I thinkCrypto bleeding because of Japan intrest rate decision on 20 Dec, then it will definitely down, Japan intrest rate will have great impact on BTC,. then there's should be opening short trade $BTC $ETH
"Diamond Hands" in Ethereum coins are struggling to recover their investments due to stagnant demand and lack of fresh capital. Despite long-term holders showing confidence, the absence of new investors is hindering a significant price recovery. Ethereum's price is trapped around 33,00, with resistance building at this level.
*Key Challenges:*
- _Stagnant New Address Growth_: Weak interest from potential investors is limiting buying power. - _Reduced Exchange Supply_: Long-term holders are accumulating and retaining assets, indicating confidence but also limiting market liquidity. - _Layer 2 Dominance_: Ethereum's mainnet revenue is declining as Layer 2 solutions siphon value away
*Recovery Prospects:*
- _Institutional Interest_: Growing institutional adoption and regulatory clarity could boost Ethereum's price. - _Technological Advancements_: Improvements like the Pectra upgrade and AI adoption could drive growth
Ethereum's current price is around 33$ETH $BTC 00 with a market cap of $364.95 billion
I am going to stop trading this fucking crypto. it is useless .can not determine the direction , it is totally bulshit . am going in forex trading gold and currencies best of luck all crypto trader $SOL $BTC
Green signal for crypto FED cut rates market will bullish best time for opening long trade golden opportunity don't miss you are lucky 😁 to gain opportunities opportunities never come every time $SOL $BTC $ETC
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lowered interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time this year, and kept its outlook for rate cuts unchanged at a time when the policy path forward has been muddied by growing divisions among members.
"In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook.," The Fed said in its statement.
The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee, the FOMC, lowered its benchmark rate to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%. There were three dissents, with two in favor of pausing, and one preferring to cut by 50 basis points.
Rates are seen for falling to 3.4% in 2026, unchanged from the prior forecast. For 2027, rates are expected to fall to 3.1%, unchanged from the prior outlook.
The prospect of a third rate cut looked bleak in the weeks leading up to the December meeting as divisions among Fed members on the path forward continue to grow. But consensus was swung in favor of those in the dovish camp after New York Fed President John Williams, a close ally of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, signaled he would back further easing at the December meeting.
The divide among voting Fed members has been sparked by differing views over what kind of economy the Fed is dealing with. Those in the rate cut camp point to a softer labor market that requires the cushion of rate cut.
While the hawks flag stalling progress in bringing inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target. Usually, economic data would help Fed members reach consensus, but the government shutdown stopped the flow of key economic reports. $SOL $BTC
Japan's interest rates impact Bitcoin in 3 ways: 1. **Yen Carry Trade**: Higher rates in Japan make the yen more attractive, so investors borrow cheap money elsewhere, buy yen, and invest in Japan bonds – reducing Bitcoin demand. 2. **Risk Sentiment**: Japan's rates influence global risk appetite. Higher rates = lower risk appetite = lower Bitcoin prices. 3. **Market Liquidity**: Japan's rates affect liquidity in global markets. Lower liquidity = higher Bitcoin volatility. Got it?
Let's say Japan's interest rate is 0.5% and US is 4%. **Yen Carry Trade Example:** 1. Borrow $100 at 4% US interest. 2. Exchange $100 to ¥10,000 (hypothetical rate). 3. Invest ¥10,000 in Japan bonds at 0.5% + (higher return due to yen carry trade) = 2%. 4. Earn ¥200 interest, exchange back to $20. 5. Pay back $100 loan + $4 interest = $104. 6. Profit = $20 - $104 = -$84... wait no... carry trade gives higher return in Japan so lets say 3% so ¥300 7. Exchange ¥300 to $30 8. Profit = $30 - $104 = still loss so not possible But if it was possible people would do it and invest in bitcoin less **Risk Sentiment Example:** Japan raises interest rate to 1%. Investors think: * "Japan's getting strict, markets might drop." * Sell Bitcoin, buy safe Japan bonds. **Market Liquidity Example:** Japan raises interest rate to 1%. Investors withdraw from markets to invest in Japan bonds. * Bitcoin market liquidity drops. * Prices fluctuate wildly. $BTC $ETH
Japan's interest rates impact Bitcoin in 3 ways: 1. **Yen Carry Trade**: Higher rates in Japan make the yen more attractive, so investors borrow cheap money elsewhere, buy yen, and invest in Japan bonds – reducing Bitcoin demand. 2. **Risk Sentiment**: Japan's rates influence global risk appetite. Higher rates = lower risk appetite = lower Bitcoin prices. 3. **Market Liquidity**: Japan's rates affect liquidity in global markets. Lower liquidity = higher Bitcoin volatility. Got it?
Let's say Japan's interest rate is 0.5% and US is 4%. **Yen Carry Trade Example:** 1. Borrow $100 at 4% US interest. 2. Exchange $100 to ¥10,000 (hypothetical rate). 3. Invest ¥10,000 in Japan bonds at 0.5% + (higher return due to yen carry trade) = 2%. 4. Earn ¥200 interest, exchange back to $20. 5. Pay back $100 loan + $4 interest = $104. 6. Profit = $20 - $104 = -$84... wait no... carry trade gives higher return in Japan so lets say 3% so ¥300 7. Exchange ¥300 to $30 8. Profit = $30 - $104 = still loss so not possible But if it was possible people would do it and invest in bitcoin less **Risk Sentiment Example:** Japan raises interest rate to 1%. Investors think: * "Japan's getting strict, markets might drop." * Sell Bitcoin, buy safe Japan bonds. **Market Liquidity Example:** Japan raises interest rate to 1%. Investors withdraw from markets to invest in Japan bonds. * Bitcoin market liquidity drops. * Prices fluctuate wildly. $BTC $ETH
The prospect of a BOJ rate hike has stimulated alarm about a yen-led unwind that could crush bitcoin. In practice, the market setup in 2025 suggests that a sudden, mass liquidation tied solely to yen strength is less likely. The dominant risk is more structural: Japanese tightening could help anchor higher global yields, tightening financial conditions and gradually pressuring risk assets including crypto.
Investors should therefore broaden their focus beyond FX headlines to monitor yield dynamics, funding conditions and speculative positioning. Preparedness — through hedging, liquidity management and disciplined sizing — will be the most effective defense in a higher-yield 2025 market regime. $SOL $BTC $ETH