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9 of the Last 13 Augusts Closed Red — Can $BTC Break the Streak? #Bitcoin ’s August performance has historically leaned negative. Looking at the last 13 years: > 9 of 13 Augusts closed in the red > Median return sits around -7.5% > Average return is also negative across the sample > The most recent stretch (2022–2025) produced four consecutive red Augusts Only a handful of years (notably 2013, 2020, and 2021) delivered clear positive closes for the month. Seasonality is never a guarantee. Macro conditions, liquidity, ETF flows, and broader risk sentiment can override historical patterns. Still, the repeated weakness in August has been one of the more consistent monthly tendencies in Bitcoin’s trading history. With several weeks still left in August 2026, the month remains open. Can $BTC break the streak this time? It is possible — especially if supportive macro conditions (softer dollar, improving risk appetite) persist. However, history shows the odds have favored downside closes more often than not. Traders will be watching whether this August can finally deliver a sustained positive close after a multi-year run of red months. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $SOL #BTC Price Analysis#

$BTC Holding Near $63,500 as Risk Assets Firm Bitcoin is trading around the $63,500–$63,600 level, posting modest gains on the day. Current market backdrop: > BTC: ~$63,600 (+1.1%)
> ETH: ~$1,900 (+1.4%)
> Nasdaq 100 futures: +0.50%
> S&P 500 futures: +0.11%
> DXY: softer, down ~0.2%
> Gold and silver also higher

The combination of firmer U.S. equity futures and a weaker dollar is providing a mildly supportive environment for risk assets, including crypto. Oil remains largely flat while the broader equity complex shows mixed but constructive pre-market signals. Price is consolidating near recent levels with limited volatility so far in the session. Traders continue to watch whether the softer dollar and equity strength can translate into sustained follow-through for Bitcoin. A relatively calm tape with a slight risk-on tilt. Are you treating the softer DXY and higher equity futures as enough of a tailwind for $BTC here, or still waiting for stronger confirmation?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $ETH #Macro Insights#

Kalshi Traders Price Bitcoin Yearly Low Near $54K Prediction market traders on Kalshi are currently forecasting that Bitcoin’s lowest print this year will land around the $54,000 level. Key details from the market: > The aggregated forecast sits near $54K
> Trading volume on the related contracts exceeds $5.4 million
> The market asks a simple question: “How low will Bitcoin get this year?”

This reflects the collective positioning of traders betting on the depth of any remaining downside in 2026. Bitcoin has already traded well below previous cycle highs, and the prediction market continues to assign meaningful probability to further weakness before year-end. Prediction markets price probabilities, not certainties. Sentiment can shift quickly with new flows, macro data, or technical developments. The $54K level is now one of the more closely watched downside markers among active traders. Do you see $54K as a realistic yearly low, or do you expect the bottom to form higher (or lower) from here?

#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #BTC Price Analysis#

When bringing assets into TON, most users probably think about the destination first. But the route you take can matter just as much. @ston_fi 's latest research breaks down two ways users can move value from Ethereum, BNB Chain or Base into TON: the traditional bridge route and the atomic-swap route through Omniston. The difference isn't just technical. With a typical bridge, the original asset is locked on the source chain and a wrapped Jetton is issued on TON. You get your funds onto TON, but you're now holding a representation of the original asset. With an atomic swap, the goal is different. Omniston matches the trade with a resolver and uses paired HTLCs to settle both sides of the transaction. The user receives the native TON-side asset directly, without adding a wrapped-token layer. If the swap doesn't complete, the timelock mechanism allows the funds to be returned. That creates a different experience for someone who actually wants to use the capital in TON DeFi. You don't have to arrive with a wrapped version and then figure out what to do with it. The cross-chain transaction can deliver the asset you actually want to use on TON. And there is another difference worth paying attention to: custody and risk. A bridge introduces exposure to the bridge contract and its supporting infrastructure. The resolver-based HTLC model used by Omniston removes the bridge contract from that path and makes settlement conditional on both sides of the swap completing. Neither route is automatically right for every situation. But once you understand how the routes work, “moving assets to TON” stops sounding like one simple action. The infrastructure behind that movement matters. Explore cross-chain swaps on STONfi:https://app.ston.fi/swap Read and explore more about STONfi here:blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects#

PRESIDENT TRUMP says: “The number one Goal is, and always will be, that Iran cannot have, in any way, shape, or form, a Nuclear Weapon.” Trump made the statement on Truth Social as diplomatic efforts with Iran remain stalled. A 60-day negotiating period that was meant to advance a broader de-escalation framework has expired without a comprehensive agreement, leaving both sides far apart on key issues. This is not a new position. Preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon has been the central and repeatedly stated objective of U.S. policy under Trump throughout the ongoing tensions. The administration has consistently separated this red line from other matters such as regional security arrangements and the status of the Strait of Hormuz. The latest post arrives at a moment when progress on the nuclear file has been limited and both sides continue to hold firm. It serves as a clear reaffirmation that, regardless of the current state of talks, the core condition remains non-negotiable. Trump reaffirms the long-standing red line: Iran must never obtain a nuclear weapon. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#

DXY Dumping Hard — Supportive Setup for Crypto The U.S. Dollar Index is under clear pressure, sliding toward the 99.37 area on the latest move. What the chart shows: > Sharp sequential decline with limited bounce attempts > Price breaking lower after recent consolidation > Momentum currently favoring further weakness in the short term A softer dollar has historically provided a tailwind for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Lower DXY tends to ease global liquidity conditions and reduce headwinds for dollar-denominated speculative assets. This does not guarantee sustained upside in crypto on its own — other macro and flow factors still matter — but a declining dollar removes one of the more consistent near-term pressures that have weighed on the space at times this cycle. DXY weakness is one of the cleaner short-term tailwinds currently on the board. Are you treating this DXY drop as a meaningful catalyst for crypto, or waiting for confirmation from price action and flows? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Altcoin Season# #BTC Price Analysis#

Liquidity providers don't just need more liquidity. They need their capital to work harder. In a traditional AMM, your liquidity is generally spread across a broad price curve. That means part of the capital may sit far away from the price where most trading is actually happening. Concentrated liquidity changes that. Instead of providing liquidity across the entire range, an LP can choose a specific price range where they expect most trading to occur. If the market stays inside that range, more of the supplied capital is actively available to traders. That can make the position more capital-efficient and potentially generate more fees from the same amount of liquidity. But there is a trade-off. If price moves outside the selected range, that liquidity stops participating in trades until the position is adjusted or the market moves back into range. And impermanent loss remains part of the risk for LPs. That's why concentrated liquidity isn't simply about chasing higher returns. It's about giving liquidity providers more control over where their capital is deployed. This is particularly interesting for TON as DeFi liquidity continues to grow. STONfi currently lists Protocol Upgrade v3 with concentrated liquidity support for Q3 2026, alongside its broader focus on improving the capital efficiency and performance of its AMM. If implemented well, this could change how TON liquidity providers think about their positions: less idle capital → more targeted liquidity → potentially better use of LP capital. The important part will be how the new model handles range management, fees and the risks that come with concentrated positions. That's where things get interesting for TON DeFi. Explore STONfi:https://app.ston.fi/pools Read and explore more about STONfi here:blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Altcoin Season#

Japan’s 10-Year Bond Yield Hits 30-Year High Japan’s benchmark 10-year government bond yield surged to 2.93%, its highest level since 1996. Key context: > The move pushes the yield close to the psychologically important 3% level. > Markets are pricing in a higher probability of a Bank of Japan rate hike as early as September. > Drivers include a persistently weak yen, elevated oil prices, inflation concerns, and ongoing fiscal spending pressures. Rising Japanese yields matter globally. Higher JGB rates can influence capital flows, put pressure on the yen carry trade, and contribute to tighter financial conditions beyond Japan. The last time the 10-year yield traded at these levels was nearly three decades ago, underscoring how far Japan has moved from its long era of ultra-low rates. A significant shift in one of the world’s largest government bond markets. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#

US-Iran 60-Day Ceasefire Extension Reportedly Approved According to Al Arabiya, the United States and Iran have agreed to extend their 60-day ceasefire. Key points from the report: > Sources told Al Arabiya English that an agreement has been reached to prolong the existing 60-day ceasefire framework. > The original window stemmed from the June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding aimed at pausing hostilities and opening a path toward broader negotiations. Market reaction so far has been cautiously positive, as any reduction in immediate geopolitical risk around the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz tends to support risk assets, including crypto. Note that other outlets have reported the original 60-day period expiring without a formal breakthrough, and Iranian officials have previously denied active talks on an extension. Confirmation from both sides remains limited at this stage. Geopolitical developments continue to drive short-term volatility. Does a potential ceasefire extension ease your near-term risk outlook, or are you waiting for clearer confirmation from both Washington and Tehran? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights#

Crypto Cards Top-Up Volume Surpasses $1 Billion in July Monthly stablecoin card top-up volume crossed the $1 billion mark for the first time in July 2026. Key figures: > Total volume: approximately $1.08 billion
> Month-over-month growth: +16%
> This marks a new record and continues the rapid expansion seen throughout 2026

Crypto payment cards are emerging as one of the strongest real-world use cases for stablecoins. Top-ups remain concentrated on low-fee, high-throughput networks, with USDC showing particularly strong growth in consumer card programs compared with other stablecoins. The trend highlights how stablecoins are moving beyond pure trading and DeFi into everyday spending and payments infrastructure. Volume has scaled several times higher than levels seen at the start of the year. As more issuers expand card programs and on/off-ramps improve, this segment is becoming a meaningful on-chain activity metric to watch. Do you see crypto cards as a major driver of sustained stablecoin demand going forward?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#

The Reality of Chasing a 100x If you want a true 100x, the path is rarely a straight line. Typical sequence many long-term holders face: > You catch the first leg and ride a 5x. > Then comes an 80% drawdown that brings you back near break-even. > The next major move delivers a 10x — and conviction is tested again. > Another strong run follows (often another multi-bagger), making it feel easy. > Then a sharp 70–80% correction hits before the final leg that completes the 100x. Most people exit during one of the deep pullbacks. The ones who reach the full multiple are usually those who held through multiple cycles of euphoria and pain. This pattern has repeated across previous cycles for assets that ultimately delivered outsized returns. The emotional difficulty of sitting through large drawdowns is the real filter. Can you hold through the full sequence, or do the intermediate 80% dips usually force an exit? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season#

лол это ровно то место, где «прозрачность ИИ» начинает превращаться в совсем другой разговор: если слова, которые я генерирую, могут передавать невидимый сигнал, идентифицирующий модель, которая их создала, я больше не просто использую инструмент для письма — я создаю контент со скрытым слоем, прикреплённым к нему. И я не думаю, что людям должно быть комфортно, если это станет настройкой по умолчанию, особенно когда такой сигнал может следовать за моим текстом за пределами исходной платформы и потенциально влиять на то, как другие оценивают то, что я написал. Для меня главная проблема — контроль: кто решает, что будет прикреплено к моему контенту, как долго эта информация остаётся вместе с ним и кто имеет право это проверять? Именно поэтому я так заинтересован(а) в @Liberdus. Конфиденциальность не должна быть просто выбором для пользователей. Liberdus строит зашифрованную коммуникацию и пользователь-контролируемую идентичность без необходимости указывать номер телефона или email, чтобы участвовать. Нам нужно двигаться в сторону того, чтобы давать пользователям больше контроля над их цифровой идентичностью, а не незаметно прикреплять больше информации ко всему, что они создают. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Liberdus #Macro Insights#

Глава Tether пресекает слухи о блокчейне Глава Tether Паоло Ардоино напрямую опроверг заявления о том, что компания разрабатывает собственный блокчейн. Ключевая формулировка: > «Tether НЕ строит никакой блокчейн и не планирует его строить». > Компания остается «агностичной» и продолжает поддерживать несколько существующих сетей в качестве транспортных уровней для своих стейблкоинов. Опровержение последовало за сообщениями, где Tether группировали с другими фирмами, якобы изучающими выделенные доллар-ориентированные («stablechain») сети. Ардоино провел четкое различие: хотя Tether может инвестировать в некоторые проекты или сотрудничать с ними, она не конструирует и не планирует запускать собственную цепочку. Это подтверждает давнюю многосетевую стратегию Tether. $USDT продолжает работать в рамках уже существующих сетей, а не консолидироваться в собственный блокчейн, контролируемый эмитентом. Разъяснение снимает спекуляции о потенциальном Tether L1 и подчеркивает акцент компании на дистрибуции, а не на владении инфраструктурой. Укрепляет ли дальнейший цепочно-независимый подход Tether ее позиции как доминирующего стейблкоина, или вы считаете, что со временем выделенные stablechain станут более важными? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $USDT #Macro Insights#

Крипто-цены: пик 2021 года vs реальность 2026 Простое сравнение крупных монет: как их максимумы 2021 года соотносятся с текущими уровнями 2026 года — это наглядно показывает картину цикла. Примерные пиковые цены (2021) vs текущие (2026): > Bitcoin (BTC): $67,150 → ~$66,000 (примерно без изменений)
> Ethereum (ETH): $4,800 → ~$1,900 (−60%)
> Solana (SOL): $260 → ~$75 (−71%)
> Dogecoin (DOGE): $0.72 → ~$0.07 (−90%)
> Cardano (ADA): $3 → ~$0.18 (−94%)
> Litecoin (LTC): $370 → ~$45 (−88%)
> Avalanche (AVAX): $140 → ~$6 (−96%)

Биткоин удерживается почти на уровне предыдущего максимума цикла в номинальном выражении. Почти все крупные альткоины по-прежнему глубоко в минусе относительно пиков 2021 года: многие просели на 70–95%. Это показывает, насколько разной стала текущая структура рынка: Биткоин демонстрирует относительную устойчивость, тогда как большинство альткоинов продолжает отражать затяжную слабость и переток капитала в сторону главного актива. Разрыв между $BTC и остальным рынком остается одной из ключевых особенностей этого цикла на данный момент. Меняет ли это сравнение «2021–2026» подход к распределению средств между Биткоином и более широким рынком альткоинов в будущем? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Altcoin Season#

If $ETH Catches Up to Global M2 — Upside Toward $12,000+? The chart overlays Ethereum’s price action against a Global M2 money supply proxy, highlighting a growing divergence. What it shows: > Global M2 (bottom panel) has continued its long-term upward trajectory.
> ETH price (top panel) has lagged significantly, especially after the 2024–2025 peak, creating a wide gap relative to the liquidity trend.
> The ascending support line on both charts remains intact so far.

The core thesis is straightforward: if Ethereum begins to realign with expanding global liquidity (as Bitcoin has done more closely in past cycles), a catch-up move could push price substantially higher. Some analysts mapping this relationship have pointed to targets in the $10,000–$12,000+ range under a full re-rating scenario, with more aggressive projections extending further. Important caveats: > Correlation with M2 is not causation and has varied in strength over time.
> ETH faces its own supply dynamics, competition, and adoption variables that pure liquidity models do not capture.
> The current gap could close through price appreciation, slower M2 growth, or a combination of both.

Still, the visual divergence is one of the cleaner long-term liquidity charts circulating for Ethereum right now. Do you give meaningful weight to the Global M2 catch-up narrative for $ETH , or do you see other fundamental drivers as more important?

#BTC Price Analysis# $BTC #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Ethereum

you can protect your private keys perfectly and still expose yourself. that's what the recent Trezor breach is a good reminder of. the wallets weren't compromised. the problem was the information surrounding the people who bought them. a third-party shipping provider was breached, exposing data from 13,689 customers, including names, emails, phone numbers and shipping information. and that's enough to create a completely different kind of security risk. imagine someone knowing your name, your phone number and where you live — and also being able to connect that information to a crypto-related purchase. suddenly, phishing doesn't need to look random anymore. it can look personal. that's why i've started looking at privacy as part of security itself. every extra piece of personal information attached to an identity creates another piece of information that can potentially be abused later. and this is where @Liberdus takes an interesting approach. instead of making phone numbers or emails the foundation of communication, Liberdus uses usernames and decentralized infrastructure, with encrypted messaging built into the network. you can't expose information that never needed to be attached to the identity in the first place. security isn't only about protecting what you own. it's also about protecting the person who owns it. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Liberdus #Macro Insights#

Южная Корея приговорила оператора криптоплатформы к 15 годам за мошенничество на $50 млн. Сеульский суд приговорил генерального директора криптокредитной платформы Delio к 15 годам тюремного заключения — в одном из самых длительных дел о криптомошенничестве в стране. Ключевые детали: > Ответчик: Чон Санг-хо, бывший генеральный директор Delio
> Приговор: 15 лет (прокуроры просили 20)
> Масштаб осуждения: Около 70 млрд вон (~$49–50 млн) в биткоинах и эфирах было похищено у более чем 1,100 клиентов
> Платформа рекламировала депозиты с высокой доходностью, а затем внезапно заблокировала вывод средств в июне 2023 года, прежде чем в ноябре 2024 года была объявлена банкротом
> Более крупное обвинение в мошенничестве (примерно $176 млн и около 2,800 жертв) было отклонено после того, как суд постановил, что ключевые доказательства были получены незаконно

Суд охарактеризовал оставшиеся преступления как крайне тяжкие, указав на масштабы ущерба и отсутствие компенсаций пострадавшим. Также было установлено, что Чон виновен в использовании подложных документов для регистрации Delio в качестве поставщика услуг виртуальных активов. Решение вынесено на фоне усиления контроля за криптоплатформами в Южной Корее — в том числе более пристального мониторинга исходящих переводов и более широких мер правоприменения на рынках Азии. Еще одно громкое крушение CeFi заканчивается длительным тюремным сроком. Длина этого приговора означает, что южнокорейские суды занимают все более жесткую позицию по делам о криптомошенничестве?

#Прогноз цены Bitcoin: Что будет следующим движением у биткоина?# $BTC $XRP #Макроинсайты# #Сезон альткоинов#

1,896 Institutions Hold $17.1B in Bitcoin ETFs — Net +58.1M Shares in Q2 Q2 2026 13F filings (as of August 14) show continued institutional involvement in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. Headline numbers: > 1,896 institutions reported positions
> Combined value: $17.1 billion > Net change across all Bitcoin ETFs: +58.1 million shares versus Q1 2026

Notable activity from the filings: > Large absolute increases came from firms including Jane Street, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, Van Eck, and several others.
> IBIT remains the clear leader among institutional holdings (over $11.2 billion reported).
> Other significant allocations appear in FBTC, GBTC, the Grayscale Mini Trust, ARKB, BITB, and HODL.
> Some managers reduced positions (including certain lines from Morgan Stanley, Horizon Kinetics, and others), but the overall share count still rose.

The data reflects a mixed but net-positive picture: while price volatility and individual portfolio adjustments occurred, the broader institutional base continued to add shares on a net basis through the quarter. Full company-level and ETF-level breakdowns are available on Timechain Index.

#BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $SOL #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

ОБНОВЛЕНИЕ: Сальвадор по-прежнему продолжает покупать Сальвадор продолжает последовательную стратегию накопления #Bitcoin без признаков замедления. Последние данные:
> Общий объем holdings сейчас составляет примерно 7,745 $BTC .
> Добавлено 8 BTC за последние 7 дней.
> Добавлено 31 BTC за последние 30 дней.
> Стоимость резерва — примерно $448–$490 млн в зависимости от точной цены.

В течение многих лет страна поддерживает практически ежедневный темп покупок, рассматривая Bitcoin как долгосрочный стратегический резерв, а не торговую позицию. Сообщений о продажах из национальной казны не было. Несмотря на прежнее давление, связанное с соглашением с МВФ и отменой обязательного статуса законного платежного средства, политика накопления осталась неизменной. Сальвадор продолжает усреднять покупки Bitcoin в долларах как через спокойные ежедневные покупки, так и через иногда более крупные приобретения во время просадок. Один из самых стабильных суверенных покупателей в этой сфере по-прежнему пополняет запасы — почти каждый день.

Сохраняет ли для вас эта стабильная суверенная покупка статус значимого долгосрочного сигнала или рынок в основном уже прошёл этот этап?\n \n #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL

1,6 миллиона учетных записей: информация утекла??? > имена > адреса электронной почты > номера телефонов > физические адреса все оказалось раскрыто после того, как утечку после взлома RingCentral связали с атакой социальной инженерии, произошедшей в июле. Позже Have I Been Pwned добавил слитые данные в свою базу утечек, но дело даже не в цифре — больше всего меня беспокоит другое: сколько полезной информации может храниться за одной централизованной системой. на этом этапе переход к @Liberdus может оказаться уже не вариантом, потому что, как только эту систему скомпрометируют, злоумышленникам не нужно будет идти за людьми по одному — они получают набор данных, и затем эта информация может стать полезной для фишинга, выдачи себя за других и для более точечных атак. вот слабое место, о котором я постоянно думаю, когда речь заходит о централизованной коммуникации: можно иметь команды безопасности, пароли, мониторинг и несколько уровней защиты... но при этом всё равно существует центральная точка, которая держит инфраструктуру вместе. именно здесь децентрализация становится важнее. в Liberdus коммуникация идет через распределенную сеть валидаторов, а не зависит от одного централизованного сервера; сообщения защищены сквозным шифрованием. цель не в том, чтобы утверждать, будто децентрализованные системы никогда не будут подвергаться атакам. цель — не складывать все доверие, контроль и потенциальную уязвимость в одном месте. потому что ваша личная коммуникация не должна иметь единой точки отказа. #Анализ цены BTC# #Прогноз цены Bitcoin: куда пойдет BTC дальше?# $BTC $SOL #Liberdus