Forget the headline. Here’s the simple framework I use to read stablecoin liquidity without chasing candles.

1. Supply: Is stablecoin market cap expanding or shrinking?
2. Flow: Are stablecoins moving onto exchanges or into DeFi?
3. Deployment: Is that liquidity actually being used?

My thesis is simple: rising supply + fresh inflows + real deployment is stronger than supply growth alone.

What invalidates it? Supply rises while exchange/DeFi activity weakens, or liquidity exits quickly.

Research first. Trade later.

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