Bitcoin's issuance rate is now about 0.83% per year. Gold's new supply grows roughly 1.7% annually. For the first time, a globally traded asset is harder than the metal that defined hard money for 5,000 years.
• After April 2024, each block pays 3.125 BTC. Roughly 19.8 million of 21 million coins are mined, leaving under 1.2 million for the next 114 years.
• The next halving lands near block 1,050,000 in early 2028, cutting issuance to 1.5625 BTC and annual inflation to roughly 0.41%. Miners will earn more from fees than subsidy within the next decade at current trend.
• Scarcity alone does not create value. Demand does. Spot ETFs in the US and Hong Kong hold over 1.1 million BTC combined, and that flow is far more price-sensitive than the halving schedule.
• Volatility remains the cost of admission. BTC has drawn down 70% or more four separate times since 2013. A store of value that swings 50% in a quarter is still maturing.
The halving is not a magic catalyst. It is a schedule that removes sell pressure from miners while demand grows on its own timeline. Hard money wins slowly, then all at once.
What do you think?
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• After April 2024, each block pays 3.125 BTC. Roughly 19.8 million of 21 million coins are mined, leaving under 1.2 million for the next 114 years.
• The next halving lands near block 1,050,000 in early 2028, cutting issuance to 1.5625 BTC and annual inflation to roughly 0.41%. Miners will earn more from fees than subsidy within the next decade at current trend.
• Scarcity alone does not create value. Demand does. Spot ETFs in the US and Hong Kong hold over 1.1 million BTC combined, and that flow is far more price-sensitive than the halving schedule.
• Volatility remains the cost of admission. BTC has drawn down 70% or more four separate times since 2013. A store of value that swings 50% in a quarter is still maturing.
The halving is not a magic catalyst. It is a schedule that removes sell pressure from miners while demand grows on its own timeline. Hard money wins slowly, then all at once.
What do you think?
#CryptoTips #TradingTips #DeFi #Web3 #Crypto
📱 Follow @PoorCryptoMan