懂币猫

#美股 #BTC

In the last two months, I’ve barely made any gains from crypto contracts
But I'm still sitting at the top of the annual profit leaderboard
What does that indicate?

It’s pretty straightforward; it shows that making money in crypto is tough right now
Other crypto traders aren’t raking it in either, or else I wouldn't still be in first place

For half a year, I've been urging everyone in my streams to trade U.S. stocks
I spend almost half of each stream discussing U.S. stocks, gold, and silver
When I first started streaming, I even shared my returns from U.S. stocks, and they were on par with my crypto performance

Through my streams and trading teachings, I’ve always hoped everyone could earn more and walk the right trading path with solid trading principles. Recently, I’ve noticed there are hardly any discussions about U.S. stocks in the plaza; such a great market is getting little attention, and it honestly feels disheartening

As traders, when the conditions are right, we must avoid being dogmatic and be more adaptable
I often say that traders should be like water: flexible and variable, not like an old pigeon
At the same time, we need to learn to allocate our funds wisely, pursuing the easier profits in more active markets

Here's how I allocate my positions and time:
Crypto 40%
U.S. Stocks 40%
A-shares 5%
Gold 5%
Some treasure fund 4% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Wealth management 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Others 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)

Now, all major platforms have U.S. stock contracts available, just fire up your exchange app
Head into the contract section
In the dropdown menu, find #TradFi , which is filled with recently popular U.S. stock contracts

Brothers, explore more and don’t let yourselves get trapped in an information cocoon

Back on top of the annual leaderboard

#BTC

They’re all back—profit of 10 million on a single deal starts right away
Held on for a month—it was worth it

Brothers, get yourselves together—our local knockoff season is here!!!

#BTC #ETH #sol

This is the fourth time this year using small capital to scale up—opportunities to turn 10x, even dozens of times, are on the way.
An excellent place to roll positions.

Bitcoin is up 7.25%
Ethereum is up 18.60%
Solana is up 11.71%

At the start, Bitcoin’s volatility is 0.06
Ethereum’s volatility is 0.08
Solana’s volatility is 0.09

All are at historical extreme volatility levels. Then they all kick off a massive wealth-building rally.

The bigger timeframe sets the direction; the smaller timeframe determines the entry. We missed the first three times this year, brothers—this time, you must catch it.

#BTC

There are many people here getting rich
Bitcoin weekly MACD divergence
Historical volatility extreme value
The strategy has always been at the long (bull) level on the daily timeframe

After sticking with the long position for a month, today it’s finally about to start moving—still the view from late July: many people here will get rich, including #ETH #sol

#海力士

Even South Korea can’t hold up anymore. This rebound, Hynix has taken the weakest route.
Go long with the strongest: SanDisk.
Go short with the weakest: Hynix.

#SNDK #闪迪

Keep it simple—no guessing. Just follow.
Do opportunities that you can understand yourself

The money lost in stock trading isn’t even worth mentioning

Many people spend the most beautiful 10 years of their youth chasing higher education, and now they’ve ended up with nothing left.

#美股复盘

2026/8/18

The index edged lower while breadth weakened; money retreated into storage and a small number of chip stocks

SPY fell 0.47%, QQQ only dropped 0.16%, but across the entire market just 33.31% of stocks advanced—nearly two-thirds closed down. After rebounding 6.6% from its low, the VIX rose to 15.19. While the absolute level remains low, the market’s internal tone is more cautious than the index suggests

Today is an extremely narrow, structural market

The semiconductor ETF rose against the trend, with SOXX up 1.58%
MRVL surged 5.54%, while NVDA and AVGO were nearly flat. DELL and HPE fell 2.24% and 1.87% respectively. This indicates that capital has not broadly returned to the chip sector; instead, it is selectively chasing a handful of strong names

The real leader is memory/storage
MU rose 4.13% and SNDK jumped 8.88%. Both moved near their 20-day highs. Memory has been in a consistent uptrend, suggesting investors are still searching for high-beta directions within the AI hardware space. However, MU rallied on reduced volume, and SNDK’s trading volume also has not expanded meaningfully—trend continuation will require confirmation from follow-through volume

Large-cap tech weakened across the board, which is the core reason the index is under pressure
MSFT fell 3.04%, META dropped 3.54%, and TSLA, AMZN, and GOOG all closed lower as well. QQQ’s decline was smaller, partly because it was partially hedged by semiconductors and some bellwethers, but internally it still doesn’t look healthy

Software also remained weak
IGV fell 2.01%
NOW dropped 5.08%, CRM fell 2.67%, and OKTA slid 2.84% on heavier volume. ZS and SNOW edged up slightly, but overall software is still digesting prior gains—there is not yet a clear return to the market’s main leadership

AI infrastructure/cloud performance turned choppy
NBIS fell 3.18%, CRWV and IREN posted small gains, while most others were basically flat. The sharp rally from last week has ended; capital is starting to pick specific targets, so short-term volatility is likely to keep amplifying

Simple summary: On the surface, today’s tape looks stable, but underlying breadth is weakening. Money is concentrating in storage and energy, avoiding large-cap tech and software. The setup resembles May’s momentum-led environment—pulling hardware up while embarrassing cloud vendors and software—but today hardware also isn’t broadly strengthening. The market still looks like high-level rotation. If storage begins to weaken later, be prepared for a more complete round of profit-taking/withdrawal

#SNDK #闪迪

A List of Common Ways Ordinary People Get Liquidated
The easiest way is to stubbornly hold positions—longs holding shorts during an uptrend, and shorts holding longs during a downtrend. This is another classic re-enactment on Sandisk.

1. Going all-in with high leverage—one needle’s worth of price movement is enough to trigger liquidation
2. Not setting a stop loss. In your head: “I’m watching the chart”—until there comes a time you fall asleep and lose consciousness
3. Tight stop loss with a large position: getting repeatedly swept out by noise—dying by a thousand cuts
4. When the direction is right you can’t hold; when the direction is wrong you stubbornly hold on—the risk-reward ratio stays inverted for the long run
5. Using market orders on low-liquidity instruments—the slippage eats everything
6. After incurring losses, immediately retaliate by doubling down: turning a controllable drawdown into total death
7. Listening to calls but not logic. Someone says “get on,” and when it’s time to get off, nobody notifies you
8. Never reviewing and analyzing. Same pit—ten times, with different stances, you fall in again

#闪迪 #SNDK

In *Reminiscences of a Stock Operator*, the king of speculation—Jesse Livermore—said:
Close losing positions, keep the correct ones

Why? Because trading is all about trial and error

And there’s also the Turtle Trading rules:
Enter directly when breaking the 20-day high; cut if you lose 2 ATR, and if you have unrealized profit, add to the position. Why? Because the essence of trading is trial and error

But our speculative masters never taught us to hold on through drawdowns. In July’s decline, I saw too many people going long and holding through it—blowing up and losing everything. In August, when the market surged again, short positions started doing the same thing again—holding on through it. Very good, very good

Human nature never changes; only the market cycles back and forth

#原油 #CLUSDT #BZUSDT

Retail investors, don’t trade crude oil. This is a point of view I’ve stressed multiple times during my live broadcasts.

I see that the trading volume for crude oil contracts on the exchange is very high. But most beginner users are simply not suited to trade crude oil. Don’t trade it just because the Iran–Iraq war/ Middle East tensions oil story often appears in news reports.

Crude oil has had decades of volatility, which makes it unsuitable for trading to make big money. It’s impossible for it to surge or crash dramatically all the time. Compared with the opportunities in U.S. stocks or crypto, there are far fewer chances here. Don’t waste your time on this.

You can’t use any financial model or supply-and-demand model to precisely calculate its “fair value.” Prices are often the result of political games rather than the combined force of the market. This means that your technical analysis and fundamental analysis, in front of “some big shot,” could be wiped out in an instant. You’re trading an underlying asset that can be interfered with at any time by an “invisible hand,” so we naturally don’t have an edge in win rate.

From this perspective, crude oil is more like an “insurance tool” designed for spot traders and oil-producing countries to hedge risk, rather than an “investment product” designed for capital appreciation.

Protect your principal. Don’t be lured by “some people” into playing with crude oil.

More to share in the chat group—enter through the homepage to join the chat group

#SNDK #闪迪

Why do we open short positions in this kind of market?
Is it because the price has risen too much, so you think it will fall next and open a short—then you get trapped?
Or because it has dropped too much, so you think it’s time to bottom-buy—then you get trapped again?

Respect the trend and follow it, not the exact opposite.

Before 30
Busy trying to fit in,
Proving the world needs you

After 30
Enjoy being alone,
Defining your own world

#SNDK #闪迪

Try to keep the trading simple—especially for a leading stock that everyone in the whole market is watching. What is a “leading stock”? It’s one that rises sharply and falls sharply.

With the whole market paying attention and trading activity staying high, it also indicates that the trend is running smoothly. At this point, the rise is a real rise, and the fall is a real fall.

When you review this round of storage stocks that have surged by several times to even dozens of times—like SanDisk, Micron, and Hynix—you’ll find that the trend most likely for ordinary people to profit from is the smooth upward move. That is: in a bull market, retail investors lose money because they keep making random moves, trying to bottom-catch, thinking the trend is over, thinking it has hit the bottom—selling, then chasing afterward. Making big money comes from holding still, not moving, and selling when the trend is exhausted.

Trends are all “bet” made. For example, you can’t know in advance that AXTI could rise 100-fold last year, and you also can’t know whether after going long this time, SanDisk will still be able to rise another multiple. We’re here to trade speculation. If you want to profit, you need to open a position.

So, based on trends as the core, we built a trading strategy with a positive expected return. This strategy allows us to push the efficiency of our trading logic to the extreme.

Just like in a casino, we start running our trading system. We stay unwavering and carry out our execution, overcoming every difficulty we encounter in the process.

This trend-following theory is almost perfectly reflected in SanDisk’s price action.