周周1688

Crude Oil Rises—Why Is Gold Under Pressure Instead?

Recently, the market has been influenced at the same time by geopolitical risks, energy prices, and expectations for Federal Reserve policy.

At present, Brent crude is around $107, while WTI is around $105. Oil prices have remained at elevated levels. What the market is most worried about is not crude oil itself, but its impact on inflation expectations.

The logic is simple:

Oil prices rise → inflation pressure increases → the Fed’s room to cut rates is constrained → U.S. Treasury yields rise → gold comes under pressure.

So right now, gold is being pulled by two forces:

On one hand, safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical conditions supports gold;

On the other hand, higher oil prices boost inflation and rate-expectation pressures that suppress gold.

That’s also why you can’t simply understand it as:

“Geopolitical risk rises = gold must rise.”

In reality, gold’s short-term price action still depends on the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields.

Currently, the 10-year Treasury yield is already around 5%. If yields continue to move higher, gold’s short-term downside pressure could increase further.

Next, I will focus on three variables:

First, crude oil.

If oil prices keep rising quickly, inflation expectations may heat up further.

Second, Treasury yields.

If the 10-year yield keeps moving higher, gold may continue to be weighed down.

Third, the Federal Reserve.

Today’s FOMC rate decision is only the first step; more important is the policy guidance/signals after the meeting.

If the Fed releases more hawkish signals:

A stronger dollar and firmer yields → gold faces pressure.

If the policy statement is not as hawkish as the market expected:

Yields fall back → gold receives support.

So my view on gold now won’t be based solely on geopolitical news.

Crude oil determines inflation expectations, interest rates determine the cost of capital, and risk-off/safe-haven sentiment determines how much support is underneath gold.

Only when all three factors move at the same time is the key to understanding this round of the gold market.
$XAU

$CL

$BZ

The Fed hikes rates,
US stocks fall,
Treasury yields are still at high levels.
And somehow BTC still didn’t give the bears a clean knockout 😂
$75,000 gets dumped, then it turns right around and pokes back up to $76,000.
The more times the market is obvious enough for everyone to understand, the more likely surprises are.
Drop “888” in the comments; sis, send a few red packets to calm the nerves.
$BTC

You don’t have to live as a “standard answer”
Keep going seriously
That’s your own answer

#定投BTC #定投BNB

🚀 ETF Store CEO: The Crypto Future Isn’t Determined by a Single Bill!
The “Clarity Act” will affect market sentiment for crypto, but it isn’t the only variable that determines the industry’s future.
ETF Store CEO Nate Geraci says:
Even if the “Clarity Act” can’t secure enough votes this week to move forward, the crypto industry’s progress won’t come to a halt.
The reason is simple—
The pace of market innovation is always faster than the pace of regulatory legislation.
Under the Trump administration’s environment, the SEC and CFTC may still use existing regulatory authority to drive the digital asset industry forward.
The real force that will change the financial system comes not only from policy documents, but from:
✅ Institutional capital continuing to flow in
✅ The capital bridge created by BTC ETFs
✅ Upgrades to on-chain financial infrastructure
✅ AI × Web3 fusion and innovation
✅ The global trend toward digitizing assets
The “Clarity Act” is more like an “accelerator” — boosting market confidence and helping the industry develop more smoothly.
But Crypto’s big-picture trajectory won’t pause because of a single bill.
As traditional finance gradually embraces blockchain, the upgrade to the future financial system may already be quietly underway.
#比特币下跌4%
$BTC

$ETH

$BNB

🎁🎁
Watching others eat meat～#Zcash上涨6%

$ZEC

Are you on board?

It isn’t a flood of panic to raise interest rates, but it will change the price of capital and the ranking of assets.

In a low-interest-rate environment, many assets can be supported by liquidity; once rates rise, the market will evaluate profits, valuations, and risks more seriously. For investors, what truly matters isn’t predicting every rate hike, but assessing whether the interest-rate core will remain higher for the long term—and whether corporate earnings can absorb the increase in funding costs.

Spring, summer, autumn, and winter are full of worries over money; I roam everywhere in the four directions—east, south, west, and north. 🔥 I’ve tasted every kind of hardship in the coin world, just to never bow my head in front of people. 🔥 There is no way back in life—once the principal is gone, who can keep it? 🔥 Hoping the market will turn warm again, more take-profits and fewer worries. 🔥

$ETH is currently in a battle between bulls and bears at the crucial $2,400 threshold. In mid-September, under a dual squeeze—both the Fed’s interest-rate decision and competing capital flows—the market saw violent fluctuations. Sentiment is cautious, with investors waiting on the sidelines.
🧧🧧🧧
In the early hours of September 16, the price spiked (took a quick dip) to around $2,357 due to news, then rebounded. It is now stabilizing above $2,400, but the rebound has been weak; even the MA10 moving average has not been fully regained.
Since September, ETH has mostly been trading in the $2,387–$2,615 range. The main overhead pressure is concentrated around $2,410–$2,440. Support lies at $2,370–$2,335.
After breaking below the lower bound of the consolidation range dating back to August 22 on the daily chart, downside room has opened in the short term. The sharp drop is accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, showing a volume-expansion selloff pattern.

Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?

✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.

✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.

During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.

Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.

Combat power is still recovering. Number 12 clears number 11 alone—I'll be back to stream once I'm recovered, brothers. (ps: The estimated stream times are still the old schedule: 7 AM, 3 PM for event contracts, and 10 PM for perpetual contracts.)

$LTC I don’t care whether you raise rates or whatever—if the bulls are coming, then whatever bad news there is won’t matter. Just do it, brothers—more of it!

🌤️Hike through mountains and wilds, settle within, and gaze far outward⛰️

Climbing is never accomplished overnight, and trading is also a long journey of cultivation📊.
There are steep slopes along the way, and the market can be volatile—so there’s no need to fear temporary detours🕊️.
Steady your breathing, hold fast to your own pace, and refuse to be dragged around by short-term fluctuations✨.
Only by enduring the tests of the journey can you earn the unique vastness of the mountaintop💎.

To those traveling the same path—move forward steadily, and you will find your own scenery🌿

#交易心理

#美联储加息是否已成定局

#1688家族family

🚨 BTC ETF saw an inflow of $160 million, yet the next day it saw an outflow of $450 million.

This set of data is more worth watching than just “ETF money is back.”

On September 14, U.S. spot BTC ETFs had a net inflow of about $160 million.

But on September 15, it flipped directly the other way:

Net outflow of about $450 million.

This shows institutional money hasn’t formed a consistent direction right now.

Macro interest rates, regulatory expectations, and the BTC price are all changing rapidly, and Wall Street is constantly adjusting its positions.

So at this stage, what I care about isn’t:

How much ETF money comes in on a given day.

Instead, it’s:

Whether there can be a return of continuous net inflows next.

That $160 million in one day is a signal.

Only a few days of funds returning could truly change the trend.

And if BTC can still hold key levels despite the repeated inflows and outflows of ETF funds—

that’s the more important thing to watch.

👇 What do you think the next round of ETF flows will be:

Return again 🟢 / Continue retreating 🔴？

#BTC #ETH #BNB

Solve this For 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁

The interest rate has been raised. On 2026-09-16, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point (0.25%) rate increase, raising the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. The resolution was approved 12:0. The official statement emphasized that inflation is still too high—this is the first rate hike since 2023. (federalreserve.gov)
 
For the crypto market, rate hikes typically put pressure on high-volatility risk assets through higher risk-free rates and expectations for the dollar and liquidity. However, the immediate market reaction also depends on whether the market had already fully priced in the move, as well as subsequent policy guidance and inflation data.

Are you really suited to make a living by trading?
Serial [5]

⑤ Only after you solve the first four questions will you truly stand at the starting line of trading

Pay attention.

What I covered earlier—

income sources, daily routine, time you can trade, trading instruments, your personal character, your trading style…

All of it is just to help you reach: the starting line.

Not the finish line.

Only after you’ve truly reached the starting line do you begin the part everyone is most familiar with:

learning.

And not learning one or two indicators;

not stopping once you know what support and resistance are.

You must first gain broad understanding of:

Scalping—very short-term trading / scalp trading: frequent trades within a very short time (seconds to minutes) to profit from small price fluctuations
Day Trading: opening and closing positions on the same day, without holding overnight
Swing Trading: capturing market swings over several days to a few weeks, aiming to profit from swing trends
Trend Following: trading in line with the market’s main direction—for example, going long in an uptrend and short in a downtrend
Breakout Trading: entering the market when price breaks through a key resistance or support level
Mean Reversion: trading that assumes when price deviates from normal levels, it will return to the average value, seeking opportunities from that
Technical Analysis: analyzing the market through candlesticks, indicators, volume, and price structure
Fundamental Analysis: studying a project’s value—such as the team, economic data, industry development, and more
Macro: macroeconomic analysis studying how the global economic environment (interest rates, inflation, the US dollar, policies, etc.) affects the market
Risk Management: controlling trading risk, including stop-losses, position sizes, and capital protection
Position Sizing: position management—deciding how much capital to risk or allocate to each trade based on your account size and risk
Trading Psychology: managing emotions, discipline, and execution ability to prevent fear and greed from affecting your trading

Then test them one by one.

You must personally know:

what suits you.
what doesn’t suit you.

This is not something others can tell you directly.

If you’re interested in trading, feel free to leave a comment in the comment section or join the chat room to exchange ideas—learn together and grow together!
#美联储加息25基点美股收跌

Last night, the FOMC announcement was delivered, and the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps as expected.
So what did everyone buy today? 👀

【For the First Time in Three Years, the Fed Raises Rates】The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, lifting the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%. This is the first rate hike since July 2023 and is in line with market expectations!

The Fed raised rates to drive inflation to fall “more timely,” signaling it will further tighten policy. On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve Board (the Fed) raised the target range for the key interest rate to 3.75%-4.00% and hinted that it would further increase borrowing costs in the coming months. Fed Chair Waller supported the rate-hike decision passed unanimously, which effectively acknowledges that the Trump administration so far has failed to control inflation. Waller said that among the many factors pushing up Treasury yields, it does not include the market losing confidence in the Fed’s ability to contain inflation; higher borrowing costs stem from strong economic performance and a surge in capital expenditures, which intensify competition for capital. The Fed’s quarterly projections show that policymakers expect one more rate hike this year and expect rates to remain unchanged in 2027. At the same time, policymakers also raised their near-term inflation expectations and their forecast for economic growth this year.

U.S. President Trump said that U.S. interest rates should be at 1% or lower and should be cut quickly. However, he said that even after the Fed’s decision to raise rates, he still has confidence in Waller.
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I remain firmly committed to buying the stocks of the industry’s leading companies: Nvidia, and SpaceX, and Tesla.

$SPCX.US

$NVDA.US

$TSLA.US