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✨Topic: Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike?
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Share & Win Traffic Reward in our Trending Hashtag Campaign
✨Topic: Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike?
👉How to Join:
Publish a short post or article with hashtag #CPIWatch
Create content based on the below two angles:
- Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations and CPI is around the corner, do you think the Fed will hike or hold the rate?
- Bullish or bearish? Share your take and showcase your stocks or gold trade/holdings with our trade sharing widget.
🚀Campaign Period:
- 2026-09-11 3:00 - 2026-09-12 9:00 UTC
🎁Reward:
- Qualified posts that comply with the above guidelines and contain more than 100 words will be reviewed and may receive a random traffic boost of 500 to 3,000 views. You will receive a notification from your feed secretary if your post is selected.
- Get a chance to have your article featured on Binance Square Official
Need ideas for your post? Visit the topic page #CPIWatch or the Square Guide on How to Post for Better Reach.
✨Topic: Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike?
👉How to Join:
Publish a short post or article with hashtag #CPIWatch
Create content based on the below two angles:
- Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations and CPI is around the corner, do you think the Fed will hike or hold the rate?
- Bullish or bearish? Share your take and showcase your stocks or gold trade/holdings with our trade sharing widget.
🚀Campaign Period:
- 2026-09-11 3:00 - 2026-09-12 9:00 UTC
🎁Reward:
- Qualified posts that comply with the above guidelines and contain more than 100 words will be reviewed and may receive a random traffic boost of 500 to 3,000 views. You will receive a notification from your feed secretary if your post is selected.
- Get a chance to have your article featured on Binance Square Official
Need ideas for your post? Visit the topic page #CPIWatch or the Square Guide on How to Post for Better Reach.
Josefa Crapo KYRX:
tha ko opvx
38
19
173
265.6k
·
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🚨 Today at 15:30 Kyiv time we’re waiting for new data on US CPI.
Let me remind you of the figures we’re basing this on:
• Previous reading: 3.4%
• Forecast: 3.4%
What does this mean for our deposit and where will the market fly?
• Above 3.4% — not the best scenario. The market will take it as a sign that the Fed will keep putting pressure, so we could see a significant drop.
• Below 3.4% — positive. Inflation is slowing down, which means we get fuel for a powerful green rally.
• Exactly 3.4% — a calm reaction or heightened turbulence. At first, a “helicopter” shake in both directions is possible, and then the market will choose a direction.
We keep risks under control and don’t enter trades with leverage right before the news release.
What are your expectations? Are you waiting for dumps or mooning?#CPIWatch
#CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay
#BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
#IranBlocksStraitOfHormuz
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
🚨 Today at 15:30 Kyiv time we’re waiting for new data on US CPI.
Let me remind you of the figures we’re basing this on:
• Previous reading: 3.4%
• Forecast: 3.4%
What does this mean for our deposit and where will the market fly?
• Above 3.4% — not the best scenario. The market will take it as a sign that the Fed will keep putting pressure, so we could see a significant drop.
• Below 3.4% — positive. Inflation is slowing down, which means we get fuel for a powerful green rally.
• Exactly 3.4% — a calm reaction or heightened turbulence. At first, a “helicopter” shake in both directions is possible, and then the market will choose a direction.
We keep risks under control and don’t enter trades with leverage right before the news release.
What are your expectations? Are you waiting for dumps or mooning?#CPIWatch
#CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay
#BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
#IranBlocksStraitOfHormuz
$BTC
$BNB
$SOL
Let me remind you of the figures we’re basing this on:
• Previous reading: 3.4%
• Forecast: 3.4%
What does this mean for our deposit and where will the market fly?
• Above 3.4% — not the best scenario. The market will take it as a sign that the Fed will keep putting pressure, so we could see a significant drop.
• Below 3.4% — positive. Inflation is slowing down, which means we get fuel for a powerful green rally.
• Exactly 3.4% — a calm reaction or heightened turbulence. At first, a “helicopter” shake in both directions is possible, and then the market will choose a direction.
We keep risks under control and don’t enter trades with leverage right before the news release.
What are your expectations? Are you waiting for dumps or mooning?#CPIWatch
#CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay
#BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
#IranBlocksStraitOfHormuz
$BTC
$BNB
$SOL
6
547
·
--
Bearish
Verified
Will CPI Trigger a Fed Rate Hike.?
The latest nonfarm payrolls report changed the Fed debate.
August payrolls increased by 162,000, far above expectations near 55,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
Hiring was also relatively broad-based, suggesting that the labor market may still be strong enough to withstand restrictive policy. As a result, market expectations for a September rate hike have risen to around 60%.
Now CPI is the decisive test. If core inflation remains sticky or accelerates, the Fed could view strong employment and persistent price pressure as reasons to raise rates by 25 basis points.
My base case is slightly hawkish: a hike is more likely than a hold if CPI surprises to the upside.
My short-term view is bearish for high-growth stocks, since higher yields can pressure expensive valuations.
I’m more constructive on defensive sectors and selective financial stocks. For gold, I expect volatility: a hot CPI could push $XAU lower initially through a stronger dollar and higher yields, while a softer CPI could quickly revive the bullish trade.
I would avoid chasing either move before the data and prefer smaller, disciplined positions with clear risk limits.
This is my market view, not financial advice.
{future}(XAUTUSDT)
#CPIWatch
Will CPI Trigger a Fed Rate Hike.?
The latest nonfarm payrolls report changed the Fed debate.
August payrolls increased by 162,000, far above expectations near 55,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
Hiring was also relatively broad-based, suggesting that the labor market may still be strong enough to withstand restrictive policy. As a result, market expectations for a September rate hike have risen to around 60%.
Now CPI is the decisive test. If core inflation remains sticky or accelerates, the Fed could view strong employment and persistent price pressure as reasons to raise rates by 25 basis points.
My base case is slightly hawkish: a hike is more likely than a hold if CPI surprises to the upside.
My short-term view is bearish for high-growth stocks, since higher yields can pressure expensive valuations.
I’m more constructive on defensive sectors and selective financial stocks. For gold, I expect volatility: a hot CPI could push $XAU lower initially through a stronger dollar and higher yields, while a softer CPI could quickly revive the bullish trade.
I would avoid chasing either move before the data and prefer smaller, disciplined positions with clear risk limits.
This is my market view, not financial advice.
#CPIWatch
The latest nonfarm payrolls report changed the Fed debate.
August payrolls increased by 162,000, far above expectations near 55,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
Hiring was also relatively broad-based, suggesting that the labor market may still be strong enough to withstand restrictive policy. As a result, market expectations for a September rate hike have risen to around 60%.
Now CPI is the decisive test. If core inflation remains sticky or accelerates, the Fed could view strong employment and persistent price pressure as reasons to raise rates by 25 basis points.
My base case is slightly hawkish: a hike is more likely than a hold if CPI surprises to the upside.
My short-term view is bearish for high-growth stocks, since higher yields can pressure expensive valuations.
I’m more constructive on defensive sectors and selective financial stocks. For gold, I expect volatility: a hot CPI could push $XAU lower initially through a stronger dollar and higher yields, while a softer CPI could quickly revive the bullish trade.
I would avoid chasing either move before the data and prefer smaller, disciplined positions with clear risk limits.
This is my market view, not financial advice.
#CPIWatch
9
2.9k
·
--
Bullish
Verified
August CPI drops today, and I'm leaning bullish into it. Here's my reasoning.
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
August CPI drops today, and I'm leaning bullish into it. Here's my reasoning.
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
3
473
·
--
Verified
🔥 Will CPI Trigger a Fed Rate Hike?
Nonfarm payrolls came in strong at 162K, beating expectations and keeping the labor market resilient. Now all eyes are on today’s CPI — the key data point that could decide whether the Fed hikes or holds next week.
With PPI already showing renewed inflation pressure, the market is leaning more hawkish, with rate-hike odds around 70%.
📈 My take: Bearish bias for stocks if CPI comes in hotter than expected.
🥇 Gold: Still interesting as a hedge, but higher yields could create short-term pressure.
What’s your call — Bullish or Bearish? 👀
Share your stocks or gold trades/holdings and let’s see who’s positioned right before CPI.
#CPIWatch
$牛来
{spot}(牛来USDT)
$RAYSOL
{future}(RAYSOLUSDT)
$FLORK
{alpha}(560xf40592daacb3e5abf358789f5688c0b4f64d7777)
🔥 Will CPI Trigger a Fed Rate Hike?
Nonfarm payrolls came in strong at 162K, beating expectations and keeping the labor market resilient. Now all eyes are on today’s CPI — the key data point that could decide whether the Fed hikes or holds next week.
With PPI already showing renewed inflation pressure, the market is leaning more hawkish, with rate-hike odds around 70%.
📈 My take: Bearish bias for stocks if CPI comes in hotter than expected.
🥇 Gold: Still interesting as a hedge, but higher yields could create short-term pressure.
What’s your call — Bullish or Bearish? 👀
Share your stocks or gold trades/holdings and let’s see who’s positioned right before CPI.
#CPIWatch
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$FLORK
Nonfarm payrolls came in strong at 162K, beating expectations and keeping the labor market resilient. Now all eyes are on today’s CPI — the key data point that could decide whether the Fed hikes or holds next week.
With PPI already showing renewed inflation pressure, the market is leaning more hawkish, with rate-hike odds around 70%.
📈 My take: Bearish bias for stocks if CPI comes in hotter than expected.
🥇 Gold: Still interesting as a hedge, but higher yields could create short-term pressure.
What’s your call — Bullish or Bearish? 👀
Share your stocks or gold trades/holdings and let’s see who’s positioned right before CPI.
#CPIWatch
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$FLORK
Liam-Alex:
I’m curious to see whether gold can absorb higher yields if CPI surprises higher. The reaction between real yields, the dollar, and gold could be one of the most important trades after the release.
19
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Article
Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? What the Fed Will Watch NextThe U.S. Federal Reserve is approaching a difficult policy decision, and today's August CPI report could become one of the most important pieces of information before the September 15–16 meeting.
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics schedule confirms that August CPI is due September 11 at 8:30 AM ET. The July CPI was up 3.4% year over year, while core CPI was up 2.5%.
But the inflation picture has become more complicated.
August nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. A stronger labor market gives the Fed less reason to worry about an immediate employment slowdown and leaves more attention on inflation.
Then came August PPI.
Producer prices increased 0.4% month over month and 5.4% over the year. Energy prices were a major contributor, while transportation, hospital services and other components also recorded increases.
That is why CPI matters so much today.
If CPI comes in hotter
A stronger-than-expected CPI could reinforce concerns that inflation is becoming persistent. That could push market expectations for a Fed hike higher, potentially supporting the dollar and Treasury yields while creating additional pressure on stocks and crypto.
If CPI comes in cooler
A softer CPI could reduce some of the pressure on the Fed and lower expectations for an immediate hike. If Treasury yields also fall, risk assets could receive relief.
But CPI alone does not guarantee a Fed hike or a Fed hold.
Markets were already pricing a significantly higher probability of a 25-basis-point hike after the PPI release. Reuters reported the probability at around 71% early Friday, compared with 61% previously. This is market pricing, not a decision from the Federal Reserve.
Crypto is already showing caution
Bitcoin was around $76.6K in the latest Reuters market update, while Ether was around $2.44K. Rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar and higher oil prices have created a difficult environment for risk assets.
Oil is another variable traders cannot ignore. Brent crude recently moved above $100, adding another potential source of inflation pressure.
For crypto, I am watching BTC's reaction to the CPI number rather than trying to predict the number itself.
A hot CPI plus rising yields could put additional pressure on Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins.
A cooler CPI plus falling yields could give buyers an opportunity to regain control.
My take
Before CPI, I remain cautious rather than aggressively bullish or bearish.
The jobs report was strong. PPI showed renewed inflation pressure. Oil is elevated. Rate hike expectations have increased.
But the CPI number is still missing.
So my trading plan is simple:
CPI number → Treasury-yield reaction → BTC reaction → then consider the trade.
I don't want to chase a sudden candle immediately after the release. I want to see whether the initial move is confirmed.
A prediction can be wrong. A confirmed market reaction gives us something we can actually trade. #CPIWatch
Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? What the Fed Will Watch Next
The U.S. Federal Reserve is approaching a difficult policy decision, and today's August CPI report could become one of the most important pieces of information before the September 15–16 meeting.
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics schedule confirms that August CPI is due September 11 at 8:30 AM ET. The July CPI was up 3.4% year over year, while core CPI was up 2.5%.
But the inflation picture has become more complicated.
August nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. A stronger labor market gives the Fed less reason to worry about an immediate employment slowdown and leaves more attention on inflation.
Then came August PPI.
Producer prices increased 0.4% month over month and 5.4% over the year. Energy prices were a major contributor, while transportation, hospital services and other components also recorded increases.
That is why CPI matters so much today.
If CPI comes in hotter
A stronger-than-expected CPI could reinforce concerns that inflation is becoming persistent. That could push market expectations for a Fed hike higher, potentially supporting the dollar and Treasury yields while creating additional pressure on stocks and crypto.
If CPI comes in cooler
A softer CPI could reduce some of the pressure on the Fed and lower expectations for an immediate hike. If Treasury yields also fall, risk assets could receive relief.
But CPI alone does not guarantee a Fed hike or a Fed hold.
Markets were already pricing a significantly higher probability of a 25-basis-point hike after the PPI release. Reuters reported the probability at around 71% early Friday, compared with 61% previously. This is market pricing, not a decision from the Federal Reserve.
Crypto is already showing caution
Bitcoin was around $76.6K in the latest Reuters market update, while Ether was around $2.44K. Rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar and higher oil prices have created a difficult environment for risk assets.
Oil is another variable traders cannot ignore. Brent crude recently moved above $100, adding another potential source of inflation pressure.
For crypto, I am watching BTC's reaction to the CPI number rather than trying to predict the number itself.
A hot CPI plus rising yields could put additional pressure on Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins.
A cooler CPI plus falling yields could give buyers an opportunity to regain control.
My take
Before CPI, I remain cautious rather than aggressively bullish or bearish.
The jobs report was strong. PPI showed renewed inflation pressure. Oil is elevated. Rate hike expectations have increased.
But the CPI number is still missing.
So my trading plan is simple:
CPI number → Treasury-yield reaction → BTC reaction → then consider the trade.
I don't want to chase a sudden candle immediately after the release. I want to see whether the initial move is confirmed.
A prediction can be wrong. A confirmed market reaction gives us something we can actually trade. #CPIWatch
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics schedule confirms that August CPI is due September 11 at 8:30 AM ET. The July CPI was up 3.4% year over year, while core CPI was up 2.5%.
But the inflation picture has become more complicated.
August nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. A stronger labor market gives the Fed less reason to worry about an immediate employment slowdown and leaves more attention on inflation.
Then came August PPI.
Producer prices increased 0.4% month over month and 5.4% over the year. Energy prices were a major contributor, while transportation, hospital services and other components also recorded increases.
That is why CPI matters so much today.
If CPI comes in hotter
A stronger-than-expected CPI could reinforce concerns that inflation is becoming persistent. That could push market expectations for a Fed hike higher, potentially supporting the dollar and Treasury yields while creating additional pressure on stocks and crypto.
If CPI comes in cooler
A softer CPI could reduce some of the pressure on the Fed and lower expectations for an immediate hike. If Treasury yields also fall, risk assets could receive relief.
But CPI alone does not guarantee a Fed hike or a Fed hold.
Markets were already pricing a significantly higher probability of a 25-basis-point hike after the PPI release. Reuters reported the probability at around 71% early Friday, compared with 61% previously. This is market pricing, not a decision from the Federal Reserve.
Crypto is already showing caution
Bitcoin was around $76.6K in the latest Reuters market update, while Ether was around $2.44K. Rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar and higher oil prices have created a difficult environment for risk assets.
Oil is another variable traders cannot ignore. Brent crude recently moved above $100, adding another potential source of inflation pressure.
For crypto, I am watching BTC's reaction to the CPI number rather than trying to predict the number itself.
A hot CPI plus rising yields could put additional pressure on Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins.
A cooler CPI plus falling yields could give buyers an opportunity to regain control.
My take
Before CPI, I remain cautious rather than aggressively bullish or bearish.
The jobs report was strong. PPI showed renewed inflation pressure. Oil is elevated. Rate hike expectations have increased.
But the CPI number is still missing.
So my trading plan is simple:
CPI number → Treasury-yield reaction → BTC reaction → then consider the trade.
I don't want to chase a sudden candle immediately after the release. I want to see whether the initial move is confirmed.
A prediction can be wrong. A confirmed market reaction gives us something we can actually trade. #CPIWatch
2
944
One number could flip the mood of the entire market.
That number is CPI.
I’m watching this release because the market is trying to figure out one thing: what happens next with Fed policy?
Think of it like this:
If inflation shows signs of heating up again, traders may become less comfortable expecting easier policy. That can push yields and the dollar higher, which often makes risk assets harder to trade.
Crypto could feel that pressure fast.
On the other hand, if inflation comes in softer than expected, the story changes.
A cooler CPI could reduce concerns about another rate increase and give traders more confidence to step back into risk.
But here’s the part I wouldn’t ignore:
The reaction matters more than the headline.
Imagine CPI beats expectations, BTC initially drops 2%, then quickly recovers and starts pushing higher.
That would tell me the market absorbed the bad news differently than expected.
Now imagine the opposite — CPI looks positive, BTC jumps, but buyers disappear within minutes.
That could be a warning that the move was mostly short-term positioning.
So I’m not picking a direction before the data.
I’m waiting to see where the real money moves after the number hits.
Today could bring a breakout, a fakeout, or simply a huge volatility spike.
Let the data speak first. Then let the chart confirm it.
Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
$牛来
{future}(牛来USDT)
$RAYSOL
{future}(RAYSOLUSDT)
$GAIB
{alpha}(560xc19d38925f9f645337b1d1f37baf3c0647a48e50)
#CPIWatch
One number could flip the mood of the entire market.
That number is CPI.
I’m watching this release because the market is trying to figure out one thing: what happens next with Fed policy?
Think of it like this:
If inflation shows signs of heating up again, traders may become less comfortable expecting easier policy. That can push yields and the dollar higher, which often makes risk assets harder to trade.
Crypto could feel that pressure fast.
On the other hand, if inflation comes in softer than expected, the story changes.
A cooler CPI could reduce concerns about another rate increase and give traders more confidence to step back into risk.
But here’s the part I wouldn’t ignore:
The reaction matters more than the headline.
Imagine CPI beats expectations, BTC initially drops 2%, then quickly recovers and starts pushing higher.
That would tell me the market absorbed the bad news differently than expected.
Now imagine the opposite — CPI looks positive, BTC jumps, but buyers disappear within minutes.
That could be a warning that the move was mostly short-term positioning.
So I’m not picking a direction before the data.
I’m waiting to see where the real money moves after the number hits.
Today could bring a breakout, a fakeout, or simply a huge volatility spike.
Let the data speak first. Then let the chart confirm it.
Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$GAIB
#CPIWatch
That number is CPI.
I’m watching this release because the market is trying to figure out one thing: what happens next with Fed policy?
Think of it like this:
If inflation shows signs of heating up again, traders may become less comfortable expecting easier policy. That can push yields and the dollar higher, which often makes risk assets harder to trade.
Crypto could feel that pressure fast.
On the other hand, if inflation comes in softer than expected, the story changes.
A cooler CPI could reduce concerns about another rate increase and give traders more confidence to step back into risk.
But here’s the part I wouldn’t ignore:
The reaction matters more than the headline.
Imagine CPI beats expectations, BTC initially drops 2%, then quickly recovers and starts pushing higher.
That would tell me the market absorbed the bad news differently than expected.
Now imagine the opposite — CPI looks positive, BTC jumps, but buyers disappear within minutes.
That could be a warning that the move was mostly short-term positioning.
So I’m not picking a direction before the data.
I’m waiting to see where the real money moves after the number hits.
Today could bring a breakout, a fakeout, or simply a huge volatility spike.
Let the data speak first. Then let the chart confirm it.
Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$GAIB
#CPIWatch
Fukashi 深志:
CPI could bring serious volatility today
33
2
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4.8k
Non-farm payrolls are beating expectations and the CPI is about to be released—do you think the Fed will raise rates or hold steady?
Personally, I lean toward the possibility that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting, but it’s not a certain scenario yet.
The main reason is that August’s non-farm payrolls added 162,000 jobs, nearly 3 times the forecast of about 56,000, while unemployment stayed at 4.1%. This suggests the labor market isn’t weak enough to force the Fed to ease.
More importantly, August’s PPI rose 5.4% year over year and the 10-year yield has moved close to 5%. After the PPI release, the market-implied probability of a rate hike in September rose to around 70–71%.
So I would split the scenarios as follows:
* CPI clearly below expectations → the Fed may hold rates steady, and the market will likely return to pricing rate cuts.
* CPI meets expectations or comes in slightly higher → the odds of a 25-basis-point hike will be strongly reinforced.
* CPI unexpectedly high → a near-certain rate hike becomes the base case, and it would also add further pressure on BTC and other risk assets.
The notable point is that the market is already leaning quite strongly toward a rate hike. So for BTC, a CPI report that matches expectations may no longer be a big shock. On the other hand, an unexpectedly low CPI could create a significant reversal.
#CPIWatch
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Non-farm payrolls are beating expectations and the CPI is about to be released—do you think the Fed will raise rates or hold steady?
Personally, I lean toward the possibility that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting, but it’s not a certain scenario yet.
The main reason is that August’s non-farm payrolls added 162,000 jobs, nearly 3 times the forecast of about 56,000, while unemployment stayed at 4.1%. This suggests the labor market isn’t weak enough to force the Fed to ease.
More importantly, August’s PPI rose 5.4% year over year and the 10-year yield has moved close to 5%. After the PPI release, the market-implied probability of a rate hike in September rose to around 70–71%.
So I would split the scenarios as follows:
* CPI clearly below expectations → the Fed may hold rates steady, and the market will likely return to pricing rate cuts.
* CPI meets expectations or comes in slightly higher → the odds of a 25-basis-point hike will be strongly reinforced.
* CPI unexpectedly high → a near-certain rate hike becomes the base case, and it would also add further pressure on BTC and other risk assets.
The notable point is that the market is already leaning quite strongly toward a rate hike. So for BTC, a CPI report that matches expectations may no longer be a big shock. On the other hand, an unexpectedly low CPI could create a significant reversal.
#CPIWatch
Personally, I lean toward the possibility that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting, but it’s not a certain scenario yet.
The main reason is that August’s non-farm payrolls added 162,000 jobs, nearly 3 times the forecast of about 56,000, while unemployment stayed at 4.1%. This suggests the labor market isn’t weak enough to force the Fed to ease.
More importantly, August’s PPI rose 5.4% year over year and the 10-year yield has moved close to 5%. After the PPI release, the market-implied probability of a rate hike in September rose to around 70–71%.
So I would split the scenarios as follows:
* CPI clearly below expectations → the Fed may hold rates steady, and the market will likely return to pricing rate cuts.
* CPI meets expectations or comes in slightly higher → the odds of a 25-basis-point hike will be strongly reinforced.
* CPI unexpectedly high → a near-certain rate hike becomes the base case, and it would also add further pressure on BTC and other risk assets.
The notable point is that the market is already leaning quite strongly toward a rate hike. So for BTC, a CPI report that matches expectations may no longer be a big shock. On the other hand, an unexpectedly low CPI could create a significant reversal.
#CPIWatch
Tăng
Giữ Nguyên
Giảm
23 hr(s) left
1
4
2.2k
·
--
30D trade $BTC 116K USDT
🔥 Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike?
Today's CPI Data Could Decide the Fed’s Next Move
The Fed is heading into a very important CPI release.
August Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 162K, far above expectations, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. That stronger-than-expected labor market has already pushed rate-hike expectations higher.
Now the real test is CPI.
The August CPI report is scheduled for today, and markets are watching it closely because it is one of the final major inflation signals before the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.
My point of view:
📈 Hotter-than-expected CPI = Bearish for stocks, potentially bullish for the USD and yields.
A strong inflation print could increase the probability of a 25 bps rate hike and put more pressure on risk assets like $BTC
📉 Cooler-than-expected CPI = Bullish for stocks and $XAU (gold)
If inflation shows signs of cooling, the Fed may have more reason to hold rates instead of tightening further.
Right now, I’m leaning slightly bearish on risk assets going into CPI because the combination of strong payrolls + sticky inflation + higher oil prices creates a difficult environment for the Fed.
But I won’t blindly predict the move.
Reaction > Prediction.
I’ll be watching the CPI number, Treasury yields, DXY, stocks and gold for confirmation before taking a directional trade.
What’s your view?
🔥 Fed Hike or Fed Hold? Comment Below👇🏻
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(XAUUSDT)
#CPIWatch
🔥 Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike?
Today's CPI Data Could Decide the Fed’s Next Move
The Fed is heading into a very important CPI release.
August Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 162K, far above expectations, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. That stronger-than-expected labor market has already pushed rate-hike expectations higher.
Now the real test is CPI.
The August CPI report is scheduled for today, and markets are watching it closely because it is one of the final major inflation signals before the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.
My point of view:
📈 Hotter-than-expected CPI = Bearish for stocks, potentially bullish for the USD and yields.
A strong inflation print could increase the probability of a 25 bps rate hike and put more pressure on risk assets like $BTC
📉 Cooler-than-expected CPI = Bullish for stocks and $XAU (gold)
If inflation shows signs of cooling, the Fed may have more reason to hold rates instead of tightening further.
Right now, I’m leaning slightly bearish on risk assets going into CPI because the combination of strong payrolls + sticky inflation + higher oil prices creates a difficult environment for the Fed.
But I won’t blindly predict the move.
Reaction > Prediction.
I’ll be watching the CPI number, Treasury yields, DXY, stocks and gold for confirmation before taking a directional trade.
What’s your view?
🔥 Fed Hike or Fed Hold? Comment Below👇🏻
#CPIWatch
Today's CPI Data Could Decide the Fed’s Next Move
The Fed is heading into a very important CPI release.
August Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 162K, far above expectations, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. That stronger-than-expected labor market has already pushed rate-hike expectations higher.
Now the real test is CPI.
The August CPI report is scheduled for today, and markets are watching it closely because it is one of the final major inflation signals before the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.
My point of view:
📈 Hotter-than-expected CPI = Bearish for stocks, potentially bullish for the USD and yields.
A strong inflation print could increase the probability of a 25 bps rate hike and put more pressure on risk assets like $BTC
📉 Cooler-than-expected CPI = Bullish for stocks and $XAU (gold)
If inflation shows signs of cooling, the Fed may have more reason to hold rates instead of tightening further.
Right now, I’m leaning slightly bearish on risk assets going into CPI because the combination of strong payrolls + sticky inflation + higher oil prices creates a difficult environment for the Fed.
But I won’t blindly predict the move.
Reaction > Prediction.
I’ll be watching the CPI number, Treasury yields, DXY, stocks and gold for confirmation before taking a directional trade.
What’s your view?
🔥 Fed Hike or Fed Hold? Comment Below👇🏻
#CPIWatch
3
499
$BTC
Sitting at 77k.
CPI prints today.
Last big number before the Fed next week.
Hike odds were already near 70% after PPI.
Oil still hot.
Who's buying into the print?
#CPIWatch
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC
Sitting at 77k.
CPI prints today.
Last big number before the Fed next week.
Hike odds were already near 70% after PPI.
Oil still hot.
Who's buying into the print?
#CPIWatch
Sitting at 77k.
CPI prints today.
Last big number before the Fed next week.
Hike odds were already near 70% after PPI.
Oil still hot.
Who's buying into the print?
#CPIWatch
425
·
--
Bearish
$BTC
Tonight, the CPI battle is here
71% chance to bet on a rate hike
Will BTC just lie there at 76,500 waiting to die—or waiting to live?
Brothers
Tonight at 20:30
U.S. August CPI data is about to be released
I swear to God I’ve already cleared my position
Just waiting to watch this big show
Because this CPI report is the last inflation print before the Fed’s September 16th FOMC meeting
So where will CPI go next?
The Fed in September will move accordingly
This data is too important
First, look at market expectations right now
Total CPI year-over-year is expected at 3.4%
Month-over-month 0.4%
Core CPI year-over-year 2.4%
Month-over-month 0.2%
Looks okay, right?
But look at yesterday’s PPI data
My face turned green
The main issue is oil prices
The worst part is diesel
Up 24.1% month over month
This isn’t just a price increase
It’s basically robbing people
PPI is a leading indicator for CPI
Upstream costs have already risen like this
I don’t think tonight’s CPI will be any better
Now look at oil prices
WTI crude is already above $103
Brent is up to 109
Over in Iran-Iraq, they’re still throwing missiles at each other
In the Strait of Hormuz, the average number of merchant ships passing per day has fallen from 130 to 10
For the energy components—
Tonight’s CPI has an absolute landmine in it
Also, the Fed’s new chair, Waller
This guy is completely not on the same page as Powell
In the Powell era, the market thought the 2% inflation target had some flexibility
Waller comes in and basically says it outright
2% is a hard target
We must close in on it clearly and precisely
Otherwise, once the job’s not finished, he keeps going
In plain human words:
Don’t expect me to cut rates
If inflation doesn’t hit the target, I’ll keep hiking
Honestly, the market has already
priced rate hikes as normal course of business
So what about BTC?
Right now it’s just stuck around 77,000
Can’t go up, can’t go down
ETH, SOL, XRP are all pinned down
The whole market feels like someone has pressed a hand on its neck
Breathing is hard
Tonight’s CPI has only two possible scripts
First
If core CPI month-over-month prints 0.3%, or overall is clearly above expectations
The probability of a rate hike could jump to 85%+
U.S. Treasury yields could surge to 5%
The dollar strengthens
BTC will most likely get hammered down
If 76,000 can’t be held, then next we look at around 74,200
Second
If core CPI month-over-month is only 0.1% or overall is weaker than expected
Rate-hike expectations cool off
Risk appetite improves
BTC has a chance to rebound
Resistance to watch at 78,200
Break that and you’ll see 79,800
So brothers
Don’t get itchy with your hands tonight
Control your position size
Bring leverage down
Wait for the data to come out and see how the market digests it
Then decide the direction
Set your stop losses and take care of them
Living is stronger than anything
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#cpiwatch
$BTC
Tonight, the CPI battle is here
71% chance to bet on a rate hike
Will BTC just lie there at 76,500 waiting to die—or waiting to live?
Brothers
Tonight at 20:30
U.S. August CPI data is about to be released
I swear to God I’ve already cleared my position
Just waiting to watch this big show
Because this CPI report is the last inflation print before the Fed’s September 16th FOMC meeting
So where will CPI go next?
The Fed in September will move accordingly
This data is too important
First, look at market expectations right now
Total CPI year-over-year is expected at 3.4%
Month-over-month 0.4%
Core CPI year-over-year 2.4%
Month-over-month 0.2%
Looks okay, right?
But look at yesterday’s PPI data
My face turned green
The main issue is oil prices
The worst part is diesel
Up 24.1% month over month
This isn’t just a price increase
It’s basically robbing people
PPI is a leading indicator for CPI
Upstream costs have already risen like this
I don’t think tonight’s CPI will be any better
Now look at oil prices
WTI crude is already above $103
Brent is up to 109
Over in Iran-Iraq, they’re still throwing missiles at each other
In the Strait of Hormuz, the average number of merchant ships passing per day has fallen from 130 to 10
For the energy components—
Tonight’s CPI has an absolute landmine in it
Also, the Fed’s new chair, Waller
This guy is completely not on the same page as Powell
In the Powell era, the market thought the 2% inflation target had some flexibility
Waller comes in and basically says it outright
2% is a hard target
We must close in on it clearly and precisely
Otherwise, once the job’s not finished, he keeps going
In plain human words:
Don’t expect me to cut rates
If inflation doesn’t hit the target, I’ll keep hiking
Honestly, the market has already
priced rate hikes as normal course of business
So what about BTC?
Right now it’s just stuck around 77,000
Can’t go up, can’t go down
ETH, SOL, XRP are all pinned down
The whole market feels like someone has pressed a hand on its neck
Breathing is hard
Tonight’s CPI has only two possible scripts
First
If core CPI month-over-month prints 0.3%, or overall is clearly above expectations
The probability of a rate hike could jump to 85%+
U.S. Treasury yields could surge to 5%
The dollar strengthens
BTC will most likely get hammered down
If 76,000 can’t be held, then next we look at around 74,200
Second
If core CPI month-over-month is only 0.1% or overall is weaker than expected
Rate-hike expectations cool off
Risk appetite improves
BTC has a chance to rebound
Resistance to watch at 78,200
Break that and you’ll see 79,800
So brothers
Don’t get itchy with your hands tonight
Control your position size
Bring leverage down
Wait for the data to come out and see how the market digests it
Then decide the direction
Set your stop losses and take care of them
Living is stronger than anything
#cpiwatch
Tonight, the CPI battle is here
71% chance to bet on a rate hike
Will BTC just lie there at 76,500 waiting to die—or waiting to live?
Brothers
Tonight at 20:30
U.S. August CPI data is about to be released
I swear to God I’ve already cleared my position
Just waiting to watch this big show
Because this CPI report is the last inflation print before the Fed’s September 16th FOMC meeting
So where will CPI go next?
The Fed in September will move accordingly
This data is too important
First, look at market expectations right now
Total CPI year-over-year is expected at 3.4%
Month-over-month 0.4%
Core CPI year-over-year 2.4%
Month-over-month 0.2%
Looks okay, right?
But look at yesterday’s PPI data
My face turned green
The main issue is oil prices
The worst part is diesel
Up 24.1% month over month
This isn’t just a price increase
It’s basically robbing people
PPI is a leading indicator for CPI
Upstream costs have already risen like this
I don’t think tonight’s CPI will be any better
Now look at oil prices
WTI crude is already above $103
Brent is up to 109
Over in Iran-Iraq, they’re still throwing missiles at each other
In the Strait of Hormuz, the average number of merchant ships passing per day has fallen from 130 to 10
For the energy components—
Tonight’s CPI has an absolute landmine in it
Also, the Fed’s new chair, Waller
This guy is completely not on the same page as Powell
In the Powell era, the market thought the 2% inflation target had some flexibility
Waller comes in and basically says it outright
2% is a hard target
We must close in on it clearly and precisely
Otherwise, once the job’s not finished, he keeps going
In plain human words:
Don’t expect me to cut rates
If inflation doesn’t hit the target, I’ll keep hiking
Honestly, the market has already
priced rate hikes as normal course of business
So what about BTC?
Right now it’s just stuck around 77,000
Can’t go up, can’t go down
ETH, SOL, XRP are all pinned down
The whole market feels like someone has pressed a hand on its neck
Breathing is hard
Tonight’s CPI has only two possible scripts
First
If core CPI month-over-month prints 0.3%, or overall is clearly above expectations
The probability of a rate hike could jump to 85%+
U.S. Treasury yields could surge to 5%
The dollar strengthens
BTC will most likely get hammered down
If 76,000 can’t be held, then next we look at around 74,200
Second
If core CPI month-over-month is only 0.1% or overall is weaker than expected
Rate-hike expectations cool off
Risk appetite improves
BTC has a chance to rebound
Resistance to watch at 78,200
Break that and you’ll see 79,800
So brothers
Don’t get itchy with your hands tonight
Control your position size
Bring leverage down
Wait for the data to come out and see how the market digests it
Then decide the direction
Set your stop losses and take care of them
Living is stronger than anything
#cpiwatch
152
·
--
#cpiwatch US stocks Impact
Strong jobs made a September hike possible. CPI decides if it’s necessary.
I don’t think one firm NFP report forces the Fed to move if core CPI stays at 0.2%. Services are sticky. Oil is noisy. The Fed needs the boring number, not the dramatic one.
That’s why I’m slightly cautious, not bearish into the print. $NVDA and the rest of mega-cap duration get hit first if 0.3% shows up. A hold keeps the bid under quality names and under $VOO.ETF .
Gold is the other tell: if real yields jump on a hot print, $XAU usually gives back the hedge premium fast.
I treat this like crypto now, system over opinion. Small bStock exposure, no chase into the number. If core is soft, I add. If it’s hot, I wait. Being early into CPI week is how people buy the top of a headline.
{etf_us}(VOO.ETF)
{future}(NVDAUSDT)
{future}(XAUUSDT)
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023
#Top7AssetsHold92.1%OfCryptoTop100
#cpiwatch US stocks Impact
Strong jobs made a September hike possible. CPI decides if it’s necessary.
I don’t think one firm NFP report forces the Fed to move if core CPI stays at 0.2%. Services are sticky. Oil is noisy. The Fed needs the boring number, not the dramatic one.
That’s why I’m slightly cautious, not bearish into the print. $NVDA and the rest of mega-cap duration get hit first if 0.3% shows up. A hold keeps the bid under quality names and under $VOO.ETF .
Gold is the other tell: if real yields jump on a hot print, $XAU usually gives back the hedge premium fast.
I treat this like crypto now, system over opinion. Small bStock exposure, no chase into the number. If core is soft, I add. If it’s hot, I wait. Being early into CPI week is how people buy the top of a headline.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023
#Top7AssetsHold92.1%OfCryptoTop100
Strong jobs made a September hike possible. CPI decides if it’s necessary.
I don’t think one firm NFP report forces the Fed to move if core CPI stays at 0.2%. Services are sticky. Oil is noisy. The Fed needs the boring number, not the dramatic one.
That’s why I’m slightly cautious, not bearish into the print. $NVDA and the rest of mega-cap duration get hit first if 0.3% shows up. A hold keeps the bid under quality names and under $VOO.ETF .
Gold is the other tell: if real yields jump on a hot print, $XAU usually gives back the hedge premium fast.
I treat this like crypto now, system over opinion. Small bStock exposure, no chase into the number. If core is soft, I add. If it’s hot, I wait. Being early into CPI week is how people buy the top of a headline.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023
#Top7AssetsHold92.1%OfCryptoTop100
1
3
3.1k
·
--
Bullish
🚨 US CPI IN AUGUST ABOUT TO BE RELEASED — BTC IS WAITING FOR A “DECISIVE” RESULT FROM INFLATION! 🇺🇸📊
⏰ 19:30 tonight (Vietnam time), the US will release August CPI. According to the BLS schedule, the data will be published at 8:30 AM ET.
📊 CPI YoY: Forecast 3.4% | Previous 3.4%
📊 Core CPI YoY: Forecast 2.4% | Previous 2.5%
🔥 In the context that August PPI rose 5.4% YoY and energy prices surged strongly, this CPI release is attracting even more market attention. Current expectations for the Fed to raise by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting are up to around 70%.
⚠️ Notable scenarios:
• CPI/Core CPI higher than forecast → stronger pressure to raise interest rates → yields & USD may rise → BTC may face pressure.
• CPI matches the forecast → the market may react moderately, focusing on the next inflation trend.
• Core CPI below 2.4% → could help ease expectations of Fed tightening.
🧠 Key point: Headline CPI can be heavily influenced by energy, so Core CPI is the figure that should be closely watched to assess underlying inflation pressure.
👉 PPI has warned — today’s CPI may determine whether the market will “tighten” or “breathe” in the coming week.
#CPIWatch
👇 HOT COINS TRADING HERE 👇
$牛来
$TFUEL
$RAY
{future}(牛来USDT)
{spot}(TFUELUSDT)
{spot}(RAYUSDT)
🚨 US CPI IN AUGUST ABOUT TO BE RELEASED — BTC IS WAITING FOR A “DECISIVE” RESULT FROM INFLATION! 🇺🇸📊
⏰ 19:30 tonight (Vietnam time), the US will release August CPI. According to the BLS schedule, the data will be published at 8:30 AM ET.
📊 CPI YoY: Forecast 3.4% | Previous 3.4%
📊 Core CPI YoY: Forecast 2.4% | Previous 2.5%
🔥 In the context that August PPI rose 5.4% YoY and energy prices surged strongly, this CPI release is attracting even more market attention. Current expectations for the Fed to raise by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting are up to around 70%.
⚠️ Notable scenarios:
• CPI/Core CPI higher than forecast → stronger pressure to raise interest rates → yields & USD may rise → BTC may face pressure.
• CPI matches the forecast → the market may react moderately, focusing on the next inflation trend.
• Core CPI below 2.4% → could help ease expectations of Fed tightening.
🧠 Key point: Headline CPI can be heavily influenced by energy, so Core CPI is the figure that should be closely watched to assess underlying inflation pressure.
👉 PPI has warned — today’s CPI may determine whether the market will “tighten” or “breathe” in the coming week.
#CPIWatch
👇 HOT COINS TRADING HERE 👇
$牛来
$TFUEL
$RAY
⏰ 19:30 tonight (Vietnam time), the US will release August CPI. According to the BLS schedule, the data will be published at 8:30 AM ET.
📊 CPI YoY: Forecast 3.4% | Previous 3.4%
📊 Core CPI YoY: Forecast 2.4% | Previous 2.5%
🔥 In the context that August PPI rose 5.4% YoY and energy prices surged strongly, this CPI release is attracting even more market attention. Current expectations for the Fed to raise by 25 basis points at the 15–16/9 meeting are up to around 70%.
⚠️ Notable scenarios:
• CPI/Core CPI higher than forecast → stronger pressure to raise interest rates → yields & USD may rise → BTC may face pressure.
• CPI matches the forecast → the market may react moderately, focusing on the next inflation trend.
• Core CPI below 2.4% → could help ease expectations of Fed tightening.
🧠 Key point: Headline CPI can be heavily influenced by energy, so Core CPI is the figure that should be closely watched to assess underlying inflation pressure.
👉 PPI has warned — today’s CPI may determine whether the market will “tighten” or “breathe” in the coming week.
#CPIWatch
👇 HOT COINS TRADING HERE 👇
$牛来
$TFUEL
$RAY
188
·
--
Partly True
#CPIWatch 🚨— Will the Federal Reserve burn the market or calm it down?
I’m writing this post at 4 a.m., and the clock says CPI data will be released in just a few hours. I’ve been in front of the screens for two hours now, watching $BTC bounce between $76,000 and $77,000, and $ETH struggle to breathe around $2,440.
My honest opinion?
The NFP data that beat expectations (200K vs 175K expected) was a pleasant surprise for the U.S. economy — but it also means the Fed won’t cut rates in September. It may keep them at 4.25–4.50% until November!
Why?
Because inflation is still at 2.9%, above the 2% target. If they cut rates now, inflation will flare up again. Powell knows this — and he won’t risk his reputation!
The expected outcome:
Higher CPI = a strong dollar = Crypto bleeding. But gold? Gold smiles when the markets cry! $XAUT
My prediction:
BTC will drop to $75,000 before bouncing back. Who believes me? Who doesn’t? The market will decide in 48 hours!
#CPIWatch
#CPIWatch 🚨— Will the Federal Reserve burn the market or calm it down?
I’m writing this post at 4 a.m., and the clock says CPI data will be released in just a few hours. I’ve been in front of the screens for two hours now, watching $BTC bounce between $76,000 and $77,000, and $ETH struggle to breathe around $2,440.
My honest opinion?
The NFP data that beat expectations (200K vs 175K expected) was a pleasant surprise for the U.S. economy — but it also means the Fed won’t cut rates in September. It may keep them at 4.25–4.50% until November!
Why?
Because inflation is still at 2.9%, above the 2% target. If they cut rates now, inflation will flare up again. Powell knows this — and he won’t risk his reputation!
The expected outcome:
Higher CPI = a strong dollar = Crypto bleeding. But gold? Gold smiles when the markets cry! $XAUT
My prediction:
BTC will drop to $75,000 before bouncing back. Who believes me? Who doesn’t? The market will decide in 48 hours!
#CPIWatch
I’m writing this post at 4 a.m., and the clock says CPI data will be released in just a few hours. I’ve been in front of the screens for two hours now, watching $BTC bounce between $76,000 and $77,000, and $ETH struggle to breathe around $2,440.
My honest opinion?
The NFP data that beat expectations (200K vs 175K expected) was a pleasant surprise for the U.S. economy — but it also means the Fed won’t cut rates in September. It may keep them at 4.25–4.50% until November!
Why?
Because inflation is still at 2.9%, above the 2% target. If they cut rates now, inflation will flare up again. Powell knows this — and he won’t risk his reputation!
The expected outcome:
Higher CPI = a strong dollar = Crypto bleeding. But gold? Gold smiles when the markets cry! $XAUT
My prediction:
BTC will drop to $75,000 before bouncing back. Who believes me? Who doesn’t? The market will decide in 48 hours!
#CPIWatch
1
80
·
--
Bullish
Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? 📊🔥
All eyes are on today’s US CPI data! 🇺🇸
📈 Hot CPI: Higher inflation → Hawkish Fed → Rate-hike fears → Pressure on Crypto & Stocks 📉
📉 Cool CPI: Lower inflation → Dovish Fed expectations → Bullish sentiment → Potential Crypto rally 🚀
Bitcoin and the entire crypto market could see high volatility around the release. ⚡
🎯 Trade smart, manage risk, and avoid over-leverage!
What’s your prediction? 👀
🔥 HOT CPI or 🚀 COOL CPI?
$牛来
{future}(牛来USDT)
$RAYSOL
{future}(RAYSOLUSDT)
$LSK
{future}(LSKUSDT)
#CPIWatch
Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? 📊🔥
All eyes are on today’s US CPI data! 🇺🇸
📈 Hot CPI: Higher inflation → Hawkish Fed → Rate-hike fears → Pressure on Crypto & Stocks 📉
📉 Cool CPI: Lower inflation → Dovish Fed expectations → Bullish sentiment → Potential Crypto rally 🚀
Bitcoin and the entire crypto market could see high volatility around the release. ⚡
🎯 Trade smart, manage risk, and avoid over-leverage!
What’s your prediction? 👀
🔥 HOT CPI or 🚀 COOL CPI?
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$LSK
#CPIWatch
All eyes are on today’s US CPI data! 🇺🇸
📈 Hot CPI: Higher inflation → Hawkish Fed → Rate-hike fears → Pressure on Crypto & Stocks 📉
📉 Cool CPI: Lower inflation → Dovish Fed expectations → Bullish sentiment → Potential Crypto rally 🚀
Bitcoin and the entire crypto market could see high volatility around the release. ⚡
🎯 Trade smart, manage risk, and avoid over-leverage!
What’s your prediction? 👀
🔥 HOT CPI or 🚀 COOL CPI?
$牛来
$RAYSOL
$LSK
#CPIWatch
Emma-加密貨幣:
CPI could definitely bring volatility—risk management matters more than chasing the first move. Let’s see whether the data comes in hot or cool.
24
1
23
1.6k
·
--
Bullish
Verified
#cpiwatch 🚨
Gold & Silver Face a Make-or-Break Inflation Week!
🚨
👉
CPI, PPI, an expected ECB rate hike, Treasury auctions & escalating US-Iran tensions could send metals sharply in either direction.🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
📈
8:30 AM ET: US CPI + real earnings
👥
10 AM ET: Consumer sentiment & inflation expect.
💰
2 PM ET: Monthly Treasury Statement
📊
3:30 PM ET: CFTC positioning report%$RDDT $SKDD $XRP
#cpiwatch 🚨
Gold & Silver Face a Make-or-Break Inflation Week!
🚨
👉
CPI, PPI, an expected ECB rate hike, Treasury auctions & escalating US-Iran tensions could send metals sharply in either direction.🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
📈
8:30 AM ET: US CPI + real earnings
👥
10 AM ET: Consumer sentiment & inflation expect.
💰
2 PM ET: Monthly Treasury Statement
📊
3:30 PM ET: CFTC positioning report%$RDDT $SKDD $XRP
Gold & Silver Face a Make-or-Break Inflation Week!
🚨
👉
CPI, PPI, an expected ECB rate hike, Treasury auctions & escalating US-Iran tensions could send metals sharply in either direction.🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
🚨
FRIDAY: CPI DECISION Day
📈
8:30 AM ET: US CPI + real earnings
👥
10 AM ET: Consumer sentiment & inflation expect.
💰
2 PM ET: Monthly Treasury Statement
📊
3:30 PM ET: CFTC positioning report%$RDDT $SKDD $XRP
3
705
·
--
Verified
Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? #CPIWatch
CPI week has turned into a much bigger rate-policy test than I expected.
On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls came in at 162K, far above the roughly 56K expected, while unemployment held at 4.1%. July payrolls were also revised up to 21K from the previous 23K decline. The jobs report pushed the probability of a September Fed hike higher, but CPI is now the number that can confirm or challenge that view.
And the inflation backdrop isn't exactly comfortable.
July CPI was 3.4% YoY, while core CPI was 2.5% YoY, both still above the Fed's 2% inflation target. For August, economists were expecting headline CPI to rise 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, with core CPI at 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY. The report is scheduled for September 11 at 8:30 AM ET.
Then came another warning sign. August PPI rose 0.4% MoM, with annual producer-price inflation reaching 5.4%, adding more pressure to the inflation story. Markets were already pricing around a 70% chance of a 25 bp hike at the September 15–16 Fed meeting.
My take: I'm leaning bearish on stocks and bullish on the rate-hike trade if CPI beats expectations. A hot print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher while putting pressure on risk assets and gold.
But if CPI comes in soft, this positioning can reverse quickly. With payrolls beating expectations and CPI in focus, what do you expect next: a Fed hike, a hold, or a bullish/bearish move in markets?
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Will CPI Trigger a Rate Hike? #CPIWatch
CPI week has turned into a much bigger rate-policy test than I expected.
On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls came in at 162K, far above the roughly 56K expected, while unemployment held at 4.1%. July payrolls were also revised up to 21K from the previous 23K decline. The jobs report pushed the probability of a September Fed hike higher, but CPI is now the number that can confirm or challenge that view.
And the inflation backdrop isn't exactly comfortable.
July CPI was 3.4% YoY, while core CPI was 2.5% YoY, both still above the Fed's 2% inflation target. For August, economists were expecting headline CPI to rise 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, with core CPI at 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY. The report is scheduled for September 11 at 8:30 AM ET.
Then came another warning sign. August PPI rose 0.4% MoM, with annual producer-price inflation reaching 5.4%, adding more pressure to the inflation story. Markets were already pricing around a 70% chance of a 25 bp hike at the September 15–16 Fed meeting.
My take: I'm leaning bearish on stocks and bullish on the rate-hike trade if CPI beats expectations. A hot print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher while putting pressure on risk assets and gold.
But if CPI comes in soft, this positioning can reverse quickly. With payrolls beating expectations and CPI in focus, what do you expect next: a Fed hike, a hold, or a bullish/bearish move in markets?
$BNB
$SOL
$BTC
CPI week has turned into a much bigger rate-policy test than I expected.
On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls came in at 162K, far above the roughly 56K expected, while unemployment held at 4.1%. July payrolls were also revised up to 21K from the previous 23K decline. The jobs report pushed the probability of a September Fed hike higher, but CPI is now the number that can confirm or challenge that view.
And the inflation backdrop isn't exactly comfortable.
July CPI was 3.4% YoY, while core CPI was 2.5% YoY, both still above the Fed's 2% inflation target. For August, economists were expecting headline CPI to rise 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, with core CPI at 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY. The report is scheduled for September 11 at 8:30 AM ET.
Then came another warning sign. August PPI rose 0.4% MoM, with annual producer-price inflation reaching 5.4%, adding more pressure to the inflation story. Markets were already pricing around a 70% chance of a 25 bp hike at the September 15–16 Fed meeting.
My take: I'm leaning bearish on stocks and bullish on the rate-hike trade if CPI beats expectations. A hot print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher while putting pressure on risk assets and gold.
But if CPI comes in soft, this positioning can reverse quickly. With payrolls beating expectations and CPI in focus, what do you expect next: a Fed hike, a hold, or a bullish/bearish move in markets?
$BNB
$SOL
$BTC
Hold Rates
Hike 25bps
Bullish After CPI
Bearish After CPI
21 hr(s) left
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5
546
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Bullish
Verified
All eyes are on tomorrow’s US CPI.
August’s headline CPI is expected to come in at 3.4% y/y, while core inflation is projected at 2.4%.
This release could set the tone for the Fed decision next week.
A hotter print could strengthen the case for another rate hike and increase pressure on risk assets.
A cooler reading could do the opposite, helping markets stabilize after today’s negative reaction to the PPI.
Either way, tomorrow’s CPI is the number to watch.
Volatility could rise quickly once the data are released.
#CPIWatch #CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms #AppleRises3.56%AfterIPhoneDuoLaunch #US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023 $GAIB
{alpha}(560xc19d38925f9f645337b1d1f37baf3c0647a48e50)
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
$XRP
{future}(XRPUSDT)
All eyes are on tomorrow’s US CPI.
August’s headline CPI is expected to come in at 3.4% y/y, while core inflation is projected at 2.4%.
This release could set the tone for the Fed decision next week.
A hotter print could strengthen the case for another rate hike and increase pressure on risk assets.
A cooler reading could do the opposite, helping markets stabilize after today’s negative reaction to the PPI.
Either way, tomorrow’s CPI is the number to watch.
Volatility could rise quickly once the data are released.
#CPIWatch #CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms #AppleRises3.56%AfterIPhoneDuoLaunch #US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023 $GAIB
$SOL
$XRP
August’s headline CPI is expected to come in at 3.4% y/y, while core inflation is projected at 2.4%.
This release could set the tone for the Fed decision next week.
A hotter print could strengthen the case for another rate hike and increase pressure on risk assets.
A cooler reading could do the opposite, helping markets stabilize after today’s negative reaction to the PPI.
Either way, tomorrow’s CPI is the number to watch.
Volatility could rise quickly once the data are released.
#CPIWatch #CryptoSectorsFallSecondDay #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms #AppleRises3.56%AfterIPhoneDuoLaunch #US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceOct2023 $GAIB
$SOL
$XRP
1
248
·
--
Bullish
🚨 THE LAST 3 CPI PRINTS SENT $BTC VERTICAL.
The last 3 CPI prints sent Bitcoin higher:
+10.84%
+7.73%
+31.54%
Number four drops today at 12:30 PM UTC
#CPIWatch #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
🚨 THE LAST 3 CPI PRINTS SENT $BTC VERTICAL.
The last 3 CPI prints sent Bitcoin higher:
+10.84%
+7.73%
+31.54%
Number four drops today at 12:30 PM UTC
#CPIWatch #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
The last 3 CPI prints sent Bitcoin higher:
+10.84%
+7.73%
+31.54%
Number four drops today at 12:30 PM UTC
#CPIWatch #BitcoinGoldenCrossConfirms
Fahim ahmady:
how much is the expected number to be mam
1
2
333
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🔥 #CPIWatch | Will CPI change the Fed’s decision? 🇺🇸
After the release of the U.S. jobs data for August, which showed an addition of 162K jobs while unemployment remained stable at 4.1%, all eyes are now on the CPI inflation data scheduled to be released today.
📊 The most important question: Will higher inflation data push the Federal Reserve to stick to a tighter monetary policy, or will a pullback in inflation give it more room to ease policy?
For me, one number isn’t enough; the key is core CPI, the inflation trend, and wages compared to market expectations.
🟢 If CPI comes in lower than expected, we may see an improvement in risk appetite and support for assets like gold and cryptocurrencies.
🔴 But if it comes in higher than expected, expectations may rise for keeping rates high for longer, which could weigh on gold and Crypto.
🎯 My opinion: I prefer to wait until the data is released and not enter a big trade before the news, because the volatility could be very strong.
What do you expect? 🟢 Up or 🔴 down?
#CPIWatch #CPI #Fed #Crypto #bitcoin oin #GOLD
🦅 Mr Ahmed BTC
$BTC $BNB $XAU
🔥 #CPIWatch | Will CPI change the Fed’s decision? 🇺🇸
After the release of the U.S. jobs data for August, which showed an addition of 162K jobs while unemployment remained stable at 4.1%, all eyes are now on the CPI inflation data scheduled to be released today.
📊 The most important question: Will higher inflation data push the Federal Reserve to stick to a tighter monetary policy, or will a pullback in inflation give it more room to ease policy?
For me, one number isn’t enough; the key is core CPI, the inflation trend, and wages compared to market expectations.
🟢 If CPI comes in lower than expected, we may see an improvement in risk appetite and support for assets like gold and cryptocurrencies.
🔴 But if it comes in higher than expected, expectations may rise for keeping rates high for longer, which could weigh on gold and Crypto.
🎯 My opinion: I prefer to wait until the data is released and not enter a big trade before the news, because the volatility could be very strong.
What do you expect? 🟢 Up or 🔴 down?
#CPIWatch #CPI #Fed #Crypto #bitcoin oin #GOLD
🦅 Mr Ahmed BTC
$BTC $BNB $XAU
After the release of the U.S. jobs data for August, which showed an addition of 162K jobs while unemployment remained stable at 4.1%, all eyes are now on the CPI inflation data scheduled to be released today.
📊 The most important question: Will higher inflation data push the Federal Reserve to stick to a tighter monetary policy, or will a pullback in inflation give it more room to ease policy?
For me, one number isn’t enough; the key is core CPI, the inflation trend, and wages compared to market expectations.
🟢 If CPI comes in lower than expected, we may see an improvement in risk appetite and support for assets like gold and cryptocurrencies.
🔴 But if it comes in higher than expected, expectations may rise for keeping rates high for longer, which could weigh on gold and Crypto.
🎯 My opinion: I prefer to wait until the data is released and not enter a big trade before the news, because the volatility could be very strong.
What do you expect? 🟢 Up or 🔴 down?
#CPIWatch #CPI #Fed #Crypto #bitcoin oin #GOLD
🦅 Mr Ahmed BTC
$BTC $BNB $XAU
Blond fox:
انت شغال نسخ بوستات هاي قديمه قدم الاهرمات دي كان محافظ ومشى
1
1
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Verified
NFP came in strong and now all eyes are on CPI.
This is where things can get messy. If CPI comes in hot rate hike bets could jump again and stocks might take a hit.
If inflation cools down we could get a nice relief move instead. Stocks could catch a bid and gold may react strongly too.
I’m leaning slightly bearish on stocks right now. But honestly I don’t want to guess the CPI number.
I’ll wait for the release let the first move happen then look for a clean setup. No FOMO.
Gold is also on my watchlist. I want to see how price reacts around the news before touching a trade.
What are you thinking?
Bullish or bearish? 👀
Trade safe. CPI days can move fast.
$TFUEL
{spot}(TFUELUSDT)
$RAY
{spot}(RAYUSDT)
$SAGA
{future}(SAGAUSDT)
#CPIWatch
NFP came in strong and now all eyes are on CPI.
This is where things can get messy. If CPI comes in hot rate hike bets could jump again and stocks might take a hit.
If inflation cools down we could get a nice relief move instead. Stocks could catch a bid and gold may react strongly too.
I’m leaning slightly bearish on stocks right now. But honestly I don’t want to guess the CPI number.
I’ll wait for the release let the first move happen then look for a clean setup. No FOMO.
Gold is also on my watchlist. I want to see how price reacts around the news before touching a trade.
What are you thinking?
Bullish or bearish? 👀
Trade safe. CPI days can move fast.
$TFUEL
$RAY
$SAGA
#CPIWatch
This is where things can get messy. If CPI comes in hot rate hike bets could jump again and stocks might take a hit.
If inflation cools down we could get a nice relief move instead. Stocks could catch a bid and gold may react strongly too.
I’m leaning slightly bearish on stocks right now. But honestly I don’t want to guess the CPI number.
I’ll wait for the release let the first move happen then look for a clean setup. No FOMO.
Gold is also on my watchlist. I want to see how price reacts around the news before touching a trade.
What are you thinking?
Bullish or bearish? 👀
Trade safe. CPI days can move fast.
$TFUEL
$RAY
$SAGA
#CPIWatch
Mike_Block:
I’m more interested in the market reaction than the actual number
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