#CryptoTrading. #technicalanalyst #Signal🚥. 📊 Technical analysis $ARC /USDT — 15min/1h timeframe
Current price ≈ 0.08228 USDT
+45.08% strong parabolic pump from ~0.045–0.06 lows, explosive breakout, now pulling back slightly after hitting ~0.0848 high.
Price action & Bollinger Bands:
Price near upper BB (UP ~0.08746, MB ~0.07445 support, DN ~0.06114). Bands massively expanded on volatility spike, price hugging upper band with red candles — classic overextension after parabolic move, short-term pullback/consolidation very likely.
Volumes:
Current ~45M, MA(5) ~196M, MA(10) ~215M — enormous surge on green pump candles, still high; watch for fade on red.
Key indicators:
• MACD: Positive (DIF 0.006678, DEA 0.006658, MACD 0.000020), histogram bullish but very flat — momentum stalling near peak.
• RSI(6/12/24): 82.23 / 85.57 / 84.28 — deeply overbought, severe exhaustion signals after sharp rise.
Extreme pump with insane volume/momentum, but RSI >82 + upper BB hug + flat MACD point to sharp short-term correction.
🟢 Long (very high risk)
Entry: 0.080–0.082 (dip to current or lower)
TP1: 0.085–0.087
TP2: 0.090+
SL: 0.078–0.079
R/R: ~1:3+
Comment: Only if holds momentum + volume bounce. Extremely risky at peaks.
🔴 Short (moderate-high risk)
Entry: 0.083–0.085 (fade upper BB)
TP1: 0.080–0.078
TP2: 0.074–0.070
SL: 0.088+
R/R: ~1:3+
Comment: Preferred on rejection + RSI drop + volume fade. Fits exhaustion perfectly.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now
Sharp short-term pullback/consolidation to MB (~0.0745) or at least 0.078–0.080 due to extreme overbought RSI + overextension. Continuation higher only with fresh massive volume surge, but correction has much higher probability now. Shorts have clear edge on exhaustion; longs very risky until reset. Extreme vol — tight risk mandatory, monitor RSI/volume/MACD closely.