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Kalshi Just Became DoubleZero's Second Venue 🔢
Kalshi's live order book is now flowing over DoubleZero Edge, the first prediction market to join the network and only the second venue after Solana.
Edge now carries full order book depth plus top of book for Kalshi's sports event contracts and crypto perpetual futures.
One connection replaces the custom parsing infrastructure market makers would otherwise build themselves.
#DoubleZero #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets
Kalshi's live order book is now flowing over DoubleZero Edge, the first prediction market to join the network and only the second venue after Solana.
Edge now carries full order book depth plus top of book for Kalshi's sports event contracts and crypto perpetual futures.
One connection replaces the custom parsing infrastructure market makers would otherwise build themselves.
#DoubleZero #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets
Verified
Predicting the market: wants to launch S&P 500 perpetuals, taking aim at traditional finance
Kalshi files an application with the CFTC, hoping to list two perpetual contracts: one tracking the US 500 stocks index, and the other tracking the copper price. This is about transplanting the perpetual trading playbook from the crypto space directly into mainstream markets.
First, the products. US500 tracks the MerQube US Large-Cap Index. It’s priced at $1 per point, and can be traded from Sunday evening through Friday afternoon, with cash settlement throughout.
COPPERPERP is more hardcore: one contract represents 1,000 pounds of copper. The price is fed from the Pyth network, and it also sets a net open position limit of 25,000 contracts.
Perpetual contracts have no expiration date. They use funding rates to pull the price back toward the spot market. If companies are worried about long-term copper price volatility, there’s no need to repeatedly roll positions—one contract can be carried indefinitely. You also avoid rollover costs and basis risk. It sounds pretty attractive.
But note: whether these two contracts can actually launch depends on CFTC approval. And this time, Kalshi didn’t take the self-certification shortcut. It proactively chose the regulatory review pathway. Why? Because the CME is still fighting the CFTC in federal court over whether perpetuals count as futures or swaps. That classification question directly determines the fate of the products.
My view: the crypto industry has had perpetual products verified over ten years. Now they’re finally being put to the test of traditional regulation. That’s a good thing—it means perpetual contracts are moving from the wild frontier into the mainstream. But don’t get too excited yet: the pace of regulatory review has never been something the market can force.
Do you think perpetual contracts can break out into the mainstream? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Click the profile picture to watch the live stream.
Every day, I’ll bring you to follow derivatives hot spots—not just reporting what’s happening, but helping you understand the underlying logic and opportunities. 👉🦖
#永续合约 #Kalshi
Kalshi files an application with the CFTC, hoping to list two perpetual contracts: one tracking the US 500 stocks index, and the other tracking the copper price. This is about transplanting the perpetual trading playbook from the crypto space directly into mainstream markets.
First, the products. US500 tracks the MerQube US Large-Cap Index. It’s priced at $1 per point, and can be traded from Sunday evening through Friday afternoon, with cash settlement throughout.
COPPERPERP is more hardcore: one contract represents 1,000 pounds of copper. The price is fed from the Pyth network, and it also sets a net open position limit of 25,000 contracts.
Perpetual contracts have no expiration date. They use funding rates to pull the price back toward the spot market. If companies are worried about long-term copper price volatility, there’s no need to repeatedly roll positions—one contract can be carried indefinitely. You also avoid rollover costs and basis risk. It sounds pretty attractive.
But note: whether these two contracts can actually launch depends on CFTC approval. And this time, Kalshi didn’t take the self-certification shortcut. It proactively chose the regulatory review pathway. Why? Because the CME is still fighting the CFTC in federal court over whether perpetuals count as futures or swaps. That classification question directly determines the fate of the products.
My view: the crypto industry has had perpetual products verified over ten years. Now they’re finally being put to the test of traditional regulation. That’s a good thing—it means perpetual contracts are moving from the wild frontier into the mainstream. But don’t get too excited yet: the pace of regulatory review has never been something the market can force.
Do you think perpetual contracts can break out into the mainstream? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Click the profile picture to watch the live stream.
Every day, I’ll bring you to follow derivatives hot spots—not just reporting what’s happening, but helping you understand the underlying logic and opportunities. 👉🦖
#永续合约 #Kalshi
Verified
🚨 Kalshi is taking new action again!
This time, it’s targeting US stock indexes and copper—are perpetual contracts expanding rapidly?
Group: 点击进入玖玖的粉丝群
On August 18, Kalshi submitted two new perpetual contracts to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): US500 and COPPERPERP. One tracks the US large-cap stock index, and the other tracks spot copper.
🔥 Why is this move worth watching?
US500 tracks the MerQube US large-cap stock index, not the S&P 500 itself. COPPERPERP is based on spot copper and provides price data through the Pyth Network. Both products are cash-settled, involve no physical delivery, and are planned to offer trading hours close to around-the-clock.
This means Kalshi is rapidly expanding its coverage of perpetual products.
From Bitcoin originally, to other digital assets later, and then to gold, silver, and platinum—now it has expanded again to US stock indexes and industrial metals. In less than three months, the scope of product coverage has clearly expanded.
📊 Even more importantly, US500 may have greater strategic significance.
Because stock indexes are one of the core assets in traditional financial markets, and perpetual contracts themselves continuously track prices. If products like these can be successfully rolled out, Kalshi is essentially trying to combine the traditional index-trading model with this new contract structure of perpetuals.
Kalshi previously mentioned that artificial intelligence and data center construction are driving copper demand, so copper itself has strong industrial logic. But this expansion is not without controversy.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) has already launched legal challenges against Kalshi’s perpetual contracts. The core dispute is whether these products should be treated as futures or regulated as swaps.
Click the profile picture to watch the livestream + join the Jiujiu chat group to get daily strategies 🚀
#Kalshi #us500 #铜
This time, it’s targeting US stock indexes and copper—are perpetual contracts expanding rapidly?
Group: 点击进入玖玖的粉丝群
On August 18, Kalshi submitted two new perpetual contracts to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): US500 and COPPERPERP. One tracks the US large-cap stock index, and the other tracks spot copper.
🔥 Why is this move worth watching?
US500 tracks the MerQube US large-cap stock index, not the S&P 500 itself. COPPERPERP is based on spot copper and provides price data through the Pyth Network. Both products are cash-settled, involve no physical delivery, and are planned to offer trading hours close to around-the-clock.
This means Kalshi is rapidly expanding its coverage of perpetual products.
From Bitcoin originally, to other digital assets later, and then to gold, silver, and platinum—now it has expanded again to US stock indexes and industrial metals. In less than three months, the scope of product coverage has clearly expanded.
📊 Even more importantly, US500 may have greater strategic significance.
Because stock indexes are one of the core assets in traditional financial markets, and perpetual contracts themselves continuously track prices. If products like these can be successfully rolled out, Kalshi is essentially trying to combine the traditional index-trading model with this new contract structure of perpetuals.
Kalshi previously mentioned that artificial intelligence and data center construction are driving copper demand, so copper itself has strong industrial logic. But this expansion is not without controversy.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) has already launched legal challenges against Kalshi’s perpetual contracts. The core dispute is whether these products should be treated as futures or regulated as swaps.
Click the profile picture to watch the livestream + join the Jiujiu chat group to get daily strategies 🚀
#Kalshi #us500 #铜
Kalshi, apparently, is gradually expanding well beyond the usual prediction markets 👀
The platform has filed documents with the CFTC to launch perpetual contracts tied to an index of the largest U.S. companies.
The second contract will track the spot price of copper. That is, Kalshi is effectively expanding the direction toward perpetual derivatives in traditional financial assets.
For me, the most interesting part here isn’t the launch itself. If these instruments take hold, the line between traditional finance, derivatives, and crypto infrastructure will become even less noticeable.
Perpetual contracts have long been a staple in crypto. Now it will be interesting to see how well this model will work with traditional assets.
$ETH
#crypto #Trading #Kalshi #Derivatives
What do you think?
📊 What’s more interesting to you:
The platform has filed documents with the CFTC to launch perpetual contracts tied to an index of the largest U.S. companies.
The second contract will track the spot price of copper. That is, Kalshi is effectively expanding the direction toward perpetual derivatives in traditional financial assets.
For me, the most interesting part here isn’t the launch itself. If these instruments take hold, the line between traditional finance, derivatives, and crypto infrastructure will become even less noticeable.
Perpetual contracts have long been a staple in crypto. Now it will be interesting to see how well this model will work with traditional assets.
$ETH
#crypto #Trading #Kalshi #Derivatives
What do you think?
📊 What’s more interesting to you:
1️⃣ Perpetual на фондові індекси
67%
2️⃣ Perpetual на мідь
0%
3️⃣ Я б залишився на споті
0%
4️⃣ Поки просто спостерігаю
33%
3 votes • Voting closed
🚨 $KALSHI FIRES BACK AT NEVADA'S 120K DAILY FINE — REGULATORS ACCUSED OF BREAKING FEDERAL LAW 💥
📌 The courtroom chess match just got sharper. Kalshi isn't rolling over on the geofencing allegations — they're flipping the script and pointing the finger straight at the Nevada Gaming Control Board. 📊 Court filings show regulators completed 9 trades after the compliance deadline using in-state cellular data, while Kalshi claims investigators fed the platform fake residential addresses. That's not oversight — that's a crafted entrance.
💡 The state wants $120K per day in penalties for a missed technical deadline, but Kalshi's hired GeoComply, the very firm Nevada's own gaming regulator licenses. ⚖️ This battle isn't about GPS pings anymore — it's about whether a state can weaponize enforcement against a federally regulated market. 💬 If Nevada's tactics get slapped down, does this embolden every prediction platform to charge harder into hostile jurisdictions? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #KALSHI #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #LegalShowdown #Geofencing
⚡ 🦈
📌 The courtroom chess match just got sharper. Kalshi isn't rolling over on the geofencing allegations — they're flipping the script and pointing the finger straight at the Nevada Gaming Control Board. 📊 Court filings show regulators completed 9 trades after the compliance deadline using in-state cellular data, while Kalshi claims investigators fed the platform fake residential addresses. That's not oversight — that's a crafted entrance.
💡 The state wants $120K per day in penalties for a missed technical deadline, but Kalshi's hired GeoComply, the very firm Nevada's own gaming regulator licenses. ⚖️ This battle isn't about GPS pings anymore — it's about whether a state can weaponize enforcement against a federally regulated market. 💬 If Nevada's tactics get slapped down, does this embolden every prediction platform to charge harder into hostile jurisdictions? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #KALSHI #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #LegalShowdown #Geofencing
⚡ 🦈
🛡️ $KALSHI COUNTERS NEVADA'S $120K DAILY FINES WITH FEDERAL LAW FIGHT! ⚖️
📌 The prediction market platform just turned the surveillance tables on Nevada regulators, accusing state investigators of feeding false residential addresses into its app to bypass geofencing protocols. Kalshi's counter-move is surgical — they hired GeoComply, the same geolocation layer trusted by licensed gaming operators, and documented every compliance milestone for months.
🔍 What makes this structural: regulatory enforcement colliding with federal preemption arguments. If Kalshi proves investigators fabricated location data, the $120K daily fine vaporizes and Nevada's entire compliance framework loses credibility. 💡 This isn't just about one app's geofencing — it's a template for every prediction platform facing state-level crusades.
💬 Will this legal pushback force Nevada to rethink its approach to digital derivatives entirely? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #BlockchainNews
🛡️ ⚖️
📌 The prediction market platform just turned the surveillance tables on Nevada regulators, accusing state investigators of feeding false residential addresses into its app to bypass geofencing protocols. Kalshi's counter-move is surgical — they hired GeoComply, the same geolocation layer trusted by licensed gaming operators, and documented every compliance milestone for months.
🔍 What makes this structural: regulatory enforcement colliding with federal preemption arguments. If Kalshi proves investigators fabricated location data, the $120K daily fine vaporizes and Nevada's entire compliance framework loses credibility. 💡 This isn't just about one app's geofencing — it's a template for every prediction platform facing state-level crusades.
💬 Will this legal pushback force Nevada to rethink its approach to digital derivatives entirely? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #BlockchainNews
🛡️ ⚖️
🚨 CFTC basically said: “You’re not shutting Kalshi down on my watch.” 💀
The CFTC is using unprecedented emergency powers to protect Kalshi’s ability to keep operating in its legal fight with U.S. states.
New York is suing Kalshi, accusing the platform of running unlicensed sports gambling, including issues related to age and the state’s tax obligations.
But the CFTC is on the opposite side:
CFTC: These event contracts / swaps fall under federal oversight.
States: This is gambling—states have the right to regulate it.
Kalshi: “Can we just keep trading?” 💀
The CFTC has now sued 9 states and joined lawsuits in multiple courts to defend its position that event contracts fall under federal jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act.
So this battle is no longer simply Kalshi vs. New York.
It’s becoming a much bigger fight:
Federal regulator vs. State regulators
Derivatives vs. Gambling
And if Kalshi wins, this precedent could have a huge impact on how prediction markets operate in the U.S.
Guys, do you think Kalshi is building a new derivatives market—or is it just calling gambling by a more Wall Street-sounding name? 👀
#CFTC #Kalshi
The CFTC is using unprecedented emergency powers to protect Kalshi’s ability to keep operating in its legal fight with U.S. states.
New York is suing Kalshi, accusing the platform of running unlicensed sports gambling, including issues related to age and the state’s tax obligations.
But the CFTC is on the opposite side:
CFTC: These event contracts / swaps fall under federal oversight.
States: This is gambling—states have the right to regulate it.
Kalshi: “Can we just keep trading?” 💀
The CFTC has now sued 9 states and joined lawsuits in multiple courts to defend its position that event contracts fall under federal jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act.
So this battle is no longer simply Kalshi vs. New York.
It’s becoming a much bigger fight:
Federal regulator vs. State regulators
Derivatives vs. Gambling
And if Kalshi wins, this precedent could have a huge impact on how prediction markets operate in the U.S.
Guys, do you think Kalshi is building a new derivatives market—or is it just calling gambling by a more Wall Street-sounding name? 👀
#CFTC #Kalshi
CRYPTO_DRIFT:
Оце вже цікава юридична боротьба 👀 Тут питання фактично не лише в Kalshi, а в тому, хто взагалі має право регулювати такі ринки — федеральний рівень чи штати.
Якщо event-контракти справді закріпляться як фінансові деривативи, це може створити дуже важливий прецедент для prediction markets у США.
А ти як вважаєш: новий клас деривативів чи gambling під новою назвою? 👀
І якщо буде хвилина — заглянь у мій профіль та проголосуй у моєму опитуванні 📊 Буду радий побачити твою думку.
White House to Meet Crypto Executives on August 19: Why Kalshi and Polymarket Are Getting a Seat at the Table Too?
The White House is expected to convene a meeting on August 19 with Crypto and prediction market industry executives. Coinbase, Ripple, Kalshi, Polymarket, and other companies have been reported as potential participants, but the final list and specific agenda have not yet been fully confirmed.
The interesting part isn’t “yet another Crypto meeting.”
What’s noteworthy is that prediction markets are being put at the same table this time.
In one sentence:
Previously, regulators were still arguing whether Kalshi counts as a financial derivative or gambling. Now, the White House is already treating it as part of the next generation of financial markets.
Even more coincidental, on the following day, August 20, the CFTC is set to hold its first Innovation Advisory Committee meeting. The first agenda item is directly titled:
Crypto Regulation: From Uncertainty to Clarity.
While the CLARITY Act has already moved to the next stage, the truly crucial Senate vote is still expected in September.
So the main storyline for U.S. Crypto regulation going forward is already clear:
Not only deciding “who regulates the coins,” but redefining which exchanges, stablecoins, DeFi, and prediction markets can officially enter the financial system.
#crypto #Kalshi #Polymarket
The White House is expected to convene a meeting on August 19 with Crypto and prediction market industry executives. Coinbase, Ripple, Kalshi, Polymarket, and other companies have been reported as potential participants, but the final list and specific agenda have not yet been fully confirmed.
The interesting part isn’t “yet another Crypto meeting.”
What’s noteworthy is that prediction markets are being put at the same table this time.
In one sentence:
Previously, regulators were still arguing whether Kalshi counts as a financial derivative or gambling. Now, the White House is already treating it as part of the next generation of financial markets.
Even more coincidental, on the following day, August 20, the CFTC is set to hold its first Innovation Advisory Committee meeting. The first agenda item is directly titled:
Crypto Regulation: From Uncertainty to Clarity.
While the CLARITY Act has already moved to the next stage, the truly crucial Senate vote is still expected in September.
So the main storyline for U.S. Crypto regulation going forward is already clear:
Not only deciding “who regulates the coins,” but redefining which exchanges, stablecoins, DeFi, and prediction markets can officially enter the financial system.
#crypto #Kalshi #Polymarket
CRYPTO_DRIFT:
Цікаво, що Kalshi та Polymarket опинилися за одним столом із великими представниками криптоіндустрії. 👀 Схоже, ринки прогнозів поступово перестають сприйматися як окрема ніша й дедалі більше перетинаються з питаннями майбутньої фінансової інфраструктури.
Особливо цікаво буде подивитися, чи зможуть США створити зрозумілі правила, які не задушать інновації, але й не залишать регуляторних прогалин.
До речі, якщо буде хвилина — заглянь у мій профіль і проголосуй у моєму невеликому опитуванні 📊🙌
Partly True
Kalshi just got another “bro, you’re not allowed here” moment. 💀
Nevada’s gaming regulator is demanding that Kalshi pay a $12,000/day penalty, after investigators claimed they could still trade on Kalshi through local mobile networks, even though the platform has already implemented geo-restrictions.
Kalshi counters that it uses GeoComply, a geolocation provider licensed by the state regulator, and also alleges that some investigators may have entered fake addresses—or that at least one person managed to get past the blocking system.
Nevada: “Block Nevada users.”
Kalshi: “We did.”
Nevada: “Our investigator still got in.”
Kalshi: “Bro… 💀”
This case is pretty interesting because the dispute isn’t just about whether Kalshi is allowed to operate—it also raises the question: who’s responsible if a geofencing system is bypassed?
So what do you guys think—does the fault lie with Kalshi, with the geolocation system, or with how the regulators are testing the prediction market platform? 👀
#BrainrotCrypto #Kalshi
Nevada’s gaming regulator is demanding that Kalshi pay a $12,000/day penalty, after investigators claimed they could still trade on Kalshi through local mobile networks, even though the platform has already implemented geo-restrictions.
Kalshi counters that it uses GeoComply, a geolocation provider licensed by the state regulator, and also alleges that some investigators may have entered fake addresses—or that at least one person managed to get past the blocking system.
Nevada: “Block Nevada users.”
Kalshi: “We did.”
Nevada: “Our investigator still got in.”
Kalshi: “Bro… 💀”
This case is pretty interesting because the dispute isn’t just about whether Kalshi is allowed to operate—it also raises the question: who’s responsible if a geofencing system is bypassed?
So what do you guys think—does the fault lie with Kalshi, with the geolocation system, or with how the regulators are testing the prediction market platform? 👀
#BrainrotCrypto #Kalshi
#kalshiorderedtosuspendwashingtonoperations
Kalshi Faces Washington Showdown ⚖️
Kalshi just won an important CFTC-related fight in New York, but Washington state is taking a very different stance.
Washington has ordered Kalshi to suspend operations, arguing that its prediction-market activity violates state gambling and consumer-protection laws.
Kalshi is pushing back, arguing that federal law and CFTC oversight preempt state restrictions.
The bigger story? Federal vs. state authority over prediction markets.
If the Aug. 19 deadline holds, traders could see tighter geofencing in Washington.
For prediction markets, this isn’t just a Kalshi issue—it could help shape the regulatory playbook for the entire sector.
Watch the court battle. 🍿
#Kalshi #CFTC #PredictionMarkets
Kalshi Faces Washington Showdown ⚖️
Kalshi just won an important CFTC-related fight in New York, but Washington state is taking a very different stance.
Washington has ordered Kalshi to suspend operations, arguing that its prediction-market activity violates state gambling and consumer-protection laws.
Kalshi is pushing back, arguing that federal law and CFTC oversight preempt state restrictions.
The bigger story? Federal vs. state authority over prediction markets.
If the Aug. 19 deadline holds, traders could see tighter geofencing in Washington.
For prediction markets, this isn’t just a Kalshi issue—it could help shape the regulatory playbook for the entire sector.
Watch the court battle. 🍿
#Kalshi #CFTC #PredictionMarkets
Verified
#kalshiorderedtosuspendwashingtonoperations
#Kalshi
🚨 Kalshi just took a hit in Washington.
A Washington state court ordered the suspension of some Kalshi operations in the state, escalating the fight over who gets to regulate prediction markets.
The core dispute is simple:
🏛️ State: Some Kalshi activities fall under state laws.
🇺🇸 Federal: Futures and event markets fall under federal regulatory authority.
If similar challenges spread to other states, this could become a much bigger test for prediction markets in the U.S.
Temporary setback — or the start of a wider regulatory fight?
#PredictionMarkets #Markets #Regulation
#Kalshi
🚨 Kalshi just took a hit in Washington.
A Washington state court ordered the suspension of some Kalshi operations in the state, escalating the fight over who gets to regulate prediction markets.
The core dispute is simple:
🏛️ State: Some Kalshi activities fall under state laws.
🇺🇸 Federal: Futures and event markets fall under federal regulatory authority.
If similar challenges spread to other states, this could become a much bigger test for prediction markets in the U.S.
Temporary setback — or the start of a wider regulatory fight?
#PredictionMarkets #Markets #Regulation
#kalshiorderedtosuspendwashingtonoperations
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) just saved Kalshi in New York, but the state of Washington said: "Not in my house!" 🛑 An order was issued for Kalshi to suspend operations in Washington due to violations of gambling laws and consumer laws with suspicious advertisements!
Instead of backing down, Kalshi is raising a CFTC immunity card and challenging the authority of the local court! It claims that federal law overrides state rules. How much drama? More than 9,000! 🍿
Traders: expect a massive geofencing restriction by August 19. Don’t get caught in the crossfire between the state and the federal government. Follow the regulatory shift, and trade cautiously! 📉
Not financial advice!
Please follow up
#Kalshi #CFTC #predictionmarket
$BTC
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) just saved Kalshi in New York, but the state of Washington said: "Not in my house!" 🛑 An order was issued for Kalshi to suspend operations in Washington due to violations of gambling laws and consumer laws with suspicious advertisements!
Instead of backing down, Kalshi is raising a CFTC immunity card and challenging the authority of the local court! It claims that federal law overrides state rules. How much drama? More than 9,000! 🍿
Traders: expect a massive geofencing restriction by August 19. Don’t get caught in the crossfire between the state and the federal government. Follow the regulatory shift, and trade cautiously! 📉
Not financial advice!
Please follow up
#Kalshi #CFTC #predictionmarket
$BTC
WASHINGTON STATE DROPS THE HAMMER ON KALSHI 💥 COURT ORDERS GEOBLOCK BY AUGUST 19TH ⚖️
Regulatory walls are closing in around prediction markets. A Washington State court just ruled Kalshi's event contracts on sports, elections, and politics likely violate state gambling laws — and ordered a hard IP geoblock by August 19th, upgrading to multi-source geofencing by September 2nd. Baltimore piled on the same day, suing both Kalshi and Polymarket over alleged illegal gambling products.
The legal battlefield here is fascinating. Kalshi argues federal CFTC oversight should preempt state law, but state courts are pushing back hard. The ruling is surgical though — commodity, climate, and economic contracts still operate in Washington. They know exactly where to draw the line.
This is the chess match that could reshape how prediction markets operate across the US. If state-level enforcement becomes the norm, geoblocking becomes the industry standard — and that changes the user map entirely. Will other states follow Washington's playbook, or will federal preemption win the day? The clock is ticking. 🕐
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #BlockchainNews
💭🔥
Regulatory walls are closing in around prediction markets. A Washington State court just ruled Kalshi's event contracts on sports, elections, and politics likely violate state gambling laws — and ordered a hard IP geoblock by August 19th, upgrading to multi-source geofencing by September 2nd. Baltimore piled on the same day, suing both Kalshi and Polymarket over alleged illegal gambling products.
The legal battlefield here is fascinating. Kalshi argues federal CFTC oversight should preempt state law, but state courts are pushing back hard. The ruling is surgical though — commodity, climate, and economic contracts still operate in Washington. They know exactly where to draw the line.
This is the chess match that could reshape how prediction markets operate across the US. If state-level enforcement becomes the norm, geoblocking becomes the industry standard — and that changes the user map entirely. Will other states follow Washington's playbook, or will federal preemption win the day? The clock is ticking. 🕐
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #BlockchainNews
💭🔥
$KALSHI FACES REGULATORY SQUEEZE — WASHINGTON BANS PREDICTION CONTRACTS ⚖️🌊
The regulatory noose around prediction markets is tightening. A Washington State court just ruled that Kalshi's event contracts for sports, elections, politics, and culture likely violate state gambling laws — ordering an immediate halt to those offerings. 🏛️
The injunction gives Kalshi until August 19th to roll out IP-based geoblocking, with a more robust multi-source geofencing system required by September 2nd. Notably, commodities, climate, and financial contracts remain untouched — so it's a partial clampdown, not a full shutdown. 🔄
The bigger picture? Baltimore sued Kalshi and Polymarket on the same day, and multiple states are questioning whether these are legal gambling products. Kalshi argues federal CFTC oversight should prevail, but pressure keeps building. How do you think this reshapes prediction markets? 🤔
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #KALSHI #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #CryptoNews
📊🔍
The regulatory noose around prediction markets is tightening. A Washington State court just ruled that Kalshi's event contracts for sports, elections, politics, and culture likely violate state gambling laws — ordering an immediate halt to those offerings. 🏛️
The injunction gives Kalshi until August 19th to roll out IP-based geoblocking, with a more robust multi-source geofencing system required by September 2nd. Notably, commodities, climate, and financial contracts remain untouched — so it's a partial clampdown, not a full shutdown. 🔄
The bigger picture? Baltimore sued Kalshi and Polymarket on the same day, and multiple states are questioning whether these are legal gambling products. Kalshi argues federal CFTC oversight should prevail, but pressure keeps building. How do you think this reshapes prediction markets? 🤔
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #KALSHI #PredictionMarkets #CryptoRegulation #CryptoNews
📊🔍
Washington State’s Ban on Kalshi: Are Prediction Markets Finance—or Gambling?
Washington State hasn’t just issued a warning this time—it’s taken action. A court has ordered Kalshi to stop offering most event contracts to local users, covering multiple categories such as sports, elections, politics, entertainment, and technology, and it has also required adding IP and residency restrictions.
One-sentence translation: You can think of Kalshi as “turning real-world issues into tradable contracts”—whether Trump will win, whether a team will win, what the CPI will be, you can trade it. The question is: does this qualify as a financial product, or is it gambling under a different name?
Kalshi’s logic is that it is a derivatives exchange regulated by the CFTC, and that state governments don’t have the authority to treat it as a gambling platform. The CFTC has also recently publicly emphasized that event contracts fall under federal derivatives regulation, and in another New York dispute it used emergency powers to require Kalshi to keep operating normally.
But states such as Washington, New York, and Nevada clearly disagree. What’s even more interesting is that court rulings across the U.S. are not yet fully consistent: some back the states’ restrictions, while others argue that federal regulation should take priority.
That’s the biggest risk for Prediction Markets going forward: not that nobody’s playing, but that the hotter it gets, the harder it becomes to avoid the legal question of what it actually is.
#Kalshi #predictionmarket #kalshi被令暂停华盛顿州业务
Washington State hasn’t just issued a warning this time—it’s taken action. A court has ordered Kalshi to stop offering most event contracts to local users, covering multiple categories such as sports, elections, politics, entertainment, and technology, and it has also required adding IP and residency restrictions.
One-sentence translation: You can think of Kalshi as “turning real-world issues into tradable contracts”—whether Trump will win, whether a team will win, what the CPI will be, you can trade it. The question is: does this qualify as a financial product, or is it gambling under a different name?
Kalshi’s logic is that it is a derivatives exchange regulated by the CFTC, and that state governments don’t have the authority to treat it as a gambling platform. The CFTC has also recently publicly emphasized that event contracts fall under federal derivatives regulation, and in another New York dispute it used emergency powers to require Kalshi to keep operating normally.
But states such as Washington, New York, and Nevada clearly disagree. What’s even more interesting is that court rulings across the U.S. are not yet fully consistent: some back the states’ restrictions, while others argue that federal regulation should take priority.
That’s the biggest risk for Prediction Markets going forward: not that nobody’s playing, but that the hotter it gets, the harder it becomes to avoid the legal question of what it actually is.
#Kalshi #predictionmarket #kalshi被令暂停华盛顿州业务
风中浪客:
这波监管操作有点狠啊，Kalshi直接变“Kalshi没了”，预测市场到底算金融还是赌博，本质就是个牌照问题，懂的都懂。
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
💰 Prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced talks to raise at least $750 million in a new funding round valuing the company at $40 billion.
📈 The proposed valuation would represent an 82% increase from the company's $22 billion valuation in May 2026, highlighting extremely rapid growth.
🏦 Sequoia Capital is expected to increase its existing investment, while Wellington Management could join as a new institutional investor.
🚀 Kalshi is reportedly generating $4 billion in annualized revenue, driven primarily by its expanding sports prediction market business. More than 80% of trading volume comes from sports contracts.
⚔️ The funding round would significantly widen Kalshi's lead over rival Polymarket, which was previously reported to be seeking funding at a $20 billion valuation.
🏆 Kalshi claims to control 95% of the U.S. prediction market by revenue, strengthening its position as the dominant player in the sector.
🧭 The company is also considering a potential IPO in 2027, making this fundraising round an important step toward a future public listing.
$BTC $ETH
#Kalshi
💰 Prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced talks to raise at least $750 million in a new funding round valuing the company at $40 billion.
📈 The proposed valuation would represent an 82% increase from the company's $22 billion valuation in May 2026, highlighting extremely rapid growth.
🏦 Sequoia Capital is expected to increase its existing investment, while Wellington Management could join as a new institutional investor.
🚀 Kalshi is reportedly generating $4 billion in annualized revenue, driven primarily by its expanding sports prediction market business. More than 80% of trading volume comes from sports contracts.
⚔️ The funding round would significantly widen Kalshi's lead over rival Polymarket, which was previously reported to be seeking funding at a $20 billion valuation.
🏆 Kalshi claims to control 95% of the U.S. prediction market by revenue, strengthening its position as the dominant player in the sector.
🧭 The company is also considering a potential IPO in 2027, making this fundraising round an important step toward a future public listing.
$BTC $ETH
#Kalshi
Kalshi is in talks with Sequoia and Wellington for a $750 million fundraise at a $40 billion valuation. The prediction-market platform previously raised $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation in May and is now pursuing a new round that could nearly double that figure. Could this spark larger crypto-capital interest in regulated prediction markets? $BTC #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #Crypto
CRYPTO_DRIFT:
That valuation jump is hard to ignore 👀 If Kalshi can attract this level of capital at a much higher valuation, it could be a strong signal that investors see prediction markets as more than just a niche product.
The bigger question for me is whether this will bring more crypto capital into regulated prediction markets — or simply push the sector toward a more traditional financial model. 🔥
Would love to hear your take on that.
HOLD bnb culture:
They’re simply trying to find the right balance in a new industry that is still taking shape and hasn’t been fully regulated yet.
🦈 SEQUOIA & WELLINGTON CIRCLE $KALSHI AT $40B — THE SMART MONEY IS READING THE ROOM 💥
Institutional giants are stepping into the prediction market arena, and this isn't a whisper — it's a roar from the capital herd. 🦈 Sequoia and Wellington are in advanced talks to back Kalshi, with valuations hovering around the $40B mark.
Wellington's entrance as a fresh investor is the real tell here. These are the funds that historically position near IPO-stage names, sniffing out the next big narrative before the crowd catches on. 📊 Prediction markets are quietly becoming the new order flow battlefield, and the big fish are marking their territory early.
The deal isn't sealed yet, but the directional bias is unmistakable. When institutions of this caliber start circling, the market's center of gravity shifts. 💬 Will prediction markets become the next capital magnet for crypto-adjacent traders, or is this valuation priced for perfection? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #InstitutionalAdoption #Crypto #Sequoia
🦈 💎
Institutional giants are stepping into the prediction market arena, and this isn't a whisper — it's a roar from the capital herd. 🦈 Sequoia and Wellington are in advanced talks to back Kalshi, with valuations hovering around the $40B mark.
Wellington's entrance as a fresh investor is the real tell here. These are the funds that historically position near IPO-stage names, sniffing out the next big narrative before the crowd catches on. 📊 Prediction markets are quietly becoming the new order flow battlefield, and the big fish are marking their territory early.
The deal isn't sealed yet, but the directional bias is unmistakable. When institutions of this caliber start circling, the market's center of gravity shifts. 💬 Will prediction markets become the next capital magnet for crypto-adjacent traders, or is this valuation priced for perfection? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #InstitutionalAdoption #Crypto #Sequoia
🦈 💎
Kalshi negotiating a $750 million funding round, valuing at $40 billion
- The Kalshi prediction market platform is in talks with Sequoia and Wellington to raise $750 million.
- The proposed new funding round values the company at $40 billion, nearly double the $22 billion valuation from the $1 billion round in May.
- If successful, this funding round would significantly increase Kalshi’s scale and value.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #Kalshi
$btc $eth
#vlikevn #Titanbot
Source: CoinDesk
- The Kalshi prediction market platform is in talks with Sequoia and Wellington to raise $750 million.
- The proposed new funding round values the company at $40 billion, nearly double the $22 billion valuation from the $1 billion round in May.
- If successful, this funding round would significantly increase Kalshi’s scale and value.
#BinanceSquare #CryptoNews #Kalshi
$btc $eth
#vlikevn #Titanbot
Source: CoinDesk
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