#bstockscis MSTRB and BMNRB both get called "bitcoin proxy stocks." Are they actually the same trade, though? ⚖️ Running the NAV math on both says no.
Both companies hold real reserves on their balance sheets tied to crypto — bitcoin directly for one, related treasury assets for the other — and both can trade at a premium or discount to what those reserves are literally worth on paper. 💎 Say MSTR's BTC holdings work out to $100 per share in raw NAV terms, and the stock trades at $150 — a 50% premium. If sentiment toward the treasury strategy cools and that premium compresses to 30% while bitcoin itself doesn't move an inch, MSTRB falls from $150 to $130 — a 13% drop with zero contribution from the asset it's supposedly tracking.
🔄 BMNRB carries a comparable premium/discount dynamic on its own treasury assets, but the two companies' capital structures and debt loads differ enough that the same percentage move in the underlying asset doesn't translate to identical stock moves for both names. 🧩
"Bitcoin proxy" is doing a lot of work to flatten two names that can diverge from each other even while both moving in the same general direction as BTC. ₿
Which of the two would you trust more with a leveraged view on bitcoin sentiment specifically, rather than bitcoin price alone? And has premium/discount ever moved one of these against your expectations before?
#bstockscis genuine question people ask me a lot: weekend bStocksの値動きって、実際「リアル」なの?実際の株式市場は閉まってるのに?🌙 正直な答え――ビンボンス上での本物の需給で、本物の資金が本物の価格を動かしているという意味では「リアル」です。💸ただし、月曜まで基礎となる取引所の動きと照合されていないだけ。だからこそ、月曜のギャップについての事前価格92%の中央値が重要になるんです――週末の価格はノイズじゃなくて、たいていかなり良い予告になっています。📊 いつも当たるって意味ではありません。「市場が閉まってる」からといって「意味のあることが何も起きていない」わけではない、ということです。🕯️ 週末の値動きは、あなたが月曜の朝に実際に取引する際の判断を変えますか?それとも、本物の市場が再開するまで無視しますか?🤔 @BinanceCIS #bStocksCIS