anchornode
128 Posts
anchornode
x：@Anchornode 一个撸毛的中年大叔 欢迎交流更多学习内容 所有内容均不构成投资建议
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Partly True
Brothers, first-hand news: @HertzFlow is preparing for the mainnet.
Yesterday, we already reset the data.
Invite points will be kept until the mainnet.
---
1/ Why the points are preserved
To be frank, a lot of projects wipe everything right before going live on the mainnet. On the testnet, no matter how much you farmed or how many invites you got, it all disappears.
HertzFlow doesn’t do that.
Inviting is something you helped us with in the early days.
You did it—we remember.
That’s it, that’s all.
2/ The big logic behind the final incentives will be announced
We won’t wait until the last moment to publish a rule and make you guess.
Anything we can confirm, we’ll announce directly.
For example, how points will be converted, the timing rhythm for distributing incentives, and whether there’s any lock-up—will all be written clearly in black and white.
If we can’t confirm something, we’ll say so plainly.
We won’t make up an answer that looks perfect just to placate people.
---
Now that you’re here, your contribution will be recognized.
Real, tangible, no fluff.
---
In the next few days, you’ll see the announcements.
They’ll include terms that can be fully confirmed, as well as parts that are clearly marked as updates to come.
Don’t overestimate your own certainty, and don’t underestimate users’ judgment.
We’ll publish the final points distribution and the overall logic for final incentives. Anything we can confirm will be announced; anything we can’t confirm, we’ll clearly tell everyone that we don’t know yet. This is @thecrypto’s exact wording. I really like this kind of reassuring response and this kind of project.
So I’ll keep playing the testnet.
See you in early August.
@HertzFlow
Yesterday, we already reset the data.
Invite points will be kept until the mainnet.
---
1/ Why the points are preserved
To be frank, a lot of projects wipe everything right before going live on the mainnet. On the testnet, no matter how much you farmed or how many invites you got, it all disappears.
HertzFlow doesn’t do that.
Inviting is something you helped us with in the early days.
You did it—we remember.
That’s it, that’s all.
2/ The big logic behind the final incentives will be announced
We won’t wait until the last moment to publish a rule and make you guess.
Anything we can confirm, we’ll announce directly.
For example, how points will be converted, the timing rhythm for distributing incentives, and whether there’s any lock-up—will all be written clearly in black and white.
If we can’t confirm something, we’ll say so plainly.
We won’t make up an answer that looks perfect just to placate people.
---
Now that you’re here, your contribution will be recognized.
Real, tangible, no fluff.
---
In the next few days, you’ll see the announcements.
They’ll include terms that can be fully confirmed, as well as parts that are clearly marked as updates to come.
Don’t overestimate your own certainty, and don’t underestimate users’ judgment.
We’ll publish the final points distribution and the overall logic for final incentives. Anything we can confirm will be announced; anything we can’t confirm, we’ll clearly tell everyone that we don’t know yet. This is @thecrypto’s exact wording. I really like this kind of reassuring response and this kind of project.
So I’ll keep playing the testnet.
See you in early August.
@HertzFlow
anchornode
·
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What if the market-maker were there on day 519 too
Brothers, last night the US stock market crashed hard, and the after-hours session this morning and the night session also saw a massive plunge. SanDisk almost broke below 1. KOSPI briefly hit a circuit breaker down 11%. It made me think of the day of 519, and I went back to re-read what the market-maker wrote about 519.
I thought about it: if on the day of 519, this gambling match were on @HertzFlow , what would it look like?
1/
On that day of 519, almost all CEXs went down.
Binance, OKX, FTX (it was still alive then), Bybit—everything. Short as a few minutes, long as half an hour.
Back then, you were holding your phone, watching the price get smashed through by forced liquidations. You couldn’t even add margin to top it up.
What if, that day, the betting table had been on HertzFlow, on the BNB chain—what would happen?
I thought about it: if on the day of 519, this gambling match were on @HertzFlow , what would it look like?
1/
On that day of 519, almost all CEXs went down.
Binance, OKX, FTX (it was still alive then), Bybit—everything. Short as a few minutes, long as half an hour.
Back then, you were holding your phone, watching the price get smashed through by forced liquidations. You couldn’t even add margin to top it up.
What if, that day, the betting table had been on HertzFlow, on the BNB chain—what would happen?
Today, one chart to help you understand the FOMC statement
All earnings reports are meaningless in front of the FOMC. Even if earnings are great, they can’t break out of an independent trading trend. I can only say that this month’s market is for software stocks. Everyone, go take a look. And remember to diversify sectors—keep the “supermarket” open—your capital will be safer.
There’s another important thing: this time, there were 3 votes in favor of a rate hike. Everyone should pay attention—at the September FOMC, a rate hike is highly likely.
Key events for the rest of this week:
· Thursday 07/30 Beijing time 20:30 | GDP Q2 first estimate + June core PCE | Forecast: GDP around 2.0%, core PCE around 3.4% | Impact: Very high (the most important data of the week)
· Thursday 07/30 after market close | AAPL Q3 FY2026 earnings | Forecast: revenue growth 14–17% YoY | Impact: Very high (Cook’s last CEO earnings report + MacBook Neo supply data)
· Friday 07/31 Beijing time 20:30 | Initial jobless claims + University of Michigan consumer sentiment July final | Forecast: claims remain at a low level | Impact: Medium
GDP + PCE + AAPL—triple blasts on the same day. If GDP is below 2% → the probability of rate cuts spikes → growth stocks rebound. If PCE unexpectedly rises → growth stocks face renewed pressure. AAPL’s earnings are the last long stronghold among Mag7. If it misses, the already fragile sentiment after the FOMC will take another hit.
Yesterday’s feedback
· The FOMC held steady and kept the interest rate at 3.50–3.75%. A split Federal Reserve (3 votes supported a rate hike). Warsh clearly stated he would not waver in the face of inflation.
Market reaction: SOX -5.33% (yesterday’s projection: “If hawkish → SOX tests 10,500.” The actual close was 10,447; the forecast was accurate). All three major indices fell across the board. The VIX broke above 20. The Nasdaq 100 entered a correction range. The split FOMC was more hawkish than expected.
SOX’s four-day decline of -10% has already deeply priced in hawkishness. With technical oversold conditions plus a data day, two-way volatility will be intense. Don’t chase shorts or bottom-pick—wait until GDP + PCE land, then decide direction. VIX > 20 + a data day = cash is king.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is my personal trading journal and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
All earnings reports are meaningless in front of the FOMC. Even if earnings are great, they can’t break out of an independent trading trend. I can only say that this month’s market is for software stocks. Everyone, go take a look. And remember to diversify sectors—keep the “supermarket” open—your capital will be safer.
There’s another important thing: this time, there were 3 votes in favor of a rate hike. Everyone should pay attention—at the September FOMC, a rate hike is highly likely.
Key events for the rest of this week:
· Thursday 07/30 Beijing time 20:30 | GDP Q2 first estimate + June core PCE | Forecast: GDP around 2.0%, core PCE around 3.4% | Impact: Very high (the most important data of the week)
· Thursday 07/30 after market close | AAPL Q3 FY2026 earnings | Forecast: revenue growth 14–17% YoY | Impact: Very high (Cook’s last CEO earnings report + MacBook Neo supply data)
· Friday 07/31 Beijing time 20:30 | Initial jobless claims + University of Michigan consumer sentiment July final | Forecast: claims remain at a low level | Impact: Medium
GDP + PCE + AAPL—triple blasts on the same day. If GDP is below 2% → the probability of rate cuts spikes → growth stocks rebound. If PCE unexpectedly rises → growth stocks face renewed pressure. AAPL’s earnings are the last long stronghold among Mag7. If it misses, the already fragile sentiment after the FOMC will take another hit.
Yesterday’s feedback
· The FOMC held steady and kept the interest rate at 3.50–3.75%. A split Federal Reserve (3 votes supported a rate hike). Warsh clearly stated he would not waver in the face of inflation.
Market reaction: SOX -5.33% (yesterday’s projection: “If hawkish → SOX tests 10,500.” The actual close was 10,447; the forecast was accurate). All three major indices fell across the board. The VIX broke above 20. The Nasdaq 100 entered a correction range. The split FOMC was more hawkish than expected.
SOX’s four-day decline of -10% has already deeply priced in hawkishness. With technical oversold conditions plus a data day, two-way volatility will be intense. Don’t chase shorts or bottom-pick—wait until GDP + PCE land, then decide direction. VIX > 20 + a data day = cash is king.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is my personal trading journal and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
anchornode
·
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Woke up to find the whole market had collapsed—today’s lunch really tasted like cardboard.
This week is the most important trading week of 2026 Q3. Triple “nuclear-level” events stacked together.
· Tue–Wed 07/28–29 | FOMC meeting | Expected: keep 3.50–3.75% unchanged (probability ~65%) | Impact: extremely high
Warsh is chairing the full quarterly FOMC for the first time. Watch the wording of the statement (inflation vs. data-dependence), the dot plot, and the tone of the press conference.
The U.S. halts airstrikes on Iran → ceasefire talks restart → WTI plunges 6.9% to $83 → USO -8.73%. This is a geopolitical pivot that was not anticipated in the outlook, directly driving a rotation: the energy sector -2.11% and discretionary consumption +1.31%.
Key signals
· NVDA -5% over three days, down -10% total: with volume at 144 million shares, panic selling; the $200 level is breached
· Iran ceasefire → WTI crashes from $100+ to $83: USO -8.73% in a single day, the largest daily drop of the year
· IGV +3.33% vs SOX -2.23%: AI trading has moved fully from hardware to software; capital is “voting with its feet.”
Keep exposure below 50%, save ammunition for Thursday’s confirmation after GDP + PCE + AAPL.
#USStocks
This week is the most important trading week of 2026 Q3. Triple “nuclear-level” events stacked together.
· Tue–Wed 07/28–29 | FOMC meeting | Expected: keep 3.50–3.75% unchanged (probability ~65%) | Impact: extremely high
Warsh is chairing the full quarterly FOMC for the first time. Watch the wording of the statement (inflation vs. data-dependence), the dot plot, and the tone of the press conference.
The U.S. halts airstrikes on Iran → ceasefire talks restart → WTI plunges 6.9% to $83 → USO -8.73%. This is a geopolitical pivot that was not anticipated in the outlook, directly driving a rotation: the energy sector -2.11% and discretionary consumption +1.31%.
Key signals
· NVDA -5% over three days, down -10% total: with volume at 144 million shares, panic selling; the $200 level is breached
· Iran ceasefire → WTI crashes from $100+ to $83: USO -8.73% in a single day, the largest daily drop of the year
· IGV +3.33% vs SOX -2.23%: AI trading has moved fully from hardware to software; capital is “voting with its feet.”
Keep exposure below 50%, save ammunition for Thursday’s confirmation after GDP + PCE + AAPL.
#USStocks
Verifying my Binance Square account for YZi Labs Amplify via EchoHunt: EH-APVQ7P
Woke up to find the whole market had collapsed—today’s lunch really tasted like cardboard.
This week is the most important trading week of 2026 Q3. Triple “nuclear-level” events stacked together.
· Tue–Wed 07/28–29 | FOMC meeting | Expected: keep 3.50–3.75% unchanged (probability ~65%) | Impact: extremely high
Warsh is chairing the full quarterly FOMC for the first time. Watch the wording of the statement (inflation vs. data-dependence), the dot plot, and the tone of the press conference.
The U.S. halts airstrikes on Iran → ceasefire talks restart → WTI plunges 6.9% to $83 → USO -8.73%. This is a geopolitical pivot that was not anticipated in the outlook, directly driving a rotation: the energy sector -2.11% and discretionary consumption +1.31%.
Key signals
· NVDA -5% over three days, down -10% total: with volume at 144 million shares, panic selling; the $200 level is breached
· Iran ceasefire → WTI crashes from $100+ to $83: USO -8.73% in a single day, the largest daily drop of the year
· IGV +3.33% vs SOX -2.23%: AI trading has moved fully from hardware to software; capital is “voting with its feet.”
Keep exposure below 50%, save ammunition for Thursday’s confirmation after GDP + PCE + AAPL.
#USStocks
This week is the most important trading week of 2026 Q3. Triple “nuclear-level” events stacked together.
· Tue–Wed 07/28–29 | FOMC meeting | Expected: keep 3.50–3.75% unchanged (probability ~65%) | Impact: extremely high
Warsh is chairing the full quarterly FOMC for the first time. Watch the wording of the statement (inflation vs. data-dependence), the dot plot, and the tone of the press conference.
The U.S. halts airstrikes on Iran → ceasefire talks restart → WTI plunges 6.9% to $83 → USO -8.73%. This is a geopolitical pivot that was not anticipated in the outlook, directly driving a rotation: the energy sector -2.11% and discretionary consumption +1.31%.
Key signals
· NVDA -5% over three days, down -10% total: with volume at 144 million shares, panic selling; the $200 level is breached
· Iran ceasefire → WTI crashes from $100+ to $83: USO -8.73% in a single day, the largest daily drop of the year
· IGV +3.33% vs SOX -2.23%: AI trading has moved fully from hardware to software; capital is “voting with its feet.”
Keep exposure below 50%, save ammunition for Thursday’s confirmation after GDP + PCE + AAPL.
#USStocks
Partly True
Today’s Events:
· Tuesday 07/21 After the Close | TSLA Q2 Earnings | Consensus: EPS $0.68 | Impact: Extremely High Auto gross margin + FSD subscription + Robotaxi timeline
· Tuesday 07/21 After the Close | GOOGL Q2 Earnings | Consensus: EPS $1.95 | Impact: Extremely High AI search monetization + Google Cloud growth
If TSLA misses but GOOGL beats, then the narrative of “AI wins all” will be further reinforced, and the pressure on hardware may mean any SOX rebound could be short-lived.
The situation between Iran and Israel has become tense again these past two days, and Russia and Ukraine have also reignited fighting.
However, last night’s SOX oversold rebound gave bulls a brief window to catch their breath.
In the past, although I reduced holdings in Sandisk, it was still in my core position. These days I’ve been in a state of frenzied “buying and selling” (doing T trades), lowering my cost basis to around 1600, but I’m still stuck underwater.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is my personal trading journal and does not constitute any investment advice. The market involves risks; invest prudently. Please comply with the laws and regulations of your location.
· Tuesday 07/21 After the Close | TSLA Q2 Earnings | Consensus: EPS $0.68 | Impact: Extremely High Auto gross margin + FSD subscription + Robotaxi timeline
· Tuesday 07/21 After the Close | GOOGL Q2 Earnings | Consensus: EPS $1.95 | Impact: Extremely High AI search monetization + Google Cloud growth
If TSLA misses but GOOGL beats, then the narrative of “AI wins all” will be further reinforced, and the pressure on hardware may mean any SOX rebound could be short-lived.
The situation between Iran and Israel has become tense again these past two days, and Russia and Ukraine have also reignited fighting.
However, last night’s SOX oversold rebound gave bulls a brief window to catch their breath.
In the past, although I reduced holdings in Sandisk, it was still in my core position. These days I’ve been in a state of frenzied “buying and selling” (doing T trades), lowering my cost basis to around 1600, but I’m still stuck underwater.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is my personal trading journal and does not constitute any investment advice. The market involves risks; invest prudently. Please comply with the laws and regulations of your location.
Today’s events:
U.S. leading economic indicators for June | expected unchanged | impact: medium
China PBoC LPR interest rate decision | expected to keep 3.00% unchanged | impact: medium
Ongoing | Iran Hormuz crisis + oil price direction | WTI $83.7+; if it breaks above $85 → the stagflation narrative fully returns | impact: very high
Triple uncertainties make it unsuitable to add new positions:
1) SOX has entered a technical bear market (from the ATH 14,635 down more than 20% to 11,673); the downtrend is not over
2) The Iran Hormuz crisis has pushed WTI to $81+; geopolitical risk premium is hard to price
3) This week’s earnings for four major tech giants—TSLA / GOOGL / INTC / IBM—are tightly packed; any miss could trigger the second wave of chip sell-off
July preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index + inflation expectations
Sentiment 54.4 (five-month high, well above the expected 50–52); 1-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.3% due to a decline in gasoline prices during the survey window
Tuesday after the close: TSLA + GOOGL earnings. Wednesday: INTC + IBM take the baton. Thursday: Flash PMI + initial jobless claims. AMD AI conference—Lisa Su presents the MI400 roadmap, debuting mid-week.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risk; investment requires caution. Please comply with local laws and regulations.
U.S. leading economic indicators for June | expected unchanged | impact: medium
China PBoC LPR interest rate decision | expected to keep 3.00% unchanged | impact: medium
Ongoing | Iran Hormuz crisis + oil price direction | WTI $83.7+; if it breaks above $85 → the stagflation narrative fully returns | impact: very high
Triple uncertainties make it unsuitable to add new positions:
1) SOX has entered a technical bear market (from the ATH 14,635 down more than 20% to 11,673); the downtrend is not over
2) The Iran Hormuz crisis has pushed WTI to $81+; geopolitical risk premium is hard to price
3) This week’s earnings for four major tech giants—TSLA / GOOGL / INTC / IBM—are tightly packed; any miss could trigger the second wave of chip sell-off
July preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index + inflation expectations
Sentiment 54.4 (five-month high, well above the expected 50–52); 1-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.3% due to a decline in gasoline prices during the survey window
Tuesday after the close: TSLA + GOOGL earnings. Wednesday: INTC + IBM take the baton. Thursday: Flash PMI + initial jobless claims. AMD AI conference—Lisa Su presents the MI400 roadmap, debuting mid-week.
#USStocks #TradingNotes
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risk; investment requires caution. Please comply with local laws and regulations.
anchornode
·
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Two bad news, one is that last night the US stock market’s early session saw a rebound, but the afternoon saw another pullback. Total bait-and-switch.
The other is that Changxin’s subscription didn’t get a winning lot. Hahaha.
The key focus is next Thursday: the last full trading week before the FOMC (7/29-30). If the PMI shows economic resilience on 7/24, but you’re positioning over the weekend to bet on this direction, the risk is extremely high.
No clear ETF recommendation today—stand by.
Yesterday’s feedback
Next up:
· Weekend Iran news—any diplomatic breakthrough could cause Monday oil prices to crash by 10%+ and reverse rate-cut expectations
· Thursday Initial Jobless Claims: if it’s again below 220,000, the hawkish narrative ahead of the FOMC will be locked in
· Friday Flash PMI—final growth data before the FOMC. If resilience is strong, chips will continue to face pressure
· FOMC 7/29-30: market pricing for a September rate cut has already pulled back significantly. Warsh is likely to remain hawkish
Personally, I lean toward waiting for direction confirmation at the open on Monday, rather than gambling on weekend news. Three scenarios: Iran diplomatic breakthrough → oil price plunges → rate-cut expectations repaired → higher open on Monday (prob. ~25%); Iran standoff → oil price steady → flat or slightly down open and sell-off on Monday (prob. ~45%); Iran escalation → oil price surges above $85 → full risk-off (prob. ~30%).
No matter which scenario, Monday offers a better entry point.
The above is my personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
#US stocks #交易笔记
The other is that Changxin’s subscription didn’t get a winning lot. Hahaha.
The key focus is next Thursday: the last full trading week before the FOMC (7/29-30). If the PMI shows economic resilience on 7/24, but you’re positioning over the weekend to bet on this direction, the risk is extremely high.
No clear ETF recommendation today—stand by.
Yesterday’s feedback
Next up:
· Weekend Iran news—any diplomatic breakthrough could cause Monday oil prices to crash by 10%+ and reverse rate-cut expectations
· Thursday Initial Jobless Claims: if it’s again below 220,000, the hawkish narrative ahead of the FOMC will be locked in
· Friday Flash PMI—final growth data before the FOMC. If resilience is strong, chips will continue to face pressure
· FOMC 7/29-30: market pricing for a September rate cut has already pulled back significantly. Warsh is likely to remain hawkish
Personally, I lean toward waiting for direction confirmation at the open on Monday, rather than gambling on weekend news. Three scenarios: Iran diplomatic breakthrough → oil price plunges → rate-cut expectations repaired → higher open on Monday (prob. ~25%); Iran standoff → oil price steady → flat or slightly down open and sell-off on Monday (prob. ~45%); Iran escalation → oil price surges above $85 → full risk-off (prob. ~30%).
No matter which scenario, Monday offers a better entry point.
The above is my personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
#US stocks #交易笔记
TSLAUS+0.57%
INTCUS-1.08%
GOOGLUS+6.40%
Two bad news, one is that last night the US stock market’s early session saw a rebound, but the afternoon saw another pullback. Total bait-and-switch.
The other is that Changxin’s subscription didn’t get a winning lot. Hahaha.
The key focus is next Thursday: the last full trading week before the FOMC (7/29-30). If the PMI shows economic resilience on 7/24, but you’re positioning over the weekend to bet on this direction, the risk is extremely high.
No clear ETF recommendation today—stand by.
Yesterday’s feedback
Next up:
· Weekend Iran news—any diplomatic breakthrough could cause Monday oil prices to crash by 10%+ and reverse rate-cut expectations
· Thursday Initial Jobless Claims: if it’s again below 220,000, the hawkish narrative ahead of the FOMC will be locked in
· Friday Flash PMI—final growth data before the FOMC. If resilience is strong, chips will continue to face pressure
· FOMC 7/29-30: market pricing for a September rate cut has already pulled back significantly. Warsh is likely to remain hawkish
Personally, I lean toward waiting for direction confirmation at the open on Monday, rather than gambling on weekend news. Three scenarios: Iran diplomatic breakthrough → oil price plunges → rate-cut expectations repaired → higher open on Monday (prob. ~25%); Iran standoff → oil price steady → flat or slightly down open and sell-off on Monday (prob. ~45%); Iran escalation → oil price surges above $85 → full risk-off (prob. ~30%).
No matter which scenario, Monday offers a better entry point.
The above is my personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
#US stocks #交易笔记
The other is that Changxin’s subscription didn’t get a winning lot. Hahaha.
The key focus is next Thursday: the last full trading week before the FOMC (7/29-30). If the PMI shows economic resilience on 7/24, but you’re positioning over the weekend to bet on this direction, the risk is extremely high.
No clear ETF recommendation today—stand by.
Yesterday’s feedback
Next up:
· Weekend Iran news—any diplomatic breakthrough could cause Monday oil prices to crash by 10%+ and reverse rate-cut expectations
· Thursday Initial Jobless Claims: if it’s again below 220,000, the hawkish narrative ahead of the FOMC will be locked in
· Friday Flash PMI—final growth data before the FOMC. If resilience is strong, chips will continue to face pressure
· FOMC 7/29-30: market pricing for a September rate cut has already pulled back significantly. Warsh is likely to remain hawkish
Personally, I lean toward waiting for direction confirmation at the open on Monday, rather than gambling on weekend news. Three scenarios: Iran diplomatic breakthrough → oil price plunges → rate-cut expectations repaired → higher open on Monday (prob. ~25%); Iran standoff → oil price steady → flat or slightly down open and sell-off on Monday (prob. ~45%); Iran escalation → oil price surges above $85 → full risk-off (prob. ~30%).
No matter which scenario, Monday offers a better entry point.
The above is my personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky—invest cautiously.
#US stocks #交易笔记
anchornode
·
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Brothers, let’s win the bid together! Get the meat and drink the soup!
Brothers, let’s win the bid together! Get the meat and drink the soup!
anchornode
·
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Key Events
· Thursday 07/16 Beijing time 20:30 | June retail sales + initial jobless claims + Philadelphia Fed manufacturing | Retail MoM +0.1–0.3%, initial claims about 220–230k | Impact: Extremely High
Key focus: Soft CPI and PPI (both) have pushed rate-cut expectations to their highest level this year.
Yesterday’s feedback
- PPI headline -0.3% MoM (consensus 0.0%, 14-month largest decline). The forward-looking forecast correctly followed the direction of the sharp CPI drop, but the MoM decline was larger than expected.
· Market reaction: The violent +2.54% rebound in SOX on CPI failed to hold, and SOX -2.08% on the PPI fully reversed. The rate-cut tailwind went to the internet sector.
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; investment requires caution.
· Thursday 07/16 Beijing time 20:30 | June retail sales + initial jobless claims + Philadelphia Fed manufacturing | Retail MoM +0.1–0.3%, initial claims about 220–230k | Impact: Extremely High
Key focus: Soft CPI and PPI (both) have pushed rate-cut expectations to their highest level this year.
Yesterday’s feedback
- PPI headline -0.3% MoM (consensus 0.0%, 14-month largest decline). The forward-looking forecast correctly followed the direction of the sharp CPI drop, but the MoM decline was larger than expected.
· Market reaction: The violent +2.54% rebound in SOX on CPI failed to hold, and SOX -2.08% on the PPI fully reversed. The rate-cut tailwind went to the internet sector.
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; investment requires caution.
Key Events
· Thursday 07/16 Beijing time 20:30 | June retail sales + initial jobless claims + Philadelphia Fed manufacturing | Retail MoM +0.1–0.3%, initial claims about 220–230k | Impact: Extremely High
Key focus: Soft CPI and PPI (both) have pushed rate-cut expectations to their highest level this year.
Yesterday’s feedback
- PPI headline -0.3% MoM (consensus 0.0%, 14-month largest decline). The forward-looking forecast correctly followed the direction of the sharp CPI drop, but the MoM decline was larger than expected.
· Market reaction: The violent +2.54% rebound in SOX on CPI failed to hold, and SOX -2.08% on the PPI fully reversed. The rate-cut tailwind went to the internet sector.
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; investment requires caution.
· Thursday 07/16 Beijing time 20:30 | June retail sales + initial jobless claims + Philadelphia Fed manufacturing | Retail MoM +0.1–0.3%, initial claims about 220–230k | Impact: Extremely High
Key focus: Soft CPI and PPI (both) have pushed rate-cut expectations to their highest level this year.
Yesterday’s feedback
- PPI headline -0.3% MoM (consensus 0.0%, 14-month largest decline). The forward-looking forecast correctly followed the direction of the sharp CPI drop, but the MoM decline was larger than expected.
· Market reaction: The violent +2.54% rebound in SOX on CPI failed to hold, and SOX -2.08% on the PPI fully reversed. The rate-cut tailwind went to the internet sector.
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; investment requires caution.
anchornode
·
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Brothers, two things: tomorrow Changxin’s IPO and AI infrastructure.
Tomorrow Changxin’s IPO; New York State pauses approval for new ultra-large-scale data centers.
1/ Changxin Technology (688825.SH)
The issue price is RMB 8.66 per share. The initial number of shares issued is 6.688 billion shares. Changxin is very fixated on the numbers 6 and 8—smooth and favorable, and the qualified accounts, get your money ready to apply for the new shares.
On the first day, the tradable float is extremely small. Around 78% of the total new shares are locked (strategic placement 50% + off-exchange placing 70% restricted for 6 months). Supply and demand are wildly imbalanced.
For retail investors, T+1 has no price fluctuation limit (the first five days in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board) + a tradable float of 6.688 billion shares + the narrative density of the national memory chip champion.
Comparable reference: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on its Sci-Tech Innovation Board debut in 2020 + 202%, but back then SMIC’s tradable float was far larger than $CXMT.
2/ AI infrastructure
New York State pauses the construction of ultra-large-scale data centers, pausing approvals for new projects; projects already under construction are not affected. This also reflects that incremental capacity is being capped, so the value of existing capacity automatically rises.
Benefits go to existing-permit data center REITs, cloud providers with projects already under construction in New York, power utilities outside New York State, and small modular nuclear reactors (SMR).
This affects the capex-efficiency narrative for pure developers that rely on expanding into new plots, as well as cloud providers’ investment efficiency.
Near-term GPU demand is not affected; the long-term delivery timeline may be misaligned. NVDA’s orders won’t decrease because of this, but compute capacity goes online more slowly. Cloud providers’ depreciation cycle will be extended, and ROIC will worsen.
I think it’s neutral in the short term and slightly positive in the long term.
Wish everyone good luck applying for Changxin’s IPO—may you all get shares!
The above is my personal view and does not constitute investment advice.
Tomorrow Changxin’s IPO; New York State pauses approval for new ultra-large-scale data centers.
1/ Changxin Technology (688825.SH)
The issue price is RMB 8.66 per share. The initial number of shares issued is 6.688 billion shares. Changxin is very fixated on the numbers 6 and 8—smooth and favorable, and the qualified accounts, get your money ready to apply for the new shares.
On the first day, the tradable float is extremely small. Around 78% of the total new shares are locked (strategic placement 50% + off-exchange placing 70% restricted for 6 months). Supply and demand are wildly imbalanced.
For retail investors, T+1 has no price fluctuation limit (the first five days in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board) + a tradable float of 6.688 billion shares + the narrative density of the national memory chip champion.
Comparable reference: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on its Sci-Tech Innovation Board debut in 2020 + 202%, but back then SMIC’s tradable float was far larger than $CXMT.
2/ AI infrastructure
New York State pauses the construction of ultra-large-scale data centers, pausing approvals for new projects; projects already under construction are not affected. This also reflects that incremental capacity is being capped, so the value of existing capacity automatically rises.
Benefits go to existing-permit data center REITs, cloud providers with projects already under construction in New York, power utilities outside New York State, and small modular nuclear reactors (SMR).
This affects the capex-efficiency narrative for pure developers that rely on expanding into new plots, as well as cloud providers’ investment efficiency.
Near-term GPU demand is not affected; the long-term delivery timeline may be misaligned. NVDA’s orders won’t decrease because of this, but compute capacity goes online more slowly. Cloud providers’ depreciation cycle will be extended, and ROIC will worsen.
I think it’s neutral in the short term and slightly positive in the long term.
Wish everyone good luck applying for Changxin’s IPO—may you all get shares!
The above is my personal view and does not constitute investment advice.
Partly True
Brothers, two things: tomorrow Changxin’s IPO and AI infrastructure.
Tomorrow Changxin’s IPO; New York State pauses approval for new ultra-large-scale data centers.
1/ Changxin Technology (688825.SH)
The issue price is RMB 8.66 per share. The initial number of shares issued is 6.688 billion shares. Changxin is very fixated on the numbers 6 and 8—smooth and favorable, and the qualified accounts, get your money ready to apply for the new shares.
On the first day, the tradable float is extremely small. Around 78% of the total new shares are locked (strategic placement 50% + off-exchange placing 70% restricted for 6 months). Supply and demand are wildly imbalanced.
For retail investors, T+1 has no price fluctuation limit (the first five days in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board) + a tradable float of 6.688 billion shares + the narrative density of the national memory chip champion.
Comparable reference: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on its Sci-Tech Innovation Board debut in 2020 + 202%, but back then SMIC’s tradable float was far larger than $CXMT.
2/ AI infrastructure
New York State pauses the construction of ultra-large-scale data centers, pausing approvals for new projects; projects already under construction are not affected. This also reflects that incremental capacity is being capped, so the value of existing capacity automatically rises.
Benefits go to existing-permit data center REITs, cloud providers with projects already under construction in New York, power utilities outside New York State, and small modular nuclear reactors (SMR).
This affects the capex-efficiency narrative for pure developers that rely on expanding into new plots, as well as cloud providers’ investment efficiency.
Near-term GPU demand is not affected; the long-term delivery timeline may be misaligned. NVDA’s orders won’t decrease because of this, but compute capacity goes online more slowly. Cloud providers’ depreciation cycle will be extended, and ROIC will worsen.
I think it’s neutral in the short term and slightly positive in the long term.
Wish everyone good luck applying for Changxin’s IPO—may you all get shares!
The above is my personal view and does not constitute investment advice.
Tomorrow Changxin’s IPO; New York State pauses approval for new ultra-large-scale data centers.
1/ Changxin Technology (688825.SH)
The issue price is RMB 8.66 per share. The initial number of shares issued is 6.688 billion shares. Changxin is very fixated on the numbers 6 and 8—smooth and favorable, and the qualified accounts, get your money ready to apply for the new shares.
On the first day, the tradable float is extremely small. Around 78% of the total new shares are locked (strategic placement 50% + off-exchange placing 70% restricted for 6 months). Supply and demand are wildly imbalanced.
For retail investors, T+1 has no price fluctuation limit (the first five days in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board) + a tradable float of 6.688 billion shares + the narrative density of the national memory chip champion.
Comparable reference: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on its Sci-Tech Innovation Board debut in 2020 + 202%, but back then SMIC’s tradable float was far larger than $CXMT.
2/ AI infrastructure
New York State pauses the construction of ultra-large-scale data centers, pausing approvals for new projects; projects already under construction are not affected. This also reflects that incremental capacity is being capped, so the value of existing capacity automatically rises.
Benefits go to existing-permit data center REITs, cloud providers with projects already under construction in New York, power utilities outside New York State, and small modular nuclear reactors (SMR).
This affects the capex-efficiency narrative for pure developers that rely on expanding into new plots, as well as cloud providers’ investment efficiency.
Near-term GPU demand is not affected; the long-term delivery timeline may be misaligned. NVDA’s orders won’t decrease because of this, but compute capacity goes online more slowly. Cloud providers’ depreciation cycle will be extended, and ROIC will worsen.
I think it’s neutral in the short term and slightly positive in the long term.
Wish everyone good luck applying for Changxin’s IPO—may you all get shares!
The above is my personal view and does not constitute investment advice.
Verified
Today’s Key Events
· Thursday 07/09 | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims | Forecast: TBD | Impact: High
The first labor market data after Non-Farm Payrolls 57K; markets are extremely sensitive
---------------
Feedback on Yesterday’s Events
· FOMC June Meeting Minutes
· The minutes have been released. Divergence within the committee is clear: some members support pausing rate hikes, while some hawks insist on continuing to tighten. Concerns about inflation intensified at the June meeting
· After the release, the market further priced in Warsh’s previously unclear forward guidance style. Oil prices fell sharply on the day, down -3% due to new strikes by Iran +3%, while the Dow dropped -1.09%. Meanwhile, AI/semiconductors (SOX +2.23%, NVDA +3.65%) bucked the trend and became a safe-haven asset
---------------
Domestic Funds
Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF (Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF)
· Code: 588000
· On-exchange/Off-exchange: On-exchange ETF (can be traded via a stock account)
· Price: 2.145 RMB
· Fee rate: 0.50%
· Tracking index: STAR 50 Index
· Theme: Hard tech (semiconductors/AI/biomedical/advanced manufacturing)
· Risk warning: Overall A-share trading volume is shrinking; the STAR 50’s relative strength needs confirmation from subsequent volume
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky; invest with caution.
#美股超话 #交易笔记
· Thursday 07/09 | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims | Forecast: TBD | Impact: High
The first labor market data after Non-Farm Payrolls 57K; markets are extremely sensitive
---------------
Feedback on Yesterday’s Events
· FOMC June Meeting Minutes
· The minutes have been released. Divergence within the committee is clear: some members support pausing rate hikes, while some hawks insist on continuing to tighten. Concerns about inflation intensified at the June meeting
· After the release, the market further priced in Warsh’s previously unclear forward guidance style. Oil prices fell sharply on the day, down -3% due to new strikes by Iran +3%, while the Dow dropped -1.09%. Meanwhile, AI/semiconductors (SOX +2.23%, NVDA +3.65%) bucked the trend and became a safe-haven asset
---------------
Domestic Funds
Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF (Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF)
· Code: 588000
· On-exchange/Off-exchange: On-exchange ETF (can be traded via a stock account)
· Price: 2.145 RMB
· Fee rate: 0.50%
· Tracking index: STAR 50 Index
· Theme: Hard tech (semiconductors/AI/biomedical/advanced manufacturing)
· Risk warning: Overall A-share trading volume is shrinking; the STAR 50’s relative strength needs confirmation from subsequent volume
The above is personal trading notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky; invest with caution.
#美股超话 #交易笔记
Verified
This Week’s Key Events
This week is a shortened trading week after the Independence Day holiday (U.S. stock market closed on Friday, reopens normally on Monday):
Key Events:
July 6 (Monday):
- ISM Services PMI (June) | Impact: Very high. This is the first major macro data release after the big miss in nonfarm payrolls. Services account for 70%+ of U.S. GDP, and the market will use this to recalibrate recession/soft-landing probabilities.
- S&P Global Services PMI (final) | Impact: Medium
· Wednesday 07/08 | FOMC June meeting minutes + ADP employment | Impact: High (reveals internal disagreement among policymakers on the timing of rate cuts)
· Thursday 07/09 | Initial jobless claims + remarks by Fed officials | Impact: Medium (continues to validate the trend of labor market weakening)
Today: VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
· Price: $219.17 (close on 7/2)
· Expense ratio: 0.04% (very low)
· Number of holdings: 340
· Nvidia weight: 0% (no NVDA/semiconductors/highly valued tech)
· Coverage: Tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, spanning the full value spectrum across financials + healthcare + industrials + energy + consumer products
· Market: U.S. equities
· Theme: Value / defensiveness
Dividend Low-Volatility ETF (512890, Harvest/Huat'ai AMC CSI Dividend Low Volatility ETF)
· Ticker: 512890
· On-exchange / off-exchange: On-exchange ETF (can be traded in a stock account)
· Tracking index: CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index
· Theme: High dividend + low volatility / defensiveness
· Expense ratio: 0.50%
The above is for personal trading notes only and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; invest with caution.
This week is a shortened trading week after the Independence Day holiday (U.S. stock market closed on Friday, reopens normally on Monday):
Key Events:
July 6 (Monday):
- ISM Services PMI (June) | Impact: Very high. This is the first major macro data release after the big miss in nonfarm payrolls. Services account for 70%+ of U.S. GDP, and the market will use this to recalibrate recession/soft-landing probabilities.
- S&P Global Services PMI (final) | Impact: Medium
· Wednesday 07/08 | FOMC June meeting minutes + ADP employment | Impact: High (reveals internal disagreement among policymakers on the timing of rate cuts)
· Thursday 07/09 | Initial jobless claims + remarks by Fed officials | Impact: Medium (continues to validate the trend of labor market weakening)
Today: VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
· Price: $219.17 (close on 7/2)
· Expense ratio: 0.04% (very low)
· Number of holdings: 340
· Nvidia weight: 0% (no NVDA/semiconductors/highly valued tech)
· Coverage: Tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, spanning the full value spectrum across financials + healthcare + industrials + energy + consumer products
· Market: U.S. equities
· Theme: Value / defensiveness
Dividend Low-Volatility ETF (512890, Harvest/Huat'ai AMC CSI Dividend Low Volatility ETF)
· Ticker: 512890
· On-exchange / off-exchange: On-exchange ETF (can be traded in a stock account)
· Tracking index: CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index
· Theme: High dividend + low volatility / defensiveness
· Expense ratio: 0.50%
The above is for personal trading notes only and does not constitute any investment advice. Markets involve risk; invest with caution.
VTVETF-0.25%
NVDAUS+2.85%
Verified
Today is Independence Day market closure, with no remaining trading days.
Yesterday’s feedback
· Yesterday’s event: 7/2 Non-Farm Payrolls report (moved up to Thursday), expected +115K, actual +57K, a sharp miss; private sector only +49K, and the labor force participation rate fell to 61.5%
· Market reaction: Dow surged +1.14% to a new high
Nasdaq -0.80%, SOX -5.44%; semiconductors saw a continued deep sell-off. The 10Y yield rose only 1 bp to 4.485%.
Sector rotation direction
Broad defensive rally: Healthcare +2.63%, Utilities +2.21%, Consumer Staples +2.03%
Technology XLK -2.71% as capital fled from chips into essentially all non-tech assets
Key contradiction
VIX is only 16.15— the market shows no fear about a SOX breakdown
This is a dangerous signal: either a chip sell-off won’t spread, or VIX is severely mispriced
My view
Since it’s a Independence Day long weekend, on Monday’s open, watch three things: whether SOX can hold 12,350, whether the Dow can hold its all-time high (ATH), and whether the 10Y yield can break below 4.4%
The direction of the rate-cut trade is correct, but the timing uncertainty is extremely high.
Current strategy: control position size and observe, waiting for direction confirmation on Monday. DIA is the cleanest short-term expression of the rate-cut beneficiaries, and it won’t be dragged down by a chip crash.
Domestic fund recommendations
HuAn Gold ETF (HuAn YiFu Gold Exchange-Listed Open-End Fund)
· Ticker: 518880
· Exchange-listed / over-the-counter: exchange-listed ETF (can trade in a stock account, T+0 intraday rollover)
· Price: about 5.50 (needs intraday confirmation)
· Fee rate: 0.50%
· Tracking index: Shanghai Gold Exchange AU9999 spot gold price
· Theme: commodities / gold / hedging
· Technicals: international gold price support at $4,040; resistance at $4,200; AU9999 follows strength in overseas markets.
· Risk warning: if next week’s FOMC minutes are hawkish, gold prices may retrace 2–3% in the short term, and the ETF also carries additional uncertainty from RMB exchange rate fluctuations.
The above are personal trading notes and do not constitute any investment advice. Markets carry risk—invest cautiously.
#美股 #交易笔记
Yesterday’s feedback
· Yesterday’s event: 7/2 Non-Farm Payrolls report (moved up to Thursday), expected +115K, actual +57K, a sharp miss; private sector only +49K, and the labor force participation rate fell to 61.5%
· Market reaction: Dow surged +1.14% to a new high
Nasdaq -0.80%, SOX -5.44%; semiconductors saw a continued deep sell-off. The 10Y yield rose only 1 bp to 4.485%.
Sector rotation direction
Broad defensive rally: Healthcare +2.63%, Utilities +2.21%, Consumer Staples +2.03%
Technology XLK -2.71% as capital fled from chips into essentially all non-tech assets
Key contradiction
VIX is only 16.15— the market shows no fear about a SOX breakdown
This is a dangerous signal: either a chip sell-off won’t spread, or VIX is severely mispriced
My view
Since it’s a Independence Day long weekend, on Monday’s open, watch three things: whether SOX can hold 12,350, whether the Dow can hold its all-time high (ATH), and whether the 10Y yield can break below 4.4%
The direction of the rate-cut trade is correct, but the timing uncertainty is extremely high.
Current strategy: control position size and observe, waiting for direction confirmation on Monday. DIA is the cleanest short-term expression of the rate-cut beneficiaries, and it won’t be dragged down by a chip crash.
Domestic fund recommendations
HuAn Gold ETF (HuAn YiFu Gold Exchange-Listed Open-End Fund)
· Ticker: 518880
· Exchange-listed / over-the-counter: exchange-listed ETF (can trade in a stock account, T+0 intraday rollover)
· Price: about 5.50 (needs intraday confirmation)
· Fee rate: 0.50%
· Tracking index: Shanghai Gold Exchange AU9999 spot gold price
· Theme: commodities / gold / hedging
· Technicals: international gold price support at $4,040; resistance at $4,200; AU9999 follows strength in overseas markets.
· Risk warning: if next week’s FOMC minutes are hawkish, gold prices may retrace 2–3% in the short term, and the ETF also carries additional uncertainty from RMB exchange rate fluctuations.
The above are personal trading notes and do not constitute any investment advice. Markets carry risk—invest cautiously.
#美股 #交易笔记
You fear while I greed!
After the market crash, we cried in the trading pits. Now I rise up: when you fear, I get greedy. My fate lies in my hands, the skies can't take it away. This spirit can swallow mountains and seas, so I write this short piece to bolster my journey.
The Commandment of Destiny
While everyone fears, I get greedy, and a downpour of blood is just the right meal.
My fate is mine and not dictated by the charts, I’ll slice through the heavens with a single stroke.
After the market crash, we cried in the trading pits. Now I rise up: when you fear, I get greedy. My fate lies in my hands, the skies can't take it away. This spirit can swallow mountains and seas, so I write this short piece to bolster my journey.
The Commandment of Destiny
While everyone fears, I get greedy, and a downpour of blood is just the right meal.
My fate is mine and not dictated by the charts, I’ll slice through the heavens with a single stroke.
Partly True
Brothers, last night I thought we were being drained by Old Ma, then it hit me that the FOMC meeting was starting. A lot of capital is playing it safe, no need to open new positions just because of a momentary high; I don’t recommend any new entries before the FOMC, let's wait for the dust to settle.
Tonight is also Kevin Warsh's first rate decision.
This week's events
· Wednesday 06/17 | June FOMC rate decision + dot plot + SEP + press conference (Kevin Warsh’s debut) | Expectation: 85% chance to hold steady at 3.63%, 15% chance of a 25bp hike | Impact: Extremely high (the most important event of the year)
· Wednesday 06/17 | May retail sales | Expectation: +0.3% MoM | Impact: Very high (same day as FOMC, a beat would reinforce rate hike logic)
· Thursday 06/19 | Iran peace agreement signing day (expected) + Philly Fed manufacturing index + initial jobless claims | Expectation: official signing / +5.0 / 220K | Impact: Very high
With the FOMC meeting underway (06/16-17), the market is in a state of extreme complacency, and the rate hike risk hasn’t been fully priced in.
Now is the time when one move can trigger a chain reaction; we must be patient, hold our positions, and wait for the market to decide.
The above is my personal trading journal, not investment advice. The market carries risks; invest wisely.
Tonight is also Kevin Warsh's first rate decision.
This week's events
· Wednesday 06/17 | June FOMC rate decision + dot plot + SEP + press conference (Kevin Warsh’s debut) | Expectation: 85% chance to hold steady at 3.63%, 15% chance of a 25bp hike | Impact: Extremely high (the most important event of the year)
· Wednesday 06/17 | May retail sales | Expectation: +0.3% MoM | Impact: Very high (same day as FOMC, a beat would reinforce rate hike logic)
· Thursday 06/19 | Iran peace agreement signing day (expected) + Philly Fed manufacturing index + initial jobless claims | Expectation: official signing / +5.0 / 220K | Impact: Very high
With the FOMC meeting underway (06/16-17), the market is in a state of extreme complacency, and the rate hike risk hasn’t been fully priced in.
Now is the time when one move can trigger a chain reaction; we must be patient, hold our positions, and wait for the market to decide.
The above is my personal trading journal, not investment advice. The market carries risks; invest wisely.
Verified
The dude really draws lines with his mouth
Before the market opened, he said there would be severe strikes on Iran, then during the session, he said he canceled those actions.
Anyway, the Dow Jones violently surged over 900 points from its lows.
I’m starting to suspect he’s just here to pump it up and sell.
I’m still gonna wait for the FOMC meeting next week before deciding if I want to increase my position.
In the first quarter, he’s already made over 3600 trades.
Take a guess, how many trades do you think he’ll make in the second quarter!?
$XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR)
· Price: $183.21
· Change: +1.61%
· Fee: 0.09%
· Number of Holdings: About 65
· Top Three Holdings: AAPL (~22%), MSFT (~18%), NVDA (~5%)
· Sector: US Tech Market
· Holding Period Expectation: Short-term (until FOMC), VIX still over 19+
Position size controlled at 10-15% of total portfolio.
This is just my personal trading note and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risks, so invest cautiously.
Before the market opened, he said there would be severe strikes on Iran, then during the session, he said he canceled those actions.
Anyway, the Dow Jones violently surged over 900 points from its lows.
I’m starting to suspect he’s just here to pump it up and sell.
I’m still gonna wait for the FOMC meeting next week before deciding if I want to increase my position.
In the first quarter, he’s already made over 3600 trades.
Take a guess, how many trades do you think he’ll make in the second quarter!?
$XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR)
· Price: $183.21
· Change: +1.61%
· Fee: 0.09%
· Number of Holdings: About 65
· Top Three Holdings: AAPL (~22%), MSFT (~18%), NVDA (~5%)
· Sector: US Tech Market
· Holding Period Expectation: Short-term (until FOMC), VIX still over 19+
Position size controlled at 10-15% of total portfolio.
This is just my personal trading note and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risks, so invest cautiously.
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