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Luck is a Skill
153 Publications

Luck is a Skill

Trade occasionnellement
4.2 an(s)
6 Suivis
177 Abonnés
120 J’aime
Publications
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Haussier
Something interesting happened this morning. I checked bStocks AUM and did a double take. $500 million. Seven weeks. From zero to half a billion. But the number isn't the story. The speed is. Here's what actually caught my attention: 58% of bStocks volume trades when Wall Street is closed. Not a typo. More activity happens on weekends than during U.S. market hours. A user in Lagos, Manila, or São Paulo doesn't wait 14 hours for NYSE to open. They trade the moment news breaks. On Binance. Right now. And $216 million in cross-market arbitrage between bStocks and real equities? That only happens in a real market. Not a wrapper. Not a speculative product. The lines between TradFi and crypto aren't blurring anymore. They're gone. #bStocksCIS @BinanceCIS
Something interesting happened this morning. I checked bStocks AUM and did a double take.

$500 million.

Seven weeks. From zero to half a billion. But the number isn't the story. The speed is.

Here's what actually caught my attention: 58% of bStocks volume trades when Wall Street is closed. Not a typo. More activity happens on weekends than during U.S. market hours.
A user in Lagos, Manila, or São Paulo doesn't wait 14 hours for NYSE to open. They trade the moment news breaks. On Binance. Right now.
And $216 million in cross-market arbitrage between bStocks and real equities? That only happens in a real market. Not a wrapper. Not a speculative product.
The lines between TradFi and crypto aren't blurring anymore. They're gone.

#bStocksCIS @BinanceCIS
I caught myself staring at Binance yesterday. Not at Bitcoin charts. At stocks. You know that feeling when you're holding crypto and traditional assets in one app, and suddenly realize the lines are blurring? That's what happened with bStocks. Binance launched tokenized stocks. And it's not just "another tool." Here's the thing: each bStock is 1:1 backed by a real share, held with a regulated custodian. You can convert stocks to tokens and back — free and instant. Trading runs 24/7, no holidays. And yes, you can withdraw them to your own wallet like any BEP-20 token. But what caught my attention? Dividends. Instead of waiting for payouts, they get automatically reinvested through the Multiplier mechanism. Your balance just grows. Binance is quietly building what Richard Teng calls a "multi-asset financial superapp." We're used to exchanges being "places to trade." But this is becoming "the place where you manage everything." Crypto. Stocks. Tokenized assets. All in one account. When I realized I could buy a piece of Tesla or Nvidia from $5, it clicked. This isn't just a new product. It's a new era of accessibility. No broker needed. No T+2 settlement waits. It all happens here, now. Is it perfect? Not quite. bStocks aren't direct ownership — you can't vote at shareholder meetings. But for anyone who just wants access to market growth? This is hard to beat. #bStocksCIS @BinanceCIS
I caught myself staring at Binance yesterday. Not at Bitcoin charts. At stocks.

You know that feeling when you're holding crypto and traditional assets in one app, and suddenly realize the lines are blurring? That's what happened with bStocks. Binance launched tokenized stocks. And it's not just "another tool."

Here's the thing: each bStock is 1:1 backed by a real share, held with a regulated custodian. You can convert stocks to tokens and back — free and instant. Trading runs 24/7, no holidays. And yes, you can withdraw them to your own wallet like any BEP-20 token.

But what caught my attention? Dividends. Instead of waiting for payouts, they get automatically reinvested through the Multiplier mechanism. Your balance just grows.

Binance is quietly building what Richard Teng calls a "multi-asset financial superapp." We're used to exchanges being "places to trade." But this is becoming "the place where you manage everything." Crypto. Stocks. Tokenized assets. All in one account.

When I realized I could buy a piece of Tesla or Nvidia from $5, it clicked. This isn't just a new product. It's a new era of accessibility. No broker needed. No T+2 settlement waits. It all happens here, now.
Is it perfect? Not quite. bStocks aren't direct ownership — you can't vote at shareholder meetings. But for anyone who just wants access to market growth? This is hard to beat.

#bStocksCIS @BinanceCIS
Saylor stated that Strategy never had a hard-and-fast rule against selling $BTC . The company may reduce its position if necessary, but it still expects to remain a net buyer of BTC in the long run.
Saylor stated that Strategy never had a hard-and-fast rule against selling $BTC .

The company may reduce its position if necessary, but it still expects to remain a net buyer of BTC in the long run.
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Haussier
On Hyperliquid, RWA assets—specifically perpetuals on stocks, gold, and the like—currently account for approximately 75% of trading volume. To reiterate: on a blockchain-based product, perpetuals linked to non-crypto assets make up 75% of the market. $HYPE
On Hyperliquid, RWA assets—specifically perpetuals on stocks, gold, and the like—currently account for approximately 75% of trading volume.

To reiterate: on a blockchain-based product, perpetuals linked to non-crypto assets make up 75% of the market.

$HYPE
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Haussier
In just seven weeks, Binance’s stock tokens attracted over $600 million, overtaking xStocks to become the largest platform for tokenized stocks. Meanwhile, Binance has accumulated $22.9 billion in open interest for perpetual futures — representing roughly one-third of the global total for such positions.
In just seven weeks, Binance’s stock tokens attracted over $600 million, overtaking xStocks to become the largest platform for tokenized stocks.

Meanwhile, Binance has accumulated $22.9 billion in open interest for perpetual futures — representing roughly one-third of the global total for such positions.
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Baissier
I almost scrolled past the headline. "Stablecoin market cap drops $7.7B — worst since Terra." My brain screamed "crash." But 2022 this is not. No peg lost. No money burned. Just a quiet $10B exit. The villain? Not panic. Policy. GENIUS Act banned issuers from paying yield. USDT and USDC went from savings accounts to dead money. So capital moved — to tokenized Treasuries. ~$11B to ~$16B in one quarter. Paradox: supply down, velocity up. Settlement volume hit $1.79T in June — 63% higher than May. Each dollar turns over twice as fast as two years ago. This isn't a reversal. It's a dip inside growth. Stablecoins didn't die. They just grew up. And maybe that's what maturity looks like. Not slower growth. Faster circulation. #Stablecoins #Crypto #DeFi
I almost scrolled past the headline. "Stablecoin market cap drops $7.7B — worst since Terra."

My brain screamed "crash." But 2022 this is not. No peg lost. No money burned. Just a quiet $10B exit.

The villain? Not panic. Policy.

GENIUS Act banned issuers from paying yield. USDT and USDC went from savings accounts to dead money. So capital moved — to tokenized Treasuries. ~$11B to ~$16B in one quarter.

Paradox: supply down, velocity up. Settlement volume hit $1.79T in June — 63% higher than May. Each dollar turns over twice as fast as two years ago.

This isn't a reversal. It's a dip inside growth. Stablecoins didn't die. They just grew up.

And maybe that's what maturity looks like. Not slower growth. Faster circulation.

#Stablecoins #Crypto #DeFi
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Haussier
Hyperliquid has burned 4.73% of HYPE’s maximum supply, including 11.78K $HYPE worth $667.9K over the past day as fees reached $743.9K Looks bullish
Hyperliquid has burned 4.73% of HYPE’s maximum supply, including 11.78K $HYPE worth $667.9K over the past day as fees reached $743.9K

Looks bullish
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Haussier
Over the past 60 days, Bitcoin whales have accumulated 66,700 $BTC , while mid-sized holders have sold 77,800 $BTC . Major players continue to scoop up coins during the downturn, buying from those exiting the market.
Over the past 60 days, Bitcoin whales have accumulated 66,700 $BTC , while mid-sized holders have sold 77,800 $BTC .

Major players continue to scoop up coins during the downturn, buying from those exiting the market.
Frontier AI LLMs Tier List The most-used AI model in the world right now doesn't come from a lab - it comes from a phone company. That's the real headline of this tier list: the frontier stopped being a club of research houses and became a fight between business models. And China's playbook, open weights, brutal pricing, domestic silicon - closed the quality gap to 2.7% on 23x less money. The US labs won the intelligence race and are losing the distribution one.
Frontier AI LLMs Tier List

The most-used AI model in the world right now doesn't come from a lab - it comes from a phone company. That's the real headline of this tier list: the frontier stopped being a club of research houses and became a fight between business models.

And China's playbook, open weights, brutal pricing, domestic silicon - closed the quality gap to 2.7% on 23x less money. The US labs won the intelligence race and are losing the distribution one.
Hackers compromised a LayerZero operational wallet and siphoned off $2.4 million in cryptocurrency.
Hackers compromised a LayerZero operational wallet and siphoned off $2.4 million in cryptocurrency.
The number of tweets about Bitcoin and Ethereum on the social network X has plummeted to 2020 levels, The Block reported. $BTC $ETH
The number of tweets about Bitcoin and Ethereum on the social network X has plummeted to 2020 levels, The Block reported.

$BTC $ETH
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Haussier
JPMorgan believes that the primary threat to Bitcoin is not potential large-scale sell-offs by Strategy, but rather the shift by banks and major institutions toward private blockchains. If tokenization and payments migrate to private networks, public blockchains could lose activity, liquidity, and capital—ultimately dealing a blow to the entire crypto market, including $BTC
JPMorgan believes that the primary threat to Bitcoin is not potential large-scale sell-offs by Strategy, but rather the shift by banks and major institutions toward private blockchains.

If tokenization and payments migrate to private networks, public blockchains could lose activity, liquidity, and capital—ultimately dealing a blow to the entire crypto market, including $BTC
BTC-0,39%
JPMUS-0,03%
Networks by RWA Net Flows in Last 30 Days Here's how blockchains stack up by net real-world asset flows over the past 30 days - who's pulling capital in, and who's bleeding it out. Solana isn't just leading anymore - it's lapping the field, pulling in more than the next three chains combined. And the rotation is brutal: BNB Chain flipped from a $344M outflow last month to +$292M, while Aptos went the other way - from +$220M straight to the bottom of the board at –$226M. The name to watch is Robinhood Chain: one week after mainnet, it's already printing positive RWA flows - with GRVT's 82 tokenized stock and ETF pairs live on day one. Small number, big signal.
Networks by RWA Net Flows in Last 30 Days

Here's how blockchains stack up by net real-world asset flows over the past 30 days - who's pulling capital in, and who's bleeding it out.

Solana isn't just leading anymore - it's lapping the field, pulling in more than the next three chains combined. And the rotation is brutal: BNB Chain flipped from a $344M outflow last month to +$292M, while Aptos went the other way - from +$220M straight to the bottom of the board at –$226M.

The name to watch is Robinhood Chain: one week after mainnet, it's already printing positive RWA flows - with GRVT's 82 tokenized stock and ETF pairs live on day one. Small number, big signal.
You know what's wild? I haven't logged into my bank app in three weeks. But Binance? I check it like I'm checking the weather. Multiple times a day. And honestly? I'm not even trading that much anymore. CoinDesk Research just confirmed what I've been feeling: 26% spot, 37% derivatives, 60% of all RWA trading. Binance is eating the entire crypto lunch. But the real story isn't the market share — it's what's happening beneath the numbers. These platforms aren't just for degens anymore. Last week I staked some stablecoins. The week before, I bought tokenized treasuries. Yesterday, I sent money to a friend in another country — took 12 seconds, cost me pennies. No bank call. No "we need to verify your identity." No waiting three days. It hit me: this is the closest thing we have to a borderless bank. And it's happening right in front of us, while most people are still arguing about whether crypto is a scam. I'm not saying Binance is perfect. I'm not saying regulation won't catch up. But the direction is undeniable. Exchanges are becoming financial operating systems. Trading, lending, payments, RWAs — all glued together with liquidity. Maybe the future of finance isn't a shiny new bank. Maybe it's just... an app. With 24/7 markets. And no humans asking for your grandmother's maiden name. Question is: are you using it like a bank? Or still just gambling on memes?
You know what's wild? I haven't logged into my bank app in three weeks.

But Binance? I check it like I'm checking the weather. Multiple times a day. And honestly? I'm not even trading that much anymore.
CoinDesk Research just confirmed what I've been feeling: 26% spot, 37% derivatives, 60% of all RWA trading. Binance is eating the entire crypto lunch. But the real story isn't the market share — it's what's happening beneath the numbers.

These platforms aren't just for degens anymore.

Last week I staked some stablecoins. The week before, I bought tokenized treasuries. Yesterday, I sent money to a friend in another country — took 12 seconds, cost me pennies. No bank call. No "we need to verify your identity." No waiting three days.
It hit me: this is the closest thing we have to a borderless bank. And it's happening right in front of us, while most people are still arguing about whether crypto is a scam.

I'm not saying Binance is perfect. I'm not saying regulation won't catch up. But the direction is undeniable. Exchanges are becoming financial operating systems. Trading, lending, payments, RWAs — all glued together with liquidity.

Maybe the future of finance isn't a shiny new bank. Maybe it's just... an app. With 24/7 markets. And no humans asking for your grandmother's maiden name.

Question is: are you using it like a bank? Or still just gambling on memes?
Never thought I'd say this, but the World Cup made me more money than my entire crypto portfolio last month. Okay, maybe that's an exaggeration. But not by much. Prediction markets just went nuclear. Kalshi and Polymarket combined hit $44.8 BILLION in volume — up 75% from May. All because people wanted to bet on who kicks a ball into a net better. And here's what gets me: we've been sleeping on this sector. Hard. While we're all obsessing over ETF outflows and UTXO levels, prediction markets are quietly becoming the most engaging use case in crypto. Real world events. Real money. Real time. No bullshit narratives — just people putting their money where their mouth is. I threw $50 on a match last week. Won $80. Felt like a genius. Lost $30 the next day. Felt human again. But seriously — if $44 billion flows into this space during a single tournament, imagine what happens during elections. Or economic crises. Or literally anything that people care about. Maybe the future of crypto isn't DeFi or NFTs. Maybe it's just... betting on reality. Would you trust a prediction market more than a pollster? Because after this month, I'm starting to.
Never thought I'd say this, but the World Cup made me more money than my entire crypto portfolio last month.

Okay, maybe that's an exaggeration. But not by much.

Prediction markets just went nuclear. Kalshi and Polymarket combined hit $44.8 BILLION in volume — up 75% from May. All because people wanted to bet on who kicks a ball into a net better.
And here's what gets me: we've been sleeping on this sector. Hard.
While we're all obsessing over ETF outflows and UTXO levels, prediction markets are quietly becoming the most engaging use case in crypto. Real world events. Real money. Real time. No bullshit narratives — just people putting their money where their mouth is.
I threw $50 on a match last week. Won $80. Felt like a genius. Lost $30 the next day. Felt human again.

But seriously — if $44 billion flows into this space during a single tournament, imagine what happens during elections. Or economic crises. Or literally anything that people care about.
Maybe the future of crypto isn't DeFi or NFTs. Maybe it's just... betting on reality.

Would you trust a prediction market more than a pollster? Because after this month, I'm starting to.
Woke up. Scrolled Twitter. Felt like I walked into a funeral. $4.5 billion left spot Bitcoin ETFs in June. Worst month. Ever. Even BlackRock's IBIT got wrecked—$3.55 billion gone. Total ETF assets? Cratered from $110B+ to $70.9B. That's not a correction. That's a bloodbath. And here's the thing — everyone's panicking. I get it. I felt that knot in my stomach too. But then I remembered something. Every single time retail runs for the exits, someone else is quietly buying. The same people who sold at $16k? They bought back at $60k. The same people who panic now? They'll FOMO in at $120k. I'm not saying this is the bottom. I don't have a crystal ball. But I've been around long enough to know that the best entries look terrifying. So I'm sitting here, staring at the red, asking myself one question: Am I dumb enough to buy? Or smart enough to wait? Usually, the answer lies somewhere in between. But right now? I'm leaning toward dumb. $BTC $ETH
Woke up. Scrolled Twitter. Felt like I walked into a funeral.

$4.5 billion left spot Bitcoin ETFs in June. Worst month. Ever. Even BlackRock's IBIT got wrecked—$3.55 billion gone. Total ETF assets? Cratered from $110B+ to $70.9B.

That's not a correction. That's a bloodbath.

And here's the thing — everyone's panicking. I get it. I felt that knot in my stomach too. But then I remembered something.
Every single time retail runs for the exits, someone else is quietly buying. The same people who sold at $16k? They bought back at $60k. The same people who panic now? They'll FOMO in at $120k.
I'm not saying this is the bottom. I don't have a crystal ball. But I've been around long enough to know that the best entries look terrifying.

So I'm sitting here, staring at the red, asking myself one question:
Am I dumb enough to buy? Or smart enough to wait?

Usually, the answer lies somewhere in between. But right now? I'm leaning toward dumb.

$BTC $ETH
I used to think Tether was just the "stablecoin printer." You know, the one everyone loves to hate. Turns out, I was sleeping on them. Check this: Tether just became a top-5 most active investor in 2026. Seventeen deals in six months. That's their entire 2025 total—in half the time. Replit got $400M. Whop, $200M. Gold, $150M. They're not just printing USDT anymore—they're buying the future. And honestly? It makes me rethink everything. We spend so much time debating whether stablecoins are "real" or "backed" while Tether is quietly building a portfolio that puts most VCs to shame. AI, fintech, real assets—they're everywhere. I looked at my own bags this morning and felt... stupid. I've been treating Tether like a utility. Like a bridge to something else. But what if they're the destination? Maybe the real play isn't the coin you trade. It's the company behind the coin that's buying up the world. Or maybe I'm just late to the party. Again.
I used to think Tether was just the "stablecoin printer." You know, the one everyone loves to hate.

Turns out, I was sleeping on them.

Check this: Tether just became a top-5 most active investor in 2026. Seventeen deals in six months. That's their entire 2025 total—in half the time. Replit got $400M. Whop, $200M. Gold, $150M. They're not just printing USDT anymore—they're buying the future.

And honestly? It makes me rethink everything.

We spend so much time debating whether stablecoins are "real" or "backed" while Tether is quietly building a portfolio that puts most VCs to shame. AI, fintech, real assets—they're everywhere.
I looked at my own bags this morning and felt... stupid. I've been treating Tether like a utility. Like a bridge to something else. But what if they're the destination?
Maybe the real play isn't the coin you trade. It's the company behind the coin that's buying up the world.

Or maybe I'm just late to the party. Again.
I checked my portfolio this morning. Then I checked my pulse. Both were surprisingly calm. Weird, right? Because apparently, we just hit something big. The number of unprofitable UTXOs just dropped to its lowest level of this entire bear cycle. Last time we saw numbers like this? Mid-2023. $BTC was around $26k. Nobody wanted to touch it. Everyone was miserable. And that's exactly when you should've been buying. Darkfost put it simply: this is what capitulation looks like. Most people are throwing in the towel, losing interest, moving on with their lives. And historically? These moments have been gold for long-term holders. I sat there staring at the chart, thinking — am I brave enough to do what I should've done last time? Or am I gonna be the guy who watches from the sidelines... again? DCA exists for a reason. The question isn't whether this is the bottom. It's whether you have the stomach to buy when everyone else is walking away.
I checked my portfolio this morning. Then I checked my pulse. Both were surprisingly calm.

Weird, right? Because apparently, we just hit something big.
The number of unprofitable UTXOs just dropped to its lowest level of this entire bear cycle. Last time we saw numbers like this? Mid-2023. $BTC was around $26k. Nobody wanted to touch it. Everyone was miserable.

And that's exactly when you should've been buying.
Darkfost put it simply: this is what capitulation looks like. Most people are throwing in the towel, losing interest, moving on with their lives. And historically? These moments have been gold for long-term holders.

I sat there staring at the chart, thinking — am I brave enough to do what I should've done last time? Or am I gonna be the guy who watches from the sidelines... again?
DCA exists for a reason.
The question isn't whether this is the bottom. It's whether you have the stomach to buy when everyone else is walking away.
Nobody talks about ASML. Big mistake. We obsess over Nvidia and TSMC. But without one Dutch town, they're useless. ASML makes the ONLY machines that print advanced chips. Each one costs nearly $400M, weighs as much as a plane. China can't buy them. No EUV → no chips. No chips → no AI. No AI → half of crypto narratives just vanish. Looked at my portfolio last night and it hit me: we're all betting on tech that runs through a single company in a town of 30k people. That's either brilliant or insane. Should crypto investors care? Or are we just ignoring the elephant in the room?
Nobody talks about ASML. Big mistake.

We obsess over Nvidia and TSMC. But without one Dutch town, they're useless. ASML makes the ONLY machines that print advanced chips. Each one costs nearly $400M, weighs as much as a plane. China can't buy them.

No EUV → no chips. No chips → no AI. No AI → half of crypto narratives just vanish.
Looked at my portfolio last night and it hit me: we're all betting on tech that runs through a single company in a town of 30k people. That's either brilliant or insane.

Should crypto investors care? Or are we just ignoring the elephant in the room?
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