digitalassets

XRP is currently navigating a critical phase that reflects the broader risk repricing across the digital asset market. After a powerful rally that pushed price toward the $3.66 peak, the pair entered a clear corrective structure. It is now trading around $1.48, following a rebound from the recent low near $1.16 — its weakest level since late 2024.
This technical deterioration aligns closely with the recent decision by Standard Chartered to slash its year-end XRP target by roughly 65%, from $8 to $2.80, citing persistent weakness across digital assets.
Technical Structure: What the Chart Is Telling Us

1️⃣ Market Structure Shift
After topping near $3.66, XRP began forming consecutive lower highs — a classic sign of trend exhaustion and transition from bullish expansion to corrective consolidation. The structure suggests sellers currently control medium-term momentum.
2️⃣ Moving Averages
Price is trading below the 25-period moving average, signaling short-to-mid term weakness.
The 99-period MA is acting as dynamic support; a decisive breakdown below it could open the door for renewed downside pressure.
The spread between short and longer MAs reflects a cooling trend rather than an immediate reversal setup.
3️⃣ MACD Momentum
MACD remains in negative territory with a persistent red histogram, confirming bearish momentum. While minor bounce attempts are visible, they have yet to translate into structural strength.
Connecting the Fundamentals
The downgrade from Standard Chartered did not occur in isolation. It reflects a broader recalibration across the asset class, including reduced year-end projections for:
Bitcoin (cut to $100,000)
Ethereum (cut to $4,000)
Solana (cut to $135)
In parallel, ETF flows linked to XRP have declined significantly, reinforcing the narrative of institutional caution. The technical weakness we observe on the chart is therefore consistent with macro sentiment and capital outflows.
Key Levels to Watch
Primary Support: $1.15 – $1.20
Holding above this zone preserves the possibility of a gradual recovery structure.
Resistance Levels:
$1.80 → $2.20 → $2.80
The revised $2.80 target appears realistic as a medium-term recovery objective — but only if broader market liquidity improves and XRP breaks its sequence of lower highs.
Strategic Perspective
This is not a collapse — it is a market repricing phase.
XRP remains in a corrective environment, and until momentum shifts decisively, rallies should be viewed cautiously.
In down cycles, discipline builds positions.
In up cycles, conviction harvests gains.
Risk management remains the real edge.
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