Pelin Ay 1
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Pelin Ay 1
TRADER-ANALİST-YAZAR
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Binance Alphadaki #UAI got my attention. It has entered a nice trend, and the descent below this trend looks like a trap. It seems like there is potential for at least 2x. I’m taking my chances. $UAI
Binance Alphadaki #UAI got my attention. It entered a nice trend, and the fall under this trend looks like a trap. It seems like it has at least 2x potential. I’m trying my luck.
🪙 Gold at Critical Resistance!
#XAUUSD found strength from the 4000$ support and reached the 4400$ resistance. The bearish trend structure is still active. Saying that an uptrend has started without breaking the bearish trend could be misleading. This week, direction will become clear. Do you think it can break the falling resistance? $XAU
#XAUUSD found strength from the 4000$ support and reached the 4400$ resistance. The bearish trend structure is still active. Saying that an uptrend has started without breaking the bearish trend could be misleading. This week, direction will become clear. Do you think it can break the falling resistance? $XAU
Is the Break Fake or Real?
#XAGUSD broke the declining trend that has been ongoing since January! But it’s too early to celebrate. If it closes above 64$ for 3 days, I will buy. Do you think the uptrend has started now?
#Silver
#XAGUSD broke the declining trend that has been ongoing since January! But it’s too early to celebrate. If it closes above 64$ for 3 days, I will buy. Do you think the uptrend has started now?
#Silver
We finally officially have thousands of stablecoin like balls. One of them, #SUI, got stuck in the price range of $0.65–0.78$ . I think this squeeze will result in the price dropping to the level of 0.56$ . Do you think we might see the 0.5$ levels?
$SUI
$SUI
Bitcoin Price: In the Cost Zone for Short-Term Investors
The Taker Buy Sell Ratio in Binance futures indicates that sellers placing market orders are slightly more dominant than buyers. This suggests that rallies in price may encounter selling pressure.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio supports the idea that new purchasing power is limited. The SSR rising to the 11.58 level implies that the amount of stablecoins in the market remains relatively low compared to the Bitcoin supply.
SOPR shows that short-term investors are around their average cost basis. They have neither taken significant profits nor made notable loss-driven selloffs,
indicating that uncertainty persists in the market. Therefore, short-term investors are not creating a clear directional pressure on the price. However, if the price falls below the cost level, that’s when we may start seeing panic selling.
The current data shows that price movements depend largely on new capital inflows and taker buys pushing back above the 1 level. Unless these conditions occur, it becomes harder for the price to generate strong momentum, and the current outlook points to a more cautious and directionally indecisive market structure. $BTC #Bitcoin
The Taker Buy Sell Ratio in Binance futures indicates that sellers placing market orders are slightly more dominant than buyers. This suggests that rallies in price may encounter selling pressure.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio supports the idea that new purchasing power is limited. The SSR rising to the 11.58 level implies that the amount of stablecoins in the market remains relatively low compared to the Bitcoin supply.
SOPR shows that short-term investors are around their average cost basis. They have neither taken significant profits nor made notable loss-driven selloffs,
indicating that uncertainty persists in the market. Therefore, short-term investors are not creating a clear directional pressure on the price. However, if the price falls below the cost level, that’s when we may start seeing panic selling.
The current data shows that price movements depend largely on new capital inflows and taker buys pushing back above the 1 level. Unless these conditions occur, it becomes harder for the price to generate strong momentum, and the current outlook points to a more cautious and directionally indecisive market structure. $BTC #Bitcoin
It appears that XRP inflow and outflow transactions on Binance have significantly weakened both in the number of trades and in transaction sizes in recent times. This suggests that it’s not only sell pressure that needs to be evaluated, but also buying interest.
In the outflow chart, in particular, there has been a clear decline compared to previous periods in the number of transactions for; 1M+ XRP, 100K–1M XRP, and 10K–100K XRP.
Under normal circumstances, a high amount of XRP outflow from Binance would indicate that investors are moving their assets to cold wallets,
choosing to hold rather than sell, and that circulating sell supply could decrease. However, in the current chart, the outflow activities of large investors have dropped to very low levels, so I can’t say this outcome is very positive.
Similarly, in the inflow chart; transaction counts for 1M+ XRP, 100K–1M XRP, 10K–100K XRP, have substantially decreased compared to the 2024–2025 period. In other words, we can see that whales are not sending large amounts of XRP to Binance. This indicates that active sell pressure is significantly weaker than it was in prior periods.
In both charts, the number of transactions is declining at the same time. There’s no sign of major sell-off preparation, and there’s also no strong accumulation.
The market seems to be in a wait-and-see mode. In such periods, price often shows a structure where;
liquidity decreases, volume falls, and it becomes difficult to determine direction.
In particular, the fact that transactions above 1 million XRP have become quite infrequent both on the inflow and outflow sides suggests that whales are preferring to monitor the market. Therefore, it doesn’t yet look like a new capital inflow strong enough to move the price has formed.
In the 1K–10K XRP range, the number of transactions is still higher than in the other groups. This indicates that market activity largely comes from individual investors. However, in past bull cycles, the main factor that carried the price was not small investors, but large-volume transactions. So I guess we won’t see much movement for a while. $XRP
In the outflow chart, in particular, there has been a clear decline compared to previous periods in the number of transactions for; 1M+ XRP, 100K–1M XRP, and 10K–100K XRP.
Under normal circumstances, a high amount of XRP outflow from Binance would indicate that investors are moving their assets to cold wallets,
choosing to hold rather than sell, and that circulating sell supply could decrease. However, in the current chart, the outflow activities of large investors have dropped to very low levels, so I can’t say this outcome is very positive.
Similarly, in the inflow chart; transaction counts for 1M+ XRP, 100K–1M XRP, 10K–100K XRP, have substantially decreased compared to the 2024–2025 period. In other words, we can see that whales are not sending large amounts of XRP to Binance. This indicates that active sell pressure is significantly weaker than it was in prior periods.
In both charts, the number of transactions is declining at the same time. There’s no sign of major sell-off preparation, and there’s also no strong accumulation.
The market seems to be in a wait-and-see mode. In such periods, price often shows a structure where;
liquidity decreases, volume falls, and it becomes difficult to determine direction.
In particular, the fact that transactions above 1 million XRP have become quite infrequent both on the inflow and outflow sides suggests that whales are preferring to monitor the market. Therefore, it doesn’t yet look like a new capital inflow strong enough to move the price has formed.
In the 1K–10K XRP range, the number of transactions is still higher than in the other groups. This indicates that market activity largely comes from individual investors. However, in past bull cycles, the main factor that carried the price was not small investors, but large-volume transactions. So I guess we won’t see much movement for a while. $XRP
Cause of the Drop in the Crypto Market
In the chart’s current value, Whale Outflow is approximately 513 BTC, while Whale Inflow appears to be near the zero level. This indicates that whales are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges rather than sending it to them. This suggests that the amount of BTC available for sale on exchanges has decreased.
Since whales are moving their assets to cold wallets, short-term selling pressure weakens. This creates a positive, supply-oriented signal for price.
When I evaluate these data together with Order Size;
👉1–10 million dollars in Whale CVD continues to remain positive. That means large investors are in a net-buying position.
👉Mega Whales (10 million dollars+) are in a neutral zone; buys have not started yet.
👉Because small and mid-sized investors’ CVD is negative, sell pressure comes mainly from these groups.
So it appears that Whale Inflow/Outflow and Order Size are in significant alignment. While whales are not inclined to sell, individual small investors are causing the selling. This suggests that whales are in an accumulation phase. Therefore, the current outlook reduces supply pressure for the Bitcoin price and offers a supportive picture in the medium term. In particular, the fact that the Mega Whale group above 10 million dollars joins strong buying remains the most important factor to watch for a clear acceleration of the rally. $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
In the chart’s current value, Whale Outflow is approximately 513 BTC, while Whale Inflow appears to be near the zero level. This indicates that whales are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges rather than sending it to them. This suggests that the amount of BTC available for sale on exchanges has decreased.
Since whales are moving their assets to cold wallets, short-term selling pressure weakens. This creates a positive, supply-oriented signal for price.
When I evaluate these data together with Order Size;
👉1–10 million dollars in Whale CVD continues to remain positive. That means large investors are in a net-buying position.
👉Mega Whales (10 million dollars+) are in a neutral zone; buys have not started yet.
👉Because small and mid-sized investors’ CVD is negative, sell pressure comes mainly from these groups.
So it appears that Whale Inflow/Outflow and Order Size are in significant alignment. While whales are not inclined to sell, individual small investors are causing the selling. This suggests that whales are in an accumulation phase. Therefore, the current outlook reduces supply pressure for the Bitcoin price and offers a supportive picture in the medium term. In particular, the fact that the Mega Whale group above 10 million dollars joins strong buying remains the most important factor to watch for a clear acceleration of the rally. $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Ethereum Price Ready to Rise: Institutional Demand Expected
When looking at the amount of assets transferred to Binance by miners over the past year, it appears that, on the Ethereum side, the high transfers seen in the past have been replaced in recent times by transfers close to the lowest levels in history. After the brief spikes in June, by the end of July the transfer volume seems to have fallen to near the bottom.
This is positive for the Ethereum price. Because miner-driven selling pressure is clearly decreasing. When miners do not send coins to exchanges, the supply that is directly waiting to be sold on the market also falls.
It is important to consider Binance as the reference point. Binance is one of the exchanges with the highest liquidity for both spot and derivatives in Ethereum. Therefore, miners transferring assets especially to Binance is a strong indicator for assessing potential selling pressure. The fact that transfers are so low suggests that miner selling on the Binance side is not large enough to pressure the market.
A reduction in supply-side pressure is a factor that supports the price. Miners are a significant source of sell-side supply. If this group sends less ETH to exchanges for selling, it becomes easier for the existing buyers in the market to stabilize the price and selling pressure is alleviated. However, this metric alone does not guarantee that the price will rise; demand-side strength is also necessary.
From this chart, the most important takeaway for Ethereum is that miner-related supply pressure has historically been at quite weak levels. This is a supportive signal for the medium term that contributes to reduced downside pressure on the price. Miners are holding ETH with expectations of higher prices. If an increase in demand comes along with this behavior, then there will be no obstacle left in front of a rise. Right now, since the demand side is weak, the ETH price is continuing its sideways movement. We won’t be waiting for institutions to start buying. $ETH #ETH #Ethereum
When looking at the amount of assets transferred to Binance by miners over the past year, it appears that, on the Ethereum side, the high transfers seen in the past have been replaced in recent times by transfers close to the lowest levels in history. After the brief spikes in June, by the end of July the transfer volume seems to have fallen to near the bottom.
This is positive for the Ethereum price. Because miner-driven selling pressure is clearly decreasing. When miners do not send coins to exchanges, the supply that is directly waiting to be sold on the market also falls.
It is important to consider Binance as the reference point. Binance is one of the exchanges with the highest liquidity for both spot and derivatives in Ethereum. Therefore, miners transferring assets especially to Binance is a strong indicator for assessing potential selling pressure. The fact that transfers are so low suggests that miner selling on the Binance side is not large enough to pressure the market.
A reduction in supply-side pressure is a factor that supports the price. Miners are a significant source of sell-side supply. If this group sends less ETH to exchanges for selling, it becomes easier for the existing buyers in the market to stabilize the price and selling pressure is alleviated. However, this metric alone does not guarantee that the price will rise; demand-side strength is also necessary.
From this chart, the most important takeaway for Ethereum is that miner-related supply pressure has historically been at quite weak levels. This is a supportive signal for the medium term that contributes to reduced downside pressure on the price. Miners are holding ETH with expectations of higher prices. If an increase in demand comes along with this behavior, then there will be no obstacle left in front of a rise. Right now, since the demand side is weak, the ETH price is continuing its sideways movement. We won’t be waiting for institutions to start buying. $ETH #ETH #Ethereum
💲 #Dollar index #DXY met a key resistance. If a strong drop comes from this resistance, we could see capital inflows into the #crypto market. This could trigger a bullish wave across all crypto assets, starting with #BTC. To confirm the decline, we would need to see a close below 100. Do you think this drop will happen?
🐻 Ethereum broke the downtrend, but it doesn’t look strong. I still think there’s a possibility this breakout could be fake. If I’m right, we’ll see a pullback at least up to 1350$ . What do you think—was this breakout fake, or has the uptrend started? $ETH
🐻 #I don’t think the decline for Bitcoin is over. I even expect it to take the liquidity at $48K. I can’t see confirmation that the price has turned upward, either from on-chain data or technical analysis. $BTC
🐻 My bearish bias for #XAUUSD continues. I expect #Gold spot to fall to $3500. What do you think? $XAU
💫 #Ethereum sell-off may be over? Broke the downward trend it has had since August 25, 2025, and made a weekly close above it. When I look at the spot side, even though I don't see a strong structure that would support this upside, it makes me wonder: are we getting close to the end of the market's decline? Do you think the #ETH bottom was 1510$ m?
$ETH
$ETH
Ethereum Price Ready for a Dip Wave
In the latest view of the chart, the Binance price is hovering around the $1,920 level. The price has reached the resistance zone of the Price Channel. First, the Binance spot price used in the analysis is one of the most reliable reference prices for Ethereum. The reason is that Binance is one of the exchanges with the highest trading volume and liquidity in both the spot and derivatives markets. Therefore, using the Binance price as the basis when evaluating technical levels provides healthier results in terms of reflecting the market’s actual supply-demand balance. Looking at past moves, it is seen that when the price touches the upper boundary of the Price Channel, the uptrend ends and profit-taking starts to come into play.
In addition, the Fund Market Premium indicator remaining in positive territory suggests that buy-side appetite in the futures markets has not completely disappeared, but this alone does not guarantee a continued rise. At the same time, the lack of a clear volume surge on the Fund Volume side indicates that the current rally is not being supported by strong new capital inflows.
Therefore, when the chart’s current data are evaluated together, there is a higher likelihood that selling pressure will increase from this area now that the Binance price has reached the Price Channel resistance, and that a downward correction may be seen.
As long as the channel resistance is not broken, the technical picture suggests that instead of expecting a continued uptrend, potential selloffs that may occur in the resistance zone should be monitored. $ETH
In the latest view of the chart, the Binance price is hovering around the $1,920 level. The price has reached the resistance zone of the Price Channel. First, the Binance spot price used in the analysis is one of the most reliable reference prices for Ethereum. The reason is that Binance is one of the exchanges with the highest trading volume and liquidity in both the spot and derivatives markets. Therefore, using the Binance price as the basis when evaluating technical levels provides healthier results in terms of reflecting the market’s actual supply-demand balance. Looking at past moves, it is seen that when the price touches the upper boundary of the Price Channel, the uptrend ends and profit-taking starts to come into play.
In addition, the Fund Market Premium indicator remaining in positive territory suggests that buy-side appetite in the futures markets has not completely disappeared, but this alone does not guarantee a continued rise. At the same time, the lack of a clear volume surge on the Fund Volume side indicates that the current rally is not being supported by strong new capital inflows.
Therefore, when the chart’s current data are evaluated together, there is a higher likelihood that selling pressure will increase from this area now that the Binance price has reached the Price Channel resistance, and that a downward correction may be seen.
As long as the channel resistance is not broken, the technical picture suggests that instead of expecting a continued uptrend, potential selloffs that may occur in the resistance zone should be monitored. $ETH
XRP Escapes Selling Pressure and Shifts to a Neutral Tone
Binance long liquidations were at approximately 103k XRP, while short liquidations were around 122k XRP, and the difference between them is fairly limited. The Binance Funding Rate is also hovering very close to 0. The implications of long and short liquidations being close to each other are as follows:
1. It shows that there is no one-sided pressure in the market.
If only long liquidations were extremely high, it would suggest that buyers were being aggressively forced out and that selling pressure dominated. Conversely, if only short liquidations were high, it would indicate that sellers were getting squeezed and that buyers had taken control. However, having both sides liquidated at similar levels shows that neither bulls nor bears can establish clear dominance.
2. It indicates that leveraged positions are distributed more evenly.
When liquidations are close to each other, it suggests that in futures trading both long and short positions are of similar size. As a result, price moves are occurring in a way that can trigger the stops of both sides. This situation is typically characterized by a lack of strong directional conviction, frequent shifts in direction, and price action that punishes both sides.
3. A Funding Rate near zero supports this balance.
With the Funding Rate in neutral territory, it indicates that investors are not excessively concentrated on either the long or short side. In other words: there is no extreme optimism on the long side, and there is no extreme pessimism on the short side.
The liquidation data and the funding rate are sending the same message.
4. The likelihood of a major squeeze appears to be weakening.
Usually, before sharp rallies, a very high short accumulation builds up, and before sharp declines, a very high long accumulation forms.
In the chart, since the liquidations of both sides are near each other, there doesn’t seem to be a major one-sided squeeze in the market yet. Therefore, the signal for a strong liquidation wave targeting a single group of positions remains weak.
$XRP #xrp
Binance long liquidations were at approximately 103k XRP, while short liquidations were around 122k XRP, and the difference between them is fairly limited. The Binance Funding Rate is also hovering very close to 0. The implications of long and short liquidations being close to each other are as follows:
1. It shows that there is no one-sided pressure in the market.
If only long liquidations were extremely high, it would suggest that buyers were being aggressively forced out and that selling pressure dominated. Conversely, if only short liquidations were high, it would indicate that sellers were getting squeezed and that buyers had taken control. However, having both sides liquidated at similar levels shows that neither bulls nor bears can establish clear dominance.
2. It indicates that leveraged positions are distributed more evenly.
When liquidations are close to each other, it suggests that in futures trading both long and short positions are of similar size. As a result, price moves are occurring in a way that can trigger the stops of both sides. This situation is typically characterized by a lack of strong directional conviction, frequent shifts in direction, and price action that punishes both sides.
3. A Funding Rate near zero supports this balance.
With the Funding Rate in neutral territory, it indicates that investors are not excessively concentrated on either the long or short side. In other words: there is no extreme optimism on the long side, and there is no extreme pessimism on the short side.
The liquidation data and the funding rate are sending the same message.
4. The likelihood of a major squeeze appears to be weakening.
Usually, before sharp rallies, a very high short accumulation builds up, and before sharp declines, a very high long accumulation forms.
In the chart, since the liquidations of both sides are near each other, there doesn’t seem to be a major one-sided squeeze in the market yet. Therefore, the signal for a strong liquidation wave targeting a single group of positions remains weak.
$XRP #xrp
🐻 #XAUUSD 1,272 support is now in a resistance position. #Gold spot may potentially fall as low as 3500$ a. For buying gold, I can consider 4000$ for staggered buying. $XAU
🐻 #XAGUSD 55$ desteğinde. We may see consolidation in the range of 55$-60$ for a while. If the decline continues, I expect a falling trend down to the 33$-35$ range. The level where the upside began is 33$ . This is where we can see the real reversal from. For silver buying, starting from 55$ I plan to make incremental buys to the downside. $XAG
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