美联储利率决议即将公布

#美联储利率决议即将公布
Brothers, something big is coming tonight!
The U.S. employment data for November is being released, and a rate cut is almost a certainty!

Key time points to note:
20:30 → November Challenger Job Cuts
21:30 → Initial Jobless Claims (expected 220,000, previous value 215,000)
23:00 → Factory Orders + Global Supply Chain Pressure Index Now the entire market is going crazy:

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December on Polymarket has surged to 94%!
Almost no one believes there won't be a cut; the only uncertainty is—will tonight's data be a “direct takeoff” or “a slight pullback before taking off”?

In simple terms: Better than expected data → Slight cooling of rate cut expectations, short-term may see a slight pullback Data meets or slightly misses expectations → Rate cuts completely locked in!

#美联储利率决议即将公布 Tonight's Big Event! The US is about to release employment data, and the interest rate cut probability has skyrocketed to 94%?

Family, tonight the US stock market and cryptocurrency market may be about to "make a big deal"!

On the evening of December 4th, the US is set to release a bunch of economic data: at 20:30, the number of layoffs in November will be released, at 21:30 we will look at the initial jobless claims (expected to be 220,000), and at 23:00, there will be more indicators on supply chain pressures and factory orders.

But right now, the market is not worried about the data at all—Polymarket shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December has already reached 94%! This is practically cementing the expectation of a "rate cut".

What impact will this have on the market we care about?
If the rate is really cut, tech stocks and growth stocks will likely soar (after all, lower interest rates make borrowing money for stocks more cost-effective), while those high-dividend "stable stocks" might be abandoned by funds; even if tonight's employment data is stronger than expected, the market will probably stubbornly say: "This is the last strong data, it will definitely cool down later," and the pullback may not be deep.

The cryptocurrency market is more direct; Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other "high-risk toys" are hoping for more liquidity from the US dollar—once the rate cut comes, money will flow into risk assets, and cryptocurrency prices will likely jump up; even if the data comes in weak and shakes the rate cut expectations, after the drop, it will probably still rise back following the easing trend.

Now we are just waiting for tonight's data to "check the goods": weak data will directly hammer down the rate cut; strong data will at most splash a little water.

What do you think, is tonight's move an "early reveal" or a "reverse explosion"? Place your bets in the comments! #加密市场观察

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on December 10, 202#美联储利率决议即将公布 is a key variable affecting the short-term trend of Bitcoin, and its impact depends on the implementation of interest rate cuts, the tone of policy statements, and future guidance on interest rate paths. Different scenarios will bring differentiated market reactions. The specific impacts are as follows:

1. If the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points as expected and a dovish signal is released: If the rate cut is based on a decline in inflation and stability in the labor market, and the dot plot suggests continuing rate cuts in 2026, Bitcoin may rise by 10%-15% within a week, hitting the range of $95,000 to $100,000, and may even aim for $120,000. Loose liquidity will reduce the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin while boosting institutional investors' risk appetite, driving funds into the crypto market.
2. If there is no change but a future rate cut signal is released: This "dovish wait-and-see" state will allow Bitcoin to rebound moderately, but the increase will be limited, likely oscillating around $85,000, with specific trends depending on the clarity of future rate cut guidance.
3. If the rate cut is delayed or a hawkish signal is released: If the Federal Reserve delays the rate cut due to sticky inflation, Bitcoin will face selling pressure, potentially dropping to $80,000 or even $75,000, and may enter a prolonged consolidation phase. The market's expectations for loose policies will be disappointed, triggering high-leverage long positions to liquidate, exacerbating the price decline.

Epic market warning in the cryptocurrency circle! 87.4% interest rate cut probability ignites a liquidity frenzy🚀

CME Federal Reserve observation data explodes! The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 87.4%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is only 12.6%; the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 67.5%, and there is even a 23.2% chance of a direct 50 basis point rate cut, with easing signals fully raised!

Powell shifts to dovish + New York Fed President Williams supports easing, the Fed's policy shift has become a foregone conclusion! The implementation of the rate cut will release massive market liquidity, and history has repeatedly verified that during easing cycles, risk assets are bound to experience explosive growth! Currently, Bitcoin ETF funds continue to see net inflows, leverage risks are fully released, BTC is leading the rise, with funds and sentiment in place, a new round of bull market in the cryptocurrency circle is just around the corner!

Now the core suspense is left with "how much to cut, how fast to cut", the trend dividend window has opened! If you are afraid of missing out, being disturbed by market noise, or want to accurately grasp the timing of entry, feel free to join the chat room to analyze the market in real-time with a professional team and lock in profit opportunities!#Cryptocurrency Market Observation #特朗普加密新政 #美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC $ETH $SOL

The Federal Reserve suddenly hit the brakes, and this is quite interesting.
Starting from December 1st, they officially paused the balance sheet reduction. That 'money printing machine' that was running at full throttle during the pandemic has dramatically pulled water from the pool for years, and now it's saying stop.

Many people haven't reacted yet: what does this mean?
In fact, the timing is very subtle. Inflation is still hanging above 3%, but economic growth has visibly weakened, and the job market isn't as hot.

The Federal Reserve is now a bit like walking a tightrope - if they continue to tighten, they're afraid of directly stalling the economy; if they don't tighten, they're worried inflation won't be contained. In a dilemma, stopping to take a look is also a way forward.

But there is a more tangible pressure behind it: fiscal.
A few years ago, the Federal Reserve was buying a lot of government bonds, essentially helping the government digest its deficit. Now, if they continue to sell off on a large scale, pulling government bond yields too high, the government's borrowing costs will become unbearable.

So pausing the balance sheet reduction is, to some extent, also giving fiscal a breather. Monetary and fiscal policy have always been tied together.

For our market, this is definitely a short-term positive.
The most tense moment of liquidity may have passed, and risk assets will catch their breath. But don't celebrate too early - the balance sheet size is still nearly two trillion higher than before the pandemic, and there's not much less money. In this environment, the market is more likely to differentiate: the strong get stronger, and the weak get weaker.

There's also a detail worth pondering: some key economic data from the U.S. in October have been delayed for various reasons.

Now it just happens to coincide with the policy 'quiet period,' where the market lacks direction, and emotions can easily become chaotic. Recently, the cryptocurrency and stock markets have been fluctuating wildly, which is mostly related to this.

So what does this step really mean?
My understanding is that the Federal Reserve has already sensed the signs of economic downturn and is beginning to make preparations in advance.

As for whether a new round of easing will really come, it still depends on the inflation and employment data in the coming months. But at least, that hardline stance of 'raising interest rates at all costs' has quietly changed.

The market always reacts before policy does. Going forward, funds will choose their destinations more wisely. If you are also looking for direction, it might be worth stopping to see where the wind and money are blowing. #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储暂停缩表

📣📣📣The important thing about interest rate cuts is worth saying three times❗️❗️❗️

🤔What are your thoughts? Brothers

Currently, the market has strong expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December. CME's "FedWatch" data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December has risen to 86.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 13.1%. The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting from December 9 to 10, and institutions such as JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs predict a 25 basis point cut in December, with some institutions also expecting another 25 basis point cut in January next year. However, there are internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding the rate cut in December, and delayed economic data may affect the decision, making the rate cut not entirely certain.
#美联储利率决议即将公布

#美联储利率决议即将公布 #市场调整後的机会？ $BTC

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at three o'clock tomorrow morning, so there was another drop today. Be careful of a double kill for both bulls and bears tonight. Everyone stay calm; I haven't sold my spot yet. ETH has broken 4100. To be honest, it could be sold, but I just want to hold on a bit longer. Anyway, whether I lose a bit or gain a bit isn't very important. Mainly, I want to take a guess at the peak and enjoy it! If I guess right, I will be happy for many days. If I guess wrong, it’s just a loss of a few dozen dollars, which is a small issue!

I have always emphasized that apt, wif, sui, ordi, sol, and pepe should enter the market quickly.

Why don’t you listen?

Now you have missed the opportunity.

I have said more than once that a pullback is an opportunity to enter the market.

Cherish every opportunity to fall.

#美联储降息周期 #美联储利率决议即将公布

The President Pressures the Federal Reserve! New Chair Takes Office in December, Cryptocurrency is Going Crazy
Financial market tremors often begin with politicians' tweets, and this time Trump's unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve can be described as the most magical reality script of 2025!"

Attention all crypto enthusiasts, this drama of "the President's surprise attack on the Federal Reserve" is more thrilling than any candlestick chart. Trump's late-night visit is like dropping a nuclear bomb on the global capital markets. The Federal Reserve is the "stabilizing force" of the American economy, and the President personally applying pressure is more intense than when he fired the FBI director years ago!

Let's not forget Trump's "track record": in 2018, he repeatedly blasted the Federal Reserve for raising interest rates on Twitter, causing Bitcoin to soar 80% that year; in 2019, he even considered demoting Powell. Now, history is repeating itself, but this time he's playing even harder, directly bringing a list of successors to apply pressure. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has already stated that a new chairperson will be announced in December, which is clearly an ultimatum for Powell.

Here's a key detail: Trump demands that Powell cut interest rates by 3%! What does this mean? The current Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate is 4.5%, and if it is directly cut to 1.5%, the global capital markets are likely to undergo a massive upheaval. More magical is that after cursing Powell for his "poor job", he then said, "Anyway, he's leaving soon", making it clear that this maneuver is an open political intervention.

For us in the crypto space, this grand drama hides three fatal opportunities:
If the Federal Reserve is really forced to cut rates significantly, Bitcoin as "digital gold" might usher in a new round of surges; political intervention expectations could ignite market sentiment ahead of time; laying out altcoins now could reap policy dividends; and keep an eye on December's new chairperson candidates—if it's one of Trump's trusted allies, the crypto market could welcome a regulatory dividend period next year.

Lastly, to be frank: Trump's actions are essentially leveraging political power to manipulate economic laws. Just like he used Twitter to control oil prices back in the day, now he’s directly "guiding" the Federal Reserve. This unconventional approach is exactly the variable that crypto investors should focus on.

Currently, the market is tumultuous; walking alone is lonely,
Follow me for daily spot potential layouts and bullish market strategies.

#美联储利率决议即将公布

#BTC下跌分析 0394669634#Arethere still those who are stubborn? 😁

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#美联储
#美联储利率决议即将公布

Today, we have repeatedly emphasized in our community: do not panic! Enter around 3800, with a stop-loss set at 3780, and we have already exited half to secure the principal. Although we are currently shorting, we emphasized last night that a breakthrough at 4020 means directly entering a short position to target around 3830. Exited this morning. Panic leads to losses! #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #比特币冲向11万？ #市场全线看牛？ Focus on Ethereum! You might as well click to follow!

The weekly closing price tomorrow morning is $BTC , still hovering around 6w
I think the main force also wants to wait for the Fed's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. on the 19th, Beijing time, next Thursday.

I have waited too long for this rate cut.

The market expects a 25BP rate cut, but if the Fed cuts 50BP directly, what will happen?

Let's wait and see

#美联储利率决议即将公布

Fundamental Analysis:

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision Outlook: The market predicts a 99% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting, and an 82.4% probability that current interest rates will be maintained in May.

EOS Brand Upgrade: EOS officially announced that it will change its name to Vaulta at the end of May, shifting its business focus to the Web3 banking sector. As a result of this positive news, EOS rose over 30% on the same day.

Sun's Huge Staking: Sun Yuchen staked 100 million US dollars worth of Ethereum, which, based on current calculations, yields an annual income of approximately 3 million US dollars.

Market Review: Yesterday's market trends largely met expectations—Bitcoin dipped to around 811 US dollars in the evening before stabilizing and rebounding; Ethereum stopped falling at 1872 US dollars and provided support at 1950 US dollars in the morning. Meanwhile, a long position in ETH was taken at 1875 US dollars yesterday, and closed early at 1940 US dollars, achieving a precise low buy and high sell.

#美联储利率决议即将公布

👉Given the current tariffs imposed by the United States on China have already plunged bilateral trade into a commercial dilemma, any additional tariff increase will lose its practical significance.

From a business perspective, the current tariffs imposed by the United States on Chinese goods have reached a critical point, and further tariff increases will no longer have a substantial impact.

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#美国加征关税 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布

"Direction is expensive, faith is more expensive"
Approaching #美联储利率决议即将公布 , market sentiment is tense, the battle between bulls and bears intensifies. Increased volatility and frequent false breakouts, is it the main force's layout or a test of sentiment? Is #FOMC‬⁩ a turning point, or a trap? Advance betting or wait for the shoe to drop? This is not a market, it's a faith gamble.

In this Bitcoin bull run, any 20-23% correction is a gift. #美联储利率决议即将公布