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$INIT : Not even oversold conditions can save it — I’m selling the breakdown
INIT is down 2.5% in 24h with the RSI at 24.8: textbook oversold, and yet the price isn’t bouncing — it’s clinging to its 4h EMA50 support ($0.12867) from above, just a breath away from losing it.
Open Interest rose 12% to $9.01M as the price fell: fresh money entering shorts, not trapped longs getting out. Taker flow is 44.1% buys, and funding at +0.005% pays shorts to wait.
That’s smart money sniffing out a breakdown: if INIT loses that EMA50, there’s nothing below until the extended low at $0.11714. Meanwhile, the BTC network is processing 844K txs with hashrate at 1154 EH/s: the broader market is solid — the problem is INIT, not the market.
With OI up 12% while the price falls, this is the breakdown’s edge, where smart money has already placed its bet.
📊 SHORT INIT signal
📍 Current price: $0.13085
🎯 Zone: $0.13085–$0.13426 (dist. 0.0%)
If the price returns to my zone, I’ll enter short with a limit order at $0.13256: 50% there and 50% if I get the retest.
🛑 If it rises above $0.13631 (+2.83%), there’s no breakdown: my stop loss is confirmed BEFORE I enter.
Risk per trade: 2% of capital.
✅ TP1: $0.11714 — when support breaks, I’ll take 50% profit and leave the rest at zero risk.
🏁 TP2: $0.10109, the 1.272 extension: the level where the breakdown completes and I close the rest.
R/R: 1:4.11 · 1:8.38
⚠️ Note: RSI is at 24.8 — a bounce could come at any moment, so the setup expires soon.
⏳ Valid: next 4h, or until price rises above $0.13631.
Will INIT lose the $0.12867 EMA50, or will oversold conditions finally trigger a bounce?
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Live price here 👇 INIT
INIT
#Initia #Modular #Trading
This is a plan, not financial advice.