from hoping for rate cuts to pricing a hike. That is the whole story of this week in one number.

Do you think the Fed really hikes in December — and by how much?

$BTC
#Bitcoin #CPI #Fed

Not financial advice.

Philly Fed's Anna Paulson says further gradual rate hikes look appropriate.

• Paulson: "For now, further gradual tightening seems appropriate."
• She backed the September hike and the October hold, calling the skip a matter of pace, not direction
• She would move faster if inflation expectations or wage pressures rise, but sees neither now

Why it matters: More Fed hike signals shape the dollar, yields and risk appetite that crypto trades on.
Source: Philadelphia Fed (President Paulson speech, Nov. 10)
Not financial advice.

💬 Is a December hike now the base case for crypto?

#Fed #FOMC #RateHike

CPI came in hot and the market felt it overnight.

October CPI printed 0.4% month over month against 0.3% expected, and core came in at 0.3% vs 0.2%. Then Fed Governor Waller said he backs a December hike even if inflation cools, and that 50 bps could be on the table if it runs hotter.

The 10 year yield ran up to 4.996%, basically knocking on 5%. BTC slid into the 73K range, trading around 73,580 on Binance as I write this after tagging 72,727 earlier. ETH lost close to 4% and is hanging around 2,050.

Flows are not helping either. Spot BTC ETFs saw 201M dollars leave on Nov 9, the third straight day of outflows. CMC Fear and Greed sits at 26, it was 57 just a month ago.

Rate cuts were the story most of this year. Now the market is pricing hikes.

Do you think 72K holds if the 10 year breaks 5%?

$BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #CPI #Fed

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan says the Fed needs at least two more 25 bps rate hikes, and they may come faster this winter.

• Logan: the FOMC needs at least two more 25 bps increases, possibly moving more rapidly this winter
• She estimates the fed funds range is at least 50 bps below a modestly restrictive level
• The Fed hiked in September and skipped in October; the next FOMC meeting is December 8-9

Why it matters: Fed rate expectations drive the dollar and risk appetite, and crypto often trades on shifts in those expectations.
Source: Dallas Fed (President Logan speech, Nov. 10)
Not financial advice.

💬 Are two more Fed hikes already priced into crypto?

#Fed #FOMC #RateHike

🔴 Bearish

🚨 FED HAWKISH STANCE INTENSIFIES AFTER HOT CPI!

Today's CPI report showed inflation remains stickier than anticipated, pushing core prices up 0.3% (excluding food and energy). This was higher than the forecasted 0.2% increase.

📊 Market Impact: Futures markets are now pricing in a near-guaranteed December rate hike, with some Fed officials hinting at a 50 basis point increase to combat persistent inflation. This spells caution for risk assets like crypto.

#Fed #CPI

Fed's Waller was RIGHT ⚠️

He said: If Core CPI hits 0.3%, 50 bps hike should be considered.

Today's CPI just came in:
Headline: 0.4% vs 0.3% expected
Core: 0.3% vs 0.2% expected

Waller's trigger is HIT.

25 bps is now locked. 50 bps is now LIVE at 15% odds.

#Fed #FOMC‬⁩ #CPIdata #Inflationrate #FederalReserve

🔥 US CPI HOTTER THAN EXPECTED — DEC HIKE NOW ALMOST LOCKED IN*

US Consumer Prices rose *+0.4% MoM* in October vs +0.3% expected.

Core CPI: *+0.3% MoM* vs +0.2% expected — 3rd straight month at 0.3%

No YoY number this time — BLS couldn't collect Oct 2025 data during last year's shutdown.

What does it mean?

CME FedWatch before the release:
*98.9% chance of 25bp hike in December*
*1.1% chance of 50bp hike*
*0% chance of hold*

And Waller just warned: if core prints 0.3%+, "more robust action" may be needed.

BTC dipped, Gold dropped 2%+ on the print.

Next stop: *PPI Friday* → then *FOMC Dec 9*

#CPI #FED #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto $BTC

The Fed held at 3.75–4.00% but didn't rule out a December hike, and markets price it as the base case. Higher-for-longer is the headwind for risk assets. Watch the dollar and yields as closely as the charts. #Fed #Macro

Fed official Logan says the Fed may raise rates faster than before this winter — at least two more hikes, 25bp each.
Logan adds that moving step by step can reduce the risk of the economy slowing more than necessary.
The remarks follow October CPI that ran hotter than expected: the 10-year yield hit 4.99%, and markets now price at least two hikes by mid-2027, with a 50bp December move back on the table.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

🚨 CPI IS HOT - FED WILL HIKE RATES?

October CPI came in at 0.4% vs 0.3% expected.
Core CPI at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.

Result?
$BTC
dropped below $74,000
$ETH
dropped below $2,050
$170M+ longs liquidated in 5 minutes

CME FedWatch now shows 100% chance of a Fed rate hike in December.

My View: This is not a crash. This is FEAR.
Fear & Greed Index is at 12 - Extreme Fear.

When everyone is scared, smart money waits.

Will $BTC hold $73,000 or go to $70,000?

Comment: HOLD $73K or DROP TO $70K 👇

Not financial advice.
#BTC #CPI #Fed

US October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month (vs 0.3% expected); core CPI rose 0.3% (vs 0.2%) — both hotter than forecast, and the last CPI print before the Fed's December 8–9 meeting.
The 50bp December hike is back on the table: core CPI hit the 0.3% threshold Governor Waller flagged, and analyst Ira Jersey says a 50bp move would make another hike in March extremely likely.
Fed watcher Nick Timiraos notes core CPI has run near 0.3% for three straight months, with the three-month annualized rate at 3.75% versus 1.6% in July.
$BTC $ETH #fed #cpiwatch

Fed Governor Waller said overnight he'd back a December hike even if inflation came in cool. October CPI then came in at 0.4% against a 0.3% forecast.
$BTC was near $74,300 before the number. It's around $73,200 now.

Core CPI, the version without food and energy, rose 0.3% against 0.2% expected. September's headline was 0.6%, so prices did slow down, just not as much as anyone hoped. There's still no year-on-year figure, because October 2025 was never fully collected during the shutdown.

Waller had a second line ready too: a hot print could make a 50bp move worth considering. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped about 14bp after the release as traders priced in a small chance of exactly that.

Bitcoin dipped to about $73,500 in the first five minutes and kept sliding from there. Roughly $200M of crypto longs were closed out around the release.

A hike was already the base case before the print. The data didn't change the plan. It just signed it.

#CPI #Fed
NFA. DYOR.