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Bit Gurly
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Verified
The jobs data just changed the Fed conversation fast. After the U.S. recorded one of its largest monthly job losses since 2020, markets are now leaning much more toward ‘no rate change in September, while expectations for another hike have dropped sharply. That matters because the pressure on the Fed is starting to shift. Until now, inflation was the main concern. If labor weakness continues, protecting growth and employment becomes harder to ignore. For $BTC and risk assets, fewer expected hikes remove one major macro headwind. But I’m watching the next jobs and inflation prints closely. One weak report can change expectations. A trend can change Fed policy. {future}(BTCUSDT) #fed #BrentClimbs3.8%To$82.49
The jobs data just changed the Fed conversation fast.

After the U.S. recorded one of its largest monthly job losses since 2020, markets are now leaning much more toward ‘no rate change in September, while expectations for another hike have dropped sharply.

That matters because the pressure on the Fed is starting to shift.

Until now, inflation was the main concern. If labor weakness continues, protecting growth and employment becomes harder to ignore.

For $BTC and risk assets, fewer expected hikes remove one major macro headwind.

But I’m watching the next jobs and inflation prints closely.

One weak report can change expectations.

A trend can change Fed policy.

#fed #BrentClimbs3.8%To$82.49
Partly True
🚩THIS ALMOST NEVER HAPPENS 🚨🤯 Fed Vice Chair is speaking… on a SATURDAY. 12:45 PM ET today. She will talk about Inflation. Interest rates. The entire economy. When the Fed breaks the rules and talks on weekends, markets usually explode. Crypto can get extremely volatile today Are you ready? Comment your bias right now Bullish after the speech? Bearish after the speech Let’s see who’s actually prepared. #Binance #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Trading $BTC $SOL $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
🚩THIS ALMOST NEVER HAPPENS 🚨🤯

Fed Vice Chair is speaking… on a SATURDAY.
12:45 PM ET today.
She will talk about Inflation. Interest rates. The entire economy.

When the Fed breaks the rules and talks on weekends, markets usually explode.

Crypto can get extremely volatile today

Are you ready?
Comment your bias right now
Bullish after the speech?
Bearish after the speech
Let’s see who’s actually prepared.

#Binance #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Trading

$BTC $SOL $XAU

SgtMew2:
Bear
Verified
This is the part of the jobs report I’m watching most. September Fed hike odds just dropped sharply, with futures now pricing roughly a 44% chance of a hike, down from around **57% before the release. The market isn’t celebrating strong employment data. It’s reacting to **less pressure on the Fed to tighten again** after July payrolls unexpectedly fell. That matters for BTC, stocks and other risk assets because a lower probability of another hike reduces one major liquidity headwind. But I wouldn’t call weak jobs automatically bullish. The first reaction can be liquidity-positive, while persistent labor weakness eventually becomes a growth concern. For now, the key shift is simple: The market just moved from fearing another Fed hike toward pricing a greater chance of a September pause. That repricing is the real bullish catalyst I’m watching. #Fed
This is the part of the jobs report I’m watching most.

September Fed hike odds just dropped sharply, with futures now pricing roughly a 44% chance of a hike, down from around **57% before the release.

The market isn’t celebrating strong employment data. It’s reacting to **less pressure on the Fed to tighten again** after July payrolls unexpectedly fell.

That matters for BTC, stocks and other risk assets because a lower probability of another hike reduces one major liquidity headwind.

But I wouldn’t call weak jobs automatically bullish.

The first reaction can be liquidity-positive, while persistent labor weakness eventually becomes a growth concern.

For now, the key shift is simple:

The market just moved from fearing another Fed hike toward pricing a greater chance of a September pause.

That repricing is the real bullish catalyst I’m watching.

#Fed
🚨 U.S. JOB MARKET JUST SENT A WARNING The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July — the first monthly decline in five months. 📉 And here’s why crypto traders should care 👇 A weaker labor market could reduce pressure on the Fed to keep rates high. Lower rate expectations → More liquidity → Potentially bullish for BTC & crypto. 🟡 But there’s a catch… Inflation is still keeping the Fed cautious. So the real question is: Is this the beginning of a crypto-friendly shift — or just a temporary slowdown? {spot}(BTCUSDT) 👇 What do you think happens next? BTC 🚀 Bullish BTC 📉 Bearish #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Macro
🚨 U.S. JOB MARKET JUST SENT A WARNING

The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July — the first monthly decline in five months. 📉

And here’s why crypto traders should care 👇

A weaker labor market could reduce pressure on the Fed to keep rates high.

Lower rate expectations → More liquidity → Potentially bullish for BTC & crypto. 🟡

But there’s a catch…

Inflation is still keeping the Fed cautious.

So the real question is:

Is this the beginning of a crypto-friendly shift — or just a temporary slowdown?
👇 What do you think happens next?

BTC 🚀 Bullish
BTC 📉 Bearish

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Macro
#FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) 📉 Fed Split on Rate Hikes Deepens Markets are becoming increasingly divided over the Federal Reserve’s next move. Some investors expect rate hikes to continue if inflation remains sticky, while others believe slowing economic growth could force the Fed to pause. This uncertainty may create higher volatility across Bitcoin, crypto, gold, and global markets. Traders should closely watch upcoming inflation data, jobs reports, and Fed statements before taking major positions. ⚠️ Remember: market sentiment can change quickly. Always manage your risk and avoid trading with money you cannot afford to lose. #Fed #FederalReserv #bitcoin
#FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens $ETH
📉 Fed Split on Rate Hikes Deepens

Markets are becoming increasingly divided over the Federal Reserve’s next move. Some investors expect rate hikes to continue if inflation remains sticky, while others believe slowing economic growth could force the Fed to pause.

This uncertainty may create higher volatility across Bitcoin, crypto, gold, and global markets. Traders should closely watch upcoming inflation data, jobs reports, and Fed statements before taking major positions.

⚠️ Remember: market sentiment can change quickly. Always manage your risk and avoid trading with money you cannot afford to lose.

#Fed #FederalReserv #bitcoin
The Fed’s split deepens: Is the market expecting a rate hike in September? After five years of persistent inflation, the patience of Federal Reserve officials is being severely tested. The July 29 decision to keep rates at 3.50%–3.75% for the fifth consecutive time revealed the deepest internal divisions in a decade. 🗳️ Tight vote: 9 to 3 Three regional Fed presidents—Beth Hammack (Cleveland), Lorie Logan (Dallas), and Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis)—voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase. President Kevin Warsh said: "I asked for a good fight, and I got one". 🔍 The two camps clash The hawks believe time is running out: annual inflation remained at 3.5% in June, well above the 2% target. But the doves think inflation could cool on its own, even as their patience thins. The July employment data did not clarify the debate. 🌍 A tense global backdrop Rising energy prices driven by the war in Iran and import-cost shocks further complicate the picture. Brent crude is up 20% this month, hovering near $89 a barrel. 📉 What does this mean for markets? · The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.75%, its highest level in 12 months · The Dow Jones fell by 1,153 points (-2.19%) · Traders are currently pricing in a September rate hike probability of about 57% 💡 What to take away for crypto? A divided Fed creates uncertainty—and volatility is often an opportunity for digital assets. Stay alert to next week’s inflation data and Warsh’s remarks at Jackson Hole. What’s your scenario? Tell us in the comments! #FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens #Fed #FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens $NVDAB $BTC
The Fed’s split deepens: Is the market expecting a rate hike in September?

After five years of persistent inflation, the patience of Federal Reserve officials is being severely tested. The July 29 decision to keep rates at 3.50%–3.75% for the fifth consecutive time revealed the deepest internal divisions in a decade.

🗳️ Tight vote: 9 to 3

Three regional Fed presidents—Beth Hammack (Cleveland), Lorie Logan (Dallas), and Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis)—voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase. President Kevin Warsh said: "I asked for a good fight, and I got one".

🔍 The two camps clash

The hawks believe time is running out: annual inflation remained at 3.5% in June, well above the 2% target. But the doves think inflation could cool on its own, even as their patience thins. The July employment data did not clarify the debate.

🌍 A tense global backdrop

Rising energy prices driven by the war in Iran and import-cost shocks further complicate the picture. Brent crude is up 20% this month, hovering near $89 a barrel.

📉 What does this mean for markets?

· The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.75%, its highest level in 12 months
· The Dow Jones fell by 1,153 points (-2.19%)
· Traders are currently pricing in a September rate hike probability of about 57%

💡 What to take away for crypto?

A divided Fed creates uncertainty—and volatility is often an opportunity for digital assets. Stay alert to next week’s inflation data and Warsh’s remarks at Jackson Hole.

What’s your scenario? Tell us in the comments!

#FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens #Fed #FedSplitOnRateHikesDeepens

$NVDAB $BTC
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Bullish
🔴 Bearish 🚨 Fed Hints at Continued Hawkish Stance Amid Inflation Concerns! The Federal Reserve held rates steady in July but growing inflation concerns and Chairman Warsh's 'strategic ambiguity' leave markets expecting a potential hike in December. This suggests policy could remain restrictive, impacting risk assets like crypto. 📊 Market Impact: Higher rates for longer generally translate to a risk-off environment, which can put downward pressure on crypto prices as investors seek safer havens. The upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium will be crucial for further clarity. #Fed #Macro
🔴 Bearish

🚨 Fed Hints at Continued Hawkish Stance Amid Inflation Concerns!

The Federal Reserve held rates steady in July but growing inflation concerns and Chairman Warsh's 'strategic ambiguity' leave markets expecting a potential hike in December. This suggests policy could remain restrictive, impacting risk assets like crypto.

📊 Market Impact: Higher rates for longer generally translate to a risk-off environment, which can put downward pressure on crypto prices as investors seek safer havens. The upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium will be crucial for further clarity.

#Fed #Macro
U.S. labor market unexpectedly cooled: instead of the anticipated growth, the economy lost 23 thousand jobs, and the odds of an FOMC rate hike in September have noticeably fallen — bad news for the economy can sometimes become good news for markets This is a short-term bullish signal for BTC and risk assets, since a softer Fed policy boosts appetite for risk, but one report isn’t enough — the market still needs to confirm that this is the start of a trend, not a one-off anomaly #Bitcoin #Fed #Macro #InterestRates #BinanceSquare
U.S. labor market unexpectedly cooled: instead of the anticipated growth, the economy lost 23 thousand jobs, and the odds of an FOMC rate hike in September have noticeably fallen — bad news for the economy can sometimes become good news for markets

This is a short-term bullish signal for BTC and risk assets, since a softer Fed policy boosts appetite for risk, but one report isn’t enough — the market still needs to confirm that this is the start of a trend, not a one-off anomaly

#Bitcoin #Fed #Macro #InterestRates #BinanceSquare
Article
Macro Guide for Traders: How Global Liquidity and Rate Decisions Move the Crypto MarketWhen you trade in the crypto market, it’s easy to get lost reading short-term indicators (like the RSI, the MACD, or Bollinger Bands). However, if you don’t know how global macro liquidity shifts, you’re navigating blind. Risk markets —from Wall Street’s mega-cap tech to Bitcoin— don’t move in isolation. Everyone responds to the same primary driver: the cost of money and expectations about central banks’ monetary policy.

Macro Guide for Traders: How Global Liquidity and Rate Decisions Move the Crypto Market

When you trade in the crypto market, it’s easy to get lost reading short-term indicators (like the RSI, the MACD, or Bollinger Bands). However, if you don’t know how global macro liquidity shifts, you’re navigating blind.
Risk markets —from Wall Street’s mega-cap tech to Bitcoin— don’t move in isolation. Everyone responds to the same primary driver: the cost of money and expectations about central banks’ monetary policy.
#GoldBreaksOutFromJanuaryDowntrend 🏛️ NY Fed Expects Annual Inflation to Slow to 3.63% in July ​The New York Fed projects July’s annual inflation rate to ease to 3.63%, down from the previously expected 3.71% and the prior reading of 3.67%. ​💡 Market Impact: This slight drop in inflation, combined with recent weak US job data, strengthens the case for Fed rate cuts rather than hikes. This continues to put pressure on the US Dollar ($DXY) while fueling bullish momentum for Gold ($XAU). ​📊 Market Sentiment: • US Dollar (USD): Bearish 📉 • Gold (XAU): Bullish 📈 ​#Inflation #Macroeconomics #Gold #Fed $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) $PAXG $XAUT
#GoldBreaksOutFromJanuaryDowntrend
🏛️ NY Fed Expects Annual Inflation to Slow to 3.63% in July
​The New York Fed projects July’s annual inflation rate to ease to 3.63%, down from the previously expected 3.71% and the prior reading of 3.67%.
​💡 Market Impact:
This slight drop in inflation, combined with recent weak US job data, strengthens the case for Fed rate cuts rather than hikes. This continues to put pressure on the US Dollar ($DXY) while fueling bullish momentum for Gold ($XAU ).
​📊 Market Sentiment:
• US Dollar (USD): Bearish 📉
• Gold (XAU): Bullish 📈
#Inflation #Macroeconomics #Gold #Fed
$XAU

$PAXG
$XAUT
The U.S. lost 23,000 jobs in July: why doesn't $BTC react? The United States lost 23,000 jobs in July, when the market expected +80,000. This is the first negative figure since February. The probability that the Fed will raise rates in September fell from 55% to 46%. Meanwhile, gold rose 3% and silver 6%. $BTC barely moves: $64.992, flat. Is the crypto market no longer paying attention to the Fed? 👇 #ADPJulyPrivatePayrollsMissedExpectations #Bitcoin #Fed
The U.S. lost 23,000 jobs in July: why doesn't $BTC react?

The United States lost 23,000 jobs in July, when the market expected +80,000. This is the first negative figure since February. The probability that the Fed will raise rates in September fell from 55% to 46%.

Meanwhile, gold rose 3% and silver 6%. $BTC barely moves: $64.992, flat.

Is the crypto market no longer paying attention to the Fed? 👇

#ADPJulyPrivatePayrollsMissedExpectations #Bitcoin #Fed
FED Rate Hike Back on the Table? Fed Governor Lisa Cook warned that if inflation remains stubbornly high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates instead of waiting for inflation to return to the 2% target. Cook backed holding rates steady in July but emphasized that persistent inflation remains a major risk. $DIA Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also called for gradual rate hikes to keep inflation under control. $ZEC Markets will be closely watching upcoming inflation data for the Fed's next move. 📊🇺🇸 $HYPE #Fed #rate #RateHike
FED Rate Hike Back on the Table?

Fed Governor Lisa Cook warned that if inflation remains stubbornly high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates instead of waiting for inflation to return to the 2% target.

Cook backed holding rates steady in July but emphasized that persistent inflation remains a major risk. $DIA

Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also called for gradual rate hikes to keep inflation under control. $ZEC

Markets will be closely watching upcoming inflation data for the Fed's next move. 📊🇺🇸 $HYPE

#Fed #rate #RateHike
Article
🤯 FED STEADY DESPITE WEAK JOBS🔥📉 The cold blow from ADP: private employment slows in July On August 5, the ADP private employment report left the market chilled: only 44,000 jobs were created in the private sector, well below the 75,000 expected and the 95,000 (revised downward) from June. This is the lowest figure in six months. By sector, almost all of the increase came from education and healthcare (+36,000). Financial activities (+10,000) and professional services (+9,000) contributed something, while leisure and hospitality lost 11,000 jobs after the end of the World Cup. The goods sector, as a whole, subtracted 3,000 positions.

🤯 FED STEADY DESPITE WEAK JOBS🔥

📉 The cold blow from ADP: private employment slows in July
On August 5, the ADP private employment report left the market chilled: only 44,000 jobs were created in the private sector, well below the 75,000 expected and the 95,000 (revised downward) from June. This is the lowest figure in six months.
By sector, almost all of the increase came from education and healthcare (+36,000). Financial activities (+10,000) and professional services (+9,000) contributed something, while leisure and hospitality lost 11,000 jobs after the end of the World Cup. The goods sector, as a whole, subtracted 3,000 positions.
🚨 US Job Data Flips Expectations! The United States lost 23 thousand jobs in July, while markets were expecting an addition of 80 thousand jobs. This means: 📉 A slowdown in the job market. 📊 A decline in expectations for a rate hike in September to below 50%. 🟢 Stocks and gold reacted positively, while Bitcoin remained relatively quiet. Sometimes... the crypto market not reacting directly to economic news doesn’t mean the news isn’t important—rather, the market may be waiting for the next catalyst. 👀 Will the upcoming inflation data be the spark that moves the market? $BTC $ETH #USSolarStocksRisePremarket #Fed #Macro #GoldBreaksOutFromJanuaryDowntrend #Write2Earn!
🚨 US Job Data Flips Expectations!
The United States lost 23 thousand jobs in July, while markets were expecting an addition of 80 thousand jobs.
This means:
📉 A slowdown in the job market.
📊 A decline in expectations for a rate hike in September to below 50%.
🟢 Stocks and gold reacted positively, while Bitcoin remained relatively quiet.
Sometimes... the crypto market not reacting directly to economic news doesn’t mean the news isn’t important—rather, the market may be waiting for the next catalyst. 👀
Will the upcoming inflation data be the spark that moves the market?
$BTC $ETH #USSolarStocksRisePremarket #Fed #Macro #GoldBreaksOutFromJanuaryDowntrend #Write2Earn!
The likelihood of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates in September has fallen to 40%, instead of the previously forecast 70% just a few days earlier. This change came after employment data was released showing an unexpected decline. Before the above information, global financial markets reacted positively. U.S. stock index futures rose sharply across the board, gold prices recorded a 3% increase on the day, and Bitcoin surged past the $65,000 mark. #Fed #Bitcoin #TaiChinh $TON
The likelihood of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates in September has fallen to 40%, instead of the previously forecast 70% just a few days earlier. This change came after employment data was released showing an unexpected decline.

Before the above information, global financial markets reacted positively. U.S. stock index futures rose sharply across the board, gold prices recorded a 3% increase on the day, and Bitcoin surged past the $65,000 mark.

#Fed #Bitcoin #TaiChinh

$TON
The likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates in September has fallen to 40%, instead of the forecast 70% from just a few days earlier. This change came after employment data was released, showing an unexpected drop. Before this news, global financial markets had reacted positively. US stock index futures rose sharply across the board, gold prices gained 3% in the day, and Bitcoin surpassed the $65,000 mark. #Fed #Bitcoin #TaiChinh $TON
The likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates in September has fallen to 40%, instead of the forecast 70% from just a few days earlier. This change came after employment data was released, showing an unexpected drop.

Before this news, global financial markets had reacted positively. US stock index futures rose sharply across the board, gold prices gained 3% in the day, and Bitcoin surpassed the $65,000 mark.

#Fed #Bitcoin #TaiChinh

$TON
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Bearish
#usinitialjoblessclaimsstaybelow200k 🚨 LABOR MARKET: TOO STRONG TO CUT, TOO FROZEN TO HIRE U.S. jobless claims came in at 199K, staying below 200K for the 3rd straight week, while continuing claims rose to 1.80M. The signal: layoffs remain low, but hiring is weakening. ⚠️ Markets are now pricing higher odds of a September Fed hike, keeping liquidity pressure on risk assets and crypto. 🎯 TRADING VIEW: SELL 📉 Near-term macro conditions remain bearish for BTC while Fed hike expectations stay elevated. Watch inflation and labor data for a shift in the trend. ❓ Will BTC break lower if Fed hike odds rise? "CLICK ON THE BELOW YELLOW COIN TAG TO GO TO DESIRED TRADING PAGE TO GET BENEFIT TRADE"$BTC $SPCX $NVDA #bitcoin #Fed {future}(NVDAUSDT) {future}(SPCXUSDT) {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#usinitialjoblessclaimsstaybelow200k
🚨 LABOR MARKET: TOO STRONG TO CUT, TOO FROZEN TO HIRE
U.S. jobless claims came in at 199K, staying below 200K for the 3rd straight week, while continuing claims rose to 1.80M. The signal: layoffs remain low, but hiring is weakening.
⚠️ Markets are now pricing higher odds of a September Fed hike, keeping liquidity pressure on risk assets and crypto.
🎯 TRADING VIEW: SELL 📉
Near-term macro conditions remain bearish for BTC while Fed hike expectations stay elevated. Watch inflation and labor data for a shift in the trend.
❓ Will BTC break lower if Fed hike odds rise? "CLICK ON THE BELOW YELLOW COIN TAG TO GO TO DESIRED TRADING PAGE TO GET BENEFIT TRADE"$BTC $SPCX $NVDA
#bitcoin #Fed
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