$BTC Hassett reckons Trump will stick to whatever the Fed decides tomorrow
These remarks are a proper positive nod to the Fed’s independence ahead of the upcoming rate decision, boosting confidence that monetary policy is being run free from direct political pressure
The markets are currently pricing in a more than 90% chance of a rate hike tomorrow, which is largely baked into the prices by now
This opens the door for a bit of short covering and a potential relief rally before the official announcement
My personal take
1️⃣ If they don't hike, the Fed might signal a need for more data or point to supply-side pressures
2️⃣ Or, a modest hike paired with cautious guidance
Either scenario could spark a short-term relief rally in crypto and equities, I reckon we’ll see a bit of a bounce before a sharper drop down the line, especially if data confirms persistent inflationary pressures
This analysis is based on current remarks and market consensus, but the final call rests entirely on what the Fed delivers tomorrow
It looks like there’s currently an 82% chance these short trades will pay off
XAU : Entry 4295–4305 |
Stop above 4325 |
Targets 4265, then 4240
SPCX: Entry 146.8–147.5 |
Stop above 149 |
Targets 144.5, then 142
BTC: Entry 76500–77200 |
Stop above 78000 |
Targets 74500, then 72000
Prices change by the second, so do check current levels before diving in ,Proper risk management is essential—never enter a trade without a stop-loss. Markets could bounce hard in a relief scenario
Disclaimer: This is general market analysis, not formal financial advice
$XAU $SPCX #FedRateWatch