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橙子Joyce
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BullishWill the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?
After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.
Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.
Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.
This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.
As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.
If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)
If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.
Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.
One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.
Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ
$CL
Energy
After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.
Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.
Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.
This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.
As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.
If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)
If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.
Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.
One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.
Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ
$CL
Energy
慢就是快Mike
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$ZEC Trump publicly stated that he will respect any interest rate decision made by the Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh tomorrow at the FOMC meeting. However, he added a half-joking remark: if Warsh chooses to cut rates, he would “respect him even more.”
Nearly everyone in the market is betting that rate hikes are already a foregone conclusion. Therefore, the real focus has shifted from “whether there will be a rate hike” to Warsh’s policy remarks after the meeting: over the rest of this year, how many more times could the Federal Reserve still raise rates? Will he overall be more dovish or more hawkish? These are the key signals that will determine the direction of the markets afterward!
Nearly everyone in the market is betting that rate hikes are already a foregone conclusion. Therefore, the real focus has shifted from “whether there will be a rate hike” to Warsh’s policy remarks after the meeting: over the rest of this year, how many more times could the Federal Reserve still raise rates? Will he overall be more dovish or more hawkish? These are the key signals that will determine the direction of the markets afterward!
Ahmed Ali Nizamani
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Who is the CEO of Binance ?
Correct Answer = 🎁🎁🎁🎁
Correct Answer = 🎁🎁🎁🎁
阿婧1688
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Chase the wind and ride the waves, heading for the azure sea. Take the helm of a jet ski and race across the water’s surface—let the sea breeze brush through your hair, watch the splashing waves bloom at your side, cast your worries into the blue, and fully enjoy a free and passionate time.
橙子Joyce
·
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BullishWill the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?
After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.
Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.
Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.
This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.
As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.
If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)
If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.
Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.
One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.
Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ
$CL
Energy
After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.
Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.
Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.
This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.
As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.
If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)
If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.
Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.
One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.
Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ
$CL
Energy
生蚝哥Oyster
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Major news! The CLARITY Act’s procedural vote fails! U.S. crypto regulatory legislation falls short by 10 votes
September 16 | U.S. CLARITY crypto bill procedural vote fails, with industry hopes for near-term regulatory rollout dashed
In the late hours of September 15 (Beijing time in the early hours of September 16), the U.S. Senate held key procedural votes on the (Digital Assets Market Clarity Act) (the CLARITY Act). The purpose of this vote was to end debate and move the bill into formal consideration. Under Senate rules, the hard threshold for approval is 60 votes in favor.
The final vote outcome was set: 50 in favor, 49 against, and 1 absent. This was far below the 60-vote threshold, so the bill was stopped in its first round and could not enter the Senate’s review process in the near term. This failure does not completely reject the bill’s principles, but rather reflects a serious lack of bipartisan consensus—there was a full 10-vote gap. Legislative progress faces extremely strong resistance.
In the late hours of September 15 (Beijing time in the early hours of September 16), the U.S. Senate held key procedural votes on the (Digital Assets Market Clarity Act) (the CLARITY Act). The purpose of this vote was to end debate and move the bill into formal consideration. Under Senate rules, the hard threshold for approval is 60 votes in favor.
The final vote outcome was set: 50 in favor, 49 against, and 1 absent. This was far below the 60-vote threshold, so the bill was stopped in its first round and could not enter the Senate’s review process in the near term. This failure does not completely reject the bill’s principles, but rather reflects a serious lack of bipartisan consensus—there was a full 10-vote gap. Legislative progress faces extremely strong resistance.
蒋雅琪1368
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Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?
✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.
✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.
During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.
Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.
✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.
✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.
During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.
Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.
幸运雨Rain
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☀️🧧Morning light passes through the forest, and a new journey is officially underway 🌿
When traveling, it matters to proceed step by step—trading is the same 📊.
The market has its ups and downs; there’s no need to let a momentary rise or fall unsettle your mind 🕊️.
Stay sharp, hold your focus, and don’t blindly chase short-term fluctuations ✨.
Slowly deepen your understanding, make a plan, and patiently wait for your own opportunity 💎.
May fellow travelers move forward steadily and live up to the time 🌱
#美联储加息是否已成定局
#交易训练
#1688家族family
When traveling, it matters to proceed step by step—trading is the same 📊.
The market has its ups and downs; there’s no need to let a momentary rise or fall unsettle your mind 🕊️.
Stay sharp, hold your focus, and don’t blindly chase short-term fluctuations ✨.
Slowly deepen your understanding, make a plan, and patiently wait for your own opportunity 💎.
May fellow travelers move forward steadily and live up to the time 🌱
#美联储加息是否已成定局
#交易训练
#1688家族family
远方1688BNB
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You don’t have to live as a “standard answer”
Keep going seriously
That’s your own answer
#定投BTC #定投BNB
Keep going seriously
That’s your own answer
#定投BTC #定投BNB
心月势不可挡
·
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In the early hours of September 16, Beijing time, the U.S. Senate delivered its result on a procedural vote regarding the “Clarity Act” for the digital assets market. The bill failed to clear the 60-vote threshold, so it cannot move on to the next stage of formal consideration. The highly anticipated crypto regulatory legislation—one that the industry had pinned great hopes on—has, for now, been stalled.
One point needs to be clarified: this time, the bill was not directly rejected. Instead, it failed at the procedural step required to advance. The bill remains on the congressional calendar, and in theory there is still a possibility of being brought back for reconsideration. However, given the pace of congressional proceedings, the likelihood of it being enacted again within 2026 has become extremely low.
What problem the bill was originally meant to address
The bill is widely seen as a landmark piece of legislation in the crypto industry. Its core goal is to clarify regulatory authority and responsibilities: to define the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and the CFTC; to lay out a federal-level compliance path for crypto exchanges and stablecoin projects; and to put an end to the long-standing situation where “regulation relies on enforcement actions and the rules are unclear.”
For a long time, the biggest pain point for the crypto industry has been vague and ambiguous rules. Institutional capital wants to enter the market but lacks a unified legal benchmark. Ordinary investors also face the risk of platform blowups and having no clear path to seek redress. Industry stakeholders from multiple sides have spent significant effort lobbying and negotiating, hoping that this bill could end the regulatory gray area.
Why it ultimately failed to clear the threshold
The bill was stalled due to irreconcilable disagreements between the two parties.
On the Democratic side, the view is that the existing version does not provide sufficient strength on consumer protection, anti-money laundering, and risk controls. They worry that the bill would give the industry overly relaxed space, sowing hidden financial risk vulnerabilities. Some Republican lawmakers, meanwhile, are concerned that expanding regulatory authority would raise compliance costs for businesses and dampen the innovative momentum of digital asset development.
Even though the legislative team revised the provisions multiple times and added patches such as interest-constraint measures for public officials, the core conflict still could not be bridged. In the end, the vote margin was clearly insufficient, and it failed to meet the Senate’s hard requirements to advance the bill.
One point needs to be clarified: this time, the bill was not directly rejected. Instead, it failed at the procedural step required to advance. The bill remains on the congressional calendar, and in theory there is still a possibility of being brought back for reconsideration. However, given the pace of congressional proceedings, the likelihood of it being enacted again within 2026 has become extremely low.
What problem the bill was originally meant to address
The bill is widely seen as a landmark piece of legislation in the crypto industry. Its core goal is to clarify regulatory authority and responsibilities: to define the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and the CFTC; to lay out a federal-level compliance path for crypto exchanges and stablecoin projects; and to put an end to the long-standing situation where “regulation relies on enforcement actions and the rules are unclear.”
For a long time, the biggest pain point for the crypto industry has been vague and ambiguous rules. Institutional capital wants to enter the market but lacks a unified legal benchmark. Ordinary investors also face the risk of platform blowups and having no clear path to seek redress. Industry stakeholders from multiple sides have spent significant effort lobbying and negotiating, hoping that this bill could end the regulatory gray area.
Why it ultimately failed to clear the threshold
The bill was stalled due to irreconcilable disagreements between the two parties.
On the Democratic side, the view is that the existing version does not provide sufficient strength on consumer protection, anti-money laundering, and risk controls. They worry that the bill would give the industry overly relaxed space, sowing hidden financial risk vulnerabilities. Some Republican lawmakers, meanwhile, are concerned that expanding regulatory authority would raise compliance costs for businesses and dampen the innovative momentum of digital asset development.
Even though the legislative team revised the provisions multiple times and added patches such as interest-constraint measures for public officials, the core conflict still could not be bridged. In the end, the vote margin was clearly insufficient, and it failed to meet the Senate’s hard requirements to advance the bill.
蒋雅琪1368
·
--
Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?
✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.
✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.
During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.
Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.
✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.
✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.
During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.
Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.
Ahmed Ali Nizamani
·
--
Who is the CEO of Binance ?
Correct Answer = 🎁🎁🎁🎁
Correct Answer = 🎁🎁🎁🎁
币圈现货小旋风
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$ZEC $SOL Fellow folks, pay attention: early this morning, the U.S. Senate’s encrypted regulation bill hit a snag in the voting—it failed outright, with 49 in favor and 50 against. It missed the 60-vote threshold by a single breath, and was immediately stalled. After more than a year of back-and-forth and two postponements of the vote, it still couldn’t be enacted. As soon as the news broke, Bitcoin’s price dipped in the short term to around 75,000, and crypto-related stocks like Coinbase also fell across the board. 🚨
The core reason this time the bill got stuck is the ethics clause. The Democrats won’t accept the final proposal from the Republicans, and in the end neither side was willing to give an inch. The Republicans had already compromised on a number of points—adjusting officials’ holdings, stabilizing-coin circuit breakers, and protections for DeFi developers—but they still couldn’t win enough votes. 🚨
Many people think that if a bill doesn’t pass, regulation will completely loosen—don’t think that. The bill is only temporarily shelved, not permanently dead. Even if Congress can’t get legislation through, the SEC will still continue regulating the market under the existing rules. 🚨
The biggest impact of this incident is that market expectations cool off. Funds that had been betting on the bill’s passage are starting to withdraw. In the short term, price fluctuations will likely be amplified—don’t blindly try to bottom-fish. Going forward, keep an eye on whether both parties will restart negotiations, because news can trigger sudden surges and plunges at any time. Market risk is very high—everyone make sure to manage positions properly and control risk. 🚨#美联储加息是否已成定局 #以太坊跌破2400美元 #比特币跌至7.6万美元
The core reason this time the bill got stuck is the ethics clause. The Democrats won’t accept the final proposal from the Republicans, and in the end neither side was willing to give an inch. The Republicans had already compromised on a number of points—adjusting officials’ holdings, stabilizing-coin circuit breakers, and protections for DeFi developers—but they still couldn’t win enough votes. 🚨
Many people think that if a bill doesn’t pass, regulation will completely loosen—don’t think that. The bill is only temporarily shelved, not permanently dead. Even if Congress can’t get legislation through, the SEC will still continue regulating the market under the existing rules. 🚨
The biggest impact of this incident is that market expectations cool off. Funds that had been betting on the bill’s passage are starting to withdraw. In the short term, price fluctuations will likely be amplified—don’t blindly try to bottom-fish. Going forward, keep an eye on whether both parties will restart negotiations, because news can trigger sudden surges and plunges at any time. Market risk is very high—everyone make sure to manage positions properly and control risk. 🚨#美联储加息是否已成定局 #以太坊跌破2400美元 #比特币跌至7.6万美元
全球零撸达人
·
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The panic index is increasing, and the greed index is decreasing!
Market sentiment is emotional, and it is very important for the market!$BTC
Market sentiment is emotional, and it is very important for the market!$BTC
路人1688luren
·
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#美联储加息是否已成定局
$BTC Make a bold prediction. If the clear bill is not passed tonight, and then the Fed rate hike is implemented as well, things will get extremely hawkish—double bearish pressure! Bitcoin will fall straight back into the 60s. $ETH Will directly break below 2000! Bear market, start!
$BTC Make a bold prediction. If the clear bill is not passed tonight, and then the Fed rate hike is implemented as well, things will get extremely hawkish—double bearish pressure! Bitcoin will fall straight back into the 60s. $ETH Will directly break below 2000! Bear market, start!
慢就是快Mike
·
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$XAU Let’s review tonight’s proposed vote result for the “Clear Bill.” In the end, 49 votes were in favor, 50 against—out of 99 total voters.
Clearly, this outcome is not simply because it didn’t reach 60 votes. Ultimately, it ended in temporary failure. Evidently, the threshold for pushing the bill is still quite high, making it a tough challenge.
Currently, there are 53 seats for the Republican Party in the Senate, 45 for the Democrats, and 2 for independents. This means that if the Republicans fully back it, they could at least secure 53 support votes.
But the real outcome directly contradicts that. Not only did the Democrats oppose it, but the Republicans also were not fully united in support—4 Republicans voted against.
Now look at the chart. Before the vote results came out, the broader market had already started a sharp pullback, indicating that the main funds likely weren’t optimistic, or had already anticipated the result in advance. Right now, it’s best not to rush in early to buy the dip or short. Wait until tomorrow’s rate-hike results are released, and then enter based on the K-line trend—it’ll be better!
Clearly, this outcome is not simply because it didn’t reach 60 votes. Ultimately, it ended in temporary failure. Evidently, the threshold for pushing the bill is still quite high, making it a tough challenge.
Currently, there are 53 seats for the Republican Party in the Senate, 45 for the Democrats, and 2 for independents. This means that if the Republicans fully back it, they could at least secure 53 support votes.
But the real outcome directly contradicts that. Not only did the Democrats oppose it, but the Republicans also were not fully united in support—4 Republicans voted against.
Now look at the chart. Before the vote results came out, the broader market had already started a sharp pullback, indicating that the main funds likely weren’t optimistic, or had already anticipated the result in advance. Right now, it’s best not to rush in early to buy the dip or short. Wait until tomorrow’s rate-hike results are released, and then enter based on the K-line trend—it’ll be better!
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