Tonight, the market gets its inflation report card. 📊💀
US CPI for July will be released tonight, and the market is waiting to see whether the Fed has more reasons to ease in September.
Current expectations:
CPI: 3.4% YoY / +0.1% MoM
Core CPI: 2.5% YoY / +0.2% MoM
On Kalshi, the market is even more cautious: the probability of CPI coming in above 3.4% is only about 15%, while the probability of Core CPI exceeding 2.5% is only about 11%.
If CPI is low or in line with expectations → risk assets may breathe easier.
If CPI is hotter than expected → USD + yields could jump, and crypto could have another very busy night. 💀
I think today isn’t a day to try guessing each number precisely. What matters more is how the market reacts after the data is released.
Kalshi: “Only 15% chance CPI > 3.4%.”
BTC trader: “So… 15% chance of chaos?” 💀
Guys, are you betting on CPI lower than expected, in line, or higher?
#BrainrotCrypto #DigitalSchizophrenia #USJulyCPI&PPIDueThisWeek