顾景辞8

Gu Jingci: SanDisk surged up and then pulled back—short position thinking once again successfully verified

During the afternoon surge of SanDisk to 1785, the current-price short-position idea was laid out. When the market surged up and then pulled back, it declined. Within less than an hour, it dropped back to around 1710 and captured a move of over 70 points. Congratulations to friends who followed the Silk Road successfully to take the profit. #美国柴油利润率突破100美元创纪录 #Metaplanet拟投2100枚BTC收购SuperLeague #美国存储股延续跌势

Gu Jingci: 8.19 Sandisk Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

Yesterday, around 1740, Gu Jingci laid out a short idea for Sandisk. The market then continued to drop from the early hours all the way down to around 1565. Now, the market has found a bottom again, rebounded, and surged upward. In the area above, 1700 to 1720 is expected to face short-term resistance—this is also the consolidation zone during yesterday’s down move. The rebound from the falling trend happens to provide an entry opportunity.

Trading suggestion: Go short around 1685 to 1700, with targets at 1560 to 1600, and 1730 as the secondary level.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risks are your own responsibility. The article’s review and publication do not guarantee timeliness; the real-time situation takes precedence!#美国存储股延续跌势 #美国30年期国债收益率创2002年来新高 #花旗拟今年推出机构比特币托管

Gu Jingci: 8.19 gold Scandi shorts—room maximized; Bitcoin/Ethereum continue to trade sideways

Yesterday, I shorted near 4400 and 1740. In the early hours, price briefly dipped to around 4330 and 1565; the range directly expanded to the max. Meanwhile, Bitcoin/Ethereum have continued to trade sideways. The follow-through between bulls and bears hasn’t been strong, liquidity is insufficient, and it feels like the market has abandoned them—which I mentioned earlier as well. After Btc and Eth have been ranging for more than a month, it’s also a process of gradually shifting toward altcoins. Stock tokens will gradually replace altcoins. And after Btc/Eth range-trading, this process is also becoming increasingly evident—so going forward, there’s no need to hold excessive hopes for altcoins.

If you trade perps, either you need enough patience if you’re trading Btc/Eth, or you should gradually adapt to stock tokens—do more research on stocks, then feed that back into the crypto market.

Last night, after Btc/Eth surged to around 1920 and 65000, they pulled back; there’s clear pressure overhead. However, repeated dips below that failed to break down provide some support as well. It remains to be seen which direction the market eventually breaks out of. The market is changing, and your thinking should evolve step by step too—stay in sync with the market and liquidity. Analysis and strategy are for reference only; risks are yours to bear. Publication review and release do not ensure timeliness—please rely on real-time conditions.#以太坊启动Glamsterdam早期测试网 #中国将淘汰政府机构旧版Windows #宇树科技上市首日涨629%

Gu Jingci: The gold rebound is still able to deliver good upside room; the Shandi short has its space fully pulled up

In the afternoon, after placing another setup above 4400, the short idea is now seeing the market move to below 4360, and there’s still plenty of room. Most importantly, the Shandi short near 1740 directly reached around 1614—this short’s potential has been fully realized. However, the big cake (BTC) overall hasn’t fallen but has instead risen, so we can only wait for the trend to play out into the early morning. #比特币永续合约资金费率创20个月新高 #美国要求韩国优先投资存储芯片 #Strategy出售股票回购优先股

Gu Jingci: The big-cake lady arbitrage is range-bound and choppy, and Sandisk short positions take the first move to capture the space

For Bitcoin/Ethereum, place short positions around 1905 and 64400 in the afternoon; the Sandisk short was entered around 1740. However, the big-cake lady is generally oscillating within a narrow range, so the price action is slower. Still, Sandisk surged, then quickly reversed and dropped to around 1662. Overall, there is still a decent amount of room. Congratulations to friends who followed the idea. For those who entered shorts for the big-cake lady, just be patient and hold while waiting for the price to drop.#美国要求韩国优先投资存储芯片 #Strategy出售股票回购优先股 #美国存储股延续涨势闪迪涨10.5%

Gu Jingci: Operation Strategy for Bitcoin/Ethereum on 8.18 + Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum have been range-bound with narrow fluctuations for this period. The good news is that Bitcoin has risen higher from last night to now, while Ethereum and alts have not followed. During the apparent strength of Bitcoin’s rally, Ethereum and the alts generally stayed still, which also suggests that the market has not truly started—this is a typical bull trap. The 4-hour candlestick pattern shows that after the price touched the highs around 1920 and 64500, it surged and then pulled back, forming a small bearish candle. This indicates that downside momentum has somewhat slowed, but the market is still weak. In the early session, a large-bodied bearish candle appeared after a high and pullback, nearly swallowing part of the previous day’s gains, forming an initial bearish engulfing or dark cloud cover pattern. This suggests that there is clear sell pressure at high levels, and a pullback may be on the cards in the short term.

Trading recommendation: For Bitcoin, go short around 64,400 to 64,800, targeting 62,000 to 63,000. For Ethereum, go short around 1,905 to 1,920, targeting 1,820 to 1,850.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please manage risk on your own. The article’s approval and publication do not guarantee timeliness; everything should be based on real-time conditions! #以太坊基金会启动Glamsterdam测试网 #美元跌至10周低点 #U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits a new high since 2007

Gu Jingci: 8.18 Sandisk and SOL Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

As the leader of this storage-sector run, Sandisk has had a relatively large upside since the rally from the bottom. However, after an early-session spike, it pulled back and fell, indicating a change in trend. In the short term, around 1720 there will likely be some consolidation and sideways movement. Meanwhile, both the U.S. stock market and the Korean market have seen spike-and-retrace behavior, so for the tail-end of the move, be cautious about chasing. On the upside, watch for resistance in the 1760 to 1780 area. Place short entries in batches based on the pressure.

As for SOL, it has been moving sideways and consolidating all this time. Relying on the BTC and ETH trend, the follow-through between bulls and bears has not been strong overall. On the upside, 77 to 78 is the short-term resistance zone. Until it breaks out effectively and holds above that level, you can rely on the resistance area to enter short positions in batches.

Trading suggestions: Enter shorts for Sandisk around 1740 to 1760; targets are around 1650 to 1680; and for the “grandson,” 1785. For SOL, enter shorts around 76.3 to 76.8; target around 74.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please take responsibility for risk yourself. The article review and publication may not reflect real-time conditions; the actual situation will prevail in real time! #以太坊基金会启动Glamsterdam测试网 #美元跌至10周低点 #U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits a new high since 2007

Gu Jingci: 8.18 Gold Trading Operation Strategy with Market Analysis

In the morning session, gold once again surged toward the 4440 area and then pulled back and fell. The 4456 area on the daily chart forms the short-term resistance, creating a double-top pattern. After the rally and subsequent pullback, the price still has room to decline. In the short term, it remains in a narrow-range consolidation. Going forward, focus on entering buys/sells in batches with resistance as the reference on top and support on the downside.

Trading recommendation: Continue to short around the 4400 to 4420 area, with targets near 4320 to 4350.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is to be borne by you. The article is not guaranteed to be timely upon approval and publication; real-time conditions prevail! #美元跌至10周低点 #以太坊基金会启动Glamsterdam测试网 # U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits the highest level since 2007

Gu Jingci: On 8.17, Bitcoin/Ethereum remain range-bound, and any spike up will still pull back

After breaking above the 63,500 and 1,900 levels in the early session, Bitcoin/Ethereum have continued to trade sideways. Repeated attempts to push higher have failed, showing clear pressure overhead. The resistance around the previous highs of 1,920–1,930 and about 64,000 still remains. Since there has been no breakout with volume, the trend is still likely to pull back and fall. On the four-hour timeframe, price has closed with multiple long upper wicks and repeatedly turned back after rally attempts. Going forward, the strategy will mainly be to buy the highs and short. On the weekly timeframe, the mid-band line forms an important near-term resistance area; during multiple rally attempts, price has not managed to break and hold above it.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short around 63,600–64,000, targeting 61,000–62,000. For Ethereum, short around 1,905–1,920, targeting 1,800–1,840; and 64,500 and 1,940.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please take full responsibility for risks. The article review and release do not guarantee timeliness—please rely on real-time conditions instead! #中国7月产出零售投资全线不及预期 #CME九月加息概率降至30.6% #以色列空袭黎巴嫩击毙真主党指挥官

Gu Jingci: 8.17 Sandisk SNDK Trading Strategy Analysis

Over the past few days, Sandisk has seen continued positive news stacking up, and the market has also bounced and rallied steadily from below the 1000 bottom, lifting up to around the current high of 1770. It is close to a bottom-position “flipping of the book.” In the short term, there have been multiple instances where price pierced above and repeatedly met resistance overhead. On the 4-hour chart, it has currently printed a small-volume, small bearish candle, indicating that the upward momentum is weakening and it may enter a pullback. As for technical indicators on the 4-hour chart, the DIF line has already crossed below the DEA line to form a dead cross, and the MACD histogram has turned negative. Although price has made a new high, the DIF line failed to keep pace and make a corresponding new high, forming a clear bearish divergence. This suggests that short-term upward momentum has likely exhausted and the risk of a pullback is increasing.

Trading suggestion: Go short near 1730 to 1750 for Sandisk SNDK. Target around 1640 to 1670, with support at 1780.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please take full responsibility for risk. The article review and publishing process does not guarantee timeliness; the real-time situation prevails!#中国7月产出零售投资全线不及预期 #以色列空袭黎巴嫩击毙真主党指挥官 #全球股票基金净流入186.2亿美元

Gu Jingci: 8.17 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis

In the gold K-line pattern, the 4-hour chart has recently formed two consecutive volume-increasing bullish candles, breaking through the short-term consolidation range, indicating strong bullish momentum. The latest candle is a small bearish candle with a long lower wick; the trading volume has significantly contracted, suggesting that upward momentum has slowed. In addition, during multiple attempts to rally higher, there has been clear pressure in the upper area. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have tightened and are pointing downward, implying that price will continue to rise before eventually pulling back and turning into a decline.

Trading suggestion: Go short around 4410 to 4430, with targets around 4300 to 4340.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please take full responsibility for risks. The article review and publication may not be timely; the real-time situation prevails!
#中国7月产出零售投资全线不及预期 #以色列空袭黎巴嫩击毙真主党指挥官 #全球股票基金净流入186.2亿美元

Gu Jingci: 8.16 Bitcoin/Ethereum weekly close is imminent—soon the struggle between bulls and bears will be decided

The recent positioning in Bitcoin/Ethereum has been lifting the case for a short. The overall space for that idea is clearly visible. Right now, the market continues to trade sideways in a tight range, and the trend between bulls and bears isn’t obvious. However, tomorrow morning at 8:00 the weekly candle is about to close. Most likely, the weekly chart will close bearish. After that, as long as there is no effective break above and hold beyond 63,500 and 1,900, the market will continue to rise first and then roll over and decline.

On the daily chart, the MA indicators are clearly dulled and have reached a key resistance/congestion node. Based on pressure, look to enter shorts on rallies. But once price again effectively breaks above and holds the moving average indicators, it would mean the trend has changed again, and the market would keep rising. On the 4-hour chart, recent candlesticks are mostly small bodies with long wicks, showing repeated back-and-forth fighting within the range between bulls and bears. The market is in a state of consolidation and oscillation.

The latest candle has closed bullish, but it includes an upper wick, indicating sell pressure overhead.

After support was gained on the daily chart, it turned bullish for two consecutive days, forming a short-term bottom pattern. Yet the upward momentum is insufficient, and it failed to effectively break through the resistance above. In terms of technical indicators: on the 4-hour chart, the MACD DIF line has moved upward to cross above the DEA line, forming a golden cross. The red histogram bars have started to grow, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is building and there is a need for a rebound. But over the past two days, the rebound volume has shrunk, which confirms the assessment that the upward momentum is lacking.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter shorts around 63,300–63,600, targeting 61,000–62,000. For Ethereum, enter shorts around 1,890–1,900, targeting 1,800–1,830.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. The article review and publication do not provide timely updates; follow real-time conditions for specifics! #SpaceX股价涨至140美元 #SEC审查6只3倍杠杆商品ETF #美国拟迫各国在美中AI阵营选边

Gu Jingci: 8.14—An ironclad big pie, flowing copycats; copycats will eventually go to zero, and tokens will gradually replace copycats

Bitcoin/Ethereum have been repeatedly reminding people these past few days to think about the shorting setup (going short). The 63800 and 1895 shorts that I reminded about again yesterday worked out—after the market dipped last night, it then surged upward, only to spike again and then fall back. If you followed the approach, you should have good returns. Over this period, I’ve reminded many times: the market is moving slowly and requires a bit more patience. Yet many still keep trading tokens and trashy copycat coins, leading to severe losses—I really can’t understand that.

Also, I wonder if everyone has noticed that every time the big pie and ether drop, the copycats are almost like they want to waterfall straight down, and then every so often the copycats rapidly pump up for a moment, making many people mistakenly think the “copycat season” is here.

In fact, if you look at it over time, you’ll find that during last year’s big run-up by the big pie and ether, most copycats basically fell 10x or more—completely abandoned by capital. But many people still cling to fantasies. Another point is that currently, in the US stock market, token-like assets have relatively large short-term swings: they can move dozens of points at the drop of a hat, creating liquidity—and this is what many people interpret as evidence of a bull market. But what they don’t consider is that this “stock token” form, compared to the old-style copycats that didn’t fluctuate much, will gradually eliminate some of the copycats. Meanwhile, the big pie and ether going sideways is often about squeezing out the copycats, helping everyone gradually adapt to tokens with higher liquidity.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. This article’s review and publication do not ensure timeliness; please refer to real-time conditions instead!#Kalshi被令暂停华盛顿州业务 #全球股市逼近历史高位 #ProCap申请比特币金库折价ETF

Gu Jingci: The market keeps trading in a narrow range with ongoing consolidation; even a dog would shake its head

Bitcoin/Ethereum have been stuck in narrow-range consolidation for more than a month. Not only is the movement slow, but the price swings are small too. Honestly, this kind of market is really wearisome. Yet, many people are still losing money in this environment—I truly couldn’t have imagined that. After learning the specific reasons, it became clear: if you can’t stand the loneliness, you can never hold on to your prime forever. Either you trade US stock tokens, or you specifically look for instruments with larger volatility, or if you see that the “big pie” and “auntie” (Bitcoin/Ethereum) have small volatility, you go in with a heavy position and try to gamble it all. Who wouldn’t lose in that case?

What’s happening in the current market is essentially the process of digesting positions. The longer the consolidation lasts, the bigger the subsequent volatility will be. In recent days we’ve consistently been pushing prices higher while holding a bearish view. However, as long as the trend breaks down, you need to follow the move. After all, how long it runs horizontally determines how high it can rise vertically—this vertical move can point up, of course, and it can also point down.

Chasing after rallies and selling during sell-offs: when you make money you can’t hold it, when you lose you keep holding on stubbornly. You make small gains but suffer big losses, and you lack patience—especially patience. At the moment, our short positions at 1895 and 63800 are still open, and the market hasn’t offered an opportunity to add to them. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; risk is your own responsibility. This article’s review and publication may lack timeliness—please refer to real-time conditions for the specifics!#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #美国7月PPI持平 #SpaceX空头持仓降至11%

Gu Jingci: On August 13 CPI, it’s hard to change the downturn in the crypto market; BTC/ETH price action will still likely spike up then pull back

Yesterday, BTC/ETH once again positioned a “buy high and short” strategy and added to the shorts via the Silk Road. In the early hours, price briefly dropped to around 1870 and 63,200. Overall the range wasn’t large, but it still captured a solid move. Current price has been repaired and rebounded, but the rebound strength isn’t strong. On the daily chart, after pushing higher yesterday, price closed with a long upper wick and a bearish close; the trend remains relatively weak. The 4-hour chart shows that late yesterday a single massive bearish candle appeared. Afterwards, support was found around 63,000 and 1,870, and price began to rebound. The last two 4-hour candles are bullish, but the most recent bullish candle’s trading volume has shrunk significantly, indicating that the current rebound momentum is insufficient.

On the daily chart, after falling from the recent high, price is currently in a consolidation and repair phase following the down move. In terms of technical indicators, on the 4-hour chart the MACD DIF line has just crossed above the DEA line to form a golden cross, and the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting that short-term momentum has shifted to the upside. However, the volume of the latest bullish candle has contracted sharply and is far below the recent average, showing that the rebound lacks strong buying support.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, around 63,800, continue to open shorts directly; around 64,500, add to the shorts. Targets are around 61,500 to 62,500. For Ethereum, around 1,895, continue to open shorts directly; around 1,920, add to the shorts. Targets are around 1,800 to 1,830, and for “zisun” 65,300 and 1,950.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only; risk is your own responsibility. Article review and publication may not be timely—please refer to real-time conditions! #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #英特尔CEO拟认购1200万美元股份 #SEC向富兰克林邓普顿发不采取行动函

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions succeeded in pushing up and then falling back, dropping further.

The daytime reminder for Bitcoin/Ethereum: the idea of taking short positions on the upward push. Opened the first short at 64,000 and 1,895; added shorts at 1,920 and 64,800. Right now, Ethereum is giving the opportunity to add to the position, with the average entry price around 1,910. Bitcoin isn’t performing well, and there hasn’t been a suitable opportunity.

Tonight the market rose with the help of data and then pulled back and fell. In the early morning, it’s expected there will be further downside room. The short positions can continue to be held patiently. During this period, I believe friends who follow Silk Road will surely have gained a lot. #狗狗币日内涨近3%领涨主流币 #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #CFTC命令Kalshi继续运营

Gu Jingci: Focus on how the 8:30 p.m. CPI data will affect the crypto market

1. CPI higher than expected (inflation is hot) = bearish for crypto
If inflation rebounds, the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut expectations may be delayed or even restarted with rate hikes. The U.S. dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rise. The opportunity cost of holding non-yielding crypto increases, risk capital flees, and BTC and ETH drop sharply in the short term, with altcoins falling even more.

2. CPI lower than expected (inflation cools) = bullish for crypto
If inflation keeps falling, the probability of a rate cut in September increases significantly. The U.S. dollar weakens, liquidity loosens, risk appetite rises, and funds pour into the crypto market. BTC and ETH rally quickly, which can easily trigger a short-squeeze rally.

3. CPI exactly matches expectations = neutral, range-bound trading
No expectation gap; capital holds back. Price fluctuates up and down in the short term, quickly returning to the original market trend, with limited volatility.

#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #CFTC命令Kalshi继续运营 #Korea’s KOSPI jumps nearly 5% as buy-side momentum kicks off

Gu Jingci: 8.12 evening CPI data is coming—plus Bitcoin/Ethereum trading strategy and market analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum—In previous setups, we repeatedly planned to push up first and then hold short positions. In the early-morning move, price dipped to around 63,200 and 1,850; overall room was fully opened. Now the market has rebounded and surged again, followed by repeated oscillation. Honestly, over this period the overall volatility has been there, but the move is too slow, causing many people to lose patience. Tonight CPI data is coming—mainly reflecting last month’s inflation. Looking back, with oil prices rising last month and ongoing tensions between Iran and the U.S., the outlook remains unchanged: a push higher followed by a pullback. The 4-hour chart shows that after short-term support was gained in the early morning, price rebounded, but the rebound momentum has weakened. The latest candlestick is a small bullish candle, and trading volume has shrunk.

On the daily chart, a strong bearish candle with increased volume appeared earlier. Then a weak rebound followed, forming a repair of the prior selloff, but overhead selling pressure is still present. For technical indicators, the DIF line is still running below the DEA line. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram remains in negative territory but continues to contract, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a short-term trend toward a potential golden cross. During the recent rebound, volume has gradually declined, suggesting insufficient buying power and casting doubt on the rebound’s sustainability.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter a short around 64,000 and add shorts near 64,800. Targets are around 61,500 to 62,500. For Ethereum, enter a short around 1,895 and add shorts near 1,920. Targets are around 1,800 to 1,830, with 65,500 and 1,950 as further references.

This analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. The article review and publication may not be timely; the real-time market prevails! #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #英伟达将限制5000亿美元AI融资敞口 #SEC或最快周五推代币化股票豁免