顾景辞1

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum have been constantly reminding to go long at highs, top up shorts

To be honest, the past few days’ price action for Bitcoin/Ethereum is hard to put into words—not because it’s about whether it’s up or down, but because it’s moving too slowly, too painfully. Over these few days, we’ve reminded multiple times to go short on a rise and add to shorts near the levels of 65,800 and 1,950 for the fourth cousin’s son. When the market surged and then fell, the decline continued; as of now, the lowest has come to around 64,300 and 1,870. We expect there is still room for further downside. In the short term, pay attention to the area around 63,000 and 1,820. Since the price action is moving slowly, it only requires a bit more patience. Congratulations to friends who followed the plan and successfully captured the available range.#黄金挑战4380美元 #Robinhood将在英国推出加密交易 #台积电7月营收增长45%

Gu Jingci: Range-bound, range-bound, keep range-bound

Lately, Bitcoin/Ethereum have continued to move sideways and fluctuate without making a clear trend. Are they going to stay range-bound until next Wednesday evening when the CPI data comes out? That would be interesting. The data next week is destined not to be good—so it remains to be seen whether this turns into a rebound after a bearish news “hit.” During the past few days of sideways trading, focus on whether price can break above the daily highs around 65500 and the 1950 area. As long as there is no effective breakout and a sustained hold, treat everything as a sell from high levels and patiently wait for the market to drop. The U.S. stock market keeps setting new highs, the conflict between Iran and Israel continues, gold has surged in the short term, inflation remains high, and midterm elections are coming up—along with a series of other factors. The market is expected to drop again, but you still need to manage the trend swing positions. #BIP110软分叉尝试启动 #韩国拟放宽加密服务商大股东规则 #XRP守住1美元

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum this week’s range is narrow (8.8), liquidity is extremely poor

During last night’s market rally for Bitcoin/Ethereum, I reminded again that shorting around 1935 and 65,300, and adding shorts, is the idea to consider. This week the market has mostly been trading sideways and consolidating; the overall range is very small and liquidity is poor, with no clear trend. Geopolitical developments have caused oil prices to fluctuate, which boosts inflation expectations and activates demand for gold as a store of value and a safe-haven. Meanwhile, the U.S. July nonfarm payrolls came in unexpectedly weak, severely damaging expectations for rate hikes, leading to both U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar falling. With these two forces combined, gold recorded its best single-week performance in seven months. But in the crypto market, after being pushed higher from low levels, it has continued to trade sideways with no particularly notable performance.

Going forward, the key thing to watch is how next week’s CPI data feeds back into the crypto market. Honestly, this kind of narrow-range sideways consolidation is really a test of patience. A lot of the time, once people lose patience with this kind of market, they jump into trading altcoins—especially those with larger price swings—which often makes it even harder to control positions. Over the past few days, we’ve also been trying to do some short-term “pump” plays with proportionally more gains on certain coins—for example, pushing ADA up to around 0.21, or doing the same during UNI’s rally. But there’s no need to do this kind of altcoin move more than two or three times per month; fixating on these types of altcoins usually won’t lead to good results. With these two coins pumped, you can also consider entering short orders; if they break above the high, then exit/stop out.

When Bitcoin/Ethereum are trading in a sideways range, you can only be patient and wait for a pullback and further decline—after all, next week’s data is about to come out, and the CPI data also reflects July’s figures, while last month saw a big surge in crude oil, which means inflation was destined to be pushed higher. Analysis and strategy are for reference only; risk is your responsibility. This article review and publication process does not ensure timeliness; actual performance will be subject to real-time conditions! #美国7月非农意外下降 #Alphabet拟发行250亿美元债券 #SpaceX’s market value reaches $1.613 trillion, surpassing Meta

Gu Jingci: Short directly on Bitcoin/Ethereum pump, add to short positions

Bitcoin/Ethereum pumped again in the evening, but Bitcoin overall did not break through the upper resistance level. Go short directly as the market rises to around 65300 and 1935, and add to short positions. Look for a sharp drop in the evening and early morning. Set the extreme stop-loss around 65800 and 1950. #SK海力士拟191万亿韩元投建M17工厂 #东证拟设重大业务变更再审查制度 #布伦特原油上涨3.8%

Gu Jingci: 8.7 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

In the past few days, liquidity in Bitcoin/Ethereum has been extremely poor. Overall price fluctuations have been relatively small, and the follow-through of both long and short positions has been weak. There is pressure above and support below. In terms of candlestick patterns, the 4-hour chart shows that after a prior rebound from a bottom with a surge in volume, the price has been consolidating at high levels and experiencing slight pullbacks. The most recent several 4-hour candles are mostly small real bodies with long wicks, indicating that the market is divided between buyers and sellers in this zone and that upward momentum has been weakening. The daily chart shows a slight pullback or sideways movement, forming patterns similar to an “inside/outside pregnancy line” or a doji-cross, suggesting that the short-term upward momentum has slowed down.

Regarding technical indicators, both the DIF line and DEA line are trading above the zero axis, and the MACD histogram is positive, indicating that the overall trend still leans bullish. However, the DIF line has been trending downward recently, and the MACD histogram bars are gradually shrinking, showing that short-term upward momentum is weakening. For the daily moving average indicators, the current price action is hovering and consolidating around the moving averages. Going forward, the key focus is the daily highs around 65600 and the 1936 zone, where resistance is likely. Near these resistance levels, consider selling/entering short on bounces, and possibly taking additional short positions if price is pushed higher to “fill the position.”

Trading suggestion: For Bitcoin, enter short around 64500 to 65000, targeting 62000 to 63000. For Ethereum, enter short around 1910 to 1920, targeting 1830 to 1860. You can sell around 65600 and 1940. This analysis and strategy are for reference only—risk is your own responsibility. The article review and publication may not be timely; the real-time situation prevails! #东证拟设重大业务变更再审查制度 #布伦特原油上涨3.8% #美元有望创两周最佳单日表现

Gu Jingci: 8.5 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

In recent days, Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen overall price range narrowing and extremely poor liquidity. Even the overall range hasn’t been wider than weekends, which is a sign that after short-term consolidation a breakout/turn is likely coming soon. In the short term, Bitcoin has been overall stronger than Ethereum; the altcoins have been mixed with both rising and falling, and the continuation of both long and short pressure is not strong. Although U.S. stocks keep hitting new highs and at one point news releases from the U.S. and Iran provided some positive support, they have not driven an effective upside move in the crypto market. After good news fails to push prices higher, the outlook is likely that upward pressure will weaken and price may drop and fall. From the daily MA (moving average) indicators, the resistance zone around 1880 to 1890 and near 65,000 is where the moving averages are tangled and stacked. Without a clear breakout with sufficient volume to hold above it, we should not look for sustained long positions.

The 4-hour chart shows multiple attempts that surged then pulled back. There is selling pressure overhead, indicating that bullish momentum is insufficient; rebound momentum is weakening and the market has entered short-term consolidation. Technically, on the 4-hour MACD, the DIF line has moved upward to cross above the DEA line forming a golden cross. The MACD histogram has turned positive and expanded, suggesting stronger short-term upward momentum. However, both DIF and DEA are still below the zero axis, indicating the overall trend remains relatively weak. Since the decline from the prior high, there has been repeated side-to-side oscillation without an effective break above the high. The pattern during the fall looks like a continuation phase.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, go short around 64,600 to 65,000, with targets near 62,000 to 63,000. For Ethereum, go short around 1,880 to 1,890, with targets near 1,780 to 1,820, and at 1,930.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please manage risks independently. The article’s review and publication may not be timely; rely on real-time conditions! #美ADP7月私营就业逊预期 #美国ISM服务业指数升至54.1 # Korea’s tax reform not postponed; crypto taxation not delayed

Gu Jingci: 8.3 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy + Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum have continued to trade in a narrow range over the weekend, with multiple spikes that have been followed by sell-offs—clear resistance is visible above. Since we have continuously positioned short orders after raising our entries, the overall space has been within view. Friends who have been following the Silk Road can capture a solid amount of space as well. Currently, the market is constantly stabilizing the price action by leveraging news catalysts, which will undoubtedly increase the risk going forward. On the daily timeframe, bulls and bears keep whipsawing, but the lows keep appearing. Looking at the MA moving average indicators, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day MA lines have all turned downward, and the trend has not changed. Resistance is divided into the 63,900–64,500 area and the 1,880–1,890 area, indicating that overhead pressure remains明显.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short directly around 63,800–64,300, targeting 61,000–62,000. For Ethereum, short directly around 1,870–1,880, targeting 1,780–1,820.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only—risk is your own responsibility. Article review and publishing do not have timely coverage; the live market prevails! #Coinbase溢价连续77天为负 #Coldcard漏洞被盗1367枚比特币 #Oil plummets 9%

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin and Ethereum short positions successfully taken again

In recent days, multiple bearish setups for Bitcoin and Ethereum have all been seized with room for upside during the short-selling plan. Yesterday, I reminded again that during the rise, shorts were entered at 63,500 and 1,880. The market repeatedly spiked up, then pulled back and fell. As of now, the lowest has reached around 62,300 and 1,830. The short positions have once again captured a solid amount of movement. Congratulations to friends who followed the plan.#美伊谈判将启动 #美日2011年来首次联合干预日元 #JPY surge

Gu Jingci: A new month and a new week are about to begin

In the first half of the month, Bitcoin and Ethereum saw choppy upward movement; near the end of the month they began to fall. Tomorrow is Monday and a new start. In fact, there can also be some movement over the weekend—what matters is whether you can catch the swings and capture the available room. The previous series of setups—raising to go short, adding to shorts, and topping up with shorts while floating in profit—believed to have given those who followed along solid gains. During this morning’s early session, as the price surged, I reminded again of the short ideas at 1880 and 63500. Now that the price has pulled back after the high, there is some room, but the overall space is not large. Tomorrow, Monday’s overall intraday range will be much better; you can also take more room while handling the swing trades well.

Recently, friends trading the A-share market often hear Teacher Da Xiao’s “blow-up” comments. For example, one blow-up is only a setback in life. Many top investors have experienced blow-ups to become mature. Also, after losses, your mindset should remain calm—don’t vent negative emotions onto your family; actively share household chores, and so on. In reality, I had already been paying attention to Teacher Da Xiao a long time ago. Back then, during the sustained decline in the A-share market, a series of “diamond bottoms,” “baby bottoms,” and the like—many of them still carried reference value and warning significance.

A new week sets sail. Continue to look for opportunities amid the volatility. Keep your mindset steady, trade the swings well, and hold onto the available room—so that friends who are following Silk Road can capture even more room. #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高 #特朗普取消打击伊朗待协议 #Iranian foreign minister agrees to reopen the Strait of Hormuz

Gu Jingci: The strategy has just been sent ahead; raise the shorts and keep going. #比特币挖矿难度较年内高点降14% #美军2000磅炸弹击中伊朗居民区 #Coldcard vulnerability attackers control 1,366 BTC

Gu Jingci: Aug 2 Bitcoin/Ethereum Early-Session Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum has been laying out short positions multiple times before. Since the early morning hours, prices have dropped steadily to around 1820 and 62,200. The overall room for downside is clearly visible. Currently, the market has made a brief rebound aided by Trump’s comments again. For this kind of news, it’s essentially empty talk with no real impact. As daily highs keep being pushed lower, the trend itself has already changed—this is only a rebound driven by an oversold reaction to the news. In the 4-hour chart, the price recently has undergone two large-volume bearish candles, after which there is now a rapid rebound. However, overall price action still remains within a downtrend. The early-morning candlestick has a long lower wick, indicating some buy support at lower levels, but it has not been able to reverse the broader bearish momentum.

On the daily chart, two consecutive large bearish candles with huge volume appeared earlier, showing strong selling pressure in the market and confirming a bearish trend from the short to the medium term. From the technical indicators on the 4-hour chart, both the DIF line and DEA line are running below the zero axis, and the DIF line is below the DEA line. The MACD histogram is negative, indicating the market is in a bearish (short) trend. Although the latest MACD histogram negative value has slightly narrowed—possibly signaling a slowdown in the downward move in the short term—the overall bearish structure remains unchanged. Moreover, during the selloff over the past two days, trading volume increased significantly, further confirming that selling pressure is heavy and that the downtrend is supported by volume.

Trading recommendations: For Bitcoin, go short directly around 63,500, targeting 61,000 to 62,000. For Ethereum, go short directly around 1,880, targeting 1,780 to 1,820. #比特币挖矿难度较年内高点降14% #COMEX黄金跌1.41%至4107.2美元 #Coldcard vulnerability was exploited, 594 BTC stolen

Gu Jingci: Empty orders reminded multiple times still had gains—#COMEX黄金跌1.41%至4107.2美元 #Coldcard漏洞被盗594枚BTC #Hedge funds increase their bets on long crude oil positions

Gu Jingci: 8.1 Some Views on Rate Hikes, Rate Cuts, and Remarks by Wosh

In recent times, the market trend for Bitcoin/Ethereum has been relatively dull. In such a行情走势, if you don’t have patience, you’ll end up in a bloody mess. We’ve been reminding everyone to hold firm—hold steadfast, and even though the overall range isn’t huge, there’s still decent room for movement. Over the weekend, the market mainly traded sideways with some oscillation, and opportunities were only left for those who were prepared. As for the current market, today I’ll talk about something else: some differences between Powell and Wosh during their tenures.

First of all, I’m increasingly feeling that Wosh is like Trump’s lapdog. When he first took office, he emphasized a hawkish stance—rate hikes and fighting inflation. Later on, it became nothing but delay: inflation stayed high, then it was “just look at the data.” After one piece of data, there was still more data to look at. Then he went after investigators—once an investigation starts, it takes months. In the end, it still drags on.

And what Trump wants now is simply to delay. After all, the U.S. midterm elections are coming up. As long as they don’t raise rates, that’s good news for him. There’s a saying like this: when your enemy takes a neutral stance, it’s actually helping you. And right now, that’s exactly Wosh’s position.

Secondly, Powell is direct whether it’s rate hikes or rate cuts. His statements are also very straightforward. If inflation is the situation and rates aren’t being raised, then he’s hawkish—plain and simple. By contrast, with Wosh, after he finishes speaking, you don’t even know what he was trying to say. The key is that he sets his stance at the beginning, and later speeches won’t provide forward-looking guidance. That’s clearly not just inefficiency—it’s basically cheating from the start.

Initial estimates suggest that in the future Wosh will keep finding reasons to postpone—mainly basing everything on the data. Even setting up a commission of inquiry will require results by the end of the year. By then, the midterm elections will already be over, and whether they hike rates or not won’t matter anymore. Also, this might be determined by the current conditions in the U.S. After all, rate hikes ended a few years ago and there were initial rate cuts. Now going back to rate hikes is not good for them. So it will just be more and more delaying.

#WTI原油触及85美元 #亚马逊将2026资本支出上调至2200亿美元 #Japan-U.S. joint intervention in yen for the first time in nearly 30 years

Gu Jingci: Since Bitcoin/Ethereum surged higher, all the publicly positioned short-sells that were taken after the rally have been closed

For the rally-short ideas that were repeatedly mentioned for Bitcoin/Ethereum in this period—starting from the highs of 65,200 and above 1,965, then repeatedly reminding to enter shorts around 1,930 and 1,920—the entire upside/downside space was clearly visible. I believe friends who followed this play during this time can secure a very good range.#黄金回落 #美国二季度GDP增长1.5% #Citadel discounted buy-inSituationalAwareness holdings

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short-term ideas once again successfully verified

The short-selling ideas of 64900 and 1920 laid out at last night’s current prices for Bitcoin/Ethereum saw the market rise and then fall, and as of now the lows have reached around 63600 and 1870. The shorts have once again captured a good amount of upside/downside range—congratulations to friends who followed the idea successfully.#Citadel折价接盘SituationalAwareness持股 #沙特油轮绕行非洲避红海 #Oman crude oil September official selling price falls

Gu Jingci: 7.30 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

In the past few days, the short ideas above 1965, 1930, and 1920 that have been publicly laid out for Bitcoin/Ethereum repeatedly spiked and then fell back. Overall, the space is quite clear. After the U.S. June PCE data was released this evening, there wasn’t the expected renewed surge to the upside—so it’s fair to say the move was somewhat overestimated. After all, the evening data reflects last month’s figures. When the CPI data came out earlier, it delivered a major positive catalyst that drove the crypto market higher, and the PCE data is also linked to the same CPI momentum. The result is what we see now. So the trend is relatively clear: if the price surges again, continue to enter shorts on higher levels. As for the big BTC position, I didn’t plan it yesterday because I considered a rebound was likely—and now it’s right on time.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short directly around the current price of 64900, targeting 62000 to 63000. For Ethereum, short directly around 1920, targeting 1830 to 1860. Brother Sun 65800 and 1960. #SpaceX延续跌势 #韩国拟暂停可疑加密账户支付 #China Resources Jichuang, stock first day down 12.77%

Gu Jingci: Yesterday repeatedly reminded to open a short position on Ethereum above 1920

Yesterday, Ethereum repeatedly spiked up to the 1920–1930 area and then fell back, dropping after multiple attempts. He said he had arranged and added short positions on every pull-up, all of which reached their targets as expected. The overall room for profit is evident to all. He believes that friends who have followed the Silk Road were able to capture a good amount of upside.#韩国拟暂停可疑加密账户支付 #美国30年期国债收益率升至近5.23% #Korean stock market rebounded due to Samsung’s earnings report

Gu Jingci: In the evening, we were talking about how it will most likely keep interest rates unchanged; there may be a spike. That would be the best time to enter the last short position#华尔街争售SpaceX挂钩避险产品 #韩国限制杠杆ETF交易 #Iran launches a ballistic missile at Jordan