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⏰ August 28 16:33 Market Observation｜$BTC & $ETH

From this round, it looks like BTC is relatively more resilient, while ETH is clearly weaker in the short term.

BTC｜79,740
The current price is still above the 1-hour Supertrend level of 79,306, indicating that the short-term structure hasn’t fully deteriorated. However, the MACD has already weakened. After a push to 81,500, it pulled back—so if you’re chasing gains, be cautious.

Key levels:

* Support: 79,300 / 78,860
* Resistance: 80,500
* Strong Resistance: 81,500

If BTC can continue to hold 79,300, there’s still a chance to push back up to 80,500. If it falls back below the Supertrend, be careful about continued pullbacks.

ETH｜2,496
ETH is also holding above the 1-hour Supertrend level of 2,476, but its strength is noticeably weaker than BTC, and the MACD is also weakening.

Key levels:

* Support: 2,476 / 2,474
* Resistance: 2,530
* Strong Resistance: 2,566

For ETH, the most critical point now is whether 2,476 can hold. If it holds, there’s still a chance for a rebound. If it breaks, the short-term move will most likely continue toward the 2,440 area to find support.

Current rhythm: BTC is mostly ranging/sideways, while ETH is weaker.

Next, focus on two levels:
👉 BTC 79,300
👉 ETH 2,476

As long as neither of these levels breaks, the market is still in high-level consolidation. If both fail at the same time, you should watch out for a deeper pullback in the short term.

Do you think tonight BTC will break through 81,500 first, or will ETH break below 2,476 first? 👇

⚠️ For market observation only, not investment advice.

🚨 August 27, 08:28｜$BTC continues to range, and $ETH is still relatively strong.

BTC｜78,806
24H +0.37%, the price is still capped below the 1-hour Supertrend at 79,612. In the short term, it’s mainly a choppy consolidation; we haven’t yet seen any real signs of a genuine strength reversal.

Key levels:
• Support: 77,600～78,000
• Resistance: 79,200 / 79,600
• Strong resistance: 81,270

ETH｜2,499
24H +2.36%, although it has slightly pulled back from the recent high, overall it’s still clearly stronger than BTC. Price remains stably above the 1-hour Supertrend at 2,439, and the short-term structure isn’t bad.

Key levels:
• Support: 2,440 / 2,431
• Resistance: 2,515
• Strong resistance: 2,549

Right now, the market is very clear: BTC is still grinding, while ETH is still holding up.

If BTC can reclaim 79.6k later, there is room for the行情 to push higher again;
If BTC continues to move sideways, market funds will most likely look first toward ETH.

Do you think next will be BTC catching up, or ETH continuing to lead?👀

⚠️ For market observation only, not investment advice.

🚨 $BTC high-level consolidation, $ETH is temporarily more resilient. Tonight, pay close attention to these key levels.

BTC this wave has rallied from 62,000 up to around 81,000. The short-term upside is already pretty significant. Now as it comes back to around 78,000 and consolidates, that’s actually normal.

From the 1-hour timeframe:

BTC
Currently around 77,960

* Overhead resistance: 79,500～79,800
* Strong resistance: around 81,200
* Short-term support: 77,800
* If 77,800 clearly breaks down, the next step is to watch for further pullback

The MACD has already weakened, and price is temporarily trading below the Supertrend. This suggests the advantage of the short-term longs is fading.

ETH
Currently around 2,442
ETH is actually slightly stronger than BTC. It’s still holding above support around 2,430.

* Support: 2,420～2,430
* Resistance: 2,485
* Strong resistance: around 2,550

So my approach tonight is very simple:

👉 Whether BTC can reclaim 79,500, which determines whether it can continue pushing higher in the short term.
👉 As long as ETH doesn’t break below 2,420, the overall structure isn’t too bad for now.

At this point, I’m actually not in a hurry to chase. I’ll wait for direction to become clearer—then it’ll be more comfortable.

What do you think BTC will do next: go back to 80,000 first, or break below 77,000 first?👇

#BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #BinanceSquare

⚠️ For market observation only; not investment advice.

📊 BTC / ETH market overview

BTC is currently trading around 77,400, consolidating after a quick push to 79,555 and then starting a high-level range.

On the 1-hour timeframe, the price is still above the Supertrend 76,150. The bullish structure remains, but the MACD has already weakened—so chasing longs for short-term upside isn’t the best price-to-value.

Key levels for BTC:
👉 Support: 76,200—76,000
👉 Strong support: 75,000
👉 Resistance: 79,500—80,000

ETH is around 2,435. After surging to 2,549, it pulled back more noticeably than BTC and is now hovering right around the Supertrend near 2,420.

Key levels for ETH:
👉 Support: 2,420—2,395
👉 Strong support: 2,350
👉 Resistance: 2,480 / 2,550

My view right now is very simple:

As long as BTC holds 76K, the overall trend remains relatively bullish and ranging;
If ETH holds 2,420, there’s still a chance for further rebound.

If BTC later reclaims 79.5K, then 80K will very likely be tested again.

On the other hand, if 76K breaks down effectively, be cautious—this rally could enter a deeper pullback.

At this point, I’d rather wait for the direction to become clear than chase higher prices.👀
$BTC

#BTC #ETH #bitcoin #Ethereum
$ETH

The short-side pressure on CXMT is not small.
The stock price has risen again, currently at $8.38, up about 4.6% over the past 24 hours, nearing its previous high. Trading volume is $8.226 million, and open interest is approximately $68.93 million.
More importantly, the funding rate: every hour it directly hit -0.2299%, meaning shorts have to pay longs. A simple calculation puts the daily funding cost at about 5.52%, which annualized comes to 2014%.
The largest short “whale” hasn’t reduced its position either—its holdings are about 2.901 million shares, worth $24.317 million, accounting for 35.3% of open interest.
It built the position around 6.50. At present it is sitting on an unrealized loss of $5.448 million (-28.9%), and its liquidation price is 15.11. The cumulative funding costs already total $3.638 million, and with the unrealized loss included, the total loss is about $9.086 million.
With this rate, even if the price doesn’t move, it would have to pay an additional $1.342 million per day. If it drags on for another two weeks, the liquidation price could move close to the current price, and in the end it will likely be liquidated due to margin being depleted.
High funding rates + a large short position are increasing the liquidation risk.
How long do you think it can hold out?
$BTC

Sold 1,635 BTC, but only has 1,279 BTC left in hand.

The recent moves by Empery Digital are kind of interesting.

According to the information in the image, from July to early August, the company cumulatively sold 1,635 BTC and cashed out about $102.2 million.

More importantly:

Current holdings have dropped to 1,279 BTC, among which 954 BTC has been used for debt collateral.

That means the BTC that can actually be freely traded is only 325 BTC.

And at the end of June, that number was still 1,375 BTC.

In about a month or so, it shrank dramatically.

So is this a deliberate strategy to lock in profits,
or is it making “room” to ease funding pressure?

If you hold a large amount of BTC, would you choose to keep holding, or sell part of it first?

I’m really curious what the BTC players on X think.

Is DeepSeek planning another big move?

According to information leaked today, the scale of the second round of funding could reach RMB 50 billion, and the target valuation is said to be as high as RMB 500 billion.

Even more outrageous: it’s claimed that some investors’ entry threshold is RMB 5 billion.

DeepSeek just completed its first funding round in June. Now, a little over a month later, the valuation is said to have already jumped by 40%+.

So what’s the money going to be used for?
Compute power, data centers, model research and development, and preparations for a future IPO.

If this round really goes through at this scale, DeepSeek’s capital story would basically enter its next phase.

But I’m more curious about one thing:

Whether an AI company is worth RMB 500 billion ultimately depends on whether its model capabilities and commercialization can hold up that number.

Do you think DeepSeek could be worth RMB 500 billion in the future?

Bullish / Bearish—let’s discuss in the comments.

🔥 $dodox 15-minute chart warning: a high-level plunge—bulls’ last line of defense is in grave danger!
From the 0.0327 peak, it has been oscillating and then selling off all the way; it’s now trading at 0.0274, with the upward momentum taking a major hit. The market is already entering a critical turning-point node. Directly look at the key fatal data (based on the chart breakdown of image_5.png):
⚠️ Short-term bears run wild: pay attention to the 15-minute chart. MACD is already in a “sub-zero death cross” state (DIF has fallen below the zero line to -0.000133), and the red bearish momentum histogram continues to suppress price action. Clear signs of topping at higher levels are visible; short-term sell pressure is still being released continuously. There’s no definite signal of a bottoming and stabilization yet.
🛡️ Bulls’ lifeline: SuperTrend is still barely holding green, but the support at 0.0252 is facing extreme pressure! This is the bulls’ last line of defense on the short-term timeframe. Once it breaks down effectively, not only will profits be fully given back, but it will very likely trigger a fresh round of panic-driven liquidation cascades.
💡 Ironclad trading discipline:
💰 For long positions / those with a core holding: stop daydreaming—lock onto 0.0252. If price breaks that level with volume and cannot quickly reclaim it, you must unconditionally cut losses or significantly reduce exposure. Do not “hold and hope” while trapped in a high-level bag.
🚫 For those currently in cash (no position): this is absolutely not the time to blindly bottom-fish! Bear power hasn’t exhausted yet—don’t catch falling knives on the left side. Wait patiently for price to test the support near 0.0252. If it breaks down strongly, look for right-side opportunities to short. If it bottoms here and rebounds strongly, accompanied by a bullish divergence/bottom divergence signal, then consider a small-capacity short-term long attempt.
(The chart is extremely weak—risk control comes first! Remember to strictly set stop-losses and DYOR!)

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🔥 After $HEI surged 145%, a shocking “price doorway” appears! After the trend breaks down, escape or buy the dip? A minimalist recap!
From the high 0.545 it plummeted hard to the current 0.421. The chart’s vibe has completely changed—bears have officially taken over the battlefield. Directly look at the core fatal data (based on the chart breakdown of image_4.png):
⚠️ Trend reversal blast (extremely dangerous): The 1H SuperTrend indicator has flipped from green to red, with a strong resistance level fixed at 0.513. This means the previously solid large-scale uptrend has been thoroughly broken— the entire bulls’ line of defense has collapsed.
🩸 Momentum fully reversed: MACD forms a high-level deep dead cross. DIF has strongly crossed below DEA, and the red bearish histogram (-0.01751) is accelerating its expansion. This is absolutely not just a simple shakeout pullback—this is panic selling as main capital aggressively distributes at high levels. Bear momentum is being released violently.
💡 Ironclad trading discipline:
💰 If you’re trapped in longs / holding a bottom position: Don’t keep hoping for a miracle! Take advantage of the current oversold rebound to promptly reduce positions or cut losses on strength. The overhead trapped-position pressure is enormous. Giving back profit is far better than getting liquidated.
🚫 If you have no position: Absolutely do not reach out to catch a falling knife! This weak rebound is highly likely to be a bull trap— a “dead cat bounce.” Follow the trend and wait patiently until price rebounds into the 0.48–0.51 resistance zone, where fatigue becomes evident, then look for a right-side **short (Short)** opportunity with a high risk/reward.
(The decapitation blade has appeared—respect the market. Remember to strictly set stop-losses. DYOR!)

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