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📊 $BTC Analysis: Leverage Wipeout and Consolidation Phase
After reaching highs of $84,000–$85,000, Bitcoin underwent a local "leverage wipeout." Let’s break down what current on-chain and derivatives metrics are showing:
📊 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: Following a sharp drop, the price has settled within the $81,000–$82,000 range. Significant volume spikes occurred on October 14–15.
➡️ Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD): A pronounced negative CVD is evident (particularly on Binance, dropping to -$1.5B). Aggressive market selling dominates the market.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high and stable at approximately $20B–$22B (with Binance leading at over $9B). The lack of a sharp decline in OI suggests that positions are not necessarily being closed, but rather reorganized or hedged.
➡️ Funding Rate: The funding rate has normalized, fluctuating between 0% and 10% APR. There is no longer an "overheated" state among long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: The peak of long liquidations occurred on October 15 (nearly -$100M). Liquidation cascades have since subsided, and the market has effectively reset.
➡️ Session Dynamics: The greatest volatility and major price movements typically occur during the US trading session.
⚠️ Conclusion and Scenarios:
The market is currently in a phase of local accumulation/consolidation. Despite selling pressure indicated by the CVD, the price is holding support levels firmly.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Establishing a position above $82,500, accompanied by a reversal in the CVD, would signal the return of spot buyers and pave the way for a retest of the $84,000–$85,000 range.
🔴 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $80,000 level under selling pressure risks triggering a fresh cascade of long-position liquidations.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC Analysis: Leverage Wipeout and Consolidation Phase
After reaching highs of $84,000–$85,000, Bitcoin underwent a local "leverage wipeout." Let’s break down what current on-chain and derivatives metrics are showing:
📊 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: Following a sharp drop, the price has settled within the $81,000–$82,000 range. Significant volume spikes occurred on October 14–15.
➡️ Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD): A pronounced negative CVD is evident (particularly on Binance, dropping to -$1.5B). Aggressive market selling dominates the market.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high and stable at approximately $20B–$22B (with Binance leading at over $9B). The lack of a sharp decline in OI suggests that positions are not necessarily being closed, but rather reorganized or hedged.
➡️ Funding Rate: The funding rate has normalized, fluctuating between 0% and 10% APR. There is no longer an "overheated" state among long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: The peak of long liquidations occurred on October 15 (nearly -$100M). Liquidation cascades have since subsided, and the market has effectively reset.
➡️ Session Dynamics: The greatest volatility and major price movements typically occur during the US trading session.
⚠️ Conclusion and Scenarios:
The market is currently in a phase of local accumulation/consolidation. Despite selling pressure indicated by the CVD, the price is holding support levels firmly.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Establishing a position above $82,500, accompanied by a reversal in the CVD, would signal the return of spot buyers and pave the way for a retest of the $84,000–$85,000 range.
🔴 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $80,000 level under selling pressure risks triggering a fresh cascade of long-position liquidations.
📊 $BTC Analysis: Leverage Wipeout and Consolidation Phase
After reaching highs of $84,000–$85,000, Bitcoin underwent a local "leverage wipeout." Let’s break down what current on-chain and derivatives metrics are showing:
📊 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: Following a sharp drop, the price has settled within the $81,000–$82,000 range. Significant volume spikes occurred on October 14–15.
➡️ Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD): A pronounced negative CVD is evident (particularly on Binance, dropping to -$1.5B). Aggressive market selling dominates the market.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high and stable at approximately $20B–$22B (with Binance leading at over $9B). The lack of a sharp decline in OI suggests that positions are not necessarily being closed, but rather reorganized or hedged.
➡️ Funding Rate: The funding rate has normalized, fluctuating between 0% and 10% APR. There is no longer an "overheated" state among long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: The peak of long liquidations occurred on October 15 (nearly -$100M). Liquidation cascades have since subsided, and the market has effectively reset.
➡️ Session Dynamics: The greatest volatility and major price movements typically occur during the US trading session.
⚠️ Conclusion and Scenarios:
The market is currently in a phase of local accumulation/consolidation. Despite selling pressure indicated by the CVD, the price is holding support levels firmly.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Establishing a position above $82,500, accompanied by a reversal in the CVD, would signal the return of spot buyers and pave the way for a retest of the $84,000–$85,000 range.
🔴 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $80,000 level under selling pressure risks triggering a fresh cascade of long-position liquidations.
141
#metrics #bitcoin
🚀 Bitcoin Prepares to Break Through a "Critical Threshold": What Do CryptoQuant Metrics Say?
$BTC is once again approaching a key technical and on-chain level—a point that has historically served as a launchpad for new all-time highs (ATH).
According to a new report from CryptoQuant, the leading cryptocurrency is currently battling to reclaim its 20-month Simple Moving Average (SMA), which sits at $87,165.
📊 Key Takeaways from the Report and Analysis:
1️⃣ The "Critical Threshold" ($87,165):
The 20-month SMA serves as the baseline for the Bollinger Bands. In December 2025, BTC lost this level, entering a zone of capitulation and accumulation. The price is now approaching this threshold from below. Historically, crossing this mark has always triggered a powerful rally toward new highs.
2️⃣ Strong Resistance at $87,500:
The 20-month SMA level aligns with the 2026 opening price ($87,490). This creates a formidable resistance zone, where a large volume of sell orders (ask liquidity) is also concentrated.
3️⃣ Shedding "Dead Weight"—The Reset Is Complete:
Analysts note that following the peak of $124,700 (October 2025), the market has undergone a complete reset. While retail investors remain wary of current price levels, the on-chain indicator "BTC: Market Cycle Signals" suggests that the market is only just warming up.
4️⃣ Bull market in full swing:
CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator shows growing bullish momentum (the reading has risen to 0.186, up from 0.042 in August). CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju confirms that the bearish trend is now behind us.
⚠️ Bottom line:
A return to and consolidation above the $87,200–$87,500 range could pave the way toward the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands ($121,640) and a potential new all-time high.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin
🚀 Bitcoin Prepares to Break Through a "Critical Threshold": What Do CryptoQuant Metrics Say?
$BTC is once again approaching a key technical and on-chain level—a point that has historically served as a launchpad for new all-time highs (ATH).
According to a new report from CryptoQuant, the leading cryptocurrency is currently battling to reclaim its 20-month Simple Moving Average (SMA), which sits at $87,165.
📊 Key Takeaways from the Report and Analysis:
1️⃣ The "Critical Threshold" ($87,165):
The 20-month SMA serves as the baseline for the Bollinger Bands. In December 2025, BTC lost this level, entering a zone of capitulation and accumulation. The price is now approaching this threshold from below. Historically, crossing this mark has always triggered a powerful rally toward new highs.
2️⃣ Strong Resistance at $87,500:
The 20-month SMA level aligns with the 2026 opening price ($87,490). This creates a formidable resistance zone, where a large volume of sell orders (ask liquidity) is also concentrated.
3️⃣ Shedding "Dead Weight"—The Reset Is Complete:
Analysts note that following the peak of $124,700 (October 2025), the market has undergone a complete reset. While retail investors remain wary of current price levels, the on-chain indicator "BTC: Market Cycle Signals" suggests that the market is only just warming up.
4️⃣ Bull market in full swing:
CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator shows growing bullish momentum (the reading has risen to 0.186, up from 0.042 in August). CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju confirms that the bearish trend is now behind us.
⚠️ Bottom line:
A return to and consolidation above the $87,200–$87,500 range could pave the way toward the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands ($121,640) and a potential new all-time high.
🚀 Bitcoin Prepares to Break Through a "Critical Threshold": What Do CryptoQuant Metrics Say?
$BTC is once again approaching a key technical and on-chain level—a point that has historically served as a launchpad for new all-time highs (ATH).
According to a new report from CryptoQuant, the leading cryptocurrency is currently battling to reclaim its 20-month Simple Moving Average (SMA), which sits at $87,165.
📊 Key Takeaways from the Report and Analysis:
1️⃣ The "Critical Threshold" ($87,165):
The 20-month SMA serves as the baseline for the Bollinger Bands. In December 2025, BTC lost this level, entering a zone of capitulation and accumulation. The price is now approaching this threshold from below. Historically, crossing this mark has always triggered a powerful rally toward new highs.
2️⃣ Strong Resistance at $87,500:
The 20-month SMA level aligns with the 2026 opening price ($87,490). This creates a formidable resistance zone, where a large volume of sell orders (ask liquidity) is also concentrated.
3️⃣ Shedding "Dead Weight"—The Reset Is Complete:
Analysts note that following the peak of $124,700 (October 2025), the market has undergone a complete reset. While retail investors remain wary of current price levels, the on-chain indicator "BTC: Market Cycle Signals" suggests that the market is only just warming up.
4️⃣ Bull market in full swing:
CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator shows growing bullish momentum (the reading has risen to 0.186, up from 0.042 in August). CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju confirms that the bearish trend is now behind us.
⚠️ Bottom line:
A return to and consolidation above the $87,200–$87,500 range could pave the way toward the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands ($121,640) and a potential new all-time high.
44
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC : Market and Key Metric Analysis.
Despite attempts at a local rebound earlier this month, Bitcoin remains under selling pressure. Let’s take a closer look at what is happening under the market's hood:
🔍 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: After hitting a local peak on October 2–4, the price has been in a clear downtrend. The bulk of trading volume is concentrated on Binance, followed by OKX and Bybit. Spikes in volume coincide with sharp price drops.
➡️ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): One of the most concerning signals is the significant drop in cumulative delta (down $2B–$3B on Binance and Bybit). This confirms that the market is being driven by aggressive market selling.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high (over $20B). This indicates that market participants are holding their positions; the price decline is accompanied by an accumulation of short positions or the retention of "trapped" long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: A series of cascading long liquidations totaling over $50M–$100M+ occurred on October 7–8, putting further downward pressure on the price.
➡️ Funding Rate & Basis: Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), while the annualized premium on 3-month futures has dropped to ~8–10%. No panic-driven negative funding has been observed so far.
➡️ Sessions and days: Tuesdays and Wednesdays proved to be the most bearish days of the week, with key momentum shifts occurring during the US and Asian (APAC) sessions.
⚠️ Summary and trading scenario:
The market is currently in a "long squeeze" phase, facing pressure from spot and futures market sellers.
‼️ To see a reversal or the formation of a solid setup for a rebound, we need to wait for:
1. A halt in the CVD decline (formation of a divergence with the price).
2. A full unwinding of open interest (capitulation).
3. The price to enter a stabilization and consolidation phase.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC : Market and Key Metric Analysis.
Despite attempts at a local rebound earlier this month, Bitcoin remains under selling pressure. Let’s take a closer look at what is happening under the market's hood:
🔍 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: After hitting a local peak on October 2–4, the price has been in a clear downtrend. The bulk of trading volume is concentrated on Binance, followed by OKX and Bybit. Spikes in volume coincide with sharp price drops.
➡️ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): One of the most concerning signals is the significant drop in cumulative delta (down $2B–$3B on Binance and Bybit). This confirms that the market is being driven by aggressive market selling.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high (over $20B). This indicates that market participants are holding their positions; the price decline is accompanied by an accumulation of short positions or the retention of "trapped" long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: A series of cascading long liquidations totaling over $50M–$100M+ occurred on October 7–8, putting further downward pressure on the price.
➡️ Funding Rate & Basis: Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), while the annualized premium on 3-month futures has dropped to ~8–10%. No panic-driven negative funding has been observed so far.
➡️ Sessions and days: Tuesdays and Wednesdays proved to be the most bearish days of the week, with key momentum shifts occurring during the US and Asian (APAC) sessions.
⚠️ Summary and trading scenario:
The market is currently in a "long squeeze" phase, facing pressure from spot and futures market sellers.
‼️ To see a reversal or the formation of a solid setup for a rebound, we need to wait for:
1. A halt in the CVD decline (formation of a divergence with the price).
2. A full unwinding of open interest (capitulation).
3. The price to enter a stabilization and consolidation phase.
📊 $BTC : Market and Key Metric Analysis.
Despite attempts at a local rebound earlier this month, Bitcoin remains under selling pressure. Let’s take a closer look at what is happening under the market's hood:
🔍 Key Metrics and Facts:
➡️ Price and Volume: After hitting a local peak on October 2–4, the price has been in a clear downtrend. The bulk of trading volume is concentrated on Binance, followed by OKX and Bybit. Spikes in volume coincide with sharp price drops.
➡️ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): One of the most concerning signals is the significant drop in cumulative delta (down $2B–$3B on Binance and Bybit). This confirms that the market is being driven by aggressive market selling.
➡️ Open Interest (OI): Total OI remains high (over $20B). This indicates that market participants are holding their positions; the price decline is accompanied by an accumulation of short positions or the retention of "trapped" long positions.
➡️ Liquidations: A series of cascading long liquidations totaling over $50M–$100M+ occurred on October 7–8, putting further downward pressure on the price.
➡️ Funding Rate & Basis: Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), while the annualized premium on 3-month futures has dropped to ~8–10%. No panic-driven negative funding has been observed so far.
➡️ Sessions and days: Tuesdays and Wednesdays proved to be the most bearish days of the week, with key momentum shifts occurring during the US and Asian (APAC) sessions.
⚠️ Summary and trading scenario:
The market is currently in a "long squeeze" phase, facing pressure from spot and futures market sellers.
‼️ To see a reversal or the formation of a solid setup for a rebound, we need to wait for:
1. A halt in the CVD decline (formation of a divergence with the price).
2. A full unwinding of open interest (capitulation).
3. The price to enter a stabilization and consolidation phase.
1
94
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC Market Update: Consolidation after hitting $86.7k. What’s next?
In recent days, Bitcoin has shown strong momentum, reaching a local peak around $86,700 before entering a sideways phase.
🔑 Key metrics and exchange activity:
➡️ Price Action: After rebounding from a local low of $82,700–$83,000, the price rose to ~$86.7k, where it encountered resistance. BTC is currently trading within the $84,800–$85,000 range.
➡️ Volume & Liquidations: The push to $86.7k was accompanied by a surge in volume and over $60M in short liquidations. Trading activity has since subsided as the market awaits a new catalyst.
➡️ CVD (Delta): A divergence is evident: while buyers have stepped up on Bybit, selling pressure on Binance—across both spot and futures markets (with delta in the -$250M to -$400M range)—halted the rally and pushed the price into a sideways trend.
➡️ Open Interest & Funding: Open Interest remains high (~$22B–$23B), yet funding rates are neutral (0–10% APR). There is no sign of overheating among long positions—the market is balanced.
➡️ Trading Sessions: The US and EU sessions remain the primary drivers of growth over the past month.
🚦 Price Action Scenarios:
🟢 Base Case (Trend Continuation):
Holding the $84,000–$84,200 support zone and consolidating above $85,500 would pave the way for a retest and breakout of the $86,700–$87,000 resistance level.
🔴 Alternative Scenario (Liquidity Sweep):
Given the high Open Interest, a localized dip below $84,000 is possible to sweep stops and clear liquidity—targeting the $82,700–$83,000 range—before the next upward wave.
⚠️ Summary: The market is in a state of expectant consolidation. Focus should be placed on the emergence of spot volume during the US session open.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC Market Update: Consolidation after hitting $86.7k. What’s next?
In recent days, Bitcoin has shown strong momentum, reaching a local peak around $86,700 before entering a sideways phase.
🔑 Key metrics and exchange activity:
➡️ Price Action: After rebounding from a local low of $82,700–$83,000, the price rose to ~$86.7k, where it encountered resistance. BTC is currently trading within the $84,800–$85,000 range.
➡️ Volume & Liquidations: The push to $86.7k was accompanied by a surge in volume and over $60M in short liquidations. Trading activity has since subsided as the market awaits a new catalyst.
➡️ CVD (Delta): A divergence is evident: while buyers have stepped up on Bybit, selling pressure on Binance—across both spot and futures markets (with delta in the -$250M to -$400M range)—halted the rally and pushed the price into a sideways trend.
➡️ Open Interest & Funding: Open Interest remains high (~$22B–$23B), yet funding rates are neutral (0–10% APR). There is no sign of overheating among long positions—the market is balanced.
➡️ Trading Sessions: The US and EU sessions remain the primary drivers of growth over the past month.
🚦 Price Action Scenarios:
🟢 Base Case (Trend Continuation):
Holding the $84,000–$84,200 support zone and consolidating above $85,500 would pave the way for a retest and breakout of the $86,700–$87,000 resistance level.
🔴 Alternative Scenario (Liquidity Sweep):
Given the high Open Interest, a localized dip below $84,000 is possible to sweep stops and clear liquidity—targeting the $82,700–$83,000 range—before the next upward wave.
⚠️ Summary: The market is in a state of expectant consolidation. Focus should be placed on the emergence of spot volume during the US session open.
📊 $BTC Market Update: Consolidation after hitting $86.7k. What’s next?
In recent days, Bitcoin has shown strong momentum, reaching a local peak around $86,700 before entering a sideways phase.
🔑 Key metrics and exchange activity:
➡️ Price Action: After rebounding from a local low of $82,700–$83,000, the price rose to ~$86.7k, where it encountered resistance. BTC is currently trading within the $84,800–$85,000 range.
➡️ Volume & Liquidations: The push to $86.7k was accompanied by a surge in volume and over $60M in short liquidations. Trading activity has since subsided as the market awaits a new catalyst.
➡️ CVD (Delta): A divergence is evident: while buyers have stepped up on Bybit, selling pressure on Binance—across both spot and futures markets (with delta in the -$250M to -$400M range)—halted the rally and pushed the price into a sideways trend.
➡️ Open Interest & Funding: Open Interest remains high (~$22B–$23B), yet funding rates are neutral (0–10% APR). There is no sign of overheating among long positions—the market is balanced.
➡️ Trading Sessions: The US and EU sessions remain the primary drivers of growth over the past month.
🚦 Price Action Scenarios:
🟢 Base Case (Trend Continuation):
Holding the $84,000–$84,200 support zone and consolidating above $85,500 would pave the way for a retest and breakout of the $86,700–$87,000 resistance level.
🔴 Alternative Scenario (Liquidity Sweep):
Given the high Open Interest, a localized dip below $84,000 is possible to sweep stops and clear liquidity—targeting the $82,700–$83,000 range—before the next upward wave.
⚠️ Summary: The market is in a state of expectant consolidation. Focus should be placed on the emergence of spot volume during the US session open.
79
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC : Bull cycle continues, spot buyers return 📈
Market metrics indicate positive signals for further Bitcoin growth:
➡️ The Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator has shifted from the "Early Bull" phase into the solid "Bull" zone. Even after a pullback from the $86K peak to the $83K–$84K range, the market structure remains bullish.
➡️ Spot demand (Spot Taker CVD) shifted from neutral to "Taker Buy Dominant" over the last few days (September 28–29). This indicates active market buying via spot orders, underpinning the current consolidation with real volume.
⚠️ Conclusion: The current correction and consolidation around $83K–$84K are taking place amidst a resurgence of spot buyers, creating a solid foundation for the continuation of the upward trend.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin
📊 $BTC : Bull cycle continues, spot buyers return 📈
Market metrics indicate positive signals for further Bitcoin growth:
➡️ The Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator has shifted from the "Early Bull" phase into the solid "Bull" zone. Even after a pullback from the $86K peak to the $83K–$84K range, the market structure remains bullish.
➡️ Spot demand (Spot Taker CVD) shifted from neutral to "Taker Buy Dominant" over the last few days (September 28–29). This indicates active market buying via spot orders, underpinning the current consolidation with real volume.
⚠️ Conclusion: The current correction and consolidation around $83K–$84K are taking place amidst a resurgence of spot buyers, creating a solid foundation for the continuation of the upward trend.
📊 $BTC : Bull cycle continues, spot buyers return 📈
Market metrics indicate positive signals for further Bitcoin growth:
➡️ The Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator has shifted from the "Early Bull" phase into the solid "Bull" zone. Even after a pullback from the $86K peak to the $83K–$84K range, the market structure remains bullish.
➡️ Spot demand (Spot Taker CVD) shifted from neutral to "Taker Buy Dominant" over the last few days (September 28–29). This indicates active market buying via spot orders, underpinning the current consolidation with real volume.
⚠️ Conclusion: The current correction and consolidation around $83K–$84K are taking place amidst a resurgence of spot buyers, creating a solid foundation for the continuation of the upward trend.
69
#bitcoin #metrics
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Metrics (September 18–24)
Bitcoin is undergoing an active, dynamic regrouping following a local surge. Here is a breakdown of recent market events and what to expect next:
🔑 Key Events and Factors:
➡️ Price Momentum and Correction: BTC’s price made a powerful move from ~$75,000 to a local peak of ~$87,500–$90,000, subsequently entering a natural cooling-off phase down to the ~$82,500–$85,000 range.
➡️ Short Squeeze and Liquidations: The primary driver of the rally on September 21–22 was the mass liquidation of short positions (exceeding $150M in a single day).
➡️ Deleveraging: At the peak, the funding rate spiked to an extreme level of over 75% APR. Funding has since returned to normal levels, and buyer delta (CVD) has declined as market orders were used to take profits.
➡️ Session Activity: The largest capital inflows and gains were observed during the US and Asian (APAC) trading sessions.
➡️ Liquidity Leaders: Binance, Bybit, and OKX hold the bulk of volume and Open Interest (OI), while the decentralized platform Hyperliquid is showing steady market share growth.
📊 What’s Next? (Scenarios)
📈 Consolidation and continuation (Bullish): Holding the $82,500–$84,000 zone while CVD stabilizes will allow the market to accumulate fresh liquidity for another push toward $88,000+.
📉 Deeper correction (Bearish): Continued market selling and a reduction in open interest could drive the price down to test key support levels around $77,500–$80,000.
⚠️ Summary: The market has shed the overheating associated with derivatives and leverage. We are now watching for the formation of a local support base ahead of the next major move.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin #metrics
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Metrics (September 18–24)
Bitcoin is undergoing an active, dynamic regrouping following a local surge. Here is a breakdown of recent market events and what to expect next:
🔑 Key Events and Factors:
➡️ Price Momentum and Correction: BTC’s price made a powerful move from ~$75,000 to a local peak of ~$87,500–$90,000, subsequently entering a natural cooling-off phase down to the ~$82,500–$85,000 range.
➡️ Short Squeeze and Liquidations: The primary driver of the rally on September 21–22 was the mass liquidation of short positions (exceeding $150M in a single day).
➡️ Deleveraging: At the peak, the funding rate spiked to an extreme level of over 75% APR. Funding has since returned to normal levels, and buyer delta (CVD) has declined as market orders were used to take profits.
➡️ Session Activity: The largest capital inflows and gains were observed during the US and Asian (APAC) trading sessions.
➡️ Liquidity Leaders: Binance, Bybit, and OKX hold the bulk of volume and Open Interest (OI), while the decentralized platform Hyperliquid is showing steady market share growth.
📊 What’s Next? (Scenarios)
📈 Consolidation and continuation (Bullish): Holding the $82,500–$84,000 zone while CVD stabilizes will allow the market to accumulate fresh liquidity for another push toward $88,000+.
📉 Deeper correction (Bearish): Continued market selling and a reduction in open interest could drive the price down to test key support levels around $77,500–$80,000.
⚠️ Summary: The market has shed the overheating associated with derivatives and leverage. We are now watching for the formation of a local support base ahead of the next major move.
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Metrics (September 18–24)
Bitcoin is undergoing an active, dynamic regrouping following a local surge. Here is a breakdown of recent market events and what to expect next:
🔑 Key Events and Factors:
➡️ Price Momentum and Correction: BTC’s price made a powerful move from ~$75,000 to a local peak of ~$87,500–$90,000, subsequently entering a natural cooling-off phase down to the ~$82,500–$85,000 range.
➡️ Short Squeeze and Liquidations: The primary driver of the rally on September 21–22 was the mass liquidation of short positions (exceeding $150M in a single day).
➡️ Deleveraging: At the peak, the funding rate spiked to an extreme level of over 75% APR. Funding has since returned to normal levels, and buyer delta (CVD) has declined as market orders were used to take profits.
➡️ Session Activity: The largest capital inflows and gains were observed during the US and Asian (APAC) trading sessions.
➡️ Liquidity Leaders: Binance, Bybit, and OKX hold the bulk of volume and Open Interest (OI), while the decentralized platform Hyperliquid is showing steady market share growth.
📊 What’s Next? (Scenarios)
📈 Consolidation and continuation (Bullish): Holding the $82,500–$84,000 zone while CVD stabilizes will allow the market to accumulate fresh liquidity for another push toward $88,000+.
📉 Deeper correction (Bearish): Continued market selling and a reduction in open interest could drive the price down to test key support levels around $77,500–$80,000.
⚠️ Summary: The market has shed the overheating associated with derivatives and leverage. We are now watching for the formation of a local support base ahead of the next major move.
2
87
#cryptotradingpro #metrics
🚀 Bitcoin ($BTC ): Analysis of the $62k - $80k Momentum and What the Market Expects Next
Bitcoin demonstrated a powerful bullish rally, confidently renewing local highs. Let's analyze what was really happening behind the scenes of the chart and what to prepare for.
📊 What do the metrics say?
➡️ Growth Driver — Spot and Delta: The CVD chart clearly shows explosive market buying (especially on Binance and OKX). This was not just passive growth, but aggressive buying of supply.
➡️ Short squeeze at $500M+: The breakout was accompanied by a massive liquidation of short positions in the range of August 19–20, which additionally “pushed” the price to the $80,000 mark.
➡️ No overheating: The Funding Rate quickly stabilized in the normal range after a short-term surge. The 3-month Basis is holding at ~4.5%–5%. This means that the market is not overloaded with panicked longs with leverage.
➡️ Consolidation: The price is currently stuck in the $77k–$79k range, and open interest (OI) remains high (~$18b–$20b). Capital is not leaving the market.
🚦 Conclusions and scenarios
We see a healthy bullish trend due to the accumulation phase. The market is digesting the previous growth before choosing the next direction.
🟢 Priority (Bullish): Holding the support zone of $75k–$76k leaves a high probability of a retest of $80k and further movement to new ATHs.
🟡 Alternative (Cool-off): A break of $75k may trigger local profit-taking and a cascade closure of longs with a capitulation to the $70k–$72k zone to collect liquidity.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#cryptotradingpro #metrics
🚀 Bitcoin ($BTC ): Analysis of the $62k - $80k Momentum and What the Market Expects Next
Bitcoin demonstrated a powerful bullish rally, confidently renewing local highs. Let's analyze what was really happening behind the scenes of the chart and what to prepare for.
📊 What do the metrics say?
➡️ Growth Driver — Spot and Delta: The CVD chart clearly shows explosive market buying (especially on Binance and OKX). This was not just passive growth, but aggressive buying of supply.
➡️ Short squeeze at $500M+: The breakout was accompanied by a massive liquidation of short positions in the range of August 19–20, which additionally “pushed” the price to the $80,000 mark.
➡️ No overheating: The Funding Rate quickly stabilized in the normal range after a short-term surge. The 3-month Basis is holding at ~4.5%–5%. This means that the market is not overloaded with panicked longs with leverage.
➡️ Consolidation: The price is currently stuck in the $77k–$79k range, and open interest (OI) remains high (~$18b–$20b). Capital is not leaving the market.
🚦 Conclusions and scenarios
We see a healthy bullish trend due to the accumulation phase. The market is digesting the previous growth before choosing the next direction.
🟢 Priority (Bullish): Holding the support zone of $75k–$76k leaves a high probability of a retest of $80k and further movement to new ATHs.
🟡 Alternative (Cool-off): A break of $75k may trigger local profit-taking and a cascade closure of longs with a capitulation to the $70k–$72k zone to collect liquidity.
🚀 Bitcoin ($BTC ): Analysis of the $62k - $80k Momentum and What the Market Expects Next
Bitcoin demonstrated a powerful bullish rally, confidently renewing local highs. Let's analyze what was really happening behind the scenes of the chart and what to prepare for.
📊 What do the metrics say?
➡️ Growth Driver — Spot and Delta: The CVD chart clearly shows explosive market buying (especially on Binance and OKX). This was not just passive growth, but aggressive buying of supply.
➡️ Short squeeze at $500M+: The breakout was accompanied by a massive liquidation of short positions in the range of August 19–20, which additionally “pushed” the price to the $80,000 mark.
➡️ No overheating: The Funding Rate quickly stabilized in the normal range after a short-term surge. The 3-month Basis is holding at ~4.5%–5%. This means that the market is not overloaded with panicked longs with leverage.
➡️ Consolidation: The price is currently stuck in the $77k–$79k range, and open interest (OI) remains high (~$18b–$20b). Capital is not leaving the market.
🚦 Conclusions and scenarios
We see a healthy bullish trend due to the accumulation phase. The market is digesting the previous growth before choosing the next direction.
🟢 Priority (Bullish): Holding the support zone of $75k–$76k leaves a high probability of a retest of $80k and further movement to new ATHs.
🟡 Alternative (Cool-off): A break of $75k may trigger local profit-taking and a cascade closure of longs with a capitulation to the $70k–$72k zone to collect liquidity.
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124
#cryptotradingpro #metrics #BTC
$BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics 📊
After a strong momentum on September 3-4, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase at the achieved highs. Let's analyze what is happening in the market right now:
➡️ Price and Volumes: The explosive growth was supported by high volumes (the main volume passed through Binance and Bybit). Now the volumes have fallen to average values, which indicates a pause before the next movement.
➡️ Liquidations and CVD: The main fuel for the growth was a large-scale cascade of short liquidations. There is an interesting difference in CVD - Binance and Bybit have fixed in growth, while other platforms hold neutral-positive cumulative volume.
➡️ Derivatives: Open interest (OI) remains high ($20B+), but the funding rate (Funding Rate) has already returned to the neutral zone. The market has cooled down from overheating, which creates a healthy foundation for further developments.
➡️ Sessions: The main driver of buyers is the American session (US), followed by Europe (EU). Asia is currently showing the least activity.
⚠️ Conclusion:
The market is in the accumulation phase after the short squeeze. The lack of overheating in funding at high OI indicates readiness for a new directional movement, possibly after the liquidity pool is removed below. The key trigger for the continuation of the uptrend is to maintain the current range and connect a spot buyer.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#cryptotradingpro #metrics #BTC
$BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics 📊
After a strong momentum on September 3-4, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase at the achieved highs. Let's analyze what is happening in the market right now:
➡️ Price and Volumes: The explosive growth was supported by high volumes (the main volume passed through Binance and Bybit). Now the volumes have fallen to average values, which indicates a pause before the next movement.
➡️ Liquidations and CVD: The main fuel for the growth was a large-scale cascade of short liquidations. There is an interesting difference in CVD - Binance and Bybit have fixed in growth, while other platforms hold neutral-positive cumulative volume.
➡️ Derivatives: Open interest (OI) remains high ($20B+), but the funding rate (Funding Rate) has already returned to the neutral zone. The market has cooled down from overheating, which creates a healthy foundation for further developments.
➡️ Sessions: The main driver of buyers is the American session (US), followed by Europe (EU). Asia is currently showing the least activity.
⚠️ Conclusion:
The market is in the accumulation phase after the short squeeze. The lack of overheating in funding at high OI indicates readiness for a new directional movement, possibly after the liquidity pool is removed below. The key trigger for the continuation of the uptrend is to maintain the current range and connect a spot buyer.
$BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics 📊
After a strong momentum on September 3-4, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase at the achieved highs. Let's analyze what is happening in the market right now:
➡️ Price and Volumes: The explosive growth was supported by high volumes (the main volume passed through Binance and Bybit). Now the volumes have fallen to average values, which indicates a pause before the next movement.
➡️ Liquidations and CVD: The main fuel for the growth was a large-scale cascade of short liquidations. There is an interesting difference in CVD - Binance and Bybit have fixed in growth, while other platforms hold neutral-positive cumulative volume.
➡️ Derivatives: Open interest (OI) remains high ($20B+), but the funding rate (Funding Rate) has already returned to the neutral zone. The market has cooled down from overheating, which creates a healthy foundation for further developments.
➡️ Sessions: The main driver of buyers is the American session (US), followed by Europe (EU). Asia is currently showing the least activity.
⚠️ Conclusion:
The market is in the accumulation phase after the short squeeze. The lack of overheating in funding at high OI indicates readiness for a new directional movement, possibly after the liquidity pool is removed below. The key trigger for the continuation of the uptrend is to maintain the current range and connect a spot buyer.
1
102
#metrics #bitcoin #CryptoTrading.
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After local liquidity withdrawal and pullback to $64,000, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase. Let's analyze what is happening "under the hood" of the market according to derivatives and volumes:
🔍 Key metrics:
➡️ Price and Spot (CVD): After a peak near $67,000, we saw longs unloaded and a dip to $64,000. Currently, the cumulative delta (CVD) has leveled off in the $200M–$400M range - aggressive selling has subsided, the market is moving into a waiting state.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) & Funding: Total OI remains high ($15B–$17B), indicating that large players are maintaining positions. Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), and the 3-month base rate has dropped to 3.5–3.75% — the market has cleared from excessive overheating.
➡️ Liquidations: The spill on July 24–25 washed away leveraged buyers (over $20M+ of longs were liquidated), fixing a local bottom.
➡️ Sessionality: The main growth driver remains the US session (+15–20% for the month), while Asia (APAC) continues to moderately pressure the price downward.
📊 Conclusion and scenario:
The clearing of excess leverage has occurred. As the US session continues to actively buy back the decline, the baseline scenario is accumulation in the range of $64,200 – $66,000 with a potential attempt to retest $67,000 upon a CVD reversal towards purchases.
🎯 Key Levels:
Support: $63,800 – $64,200
Resistance: $66,200 / $67,100
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics #bitcoin #CryptoTrading.
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After local liquidity withdrawal and pullback to $64,000, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase. Let's analyze what is happening "under the hood" of the market according to derivatives and volumes:
🔍 Key metrics:
➡️ Price and Spot (CVD): After a peak near $67,000, we saw longs unloaded and a dip to $64,000. Currently, the cumulative delta (CVD) has leveled off in the $200M–$400M range - aggressive selling has subsided, the market is moving into a waiting state.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) & Funding: Total OI remains high ($15B–$17B), indicating that large players are maintaining positions. Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), and the 3-month base rate has dropped to 3.5–3.75% — the market has cleared from excessive overheating.
➡️ Liquidations: The spill on July 24–25 washed away leveraged buyers (over $20M+ of longs were liquidated), fixing a local bottom.
➡️ Sessionality: The main growth driver remains the US session (+15–20% for the month), while Asia (APAC) continues to moderately pressure the price downward.
📊 Conclusion and scenario:
The clearing of excess leverage has occurred. As the US session continues to actively buy back the decline, the baseline scenario is accumulation in the range of $64,200 – $66,000 with a potential attempt to retest $67,000 upon a CVD reversal towards purchases.
🎯 Key Levels:
Support: $63,800 – $64,200
Resistance: $66,200 / $67,100
📊 $BTC : Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After local liquidity withdrawal and pullback to $64,000, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase. Let's analyze what is happening "under the hood" of the market according to derivatives and volumes:
🔍 Key metrics:
➡️ Price and Spot (CVD): After a peak near $67,000, we saw longs unloaded and a dip to $64,000. Currently, the cumulative delta (CVD) has leveled off in the $200M–$400M range - aggressive selling has subsided, the market is moving into a waiting state.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) & Funding: Total OI remains high ($15B–$17B), indicating that large players are maintaining positions. Funding remains moderately positive (10–20% APR), and the 3-month base rate has dropped to 3.5–3.75% — the market has cleared from excessive overheating.
➡️ Liquidations: The spill on July 24–25 washed away leveraged buyers (over $20M+ of longs were liquidated), fixing a local bottom.
➡️ Sessionality: The main growth driver remains the US session (+15–20% for the month), while Asia (APAC) continues to moderately pressure the price downward.
📊 Conclusion and scenario:
The clearing of excess leverage has occurred. As the US session continues to actively buy back the decline, the baseline scenario is accumulation in the range of $64,200 – $66,000 with a potential attempt to retest $67,000 upon a CVD reversal towards purchases.
🎯 Key Levels:
Support: $63,800 – $64,200
Resistance: $66,200 / $67,100
1
98
#bitcoin #metrics
📊 BTC: Big long washout and bottom search. What do the metrics say?
The last week of June turned out to be a hot one. We saw a classic retail capitulation, liquidity withdrawal "under the floor" and a further transition to consolidation. Let's analyze what happened behind the $BTC price movement from June 22 to 28.
📉 Key facts of the fall
Capitulation and volumes: After a flat in the $64k–$65k area, the price was pushed down to a local bottom near $58k–$59k. The fall was accompanied by a strong surge in trading volumes (over $20b on Binance), which indicates active buyout of the strait by large players.
Liquidation cascade: Massive washout of long positions amounted to over $150m per day.
🔍 What about derivatives and sentiment?
Open Interest (OI) holds the blow: Despite the liquidation, open interest remained high (about $15b). Instead of the liquidated longs, new positions were immediately opened, with Binance leading the way (over $6b).
Sentiment cooling: The Funding Rate fell to zero during the spill (and even into the negative on some exchanges), and the 3-month basis sank from 4.5% to 2-3%. The market has completely cleared of overheating.
Market sales stop: Cumulative delta (CVD) after aggressive sales finally fell into a horizontal flat. Sales "by market" subsided, and limit orders began to hold the price.
Who was pressuring the market? The main initiators of the fall during the month were the American (US) and European (EU) sessions. Asia (APAC) behaved neutrally.
📌 Conclusion and scenario
The market has undergone a qualitative cleansing from excessive margin leverage. Panic stops have been collected, funding has cooled.
1️⃣ Baseline scenario: As market selling has stopped, we expect accumulation in the range of $60,000 - $62,500 in the coming days to test the upper limit of the decline.
2️⃣ Alternative: Until we see clear market buying (CVD), high Open Interest leaves the risk of a repeated withdrawal of liquidity below if buyers turn out to be passive.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin #metrics
📊 BTC: Big long washout and bottom search. What do the metrics say?
The last week of June turned out to be a hot one. We saw a classic retail capitulation, liquidity withdrawal "under the floor" and a further transition to consolidation. Let's analyze what happened behind the $BTC price movement from June 22 to 28.
📉 Key facts of the fall
Capitulation and volumes: After a flat in the $64k–$65k area, the price was pushed down to a local bottom near $58k–$59k. The fall was accompanied by a strong surge in trading volumes (over $20b on Binance), which indicates active buyout of the strait by large players.
Liquidation cascade: Massive washout of long positions amounted to over $150m per day.
🔍 What about derivatives and sentiment?
Open Interest (OI) holds the blow: Despite the liquidation, open interest remained high (about $15b). Instead of the liquidated longs, new positions were immediately opened, with Binance leading the way (over $6b).
Sentiment cooling: The Funding Rate fell to zero during the spill (and even into the negative on some exchanges), and the 3-month basis sank from 4.5% to 2-3%. The market has completely cleared of overheating.
Market sales stop: Cumulative delta (CVD) after aggressive sales finally fell into a horizontal flat. Sales "by market" subsided, and limit orders began to hold the price.
Who was pressuring the market? The main initiators of the fall during the month were the American (US) and European (EU) sessions. Asia (APAC) behaved neutrally.
📌 Conclusion and scenario
The market has undergone a qualitative cleansing from excessive margin leverage. Panic stops have been collected, funding has cooled.
1️⃣ Baseline scenario: As market selling has stopped, we expect accumulation in the range of $60,000 - $62,500 in the coming days to test the upper limit of the decline.
2️⃣ Alternative: Until we see clear market buying (CVD), high Open Interest leaves the risk of a repeated withdrawal of liquidity below if buyers turn out to be passive.
📊 BTC: Big long washout and bottom search. What do the metrics say?
The last week of June turned out to be a hot one. We saw a classic retail capitulation, liquidity withdrawal "under the floor" and a further transition to consolidation. Let's analyze what happened behind the $BTC price movement from June 22 to 28.
📉 Key facts of the fall
Capitulation and volumes: After a flat in the $64k–$65k area, the price was pushed down to a local bottom near $58k–$59k. The fall was accompanied by a strong surge in trading volumes (over $20b on Binance), which indicates active buyout of the strait by large players.
Liquidation cascade: Massive washout of long positions amounted to over $150m per day.
🔍 What about derivatives and sentiment?
Open Interest (OI) holds the blow: Despite the liquidation, open interest remained high (about $15b). Instead of the liquidated longs, new positions were immediately opened, with Binance leading the way (over $6b).
Sentiment cooling: The Funding Rate fell to zero during the spill (and even into the negative on some exchanges), and the 3-month basis sank from 4.5% to 2-3%. The market has completely cleared of overheating.
Market sales stop: Cumulative delta (CVD) after aggressive sales finally fell into a horizontal flat. Sales "by market" subsided, and limit orders began to hold the price.
Who was pressuring the market? The main initiators of the fall during the month were the American (US) and European (EU) sessions. Asia (APAC) behaved neutrally.
📌 Conclusion and scenario
The market has undergone a qualitative cleansing from excessive margin leverage. Panic stops have been collected, funding has cooled.
1️⃣ Baseline scenario: As market selling has stopped, we expect accumulation in the range of $60,000 - $62,500 in the coming days to test the upper limit of the decline.
2️⃣ Alternative: Until we see clear market buying (CVD), high Open Interest leaves the risk of a repeated withdrawal of liquidity below if buyers turn out to be passive.
1
77
·
--
Рост
#cryptotradingpro #metrics
📊 $BTC : The market has gathered strength for a breakout. Analysis of derivatives and metrics 🚀
Friends, let's analyze the latest analytics on BTC. After a local spill at the beginning of the week, the market is demonstrating a classic V-shaped reversal. Metrics signal a strong bullish momentum.
Let's break down why the current growth is not just a "dead cat bounce":
➡️💥 Market clearing of passengers: On July 7, a powerful cascade of liquidations took place (both overly bold longs and early shorts were shaved off). The market shed excess margin, receiving the necessary fuel for an upward movement.
➡️🛒 Aggressive market purchases (CVD): The most important signal! Starting from July 9, the cumulative volume delta (CVD) on top exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) has rapidly gone up. This means that the price is being driven not just by passive limits, but by active market buyers.
➡️🇺🇸 Who is buying? The cumulative profit chart by sessions clearly shows: the main driver is the American session (US). While Asia and Europe are hesitant, American capital (presumably due to the inflow into spot ETFs) is confidently buying the market.
📈 Futures optimism: 3-month basis has increased from ~3.3% to almost 3.8%. Traders are willing to pay a premium for futures, as they are betting on a higher price in the future. At the same time, the Funding Rate remains within normal limits - there is no market overheating, and therefore there is room for growth.
⚠️ Summary and expectations
The $BTC price has confidently consolidated above $64k and is testing local highs of the week. Since the growth is supported by real spot demand and strong purchases on derivatives, the priority remains upward.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#cryptotradingpro #metrics
📊 $BTC : The market has gathered strength for a breakout. Analysis of derivatives and metrics 🚀
Friends, let's analyze the latest analytics on BTC. After a local spill at the beginning of the week, the market is demonstrating a classic V-shaped reversal. Metrics signal a strong bullish momentum.
Let's break down why the current growth is not just a "dead cat bounce":
➡️💥 Market clearing of passengers: On July 7, a powerful cascade of liquidations took place (both overly bold longs and early shorts were shaved off). The market shed excess margin, receiving the necessary fuel for an upward movement.
➡️🛒 Aggressive market purchases (CVD): The most important signal! Starting from July 9, the cumulative volume delta (CVD) on top exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) has rapidly gone up. This means that the price is being driven not just by passive limits, but by active market buyers.
➡️🇺🇸 Who is buying? The cumulative profit chart by sessions clearly shows: the main driver is the American session (US). While Asia and Europe are hesitant, American capital (presumably due to the inflow into spot ETFs) is confidently buying the market.
📈 Futures optimism: 3-month basis has increased from ~3.3% to almost 3.8%. Traders are willing to pay a premium for futures, as they are betting on a higher price in the future. At the same time, the Funding Rate remains within normal limits - there is no market overheating, and therefore there is room for growth.
⚠️ Summary and expectations
The $BTC price has confidently consolidated above $64k and is testing local highs of the week. Since the growth is supported by real spot demand and strong purchases on derivatives, the priority remains upward.
📊 $BTC : The market has gathered strength for a breakout. Analysis of derivatives and metrics 🚀
Friends, let's analyze the latest analytics on BTC. After a local spill at the beginning of the week, the market is demonstrating a classic V-shaped reversal. Metrics signal a strong bullish momentum.
Let's break down why the current growth is not just a "dead cat bounce":
➡️💥 Market clearing of passengers: On July 7, a powerful cascade of liquidations took place (both overly bold longs and early shorts were shaved off). The market shed excess margin, receiving the necessary fuel for an upward movement.
➡️🛒 Aggressive market purchases (CVD): The most important signal! Starting from July 9, the cumulative volume delta (CVD) on top exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) has rapidly gone up. This means that the price is being driven not just by passive limits, but by active market buyers.
➡️🇺🇸 Who is buying? The cumulative profit chart by sessions clearly shows: the main driver is the American session (US). While Asia and Europe are hesitant, American capital (presumably due to the inflow into spot ETFs) is confidently buying the market.
📈 Futures optimism: 3-month basis has increased from ~3.3% to almost 3.8%. Traders are willing to pay a premium for futures, as they are betting on a higher price in the future. At the same time, the Funding Rate remains within normal limits - there is no market overheating, and therefore there is room for growth.
⚠️ Summary and expectations
The $BTC price has confidently consolidated above $64k and is testing local highs of the week. Since the growth is supported by real spot demand and strong purchases on derivatives, the priority remains upward.
1
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299
#cryptotradingpro #metrics #BTC
📊 $BTC / USD: Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After attempting an impulse breakout to levels of ~$81,000, Bitcoin has entered a phase of local consolidation and is currently trading in the range of $78,000 - $79,000.
Let's analyze what is happening in the market and what to watch closely:
➡️ Volumes and CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta):
After the peak surge in volumes on August 25-26, activity has subsided. The decrease in CVD (especially on Binance and Bybit) indicates the dominance of aggressive market sellers during the pullback, but the price holds key levels.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) and Funding:
Open interest remains high (~$20B), but the Funding Rate has smoothed out to neutral values. This is a great signal: the market has unloaded itself from excessive leverage and risky longs (which is also confirmed by the wave of liquidations of $25M–$45M during the spill).
➡️ Cumulative Return:
The main driver of the current movement is the EU and US sessions — that’s where the main growth momentum took place. The Asian region (APAC) is still showing passivity.
🚦 Conclusion and scenarios:
The market is in a healthy cumulative pause. Big players are holding the price back without the risk of a panic dump.
🟢 Bullish Case: Holding the support zone of $77,500 – $78,000 paves the way for a retest of $81,000+ with the potential for a new high.
🔴 Bearish Case: A loss of $77,000 will send the price to withdraw liquidity to the $75,500 area.
⚠️ We are following the reaction to the discovery of the Americans! 🧠📈
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#cryptotradingpro #metrics #BTC
📊 $BTC / USD: Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After attempting an impulse breakout to levels of ~$81,000, Bitcoin has entered a phase of local consolidation and is currently trading in the range of $78,000 - $79,000.
Let's analyze what is happening in the market and what to watch closely:
➡️ Volumes and CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta):
After the peak surge in volumes on August 25-26, activity has subsided. The decrease in CVD (especially on Binance and Bybit) indicates the dominance of aggressive market sellers during the pullback, but the price holds key levels.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) and Funding:
Open interest remains high (~$20B), but the Funding Rate has smoothed out to neutral values. This is a great signal: the market has unloaded itself from excessive leverage and risky longs (which is also confirmed by the wave of liquidations of $25M–$45M during the spill).
➡️ Cumulative Return:
The main driver of the current movement is the EU and US sessions — that’s where the main growth momentum took place. The Asian region (APAC) is still showing passivity.
🚦 Conclusion and scenarios:
The market is in a healthy cumulative pause. Big players are holding the price back without the risk of a panic dump.
🟢 Bullish Case: Holding the support zone of $77,500 – $78,000 paves the way for a retest of $81,000+ with the potential for a new high.
🔴 Bearish Case: A loss of $77,000 will send the price to withdraw liquidity to the $75,500 area.
⚠️ We are following the reaction to the discovery of the Americans! 🧠📈
📊 $BTC / USD: Market Analysis and Key Metrics
After attempting an impulse breakout to levels of ~$81,000, Bitcoin has entered a phase of local consolidation and is currently trading in the range of $78,000 - $79,000.
Let's analyze what is happening in the market and what to watch closely:
➡️ Volumes and CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta):
After the peak surge in volumes on August 25-26, activity has subsided. The decrease in CVD (especially on Binance and Bybit) indicates the dominance of aggressive market sellers during the pullback, but the price holds key levels.
➡️ Open Interest (OI) and Funding:
Open interest remains high (~$20B), but the Funding Rate has smoothed out to neutral values. This is a great signal: the market has unloaded itself from excessive leverage and risky longs (which is also confirmed by the wave of liquidations of $25M–$45M during the spill).
➡️ Cumulative Return:
The main driver of the current movement is the EU and US sessions — that’s where the main growth momentum took place. The Asian region (APAC) is still showing passivity.
🚦 Conclusion and scenarios:
The market is in a healthy cumulative pause. Big players are holding the price back without the risk of a panic dump.
🟢 Bullish Case: Holding the support zone of $77,500 – $78,000 paves the way for a retest of $81,000+ with the potential for a new high.
🔴 Bearish Case: A loss of $77,000 will send the price to withdraw liquidity to the $75,500 area.
⚠️ We are following the reaction to the discovery of the Americans! 🧠📈
1
49
#CryptoMarkets #metrics
📊 Bitcoin: Market Reset Before the Next Surge
The localized price drop, followed by a lightning-fast V-shaped rebound, was a classic example of "shaking out weak hands." The market effectively purged excessive speculative leverage: a cascade of over $50 million in long liquidations brought overheated funding rates down from 20–30% APR to a healthy 0–5%.
📊 Key Metrics:
➡️ Limit Order Defense vs. Market Sellers: A sustained drop in CVD (down to -$3B) indicates systematic market selling. However, the price is holding firm thanks to dense limit-order demand from major players.
➡️ Western Driver: The bulk of gains is generated during US and European trading sessions (US/EU +20%). Buying activity traditionally peaks at the US market open (14:00–15:00 UTC).
➡️ Coiled Spring: Open Interest remains above $20B. Large capital is staying in positions, setting the stage for a powerful impulse move.
⚠️ Conclusion:
Relieving local overheating paves the way for the trend to continue. The only missing piece for a decisive upward breakout is a shift of the CVD back into positive territory. The key level to defend is the "buy-the-dip" low; losing this could trigger another wave of liquidations.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(SUIUSDT)
#CryptoMarkets #metrics
📊 Bitcoin: Market Reset Before the Next Surge
The localized price drop, followed by a lightning-fast V-shaped rebound, was a classic example of "shaking out weak hands." The market effectively purged excessive speculative leverage: a cascade of over $50 million in long liquidations brought overheated funding rates down from 20–30% APR to a healthy 0–5%.
📊 Key Metrics:
➡️ Limit Order Defense vs. Market Sellers: A sustained drop in CVD (down to -$3B) indicates systematic market selling. However, the price is holding firm thanks to dense limit-order demand from major players.
➡️ Western Driver: The bulk of gains is generated during US and European trading sessions (US/EU +20%). Buying activity traditionally peaks at the US market open (14:00–15:00 UTC).
➡️ Coiled Spring: Open Interest remains above $20B. Large capital is staying in positions, setting the stage for a powerful impulse move.
⚠️ Conclusion:
Relieving local overheating paves the way for the trend to continue. The only missing piece for a decisive upward breakout is a shift of the CVD back into positive territory. The key level to defend is the "buy-the-dip" low; losing this could trigger another wave of liquidations.
📊 Bitcoin: Market Reset Before the Next Surge
The localized price drop, followed by a lightning-fast V-shaped rebound, was a classic example of "shaking out weak hands." The market effectively purged excessive speculative leverage: a cascade of over $50 million in long liquidations brought overheated funding rates down from 20–30% APR to a healthy 0–5%.
📊 Key Metrics:
➡️ Limit Order Defense vs. Market Sellers: A sustained drop in CVD (down to -$3B) indicates systematic market selling. However, the price is holding firm thanks to dense limit-order demand from major players.
➡️ Western Driver: The bulk of gains is generated during US and European trading sessions (US/EU +20%). Buying activity traditionally peaks at the US market open (14:00–15:00 UTC).
➡️ Coiled Spring: Open Interest remains above $20B. Large capital is staying in positions, setting the stage for a powerful impulse move.
⚠️ Conclusion:
Relieving local overheating paves the way for the trend to continue. The only missing piece for a decisive upward breakout is a shift of the CVD back into positive territory. The key level to defend is the "buy-the-dip" low; losing this could trigger another wave of liquidations.
68
#metrics
🚀 $BTC Market Analysis: Strong Momentum or a Long Trap?
Bitcoin has surged sharply, breaking past the ~$81,000 mark. Here’s a breakdown of the market situation:
➡️ Aggressive Buying (Orderbook Liquidity Delta): The price spike was accompanied by a sharp drop in liquidity delta into the red zone (down to -$80M). This indicates that sell limit orders within a 1% range were aggressively swept up by market buyers.
➡️ Rising Interest (Open Interest): Open Interest (OI) is rising steadily alongside the price, confirming an influx of new capital into the trend.
Longs Overheated (Long/Short Ratio): The position ratio on Hyperliquid has reached 2.43 (with over 70% of traders holding long positions: 63.9k vs. 26.2k).
⚠️ Conclusion:
Strong bullish momentum prevails; however, the significant dominance of long positions creates a risk of a "long squeeze." Exercise caution with leverage—a short-term volatile correction to sweep liquidity is possible before the next move! ⚡️
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#metrics
🚀 $BTC Market Analysis: Strong Momentum or a Long Trap?
Bitcoin has surged sharply, breaking past the ~$81,000 mark. Here’s a breakdown of the market situation:
➡️ Aggressive Buying (Orderbook Liquidity Delta): The price spike was accompanied by a sharp drop in liquidity delta into the red zone (down to -$80M). This indicates that sell limit orders within a 1% range were aggressively swept up by market buyers.
➡️ Rising Interest (Open Interest): Open Interest (OI) is rising steadily alongside the price, confirming an influx of new capital into the trend.
Longs Overheated (Long/Short Ratio): The position ratio on Hyperliquid has reached 2.43 (with over 70% of traders holding long positions: 63.9k vs. 26.2k).
⚠️ Conclusion:
Strong bullish momentum prevails; however, the significant dominance of long positions creates a risk of a "long squeeze." Exercise caution with leverage—a short-term volatile correction to sweep liquidity is possible before the next move! ⚡️
🚀 $BTC Market Analysis: Strong Momentum or a Long Trap?
Bitcoin has surged sharply, breaking past the ~$81,000 mark. Here’s a breakdown of the market situation:
➡️ Aggressive Buying (Orderbook Liquidity Delta): The price spike was accompanied by a sharp drop in liquidity delta into the red zone (down to -$80M). This indicates that sell limit orders within a 1% range were aggressively swept up by market buyers.
➡️ Rising Interest (Open Interest): Open Interest (OI) is rising steadily alongside the price, confirming an influx of new capital into the trend.
Longs Overheated (Long/Short Ratio): The position ratio on Hyperliquid has reached 2.43 (with over 70% of traders holding long positions: 63.9k vs. 26.2k).
⚠️ Conclusion:
Strong bullish momentum prevails; however, the significant dominance of long positions creates a risk of a "long squeeze." Exercise caution with leverage—a short-term volatile correction to sweep liquidity is possible before the next move! ⚡️
1
1
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#bitcoin #metrics
🔥 $BTC Near Key Levels: Analysis of Derivatives, ETF Flows, and Political Context
Bitcoin continues to exhibit high volatility. After attempts to test the upper bounds of the range, the market has entered a consolidation phase. Current dynamics are driven by a combination of technical derivatives metrics, spot ETF flows, and the political backdrop in the US.
1️⃣ Derivatives and On-Chain (Dashboard Analysis):
Funding Rate & Basis: The funding rate shows periodic spikes to 20–40% APR, while the 3-month basis holds steady around 5.25%–5.5%. This indicates an accumulation of high-leverage long positions and a risk of local deleveraging.
Open Interest & Liquidations: Open interest remains near peak levels (>$20 billion). Following a series of cascading short liquidations (exceeding $70M–$80M), momentum has slowed, and spot demand (CVD) requires further confirmation.
2️⃣ Political and Macroeconomic Context:
CLARITY Act in the US Senate: The failure of the procedural vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act (49–50) removed a major positive regulatory catalyst, creating short-term uncertainty for institutional investors.
US Federal Reserve Decision: The Fed's tight monetary policy and high yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds continue to curb aggressive growth in risk assets.
3️⃣ Institutional Demand (Spot ETFs):
Following significant outflows triggered by news from the Senate, spot Bitcoin ETFs are showing signs of stabilization (notably, a return of inflows to BlackRock’s IBIT). A decisive break above market resistance requires sustained net inflows exceeding $200 million per day.
🚦 Key Levels and Scenarios:
🟢 Support: $75,000 – $76,000 (a demand zone; losing this level risks opening the path to $71,000 due to a long squeeze).
🔴 Resistance: $81,000 – $82,500 (the primary barrier to resuming the macro uptrend).
⚠️ Conclusion: The current phase is one of accumulation, albeit with an elevated risk of a local correction to cool down funding rates.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin #metrics
🔥 $BTC Near Key Levels: Analysis of Derivatives, ETF Flows, and Political Context
Bitcoin continues to exhibit high volatility. After attempts to test the upper bounds of the range, the market has entered a consolidation phase. Current dynamics are driven by a combination of technical derivatives metrics, spot ETF flows, and the political backdrop in the US.
1️⃣ Derivatives and On-Chain (Dashboard Analysis):
Funding Rate & Basis: The funding rate shows periodic spikes to 20–40% APR, while the 3-month basis holds steady around 5.25%–5.5%. This indicates an accumulation of high-leverage long positions and a risk of local deleveraging.
Open Interest & Liquidations: Open interest remains near peak levels (>$20 billion). Following a series of cascading short liquidations (exceeding $70M–$80M), momentum has slowed, and spot demand (CVD) requires further confirmation.
2️⃣ Political and Macroeconomic Context:
CLARITY Act in the US Senate: The failure of the procedural vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act (49–50) removed a major positive regulatory catalyst, creating short-term uncertainty for institutional investors.
US Federal Reserve Decision: The Fed's tight monetary policy and high yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds continue to curb aggressive growth in risk assets.
3️⃣ Institutional Demand (Spot ETFs):
Following significant outflows triggered by news from the Senate, spot Bitcoin ETFs are showing signs of stabilization (notably, a return of inflows to BlackRock’s IBIT). A decisive break above market resistance requires sustained net inflows exceeding $200 million per day.
🚦 Key Levels and Scenarios:
🟢 Support: $75,000 – $76,000 (a demand zone; losing this level risks opening the path to $71,000 due to a long squeeze).
🔴 Resistance: $81,000 – $82,500 (the primary barrier to resuming the macro uptrend).
⚠️ Conclusion: The current phase is one of accumulation, albeit with an elevated risk of a local correction to cool down funding rates.
🔥 $BTC Near Key Levels: Analysis of Derivatives, ETF Flows, and Political Context
Bitcoin continues to exhibit high volatility. After attempts to test the upper bounds of the range, the market has entered a consolidation phase. Current dynamics are driven by a combination of technical derivatives metrics, spot ETF flows, and the political backdrop in the US.
1️⃣ Derivatives and On-Chain (Dashboard Analysis):
Funding Rate & Basis: The funding rate shows periodic spikes to 20–40% APR, while the 3-month basis holds steady around 5.25%–5.5%. This indicates an accumulation of high-leverage long positions and a risk of local deleveraging.
Open Interest & Liquidations: Open interest remains near peak levels (>$20 billion). Following a series of cascading short liquidations (exceeding $70M–$80M), momentum has slowed, and spot demand (CVD) requires further confirmation.
2️⃣ Political and Macroeconomic Context:
CLARITY Act in the US Senate: The failure of the procedural vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act (49–50) removed a major positive regulatory catalyst, creating short-term uncertainty for institutional investors.
US Federal Reserve Decision: The Fed's tight monetary policy and high yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds continue to curb aggressive growth in risk assets.
3️⃣ Institutional Demand (Spot ETFs):
Following significant outflows triggered by news from the Senate, spot Bitcoin ETFs are showing signs of stabilization (notably, a return of inflows to BlackRock’s IBIT). A decisive break above market resistance requires sustained net inflows exceeding $200 million per day.
🚦 Key Levels and Scenarios:
🟢 Support: $75,000 – $76,000 (a demand zone; losing this level risks opening the path to $71,000 due to a long squeeze).
🔴 Resistance: $81,000 – $82,500 (the primary barrier to resuming the macro uptrend).
⚠️ Conclusion: The current phase is one of accumulation, albeit with an elevated risk of a local correction to cool down funding rates.
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📚 Understanding Total Value Locked: A key metric for evaluating DeFi protocol health
On July 20, 2026, understanding Total Value Locked $TVL becomes essential for navigating DeFi markets. TVL measures the total value of assets deposited in a protocol's smart contracts — essentially, how much capital users have committed to lending, staking, liquidity pools, or yield farming strategies. Higher $TVL generally indicates greater user trust and liquidity depth.
TVL is not a perfect metric. It can be inflated through token price appreciation, double-counting across layers, or liquidity mining incentives. Savvy users look beyond raw $TVL to metrics like revenue-to-TVL ratio, unique depositors, and underlying asset quality to assess protocol health.
📌 Key Takeaway:
TVL tells you how much capital a protocol manages — but revenue, sustainability, and unique users tell you if it will last.
#DeFi #TVL #CryptoEducation #Metrics
#BinanceAlphaAlert
📚 Understanding Total Value Locked: A key metric for evaluating DeFi protocol health
On July 20, 2026, understanding Total Value Locked $TVL becomes essential for navigating DeFi markets. TVL measures the total value of assets deposited in a protocol's smart contracts — essentially, how much capital users have committed to lending, staking, liquidity pools, or yield farming strategies. Higher $TVL generally indicates greater user trust and liquidity depth.
TVL is not a perfect metric. It can be inflated through token price appreciation, double-counting across layers, or liquidity mining incentives. Savvy users look beyond raw $TVL to metrics like revenue-to-TVL ratio, unique depositors, and underlying asset quality to assess protocol health.
📌 Key Takeaway:
TVL tells you how much capital a protocol manages — but revenue, sustainability, and unique users tell you if it will last.
#DeFi #TVL #CryptoEducation #Metrics
#BinanceAlphaAlert
On July 20, 2026, understanding Total Value Locked $TVL becomes essential for navigating DeFi markets. TVL measures the total value of assets deposited in a protocol's smart contracts — essentially, how much capital users have committed to lending, staking, liquidity pools, or yield farming strategies. Higher $TVL generally indicates greater user trust and liquidity depth.
TVL is not a perfect metric. It can be inflated through token price appreciation, double-counting across layers, or liquidity mining incentives. Savvy users look beyond raw $TVL to metrics like revenue-to-TVL ratio, unique depositors, and underlying asset quality to assess protocol health.
📌 Key Takeaway:
TVL tells you how much capital a protocol manages — but revenue, sustainability, and unique users tell you if it will last.
#DeFi #TVL #CryptoEducation #Metrics
#BinanceAlphaAlert
4
📊 THORChain تطلق لوحة تحكم عامة لتتبع الإيرادات والمقاييس التجارية
أعلنت منصة THORChain للسيولة اللامركزية عن إطلاق لوحة تحكم عامة جديدة. تهدف هذه الأداة إلى توفير الشفافية حول إيرادات البروتوكول ومقاييس التداول، مما يتيح للمستخدمين والمشاركين مراقبة أداء المنصة وبياناتها التشغيلية بشكل مباشر.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 التأثير: 📈 مرتفع
🏷️ DEFI
#THORChain #DeFi #Transparency #Blockchain #Metrics
📰 المصدر: cryptobriefing.com
📊 THORChain تطلق لوحة تحكم عامة لتتبع الإيرادات والمقاييس التجارية
أعلنت منصة THORChain للسيولة اللامركزية عن إطلاق لوحة تحكم عامة جديدة. تهدف هذه الأداة إلى توفير الشفافية حول إيرادات البروتوكول ومقاييس التداول، مما يتيح للمستخدمين والمشاركين مراقبة أداء المنصة وبياناتها التشغيلية بشكل مباشر.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 التأثير: 📈 مرتفع
🏷️ DEFI
#THORChain #DeFi #Transparency #Blockchain #Metrics
📰 المصدر: cryptobriefing.com
أعلنت منصة THORChain للسيولة اللامركزية عن إطلاق لوحة تحكم عامة جديدة. تهدف هذه الأداة إلى توفير الشفافية حول إيرادات البروتوكول ومقاييس التداول، مما يتيح للمستخدمين والمشاركين مراقبة أداء المنصة وبياناتها التشغيلية بشكل مباشر.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 التأثير: 📈 مرتفع
🏷️ DEFI
#THORChain #DeFi #Transparency #Blockchain #Metrics
📰 المصدر: cryptobriefing.com
55
#bitcoin #metrics
🔥$BTC /USD: Bearish pressure remains, but the market is close to a local fading of momentum
Analysis of current market metrics indicates a continuation of the downward movement with the attraction of large capital for selling.
🔑 Key factors and market metrics
➡️ Price dynamics: BTC is moving in a clear downtrend, having fallen from $66,000 to current levels around $62,500 - $63,000.
➡️ CVD (Aggressive Selling): Cumulative delta shows a steady outflow of capital on market orders. The main source of pressure is the Binance exchange (CVD dropped to -$1B).
➡️ Liquidation cascade: The decline was accompanied by a series of significant long liquidations on August 11, 12 and 14 ($10M–$15M per session).
➡️ Futures market: Open interest (OI) is holding at ~$17B–$18B, but Annualized Basis fell from 5% to 4%, indicating cooling optimism among traders.
➡️ Sessionality: The most negative dynamics are observed during the American and European sessions, while the main attempts at local rebounds fall on the middle hours of UTC (10:00–12:00 and 16:00).
📊 Summary and scenario
The advantage is completely on the side of sellers. Currently, the drop in volumes at the end of the week may provide temporary consolidation, but for a reversal, the price needs to be fixed above $64,000–$64,500 and the CVD delta needs to change towards purchases.
Priority scenario — continued testing of lower support zones in the $61,500–$62,000 area.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin #metrics
🔥$BTC /USD: Bearish pressure remains, but the market is close to a local fading of momentum
Analysis of current market metrics indicates a continuation of the downward movement with the attraction of large capital for selling.
🔑 Key factors and market metrics
➡️ Price dynamics: BTC is moving in a clear downtrend, having fallen from $66,000 to current levels around $62,500 - $63,000.
➡️ CVD (Aggressive Selling): Cumulative delta shows a steady outflow of capital on market orders. The main source of pressure is the Binance exchange (CVD dropped to -$1B).
➡️ Liquidation cascade: The decline was accompanied by a series of significant long liquidations on August 11, 12 and 14 ($10M–$15M per session).
➡️ Futures market: Open interest (OI) is holding at ~$17B–$18B, but Annualized Basis fell from 5% to 4%, indicating cooling optimism among traders.
➡️ Sessionality: The most negative dynamics are observed during the American and European sessions, while the main attempts at local rebounds fall on the middle hours of UTC (10:00–12:00 and 16:00).
📊 Summary and scenario
The advantage is completely on the side of sellers. Currently, the drop in volumes at the end of the week may provide temporary consolidation, but for a reversal, the price needs to be fixed above $64,000–$64,500 and the CVD delta needs to change towards purchases.
Priority scenario — continued testing of lower support zones in the $61,500–$62,000 area.
🔥$BTC /USD: Bearish pressure remains, but the market is close to a local fading of momentum
Analysis of current market metrics indicates a continuation of the downward movement with the attraction of large capital for selling.
🔑 Key factors and market metrics
➡️ Price dynamics: BTC is moving in a clear downtrend, having fallen from $66,000 to current levels around $62,500 - $63,000.
➡️ CVD (Aggressive Selling): Cumulative delta shows a steady outflow of capital on market orders. The main source of pressure is the Binance exchange (CVD dropped to -$1B).
➡️ Liquidation cascade: The decline was accompanied by a series of significant long liquidations on August 11, 12 and 14 ($10M–$15M per session).
➡️ Futures market: Open interest (OI) is holding at ~$17B–$18B, but Annualized Basis fell from 5% to 4%, indicating cooling optimism among traders.
➡️ Sessionality: The most negative dynamics are observed during the American and European sessions, while the main attempts at local rebounds fall on the middle hours of UTC (10:00–12:00 and 16:00).
📊 Summary and scenario
The advantage is completely on the side of sellers. Currently, the drop in volumes at the end of the week may provide temporary consolidation, but for a reversal, the price needs to be fixed above $64,000–$64,500 and the CVD delta needs to change towards purchases.
Priority scenario — continued testing of lower support zones in the $61,500–$62,000 area.
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Статья
Рынок в фазе ожидания: давление снижается, но потенциал сохраняетсяДолгосрочные держатели биткоина сейчас имеют среднюю прибыль около 188%. Это все еще высокий показатель, но он постепенно снижается. Обычно в такие периоды часть инвесторов предпочитает не фиксировать прибыль, ожидая нового импульса роста. Средняя цена их покупки — около 35 000 долларов, что формирует важную зону поддержки.
Для сравнения: на прошлых рыночных пиках реализованная прибыль достигала 296% и 346%. Это говорит о том, что текущий цикл может быть еще не завершен.
Если смотреть на краткосрочных держателей, то ситуация обратная. Когда их коэффициент прибыли падает ниже 0,995, это означает продажи с убытком. Такие моменты часто совпадают с локальными «капитуляциями» — периодами, когда слабые руки выходят с рынка. Исторически именно в этих зонах формировались благоприятные условия для набора позиций.
Swissblock отмечает, что при переходе импульса в отрицательную зону рынок словно «перезагружается». После этого обычно начинается новый восходящий этап — не сразу, но постепенно.
Willy Woo также фиксирует первые признаки восстановления ликвидности в сети биткоина. Если динамика сохранится, цена обычно подтверждает это через 1–2 недели.
Вывод:
Рынок переживает естественную фазу охлаждения после перегрева. Давление продаж ослабевает, а долгосрочные инвесторы сохраняют уверенность. Для новичков это важный момент — не столько для спешки, сколько для наблюдения за тем, как формируется основа следующего импульса.
#BTC #metrics $BTC $ETH
Рынок в фазе ожидания: давление снижается, но потенциал сохраняется
Долгосрочные держатели биткоина сейчас имеют среднюю прибыль около 188%. Это все еще высокий показатель, но он постепенно снижается. Обычно в такие периоды часть инвесторов предпочитает не фиксировать прибыль, ожидая нового импульса роста. Средняя цена их покупки — около 35 000 долларов, что формирует важную зону поддержки.
Для сравнения: на прошлых рыночных пиках реализованная прибыль достигала 296% и 346%. Это говорит о том, что текущий цикл может быть еще не завершен.
Если смотреть на краткосрочных держателей, то ситуация обратная. Когда их коэффициент прибыли падает ниже 0,995, это означает продажи с убытком. Такие моменты часто совпадают с локальными «капитуляциями» — периодами, когда слабые руки выходят с рынка. Исторически именно в этих зонах формировались благоприятные условия для набора позиций.
Swissblock отмечает, что при переходе импульса в отрицательную зону рынок словно «перезагружается». После этого обычно начинается новый восходящий этап — не сразу, но постепенно.
Willy Woo также фиксирует первые признаки восстановления ликвидности в сети биткоина. Если динамика сохранится, цена обычно подтверждает это через 1–2 недели.
Вывод:
Рынок переживает естественную фазу охлаждения после перегрева. Давление продаж ослабевает, а долгосрочные инвесторы сохраняют уверенность. Для новичков это важный момент — не столько для спешки, сколько для наблюдения за тем, как формируется основа следующего импульса.
#BTC #metrics $BTC $ETH
Для сравнения: на прошлых рыночных пиках реализованная прибыль достигала 296% и 346%. Это говорит о том, что текущий цикл может быть еще не завершен.
Если смотреть на краткосрочных держателей, то ситуация обратная. Когда их коэффициент прибыли падает ниже 0,995, это означает продажи с убытком. Такие моменты часто совпадают с локальными «капитуляциями» — периодами, когда слабые руки выходят с рынка. Исторически именно в этих зонах формировались благоприятные условия для набора позиций.
Swissblock отмечает, что при переходе импульса в отрицательную зону рынок словно «перезагружается». После этого обычно начинается новый восходящий этап — не сразу, но постепенно.
Willy Woo также фиксирует первые признаки восстановления ликвидности в сети биткоина. Если динамика сохранится, цена обычно подтверждает это через 1–2 недели.
Вывод:
Рынок переживает естественную фазу охлаждения после перегрева. Давление продаж ослабевает, а долгосрочные инвесторы сохраняют уверенность. Для новичков это важный момент — не столько для спешки, сколько для наблюдения за тем, как формируется основа следующего импульса.
#BTC #metrics $BTC $ETH
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Статья
РЫНОК ОЧИЩЕН ОТ ПЛЕЧЕЙ. 99% НОВЫХ ИНВЕСТОРОВ В УБЫТКЕ — ЧТО ЭТО ЗНАЧИТ ДЛЯ BTCСейчас формируется одна из самых важных фаз цикла, которую большинство участников понимают неправильно.
Разбираем по фактам.
📉 1️⃣ Масштабная чистка кредитного плеча
Открытый интерес BTC сейчас: $44,8 млрд
Это примерно –55% от пика октября 2025.
Что это означает:
✅ рынок теряет перегруженные плечи
✅ уменьшается количество вынужденных ликвидаций
✅ цена снова начинает зависеть от реального спотового спроса
Исторически:
крупные падения Open Interest почти всегда происходили перед новым трендовым движением.
👉 Если OI удержится ниже ~$45B и BTC перестанет обновлять минимумы — рынок проходит полноценную перезагрузку.
2️⃣ Боль сосредоточена в новых участниках
Сейчас:
• 99% инвесторов, купивших BTC за последние 6 месяцев — в убытке
• 80% покупали выше $70k
Это ключевой момент цикла.
Рост редко начинается, пока:
• новички надеются выйти в безубыток,
• рынок переполнен «застрявшими» позициями.
Настоящие развороты появляются после психологического истощения продавцов.
3️⃣ BTC в долларах ≠ BTC в золоте
Если смотреть BTC в USD → кажется началом медвежьего рынка.
Если смотреть BTC относительно золота → это финальная стадия цикла.
История RSI BTC/Gold показывает:
После циклических минимумов доходность составляла:
• 2015 → +141% за 12 мес
• 2019 → +188%
• 2022 → +128%
То есть лучшие долгосрочные входы выглядели именно так — максимально депрессивно.
4️⃣ Бычья ловушка или криптозима?
По модели Bitcoin Vector есть два сценария:
🟢 Бычья ловушка
— резкий рост
— всплеск сетевой активности
— быстрый возврат ликвидности
🟡 Криптозима (более вероятно сейчас)
— слабая сеть
— боковое движение
— месяцы низкой волатильности
— медленное накопление крупными игроками
Именно такие периоды исторически становились лучшими зонами многолетнего позиционирования.
📊 Что важно сейчас
Рынок уже:
• очистился от плечей
• перевёл большинство участников в убыток
• снизил волатильность
• приблизился к историческим зонам недооценки
Но рост начинается не сразу после падения,
а после длительной фазы скуки и недоверия.
Сейчас рынок выглядит слабым краткосрочно,
но структурно становится здоровее.
Главный сигнал разворота появится тогда, когда:
✔️ цена стабилизируется
✔️ Open Interest останется низким
✔️ начнёт возвращаться спотовый спрос
И именно в такие периоды рынок обычно готовит следующий большой цикл.
#crypto #metrics $BTC $ETH
РЫНОК ОЧИЩЕН ОТ ПЛЕЧЕЙ. 99% НОВЫХ ИНВЕСТОРОВ В УБЫТКЕ — ЧТО ЭТО ЗНАЧИТ ДЛЯ BTC
Сейчас формируется одна из самых важных фаз цикла, которую большинство участников понимают неправильно.
Разбираем по фактам.
📉 1️⃣ Масштабная чистка кредитного плеча
Открытый интерес BTC сейчас: $44,8 млрд
Это примерно –55% от пика октября 2025.
Что это означает:
✅ рынок теряет перегруженные плечи
✅ уменьшается количество вынужденных ликвидаций
✅ цена снова начинает зависеть от реального спотового спроса
Исторически:
крупные падения Open Interest почти всегда происходили перед новым трендовым движением.
👉 Если OI удержится ниже ~$45B и BTC перестанет обновлять минимумы — рынок проходит полноценную перезагрузку.
2️⃣ Боль сосредоточена в новых участниках
Сейчас:
• 99% инвесторов, купивших BTC за последние 6 месяцев — в убытке
• 80% покупали выше $70k
Это ключевой момент цикла.
Рост редко начинается, пока:
• новички надеются выйти в безубыток,
• рынок переполнен «застрявшими» позициями.
Настоящие развороты появляются после психологического истощения продавцов.
3️⃣ BTC в долларах ≠ BTC в золоте
Если смотреть BTC в USD → кажется началом медвежьего рынка.
Если смотреть BTC относительно золота → это финальная стадия цикла.
История RSI BTC/Gold показывает:
После циклических минимумов доходность составляла:
• 2015 → +141% за 12 мес
• 2019 → +188%
• 2022 → +128%
То есть лучшие долгосрочные входы выглядели именно так — максимально депрессивно.
4️⃣ Бычья ловушка или криптозима?
По модели Bitcoin Vector есть два сценария:
🟢 Бычья ловушка
— резкий рост
— всплеск сетевой активности
— быстрый возврат ликвидности
🟡 Криптозима (более вероятно сейчас)
— слабая сеть
— боковое движение
— месяцы низкой волатильности
— медленное накопление крупными игроками
Именно такие периоды исторически становились лучшими зонами многолетнего позиционирования.
📊 Что важно сейчас
Рынок уже:
• очистился от плечей
• перевёл большинство участников в убыток
• снизил волатильность
• приблизился к историческим зонам недооценки
Но рост начинается не сразу после падения,
а после длительной фазы скуки и недоверия.
Сейчас рынок выглядит слабым краткосрочно,
но структурно становится здоровее.
Главный сигнал разворота появится тогда, когда:
✔️ цена стабилизируется
✔️ Open Interest останется низким
✔️ начнёт возвращаться спотовый спрос
И именно в такие периоды рынок обычно готовит следующий большой цикл.
#crypto #metrics $BTC $ETH
Разбираем по фактам.
📉 1️⃣ Масштабная чистка кредитного плеча
Открытый интерес BTC сейчас: $44,8 млрд
Это примерно –55% от пика октября 2025.
Что это означает:
✅ рынок теряет перегруженные плечи
✅ уменьшается количество вынужденных ликвидаций
✅ цена снова начинает зависеть от реального спотового спроса
Исторически:
крупные падения Open Interest почти всегда происходили перед новым трендовым движением.
👉 Если OI удержится ниже ~$45B и BTC перестанет обновлять минимумы — рынок проходит полноценную перезагрузку.
2️⃣ Боль сосредоточена в новых участниках
Сейчас:
• 99% инвесторов, купивших BTC за последние 6 месяцев — в убытке
• 80% покупали выше $70k
Это ключевой момент цикла.
Рост редко начинается, пока:
• новички надеются выйти в безубыток,
• рынок переполнен «застрявшими» позициями.
Настоящие развороты появляются после психологического истощения продавцов.
3️⃣ BTC в долларах ≠ BTC в золоте
Если смотреть BTC в USD → кажется началом медвежьего рынка.
Если смотреть BTC относительно золота → это финальная стадия цикла.
История RSI BTC/Gold показывает:
После циклических минимумов доходность составляла:
• 2015 → +141% за 12 мес
• 2019 → +188%
• 2022 → +128%
То есть лучшие долгосрочные входы выглядели именно так — максимально депрессивно.
4️⃣ Бычья ловушка или криптозима?
По модели Bitcoin Vector есть два сценария:
🟢 Бычья ловушка
— резкий рост
— всплеск сетевой активности
— быстрый возврат ликвидности
🟡 Криптозима (более вероятно сейчас)
— слабая сеть
— боковое движение
— месяцы низкой волатильности
— медленное накопление крупными игроками
Именно такие периоды исторически становились лучшими зонами многолетнего позиционирования.
📊 Что важно сейчас
Рынок уже:
• очистился от плечей
• перевёл большинство участников в убыток
• снизил волатильность
• приблизился к историческим зонам недооценки
Но рост начинается не сразу после падения,
а после длительной фазы скуки и недоверия.
Сейчас рынок выглядит слабым краткосрочно,
но структурно становится здоровее.
Главный сигнал разворота появится тогда, когда:
✔️ цена стабилизируется
✔️ Open Interest останется низким
✔️ начнёт возвращаться спотовый спрос
И именно в такие периоды рынок обычно готовит следующий большой цикл.
#crypto #metrics $BTC $ETH
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