Bitcoin Dipped Below $80K This Week. Inflation Was the Reason.
In short: Hot inflation data pushed BTC under $80K. The Fed gave no clear signal. October looks calm, but December is the real risk. What Happened PPI, a measure of wholesale prices, hit 6.3% year over year, the hottest in more than four years. About 85 minutes after the release, BTC touched $79,676 on Coinbase, then recovered. The day before, CPI came in at 3.7% against a 3.6% forecast. CoinShares reported $434M of outflows from crypto funds that week. What the Fed Said Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gave no clear signal on the next rate move. After his speech, traders cut the odds of an October hike from above 25% to about 15%. Current rate: 3.75% to 4.00%October 28: markets price a hold at about 85%December 9: markets price a hike at roughly 76% to 80%In September's projections, 16 of 18 officials saw at least one more hike this year Where BTC Sits BTC is near $81,600 on Binance. The 4-hour range this week is about $79,800 to $84,350. Price sits below the main moving averages (around $82,000 to $82,600), so this looks like a nervous range, not a trend. What to Watch The October 28 Fed decision, especially Warsh's comments on DecemberThe next CPI and PPI reportsETF flows. ETH ETFs snapped a 10-day outflow streak on October 13, but one day is not a trend. The Honest Take Right now macro drives crypto more than crypto's own news. Nobody can say what happens by December, because it depends on data that doesn't exist yet. Watch the $79.8K to $84.4K range. A clean close above or below it will say more than any prediction. Sources: CoinShares, Polymarket, CME FedWatch, Straits Times, Binance chart. This is market analysis, not financial advice. #CelestiaLaunchesEdenToTestAIAgentTrading #ETHDropsBelow2400USDT #CircleReports$1.4BInH1Revenue #BrentHits$110ForFirstTimeSinceMay #OpenAIAgentTookFundsFromUnownedTestnetWallet $BTC $ETH $BNB
J’ai perdu 34 000 $ en une nuit.
Et je suis resté là, à fixer l’écran.
3 février 2025. Lundi matin. Je m’en souviens très bien parce que j’étais encore à moitié endormi quand j’ai pris mon téléphone. La routine habituelle : vérifier les cours, les infos, puis faire du café. Sauf que ce matin-là, l’écran semblait anormal. Tout était rouge. Pas le rouge habituel d’une baisse de 3 à 5 %. Je parle d’un rouge profond et violent, à vous couper le souffle. Le Bitcoin était passé de 102 000 $ à moins de 78 000 $ en moins de 48 heures. Mon portefeuille avait perdu 34 000 $ en une seule nuit. Je suis resté figé là, probablement pendant quatre minutes. Je n’ai pas bougé. Je n’ai appelé personne. Je fixais juste le chiffre, comme si le regarder plus intensément allait le changer. Ce n’est pas de la panique — au moins, la panique vous pousse à faire quelque chose. C’était pire. J’étais complètement paralysé.
Arkham data shows Wintermute-labeled wallets sent about 1,090 BTC to 3 new addresses in the last 9 hours.
Each transfer was about $30M.
Simple meaning: a big market maker moved a lot of Bitcoin out of its hot wallets.
Here's the honest part: this does not prove anyone bought. It could be a client transfer, an OTC deal or storage. We do not know who owns the new addresses.
My take: no clear signal yet. Watch if these addresses hold or send BTC to exchanges.
🟠 US spot Bitcoin ETFs: $23.16M net inflow. BlackRock led with $29.87M. 🔵 US spot Ethereum ETFs: $26.13M net outflow. That is 5 days in a row of outflows.
Simple meaning: more money went into Bitcoin funds, and more money left Ethereum funds.
Here's the honest part: $23M is a small inflow for Bitcoin ETFs. One day does not make a trend.
My take: Bitcoin looks steadier than Ethereum right now. This is not a price signal.
Price crashed 44% and every bounce is failing. Sellers are still in control. 👀
$AGT dropped from 0.078 to 0.0387 — clean breakdown. EMA20 at 0.0542, EMA50 at 0.0589 — both sloping down hard. Volume rising on the drop. RSI at 22 — still weak.
Watch the 0.0430 level closely.
I'm going short from here.
Entry: 0.04370 – 0.04380 Enter only after 15M candle closes below 0.04370. SL: 0.04600
🎯 TP1: 0.04150 🎯 TP2: 0.03950 🎯 TP3: 0.03700 $AGT
Leverage: max 10x
Setup fails if price closes above 0.04450 on 15m.
When a breakdown is confirmed, the path of least resistance is down.
Price pushed through 1.80 resistance and is holding above it. Buyers are still in control. 👀
$TRUMP rallied from 1.658 to 1.810 — strong breakout. EMA20 at 1.796, EMA50 at 1.781 — both sloping up on 15m. Volume on the breakout is steady, not explosive.
Watch the 1.78 level closely.
I'm going long from here.
Entry: 1.800 – 1.805 Enter only after 15M candle closes above 1.805. SL: 1.760
🎯 TP1: 1.830 🎯 TP2: 1.860 🎯 TP3: 1.900 $TRUMP
Leverage: max 10x
Setup fails if price closes below 1.790 on 15m.
Strong trends don't wait for permission. They just keep moving.
Price rejected 0.001966 and every bounce is failing. Sellers are still in control. 👀
$GALA dropped from 0.002014 to 0.001821 — clean breakdown. EMA20 at 0.001935, EMA50 at 0.001929 — price is stuck below both. Volume rising on the drop. RSI at 40 — still weak.
Watch the 0.001900 level closely.
I'm going short from here.
Entry: 0.001920 – 0.001925 Enter only after 15M candle closes below 0.001920. SL: 0.001950
Price broke below 0.0083 and every bounce is failing. Sellers are still in control. 👀
$ESPORTS dropped from 0.0089 to 0.00745 — clean breakdown. EMA20 at 0.00817, EMA50 at 0.00817 — both sloping down hard. Volume rising on the drop. RSI at 48 — still weak.
Watch the 0.00810 level closely.
I'm going short from here.
Entry: 0.008160 – 0.008170 Enter only after 15M candle closes below 0.008160. SL: 0.008250
🚨 THE SEC COULD CHANGE THE RULES FOR CRYPTO TOKENS.
Hyperliquid Policy Center wants the SEC to make its proposed crypto rules clearer. 👀
Its key requests include:
🔹 Clearer rules for token airdrops 🔹 More flexibility for secondary token trading 🔹 Expanded safe harbors for crypto projects 🔹 Clearer rules for token buybacks
The SEC proposal includes fundraising exemptions of up to $5M over four years for startups and up to $75M in a 12-month period for qualifying offerings.
⚠️ The catch: These are proposed rules—not a guarantee of easier regulation. The final outcome matters.
Would clearer US rules help crypto projects grow? 👇
🚨 UN GÉANT DE 15,5 BILLIONS DE DOLLARS VEUT AMENER WALL STREET ON-CHAIN.
BlackRock pousse la tokenisation encore plus loin dans la finance traditionnelle. 👀
Avec 15,5 billions de dollars d’actifs sous gestion, ses initiatives méritent d’être suivies de près.
Mais attention : les 15,5 billions de dollars correspondent au total des actifs sous gestion de BlackRock, et non à des sommes investies dans les cryptos.
La tokenisation pourrait rapprocher la finance traditionnelle de la blockchain de façon bien plus importante.
Qui en profite le plus : $ETH ou le marché crypto au sens large ? 👇
Price bounced off 0.936 and is holding above 0.999. Buyers are stepping back in. 👀
$SUI rallied from 0.936 to 1.018 — then pulled back to 0.999. EMA20 at 1.005, EMA50 at 0.999 — price is holding above both. Volume on the bounce is steady. No panic selling here.
Watch the 0.995 level closely.
I'm going long from here.
Entry: 0.998 – 1.000 Enter only after 15M candle closes above 1.000. SL: 0.975
🎯 TP1: 1.020 🎯 TP2: 1.040 🎯 TP3: 1.070 $SUI
Leverage: max 10x
Setup fails if price closes below 0.990 on 15m.
When sellers run out of momentum, buyers quietly take over.