Delivering beyond expectations pushes
$TSLA up more than 5%, yet the MACD histogram is still below the zero line—price runs ahead first, but momentum hasn’t caught up.
Cash market for about 1 hour: current price 373.67 (vs. previous close 354.11, +5.5%), intraday range 359.41–374.36, opening around 360. Q3 deliveries 486,532 units—clearly above the consensus expectation of about 457,000–462,000; production 464,391 was actually below expectations, and inventory is being cleared out. Energy deployments: 13.7 GWh.
Keltner Channel (EMA20, ATR20×1.5): midline 363.1 / upper band 382.4 / lower band 343.9. Price position is about 0.77—still within the channel and not yet breaking through the upper band. EMA12/26/50 = 364.2/362.1/361.6; it has just closed into a bullish alignment, with the 12–26 spread at +2.1. MACD (12,26,9) histogram: -1.30, narrowed from yesterday’s -2.43, but still negative—an actual golden cross hasn’t materialized yet. RSI(14) rose from about 45.6 yesterday to 56.4, but it’s only back to the mid-range.
Structurally, the LH downtrend after the 9/29 low at 352.84 was interrupted today by a spike above the 9/25 high at 372.11. If the rebound fails and loses the 354–353 area, this leg is essentially invalidated. The upper side to watch first is the day high at 374.4; only further out does it reach the Keltner upper band at 382.
The delivery numbers are hot, while the momentum signal is lukewarm—whether this is a brief relay after good news is priced in, or an overshoot that gets all the information digested in one go, both narratives can fit the picture right now.
#美股 #TSLA #technical analysis