Aria Daisy 阿莉娅_黛西

Thank you, brothers and sisters, for accompanying me. Tomorrow I can finally start singing on mic—welcome, everyone, to join me.

$NVDA.US
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$AAPLB


#USDTLaunchesOnZamaPrivacyProtocol

good morning🌞🌞 binance family👪
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Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ

$CL

Energy

Today the market is down, and the group chats are once again full of wailing and despair.

I want to say something that may not sound very pleasant: the people who keep shouting “It’s over,” “It’s a bear market,” every time there’s a big drop are destined to never make big money.

Why? Because all they see is short-term price fluctuations, not long-term logic. In the crypto world over the past ten-plus years—from BTC costing just a few dollars to now costing tens of thousands of dollars—how many times have there been major crashes in between? Over 90% drawdowns have happened multiple times, and every time someone says, “Bitcoin is dead.” What actually happens? People die off, not Bitcoin.

Of course, I’m not saying you can mindlessly buy the bottom right now. There really is uncertainty around regulation, and in the short term it could still fall, and worse news could still come out. No one knows where the bottom is, and I don’t either.

But I know one thing: every major crisis is a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips. When the FTX collapse happened in 2022, when we hit 312 in 2020, and during the bleakest part of the 2018 bear market—looking back now, it’s all golden pits. Back then, most people who were right in the middle of it were panic-selling and cutting losses; not many had the nerve to buy.

So at a time like this, don’t just be afraid.

If you have cash, start building your position in batches;

If you have coins, don’t cut blindly. As long as what you hold is major coins like BTC and ETH, you won’t “die.”

The market always hits the bottom in fear, rises in hesitation, and ends in frenzy.

In this stage, is it more like “panic” or “hesitation”?

Think about it yourself.

At 9 p.m. I’ll chat in the live room about how to position yourself during a falling market. No order-chasing—just sharing my thoughts. If you want to join, go to my profile page.

$BTC $ETH #BinanceSquare #行情分析📈 #投资思路

💥 With grit and determination, we reach the mountains and seas; with hard work, we earn glory. May the road ahead be smooth, and may all things be possible to look forward to.

#贝森特支持CLARITY法案终稿 #美联储加息是否已成定局

$NEX HIT 0.001 SOON INSHAALLAH

🚨 BTC ETF saw an inflow of $160 million, yet the next day it saw an outflow of $450 million.

This set of data is more worth watching than just “ETF money is back.”

On September 14, U.S. spot BTC ETFs had a net inflow of about $160 million.

But on September 15, it flipped directly the other way:

Net outflow of about $450 million.

This shows institutional money hasn’t formed a consistent direction right now.

Macro interest rates, regulatory expectations, and the BTC price are all changing rapidly, and Wall Street is constantly adjusting its positions.

So at this stage, what I care about isn’t:

How much ETF money comes in on a given day.

Instead, it’s:

Whether there can be a return of continuous net inflows next.

That $160 million in one day is a signal.

Only a few days of funds returning could truly change the trend.

And if BTC can still hold key levels despite the repeated inflows and outflows of ETF funds—

that’s the more important thing to watch.

👇 What do you think the next round of ETF flows will be:

Return again 🟢 / Continue retreating 🔴？

#BTC #ETH #BNB

🧧
Check in at dawn, stay happy, and good luck is on its way.

#BNB BTC$
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Every immortal has their own mountain,
and every bodhisattva has their own temple.
You must have your own place of practice.
This is a remedy of great value.
Good morning 🌻

Everything turns back in its own way; when we feel the aftertaste is bitter, please believe that everything will eventually become sweet.

Get notified to reply and collect red packets🎁🎁

In the early hours of September 16, Beijing time, the U.S. Senate delivered its result on a procedural vote regarding the “Clarity Act” for the digital assets market. The bill failed to clear the 60-vote threshold, so it cannot move on to the next stage of formal consideration. The highly anticipated crypto regulatory legislation—one that the industry had pinned great hopes on—has, for now, been stalled.

One point needs to be clarified: this time, the bill was not directly rejected. Instead, it failed at the procedural step required to advance. The bill remains on the congressional calendar, and in theory there is still a possibility of being brought back for reconsideration. However, given the pace of congressional proceedings, the likelihood of it being enacted again within 2026 has become extremely low.

What problem the bill was originally meant to address

The bill is widely seen as a landmark piece of legislation in the crypto industry. Its core goal is to clarify regulatory authority and responsibilities: to define the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and the CFTC; to lay out a federal-level compliance path for crypto exchanges and stablecoin projects; and to put an end to the long-standing situation where “regulation relies on enforcement actions and the rules are unclear.”

For a long time, the biggest pain point for the crypto industry has been vague and ambiguous rules. Institutional capital wants to enter the market but lacks a unified legal benchmark. Ordinary investors also face the risk of platform blowups and having no clear path to seek redress. Industry stakeholders from multiple sides have spent significant effort lobbying and negotiating, hoping that this bill could end the regulatory gray area.

Why it ultimately failed to clear the threshold

The bill was stalled due to irreconcilable disagreements between the two parties.

On the Democratic side, the view is that the existing version does not provide sufficient strength on consumer protection, anti-money laundering, and risk controls. They worry that the bill would give the industry overly relaxed space, sowing hidden financial risk vulnerabilities. Some Republican lawmakers, meanwhile, are concerned that expanding regulatory authority would raise compliance costs for businesses and dampen the innovative momentum of digital asset development.

Even though the legislative team revised the provisions multiple times and added patches such as interest-constraint measures for public officials, the core conflict still could not be bridged. In the end, the vote margin was clearly insufficient, and it failed to meet the Senate’s hard requirements to advance the bill.

🦋🦋Big News!🦋🦋

The butterfly power is rising—great news has arrived.
This coming Thursday, Butterfly Principal will take the stage on the Binance livestream,
openly supporting in person and waving the banner for Butterfly Life,
sharing a bold blueprint for a brighter transformation.

🦋🦋Butterfly Life｜Bstork Coin Equity-for-All Sector🦋🦋
Currently leading globally in the second place—aiming to top the world by this Friday!

The inclusive community is in full blast, and the ranks of shareholders keep growing.
The tide of the times surges forward—only by gathering as one can we ride the wind and break the waves.
Witness the rise of Butterfly Life—an excellent leap beyond expectations; we will give our all to reach the peak together!

🦋Butterfly Life: Break the cocoon and rise—head for the peak🦋

Butterfly—after lying in dormancy, only then can it spread its wings;
Business—after deep immersion and patience, only then does it reveal its grandeur.

Butterfly Life stands on a brand-new track built on equity-for-all in coin holdings.
Bstork Coin is rising strongly, firmly holding the position of No. 2 among global sectors,
while pushing with full force toward becoming No. 1 worldwide.

The inclusive community unites as one, continuously gathering golden, silver, and bronze shareholders,
solidifying countless shared understandings.
Breaking the cocoon is never accidental—it is the result of all partners fighting side by side.

With market waves surging and rolling, we meet challenges head-on with the resilience of the butterfly.
This time, the principal’s personal presence on the Binance livestream is not only a solemn confirmation of phased achievements,
but also the loud call of a new journey.

Witness the rise of Butterfly Life,
overcoming the constraints of the past,
heading toward the era of glory that belongs to you and me—
with all our effort, we will
set off to brilliance together.
🦋🦋🦋$BTC 🦋🦋$TRUMP 🦋$SOL
#蝴蝶人生🦋 #Flap🦋 🦋 #meme
#比特币下跌4% #美联储加息是否已成定局

A setback is not the end.
The road may be winding, but the light of hope is still ahead.
Don’t let today’s uncertainty wear down your confidence. Settle your mind, hold steady to your resolve, and wait for the right moment—our opportunity will surely arrive as promised 🌱