$SAHARA surged 6% today, with contract trading at 34 million, while spot only hit 11 million.
Contracts are over 3 times the spot.
Every time I see this ratio, it gives me the chills.
The lack of spot participation shows that there aren't many real buyers; it's mostly leverage pushing the price up—I'm really skeptical about how sustainable this rally is.
Funding rate is +0.005%, not extreme, but the bulls are definitely paying.
Open interest is nearly 600 million SAHARA, and the position isn't low.
My trader friend once said something that stuck with me: "In a leveraged rally, the latecomers are the ones left holding the bag."
I'm not saying
$SAHARA will definitely drop; it made it to
#11 on the gainers list today, so there's definitely someone behind it, possibly some narrative or funds, but I don't have the full picture.
Given this position and structure, I prefer to sit on the sidelines.
I'm not chasing it; I'll see if it can bring up the spot trading volume. If the spot catches up, then I’ll reconsider.
What do you all think? Is anyone else trading this?
$SAHARA #SAHARA #合约观察 #Binance
Don't go all in; if you lose, don’t blame me.