August core CPI came in at +0.3% MoM and markets have now priced in nearly 90% chance of a 25 bp hike this week. I personally expect the Fed to deliver that hike. Inflation is still sticky enough that they can’t afford to stay on hold but I don’t see this as the start of a long aggressive hiking cycle. More like a one-and-done or maybe two moves total to keep credibility. If the hike lands here’s how I see the reaction: BTC – short-term volatility and possible dip, but medium-term I stay bullish. Higher rates usually hurt risk assets initially yet Bitcoin has already priced in a lot of the hawkishness. Once the dust settles liquidity flows and ETF demand should support it again. Tech stocks – clearly bearish in the short run. Higher discount rates hit growth names hard. Nasdaq will feel the pressure. Gold – mixed to mildly bullish. Rate hikes are dollar-positive but any risk-off move or geopolitical noise can still push gold higher. My own plan: I’m holding my long-term BTC bag and adding on any sharp dips. No fresh long on tech until we see the reaction. Gold I keep as a small hedge. What do you guys think — one-and-done or the start of something bigger? Drop your view and share your trades. #FedRateWatch
- Current price: about $719 (equivalent to about RMB 4,836) - 24 hours: slight increase of about +0.51%; 24H range $717~$733.6 - 7 days: -2.80%; 30 days: +18.40% - Circulating market cap: about RMB 967.2 billion
Key points in the recent period
1. BNB is a platform token. Its price is heavily influenced by the Binance platform’s operations, regulatory news, and movements in the broader market, resulting in sharp volatility 2. Market news and regulatory policies can cause significant rises and falls at any time; the risks of futures trading are amplified by $BTC times
Twenty-one of the world's biggest banks just did something wild. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citi and others are teaming up to launch their own dollar-pegged stablecoin, targeting a first-half 2027 rollout. That's not a startup move, that's Wall Street admitting the rails have already changed. Meanwhile the market itself is stuck around $300B after pulling back over the summer, even as Treasury Secretary Bessent keeps talking up stablecoin issuers as future buyers of US government debt. Growth stalling right when that support would matter most is an odd look. Not every coin is riding the same wave either. RLUSD quietly became the third-fastest-growing stablecoin of 2026, adding over $1B in market cap this year and crossing $2.38B total. USDT still dominates growth in raw dollar terms, up $6.7B. On the flip side, USDe, Falcon's USDf and PayPal's PYUSD have all bled hundreds of millions. And on the regulated-in-Europe side, Quantoz's USDQ keeps expanding its exchange footprint under full MiCA compliance, fully backed 1:1 with reserves parked in Tier 1 banks. Boring by design, which in this market is kind of the point. Stablecoins aren't the sideshow anymore. They're becoming the actual plumbing.
This red packet is my small way of saying THANK YOU to my amazing community. 🙏 Keep supporting me, keep showing your love, and let’s continue this journey together. Your trust means everything! ❤️
Stay with me — more love, bigger red packets & better rewards are coming! 🚀💎
Today the market is down, and the group chats are once again full of wailing and despair.
I want to say something that may not sound very pleasant: the people who keep shouting “It’s over,” “It’s a bear market,” every time there’s a big drop are destined to never make big money.
Why? Because all they see is short-term price fluctuations, not long-term logic. In the crypto world over the past ten-plus years—from BTC costing just a few dollars to now costing tens of thousands of dollars—how many times have there been major crashes in between? Over 90% drawdowns have happened multiple times, and every time someone says, “Bitcoin is dead.” What actually happens? People die off, not Bitcoin.
Of course, I’m not saying you can mindlessly buy the bottom right now. There really is uncertainty around regulation, and in the short term it could still fall, and worse news could still come out. No one knows where the bottom is, and I don’t either.
But I know one thing: every major crisis is a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips. When the FTX collapse happened in 2022, when we hit 312 in 2020, and during the bleakest part of the 2018 bear market—looking back now, it’s all golden pits. Back then, most people who were right in the middle of it were panic-selling and cutting losses; not many had the nerve to buy.
So at a time like this, don’t just be afraid.
If you have cash, start building your position in batches;
If you have coins, don’t cut blindly. As long as what you hold is major coins like BTC and ETH, you won’t “die.”
The market always hits the bottom in fear, rises in hesitation, and ends in frenzy.
In this stage, is it more like “panic” or “hesitation”?
Think about it yourself.
At 9 p.m. I’ll chat in the live room about how to position yourself during a falling market. No order-chasing—just sharing my thoughts. If you want to join, go to my profile page.
🧧🎁🧧🎁🧧🎁 On September 17, the crypto industry saw multiple highly关注able sector updates and events. The core news mainly centered on regulatory roundtables, traditional financial giants entering the space, and industry summits, among other topics: 1. The U.S. SEC holds a 24-hour on-chain stock trading roundtable On September 17, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) hosted an important roundtable on “24-hour on-chain stock trading.” The meeting invited traditional financial giants such as BlackRock, Nasdaq, the New York Stock Exchange, and Robinhood, along with crypto industry participants and institutions. Key agenda: The meeting aims to discuss the rule framework for enabling U.S. equities to settle on-chain 24/7. Technology route competition: The market is currently focused on which blockchain—Ethereum or Solana—will take on the role of the primary underlying settlement infrastructure. Solana holds an advantage in terms of tokenized U.S. stock volume and low fees, while Ethereum is favored by traditional finance due to its deep institutional compliance foundation (such as BlackRock’s BUIDL fund). 2. The Fourth U.S. Crypto Banking, Compliance & Stablecoin Summit (CBC Summit USA) kicks off The 4th annual CBC Summit USA was held on September 17 at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C. Main focus: This summit brings together senior executives, regulators, and lawmakers across the industry. Key topics include crypto banking services, compliance frameworks, stablecoin development, and the deep integration of traditional finance with Web3. 3. Deeper cooperation between traditional industries and Web3 infrastructure Hyundai explores the Avalanche ecosystem: After successfully completing a pilot project, Hyundai is considering further expanding its related business and applications on the Avalanche (Avalanche Protocol) blockchain. Circle Arc mainnet goes live: Stablecoin issuer Circle’s Arc mainnet recently launched and has introduced support from payment giants such as Visa and Mastercard, injecting new momentum into the Web3 payments sector. Overall, the Web3 industry updates on September 17 show that traditional financial regulators and Wall Street capital are accelerating the process of bringing assets on-chain and strengthening compliance. Follow me—answer 1 will take away the $SOL red envelope. 🧧🎁🧧🎁🧧🎁
September 17|The Fed hikes rates again after three years, sparking a hawkish shock in the market
At the Fed FOMC meeting, all members voted in favor of a 25-basis-point rate hike. The target range for the federal funds rate has been raised to 3.75%‑4.00%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023.
The latest dot plot sends a clear signal: 16 officials believe there is a high probability of another rate hike within 2026. The median rate expectations for 2026 and 2027 remain at 4.1%.
After the meeting, Fed Chair Waller said the current U.S. economy and employment market are still very resilient, but the stubborn inflation problem has yet to be resolved. He noted that the committee has not yet seen convincing evidence that inflation is steadily moving back down toward the 2% target. He also said plainly that the key contradiction now is not economic growth, but persistently high inflation.
Regarding the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, Waller attributed it to three main factors: the strength of the U.S. economy, intensifying competition for capital, and geopolitical risk. While he did not directly comment on the U.S.-Iran conflict, he acknowledged that the geopolitical situation is reshaping economic assessments.
During the decision and press-conference phase, the market reaction was quite intense: spot gold briefly plunged by nearly $100; the U.S. dollar index surged by 40 points and climbed above the 100 level; the 2-year Treasury yield rose by 10 bps, and the 10-year yield increased by 5 bps, with equities across the board turning lower.
Rate-futures are being repriced: the market now expects a total of about 33 bps more rate hikes within 2026, up by 6 bps compared with before the decision. By next June, market pricing implies additional room for rate hikes totaling 75 bps, equivalent to three more 25-bp hikes.
#FedRateWatch – FOMC September: What’s the Fed’s Next Move? August core CPI came in at +0.3% month-over-month, and the market is now pricing almost a 90% chance of a 25 bp rate hike this week. In my view, the Fed will deliver that hike. Inflation is still sticky in services and shelter, and the labour market, while cooling, is not weak enough for the Fed to pause.
I don’t see this as the start of a long hiking cycle. One more 25 bp move looks more like a “final tightening” to show the Fed is still serious, rather than the beginning of a multi-meeting path higher. After this, the bar for further hikes will be very high unless inflation re-accelerates sharply. If the 25 bp hike lands:
BTC: Short-term mildly bearish (liquidity squeeze + risk-off sentiment), but the medium-term outlook remains constructive as long as we don’t get a series of hikes. I expect a quick dip-and-recover pattern.
Tech stocks: More sensitive to higher rates. Growth names could see pressure, especially high-multiple stocks.
Gold: Usually benefits from rate-hike uncertainty and any sign of economic slowdown, so I lean mildly bullish on gold in the days after the decision.
My plan: I’m keeping my core BTC position intact and will look to add on any sharp post-FOMC dip. For gold I’m already holding a small position and may scale in if we see a clean break higher. Tech stocks I’m staying light – no aggressive new longs until the rate path becomes clearer. What’s your view? Are you positioning for a one-and-done hike or bracing for more? Share your BTC / gold / tech trades below! #FedRateWatch
#cpiwatch Nonfarm payrolls just beat expectations again… and now everyone’s staring at the upcoming CPI print like it’s the final boss. 😅 Honestly, I’m leaning toward the Fed holding rates for now. The labor market is still solid but not overheating the way it was last year, and any surprise on the inflation side could still force them to stay cautious. A hike right after strong jobs data feels a bit aggressive unless CPI comes in really hot. Personally I’m slightly bullish on gold right now as a hedge, and I’ve been slowly adding to my BTC position on dips. Stocks look mixed — tech is still holding up but I’m not going all-in until we see how the Fed reacts. What’s your take? Hiking or holding? And are you more bullish or bearish heading into this CPI? #CPIWatch
I’ve been thinking about Dusk’s onchain price data a bit differently lately. Putting a price onchain sounds straightforward until I imagine a security that barely trades. If it moves once every few days which price actually represents the market? The last trade? A stale quote? An average? Or some reference value agreed by the system?
That matters because tokenization doesn’t automatically make the underlying asset more measurable. The chain can preserve a number very accurately but it can’t decide by itself whether that number still reflects reality. For a thinly traded security a single small transaction could look meaningful even when it tells us very little about what another buyer would actually pay.
I think this is where Dusk’s post-trade focus gets more interesting to me. The source material makes the point that the hard part is keeping records correct after trading including rights payments and compliance. But there’s another dependency sitting underneath those records: the inputs have to be trustworthy in the first place. If eligibility or valuation eventually depends on price data. bad inputs can stay perfectly recorded onchain.
I’d want to see how Dusk handles stale or disputed prices in practice. Who gets the final say when the market itself barely speaks?
#dusk $DUSK @Dusk Dusk’s approach feels genuinely refreshing in crypto.
On most chains, every transaction is fully public amounts, parties, everything. Institutions hate this. They need privacy, yet regulators still demand full audit trails. It’s a hard conflict.
Dusk solves it cleanly. Their system separates transaction truth from transaction disclosure Using zero-knowledge proofs, the network can verify that a transaction is valid, rules were followed, and balances check out without revealing the actual details.
Only authorized parties and regulators can see the real data. Everyone else just sees confirmation that it’s legitimate.
That’s why Dusk is becoming a serious contender for real-world assets and regulated finance. Privacy and compliance finally work together.
For institutions, this removes a major barrier. Public chains no longer feel like such a risk.
They’re quietly building something that actually solves a real problem. Worth watching.
I’ve started thinking about Dusk’s privacy model less as hiding transactions and more as controlling how information moves.
That distinction matters. On a public blockchain the problem isn’t only that data is visible. It’s that small pieces of visible information can be connected over time. A transaction an identity check, an asset transfer or a relationship between addresses can become part of a much larger picture.
What interests me about @Dusk is the idea that privacy can be designed around selective information flow instead. The goal isn’t necessarily to make everything invisible. It’s to let the network verify what actually needs to be verified without automatically exposing everything surrounding it.
That feels particularly important for regulated assets. Institutions may need to prove compliance, ownership, eligibility, or transaction validity, but that doesn’t mean every participant should receive the full underlying dataset.
The difficult part is getting the balance right. Too much transparency creates unnecessary exposure. Too much privacy can make verification and compliance harder.
For me, that’s where $DUSK becomes interesting. The real question isn’t simply whether a transaction is private. It’s who gets to learn what, when they learn it, and why that information is necessary.
That’s a much more useful way to think about blockchain privacy. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I think one of the biggest misconceptions in crypto is that ownership always has to be visible in order to be trusted.
When someone proves ownership on most blockchains they often reveal much more than necessary. Wallet activity asset holdings and transaction history can become part of a public record that anyone can analyze. Verification is achieved but privacy is sacrificed along the way.
What caught my attention about @Dusk is the different approach. The goal is not to hide ownership from those who need to verify it. The goal is to allow verification without turning every detail into public information.
That distinction becomes more interesting when thinking about regulated assets. Businesses and institutions may need to prove control satisfy compliance requirements and interact with financial infrastructure but they may not want every movement and position exposed to the entire network.
To me the future question is not whether ownership can be proven. Blockchain already solved that. The more important question is whether ownership can be proven while keeping unnecessary information private.
That is where the conversation around becomes interesting.