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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
CRYPTO_DRIFT:
Перед рішенням ФРС я б точно не поспішав робити висновки щодо наступного руху BTC. 👀 Ринок уже значною мірою заклав у ціну збереження ставки, тому найцікавішою буде не сама цифра, а риторика Пауелла та реакція BTC після рішення. Іноді саме там починається справжній рух. 📈📉
До речі, у себе я залишив опитування щодо подальшого руху BTC — цікаво, що очікує більшість. 📊
$BTC
The current position of the “big pancake” is still rather awkward; around 77,200 it continues to fluctuate within a small range up and down.
Last Friday, the daily chart should have broken through 80,000 and touched around 80,500, but it didn’t. The reason is that a large number of short orders are clustered around this level, so it didn’t let the bears get what they wanted.
At the same time, around 78 there are also many long positions trapped. The two days of consolidation over the weekend also confirmed Jinbao’s view. Next, we will continue to wait. If tomorrow still doesn’t push up to around 80K, then I will have to consider entering a short.
Going forward, there is a high probability that it will keep wildly shaking up and down. But as for the current level, I’m not interested in chasing longs, and I don’t want to chase shorts either—because neither is a good time or a good entry position. The risk-to-reward is very poor.
Next, we’ll keep waiting. Today, while we continue to watch the overall market, we’ll also find some altcoins and “shitcoins” to play with for short-term trades.
Follow Jinbao—every day is solid, no-fluff content!
#BTC
The current position of the “big pancake” is still rather awkward; around 77,200 it continues to fluctuate within a small range up and down.
Last Friday, the daily chart should have broken through 80,000 and touched around 80,500, but it didn’t. The reason is that a large number of short orders are clustered around this level, so it didn’t let the bears get what they wanted.
At the same time, around 78 there are also many long positions trapped. The two days of consolidation over the weekend also confirmed Jinbao’s view. Next, we will continue to wait. If tomorrow still doesn’t push up to around 80K, then I will have to consider entering a short.
Going forward, there is a high probability that it will keep wildly shaking up and down. But as for the current level, I’m not interested in chasing longs, and I don’t want to chase shorts either—because neither is a good time or a good entry position. The risk-to-reward is very poor.
Next, we’ll keep waiting. Today, while we continue to watch the overall market, we’ll also find some altcoins and “shitcoins” to play with for short-term trades.
Follow Jinbao—every day is solid, no-fluff content!
#BTC
Big pancake is stuck between two lines, and now it’s at 77,000.
Look at the two red dots on the chart yourself. The first one is the peak of this move at 79,000. After the pullback, the second push only reached 87,000? Actually it was 87.9k; once it pulled back it only went to 87.8k/87.87w, and it’s lower than the previous peak—one after another getting lower. The same on the green side too: from 76.6k down to 75.7k, and the lows are also shifting lower.
Both above and below are moving downward—so this is a downward channel, and these past two days it’s been grinding inside it.
Yesterday there was a candle that once pushed up above the red line but failed to hold; today it dropped back again. A failed breakout.
This current position is quite awkward. The red line is pressing overhead around 77.5k, and the green line is supporting below around 75k.
In the short term, price is just moving back and forth in this gap. Until a direction shows up, there’s no need to rush into action.
What really needs to be waited for is which side breaks first. If the red line is pierced and it holds, then we can directly look at the previous high around 79k. If the green line breaks down and falls through, then the market needs to find a new position underneath.
Overall, the big picture is still biased bullish. The positive news from Trump’s move is still being digested, and the broader direction hasn’t changed. It’s just that the entry value right now at this level is too poor.
The long position from the 6.26w move has already been closed. Now I’m flat and waiting for an opportunity. #BTC $BTC
Look at the two red dots on the chart yourself. The first one is the peak of this move at 79,000. After the pullback, the second push only reached 87,000? Actually it was 87.9k; once it pulled back it only went to 87.8k/87.87w, and it’s lower than the previous peak—one after another getting lower. The same on the green side too: from 76.6k down to 75.7k, and the lows are also shifting lower.
Both above and below are moving downward—so this is a downward channel, and these past two days it’s been grinding inside it.
Yesterday there was a candle that once pushed up above the red line but failed to hold; today it dropped back again. A failed breakout.
This current position is quite awkward. The red line is pressing overhead around 77.5k, and the green line is supporting below around 75k.
In the short term, price is just moving back and forth in this gap. Until a direction shows up, there’s no need to rush into action.
What really needs to be waited for is which side breaks first. If the red line is pierced and it holds, then we can directly look at the previous high around 79k. If the green line breaks down and falls through, then the market needs to find a new position underneath.
Overall, the big picture is still biased bullish. The positive news from Trump’s move is still being digested, and the broader direction hasn’t changed. It’s just that the entry value right now at this level is too poor.
The long position from the 6.26w move has already been closed. Now I’m flat and waiting for an opportunity. #BTC $BTC
The big cake is really tough—today, #BTC hit the high point at 78,000. Then it pulled back to the lowest and even dipped close to 76,900 before rebounding to around 77,500. It’s currently basically consolidating at the high levels. As of now, there’s no clear direction intraday. Although the market is currently bullish, if it doesn’t pull back a bit more before getting long, it may not climb up that quickly. If it pulls back once into the 75,000–74,000 range before starting to build positions, that would be better.
【 81000 nearby clear out? 73000 nearby to get on? BTC next move depends on these two levels!?】
As of now, overall the larger trend of $BTC remains healthy. The uptrend is still intact; a pullback in the short term is more likely part of the normal correction within the ongoing uptrend.
Based on yesterday’s assessment, the key resistance zone to watch above is still $79,400–$82,000. If later it doesn’t pull back and instead runs straight up toward the $81,000 area, in my view, the difficulty of a one-time breakout here is relatively high. Therefore, I would choose to clear out my spot position in batches and lock in the profits first.
On the other hand, if the market shows a pullback, then the area around $73,000 remains the secondary “re-entry” spot I’m paying close attention to. From both the prior structure and the potential downside room, the safety margin here is relatively higher.
So the strategy right now is actually very simple:
If it rises, take profit in batches; if it falls, wait for the area around $73,000 to re-enter a portion of your position. Keep holding the current ETH1556 and SOL65 (total 40% spot).
#Solana启动治理投票拟通缩率翻倍 #BTC $SOL $ETH
As of now, overall the larger trend of $BTC remains healthy. The uptrend is still intact; a pullback in the short term is more likely part of the normal correction within the ongoing uptrend.
Based on yesterday’s assessment, the key resistance zone to watch above is still $79,400–$82,000. If later it doesn’t pull back and instead runs straight up toward the $81,000 area, in my view, the difficulty of a one-time breakout here is relatively high. Therefore, I would choose to clear out my spot position in batches and lock in the profits first.
On the other hand, if the market shows a pullback, then the area around $73,000 remains the secondary “re-entry” spot I’m paying close attention to. From both the prior structure and the potential downside room, the safety margin here is relatively higher.
So the strategy right now is actually very simple:
If it rises, take profit in batches; if it falls, wait for the area around $73,000 to re-enter a portion of your position. Keep holding the current ETH1556 and SOL65 (total 40% spot).
#Solana启动治理投票拟通缩率翻倍 #BTC $SOL $ETH
橙子研究院
·
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【 This spot trade really won big: ETH and SOL take 50%, SUI jumps 26% in a single day—cash out! What will the next wave of BTC do?】
Above $BTC , the key focus right now is the $79,400–$82,000 resistance zone. This area also overlaps with the lower boundary of the prior ascending channel and the overhead resistance from the previous high, so a clean, one-time breakout in the short term isn’t easy. 【Figure 1】
From the Fibonacci retracement perspective, if a normal pullback happens afterward, the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels are reasonable observation areas. They correspond to roughly $70,325–$73,280. If this range shows clear stabilization, it could actually be a good “second chance to board” for spot traders. 【Figure 2】
At the moment, our spot position is only 40%: ETH cost is $1,556 and SOL cost is $65. We’ll keep the bottom-of-range chips; there’s no need to make random moves right now.
Next, we’ll watch two directions:
First: If BTC continues to push strongly upward and reaches around $81,000, we’ll consider gradually clearing the existing spot position to lock in profits.
Second: If BTC pulls back—especially if it reaches the $70,325–$73,280 zone—then it may be worth adding some spot, continuing to play similar swings like SUI.
This spot run has been very comfortable, and ETH and SOL currently both have about a 50% profit margin. SUI is even more impressive: entry at $0.75, exit at $0.93, locking in roughly 26% profit—and it basically ran while staying near the highs. 【As shown in Figures 3–4】
This isn’t about trading just for the sake of trading. If you already have profits, be patient and hold; only step in when a real opportunity presents itself.
#BTC #ETH $SOL
Above $BTC , the key focus right now is the $79,400–$82,000 resistance zone. This area also overlaps with the lower boundary of the prior ascending channel and the overhead resistance from the previous high, so a clean, one-time breakout in the short term isn’t easy. 【Figure 1】
From the Fibonacci retracement perspective, if a normal pullback happens afterward, the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels are reasonable observation areas. They correspond to roughly $70,325–$73,280. If this range shows clear stabilization, it could actually be a good “second chance to board” for spot traders. 【Figure 2】
At the moment, our spot position is only 40%: ETH cost is $1,556 and SOL cost is $65. We’ll keep the bottom-of-range chips; there’s no need to make random moves right now.
Next, we’ll watch two directions:
First: If BTC continues to push strongly upward and reaches around $81,000, we’ll consider gradually clearing the existing spot position to lock in profits.
Second: If BTC pulls back—especially if it reaches the $70,325–$73,280 zone—then it may be worth adding some spot, continuing to play similar swings like SUI.
This spot run has been very comfortable, and ETH and SOL currently both have about a 50% profit margin. SUI is even more impressive: entry at $0.75, exit at $0.93, locking in roughly 26% profit—and it basically ran while staying near the highs. 【As shown in Figures 3–4】
This isn’t about trading just for the sake of trading. If you already have profits, be patient and hold; only step in when a real opportunity presents itself.
#BTC #ETH $SOL
Niikko:
我是78块的sol现货
$BTC Now don’t make random moves—keep a close watch on the two key areas
77400 is strong resistance; it’s a high-risk zone for a bull-trap. If you chase in, you can easily get caught in a fake breakout.
To confirm a real bull market, you need to see 82000‑83000. Only after a volume-backed breakout and consolidation here counts as the market officially starting.
It’s better to spend an extra 5–6% cost to enter from the right side—your odds will be much higher. Don’t bet on the breakout in advance.
⚠️In this bounce, shorting is strictly forbidden. Going short against the trend has a huge cost. If you don’t understand, just observe.
If price spikes and then gets dumped, and the pullback drops to around 66000, that’s a rare low-buy opportunity.
Don’t guess the market—wait until price reaches the key levels before taking action.
$BTC #BTC
77400 is strong resistance; it’s a high-risk zone for a bull-trap. If you chase in, you can easily get caught in a fake breakout.
To confirm a real bull market, you need to see 82000‑83000. Only after a volume-backed breakout and consolidation here counts as the market officially starting.
It’s better to spend an extra 5–6% cost to enter from the right side—your odds will be much higher. Don’t bet on the breakout in advance.
⚠️In this bounce, shorting is strictly forbidden. Going short against the trend has a huge cost. If you don’t understand, just observe.
If price spikes and then gets dumped, and the pullback drops to around 66000, that’s a rare low-buy opportunity.
Don’t guess the market—wait until price reaches the key levels before taking action.
$BTC #BTC
The afternoon market is often the time slot in the day when people are most likely to make mistakes.
BTC is now 77089, ETH 2445. The structure is intact, and the trend hasn’t broken—but I see too many people chasing the price.
FVG, Fair Value Gap
In SMC there’s a concept called Fair Value Gap. When price rallies quickly, the candle in between often has no real execution, leaving a price vacuum. The market tends to fill the FVG—this is essentially what a pullback is: not weakness, but a catch-up.
Take the current BTC as an example: it moved from 75200 to where it is now. Along this move, there are multiple unfilled FVGs in the range of roughly 75800–76200. This isn’t support—it’s the account price owes.
Current bias: long, but don’t chase.
Reason: the BULL_TREND regime hasn’t changed, and the high-point structure is still sound. But in the afternoon liquidity is thin, and smart money can more easily push price toward a zone packed with stop-losses—namely, the place you chased into in the morning. The right approach: wait for price to refill the FVG area, confirm the real orders on the other side, then enter. You can’t rush it.
I’ve seen too many people go long at 77000, stop out at 76500, and then watch BTC rally back again. Today’s correct trade happens in patience.
#SMC交易 #BTC #Surname Zhao not to be announced
BTC is now 77089, ETH 2445. The structure is intact, and the trend hasn’t broken—but I see too many people chasing the price.
FVG, Fair Value Gap
In SMC there’s a concept called Fair Value Gap. When price rallies quickly, the candle in between often has no real execution, leaving a price vacuum. The market tends to fill the FVG—this is essentially what a pullback is: not weakness, but a catch-up.
Take the current BTC as an example: it moved from 75200 to where it is now. Along this move, there are multiple unfilled FVGs in the range of roughly 75800–76200. This isn’t support—it’s the account price owes.
Current bias: long, but don’t chase.
Reason: the BULL_TREND regime hasn’t changed, and the high-point structure is still sound. But in the afternoon liquidity is thin, and smart money can more easily push price toward a zone packed with stop-losses—namely, the place you chased into in the morning. The right approach: wait for price to refill the FVG area, confirm the real orders on the other side, then enter. You can’t rush it.
I’ve seen too many people go long at 77000, stop out at 76500, and then watch BTC rally back again. Today’s correct trade happens in patience.
#SMC交易 #BTC #Surname Zhao not to be announced
🚨 $BTC for $77,000: where did the market maker hide the liquidity?
📊 What’s happening on the chart?
Higher TF (4H and 1H): The overall structure remains bullish, and the order-flow priority is held in the buying zone. The buyer’s strength leaves no doubt.
Lower TF (15M): After a local liquidity sweep from below, the price would have formed a bullish structure break. Right now, a smooth pullback toward the zone of interest is underway — the perfect spot to look for a trend-based entry.
The zone of interest for a big player has shifted into the range of $77,000 – $77,350. That’s exactly where a fresh bullish order block sits, which the market maker is highly likely to defend for the next push toward $80,000.
📈 Trading plan (BTC/USDT):
Entry Zone: 77 000.00 – 77 350.00 (build a long position when testing the local support zone).
TP: 78 500.00 – 79 800.00 (target for updating local highs and testing the upper liquidity boundary).
SL: 76 600.00 (a close below will cancel the upward scenario).
💬 Are you opening longs from the current order block, or waiting for a deeper test to $76,000? Share in the comments! 👇
#BinanceSquare #BTC #smartmoney #cryptotrading #TechnicalAnalysis
📊 What’s happening on the chart?
Higher TF (4H and 1H): The overall structure remains bullish, and the order-flow priority is held in the buying zone. The buyer’s strength leaves no doubt.
Lower TF (15M): After a local liquidity sweep from below, the price would have formed a bullish structure break. Right now, a smooth pullback toward the zone of interest is underway — the perfect spot to look for a trend-based entry.
The zone of interest for a big player has shifted into the range of $77,000 – $77,350. That’s exactly where a fresh bullish order block sits, which the market maker is highly likely to defend for the next push toward $80,000.
📈 Trading plan (BTC/USDT):
Entry Zone: 77 000.00 – 77 350.00 (build a long position when testing the local support zone).
TP: 78 500.00 – 79 800.00 (target for updating local highs and testing the upper liquidity boundary).
SL: 76 600.00 (a close below will cancel the upward scenario).
💬 Are you opening longs from the current order block, or waiting for a deeper test to $76,000? Share in the comments! 👇
#BinanceSquare #BTC #smartmoney #cryptotrading #TechnicalAnalysis
💥Latest view update $BTC for everyone to refer to!🔥
The current price $BTC is moving around the 76.9k mark after a strong volatility event. Looking at the H1 chart, I see the structure leaning toward a clear corrective move. Everyone, take a look at this Short plan:
📌 Trading Plan (Short Setup):
Short Entry Zone: 77.7k - 78.2k (Enter on minor pullbacks within the sideway range).
Current Sideway Range: 75.8k – 78.1k
Stop Loss (SL): > 79.0k (If this level breaks, accept cutting—capital protection is the top priority).
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 75.5k - 76.2k (Nearest support zone; when TP1 is hit, remember to proactively set SL to breakeven/move SL)
TP2: 73.6k - 74.2k
TP3: 70.0k - 70.6k (Target expectation zone for this sell-off move)
💡 Note from me:
During this phase, the market’s range is quite “sweeping,” so everyone needs to manage capital closely, trade with a moderate volume, and absolutely don’t hold a losing position without a stop loss.
The plan is for reference only based on the H1 chart. Everyone should consider and take responsibility for your own trading decisions.
#BTC
#bitcoin
#SwingTrade
#ScalpingTrading
Click here to trade 👇👇👇
The current price $BTC is moving around the 76.9k mark after a strong volatility event. Looking at the H1 chart, I see the structure leaning toward a clear corrective move. Everyone, take a look at this Short plan:
📌 Trading Plan (Short Setup):
Short Entry Zone: 77.7k - 78.2k (Enter on minor pullbacks within the sideway range).
Current Sideway Range: 75.8k – 78.1k
Stop Loss (SL): > 79.0k (If this level breaks, accept cutting—capital protection is the top priority).
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 75.5k - 76.2k (Nearest support zone; when TP1 is hit, remember to proactively set SL to breakeven/move SL)
TP2: 73.6k - 74.2k
TP3: 70.0k - 70.6k (Target expectation zone for this sell-off move)
💡 Note from me:
During this phase, the market’s range is quite “sweeping,” so everyone needs to manage capital closely, trade with a moderate volume, and absolutely don’t hold a losing position without a stop loss.
The plan is for reference only based on the H1 chart. Everyone should consider and take responsibility for your own trading decisions.
#BTC
#bitcoin
#SwingTrade
#ScalpingTrading
Click here to trade 👇👇👇
Đinh Tiên Hoàng Đế:
K biết Cụ sẽ chạy nhịp hồi trước hay xả luôn TIQ nhỉ, Plan thì quá ổn nhưng sợ k khớp Entry thôi ạ
This happened in 2021 $BTC , it can happen again obviously if, but trading moves geopolitically.
This is not a call for you to go long now, but to tell you that 🐢 $BTC
When you enter the crypto world, you must believe in miracles! $BTC
LONG 🚀 73.500 with a stop loss at 70.000
SHORT ⚓ 79.000 if it rejects the rise again
78.500 even I would dare to enter again here
stop loss at 81.000
#BTC
#BTC走势分析
#BitcoinStrongestWeekSinceMarch2023
#trading
#BTC突破7万大关
This is not a call for you to go long now, but to tell you that 🐢 $BTC
When you enter the crypto world, you must believe in miracles! $BTC
LONG 🚀 73.500 with a stop loss at 70.000
SHORT ⚓ 79.000 if it rejects the rise again
78.500 even I would dare to enter again here
stop loss at 81.000
#BTC
#BTC走势分析
#BitcoinStrongestWeekSinceMarch2023
#trading
#BTC突破7万大关
🔥 Bitcoin bottom scan week 30
I always buy Bitcoin on Monday mornings every week regardless of the price.
Today the market is around 77k, so I’m continuing to buy more coins.
After the recent hot rally last week, Bitcoin and altcoins are cooling off for a few days for now.
This is the time for us to review our capital plan—whether buying like this is already the best approach or whether we should add or reduce something.
For me, if BTC can hold up like this for the next 1–2 weeks, I’ll increase my capital to accumulate more.
Wishing you all a great start to the week 😄
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
I always buy Bitcoin on Monday mornings every week regardless of the price.
Today the market is around 77k, so I’m continuing to buy more coins.
After the recent hot rally last week, Bitcoin and altcoins are cooling off for a few days for now.
This is the time for us to review our capital plan—whether buying like this is already the best approach or whether we should add or reduce something.
For me, if BTC can hold up like this for the next 1–2 weeks, I’ll increase my capital to accumulate more.
Wishing you all a great start to the week 😄
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
The crypto market just taught its second lesson in only 7 days.
After BTC rocketed to nearly $80,000 and crushed the bears, capital reversed over the weekend — and this time 80% of liquidated positions came from LONGS. 😵
The lesson?
📌 Leverage doesn’t care whether you’re long or short. It only eats those who enter at the wrong time + get overconfident.
📌 After a vertical green candle, a “leverage reset” is almost guaranteed.
Fear & Greed sits at 67 (Greed) — the zone where the wise start getting cautious, not adding more FOMO.
Are you holding long, short, or watching from the sidelines? 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #liquidation #cryptotrading #Binance
After BTC rocketed to nearly $80,000 and crushed the bears, capital reversed over the weekend — and this time 80% of liquidated positions came from LONGS. 😵
The lesson?
📌 Leverage doesn’t care whether you’re long or short. It only eats those who enter at the wrong time + get overconfident.
📌 After a vertical green candle, a “leverage reset” is almost guaranteed.
Fear & Greed sits at 67 (Greed) — the zone where the wise start getting cautious, not adding more FOMO.
Are you holding long, short, or watching from the sidelines? 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #liquidation #cryptotrading #Binance
Shafiqfahad32:
hokding Long #KOMA
Hi! I already have a few days since I created the account. I was encouraged because I watched several videos on YouTube.
In the first few days I invested in Earn with USDT, but I felt like I wasn't getting my investment back because when I bought the coins, it was under my capital. I was patient and didn’t move my money for a week while I tried to keep informing myself and reading. So I decided to transfer my funds to another crypto; I bought part BTC and part USD1. And after a few days, I recovered my investment because when I bought the BTC it had just dropped and then started to rise.
I also discovered Binance Academy, which I’m trying to keep learning about this world. So if there’s any YouTuber or material to read and keep learning, I’d appreciate it if you shared it in the comments.
$BTC $USD1 $USDT
#Beginnersguide #beginners #CriptoRevolución
#BTC #latam 😀
In the first few days I invested in Earn with USDT, but I felt like I wasn't getting my investment back because when I bought the coins, it was under my capital. I was patient and didn’t move my money for a week while I tried to keep informing myself and reading. So I decided to transfer my funds to another crypto; I bought part BTC and part USD1. And after a few days, I recovered my investment because when I bought the BTC it had just dropped and then started to rise.
I also discovered Binance Academy, which I’m trying to keep learning about this world. So if there’s any YouTuber or material to read and keep learning, I’d appreciate it if you shared it in the comments.
$BTC $USD1 $USDT
#Beginnersguide #beginners #CriptoRevolución
#BTC #latam 😀
MigueRuiz:
sigue alimentando tu btc que vas por buen camino
#BTC
The big pancake’s liquidity is still insufficient on weekends—sure enough, it’s operating within a consolidation range!
On the smaller timeframe, there was a brief dip that broke below, but it quickly rebounded. Overall, it remains within the consolidation range. At the same time, you can expand the consolidation range by considering the support area of the earlier low point at 75600–75000!
On the upside, keep watching the area around the high at 80k. This week—are we seeing consolidation and repair, or will the upward move continue?
The big pancake’s liquidity is still insufficient on weekends—sure enough, it’s operating within a consolidation range!
On the smaller timeframe, there was a brief dip that broke below, but it quickly rebounded. Overall, it remains within the consolidation range. At the same time, you can expand the consolidation range by considering the support area of the earlier low point at 75600–75000!
On the upside, keep watching the area around the high at 80k. This week—are we seeing consolidation and repair, or will the upward move continue?
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Monday early session— the market is testing your discipline.
BTC $76,938, 24H change +0.49%— a slow bull grinding upward, without any explosive trigger; all you have is silent, steady progression. ETH $2,437, up +2.42% on the day— comparatively strong, but don’t let that little bounce fool you.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
Current reading of the Brahma system: BTC is in a BULL_TREND, with a complete structure and a clear direction; ETH is in CHOP_MID, trading in a range, with direction yet to be determined. The divergence between the two is the signal.
For strong assets, trade using trend logic. For weak assets, trade using range logic. Confusing these two is the moment when an account is most likely to lose money.
━━━ Psychological Insight ━━━
The most dangerous emotion on Monday early session isn’t fear—it’s, "I didn’t participate last night, and now I have to chase it."
I’ve seen too many such openings. Trying to make up for the regret of being in cash, once you add position and the direction turns out wrong, the week’s profits are given back.
The strategy is simple: For BTC, go long in line with the trend continuation, with reduced size on pullbacks. For ETH and other range-bound assets, wait for confirmation at the range boundaries before acting— don’t chase in the middle.
The correct position size today happens at the moment you don’t have emotions.
#BTC #ETH #contract trading
BTC $76,938, 24H change +0.49%— a slow bull grinding upward, without any explosive trigger; all you have is silent, steady progression. ETH $2,437, up +2.42% on the day— comparatively strong, but don’t let that little bounce fool you.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
Current reading of the Brahma system: BTC is in a BULL_TREND, with a complete structure and a clear direction; ETH is in CHOP_MID, trading in a range, with direction yet to be determined. The divergence between the two is the signal.
For strong assets, trade using trend logic. For weak assets, trade using range logic. Confusing these two is the moment when an account is most likely to lose money.
━━━ Psychological Insight ━━━
The most dangerous emotion on Monday early session isn’t fear—it’s, "I didn’t participate last night, and now I have to chase it."
I’ve seen too many such openings. Trying to make up for the regret of being in cash, once you add position and the direction turns out wrong, the week’s profits are given back.
The strategy is simple: For BTC, go long in line with the trend continuation, with reduced size on pullbacks. For ETH and other range-bound assets, wait for confirmation at the range boundaries before acting— don’t chase in the middle.
The correct position size today happens at the moment you don’t have emotions.
#BTC #ETH #contract trading
$BTC
$BTC пока забился в боковик, тупо пилит уровень. На 15m уперлись в EMA20/50, объемов особо нет, RSI ровно посередине отдыхает.
Раньше времени влезать смысла не вижу, жду норм импульс и закреп выше 77.2k. Кто что думает, дадим пробой или опять вниз за ликвидностью сходим?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading
$BTC пока забился в боковик, тупо пилит уровень. На 15m уперлись в EMA20/50, объемов особо нет, RSI ровно посередине отдыхает.
Раньше времени влезать смысла не вижу, жду норм импульс и закреп выше 77.2k. Кто что думает, дадим пробой или опять вниз за ликвидностью сходим?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading
Early Monday morning, BTC $76,895, ETH $2,427。
Nothing particularly special about the numbers. But the structure behind them is worth talking about.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
BTC is still a BULL_TREND. Note that I said “still”—it’s down 0.4% over 24 hours, and many people are starting to doubt. But the trend isn’t broken by one early-session dip; it’s broken by a series of structural failures. Right now, the structure hasn’t failed.
ETH is CHOP_MID. The kind that’s messy. The higher highs and lower lows don’t point anywhere, OI is drifting around. This kind of market most easily makes people get hit from both sides—going long gets shaken out, going short gets run over. Best choice: don’t trade.
━━━ Psychological Traps ━━━
Just after the weekend, many people enter with weekend FOMO. They see BTC dip slightly and think, “Opportunity is here.” In fact, this is the most dangerous time—because your judgment is contaminated by emotion, not logic.
Fear and greed don’t kill people. Confusing the two kills people.
━━━ Strategic Direction ━━━
BTC: the trend isn’t broken—participate on pullbacks, don’t chase.
ETH: CHOP regime—wait for a confirmed breakout; otherwise, observe.
I’ve seen too many people grind away profits in CHOP, and then miss the real trend move.
#BTC #ETH #Contract trading
Nothing particularly special about the numbers. But the structure behind them is worth talking about.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
BTC is still a BULL_TREND. Note that I said “still”—it’s down 0.4% over 24 hours, and many people are starting to doubt. But the trend isn’t broken by one early-session dip; it’s broken by a series of structural failures. Right now, the structure hasn’t failed.
ETH is CHOP_MID. The kind that’s messy. The higher highs and lower lows don’t point anywhere, OI is drifting around. This kind of market most easily makes people get hit from both sides—going long gets shaken out, going short gets run over. Best choice: don’t trade.
━━━ Psychological Traps ━━━
Just after the weekend, many people enter with weekend FOMO. They see BTC dip slightly and think, “Opportunity is here.” In fact, this is the most dangerous time—because your judgment is contaminated by emotion, not logic.
Fear and greed don’t kill people. Confusing the two kills people.
━━━ Strategic Direction ━━━
BTC: the trend isn’t broken—participate on pullbacks, don’t chase.
ETH: CHOP regime—wait for a confirmed breakout; otherwise, observe.
I’ve seen too many people grind away profits in CHOP, and then miss the real trend move.
#BTC #ETH #Contract trading
Six o’clock sharp, Beijing time in the early session. BTC is at $77,117, up 1.4% over 24H; ETH is at $2,447, up 3.2%.
━━━ System Readings ━━━
The assessment from the Vantian system: BTC is currently in a bull trend (BULL_TREND), while ETH is at the middle axis of a range-bound market (CHOP_MID). One is moving; the other is grinding.
This kind of divergence is information in itself. ETH’s hesitation suggests the market hasn’t fully shifted into a risk-on posture yet. BTC is leading, but the follow-through bids haven’t caught up.
━━━ Psychological Layer ━━━
Fear in the morning is the most expensive. Most people, when BTC first breaks a key level, choose to wait—until it’s up 5% and then chase it—only to call it “being right about the direction.”
Discipline isn’t about entering only after you’ve confirmed. Discipline is when your system says it, and you execute.
━━━ Strategy Reference ━━━
The logic for BTC trend continuation remains valid; pullbacks are opportunities, not signals. ETH isn’t in a hurry—wait until the structure is confirmed.
I’ve seen too many of these diverging markets. The fast ones go in first, and the rest fill in later. Don’t use ETH’s hesitation to negate BTC’s outlook.
#BTC #ETH #合约交易 #Zhao surname not to be disclosed
━━━ System Readings ━━━
The assessment from the Vantian system: BTC is currently in a bull trend (BULL_TREND), while ETH is at the middle axis of a range-bound market (CHOP_MID). One is moving; the other is grinding.
This kind of divergence is information in itself. ETH’s hesitation suggests the market hasn’t fully shifted into a risk-on posture yet. BTC is leading, but the follow-through bids haven’t caught up.
━━━ Psychological Layer ━━━
Fear in the morning is the most expensive. Most people, when BTC first breaks a key level, choose to wait—until it’s up 5% and then chase it—only to call it “being right about the direction.”
Discipline isn’t about entering only after you’ve confirmed. Discipline is when your system says it, and you execute.
━━━ Strategy Reference ━━━
The logic for BTC trend continuation remains valid; pullbacks are opportunities, not signals. ETH isn’t in a hurry—wait until the structure is confirmed.
I’ve seen too many of these diverging markets. The fast ones go in first, and the rest fill in later. Don’t use ETH’s hesitation to negate BTC’s outlook.
#BTC #ETH #合约交易 #Zhao surname not to be disclosed
August 24 BTC/ETH Afternoon Market Analysis
From the order book, the Bollinger Bands contraction on the 1-hour timeframe has already ended. There are signs of a slight upward opening, which is a precursor to a potential breakout. Although the MACD is still entangled near the zero line, the fast line has clearly turned upward. The green histogram bars are shortening and about to turn red, indicating that bearish momentum has been exhausted. The market is now led by bulls. After this kind of “sideways consolidation,” a breakout can happen. As long as you hold the middle-band support, there is plenty of room to the upside.
Trading Ideas
Monday’s market often has testing moves, but the current structure supports a bullish bias. It’s recommended to use a strategy of “buy on the pullback.” Don’t chase the price. Wait for the 1-hour line to pull back and confirm that the middle band support is effective before entering, so you can conservatively target rebound gains.
BTC: Go long in the 76,500–76,000 range, with a target around 78,500
ETH: Go long in the 2,420–2,400 range, with a target around 2,500
#BTC $ETH
From the order book, the Bollinger Bands contraction on the 1-hour timeframe has already ended. There are signs of a slight upward opening, which is a precursor to a potential breakout. Although the MACD is still entangled near the zero line, the fast line has clearly turned upward. The green histogram bars are shortening and about to turn red, indicating that bearish momentum has been exhausted. The market is now led by bulls. After this kind of “sideways consolidation,” a breakout can happen. As long as you hold the middle-band support, there is plenty of room to the upside.
Trading Ideas
Monday’s market often has testing moves, but the current structure supports a bullish bias. It’s recommended to use a strategy of “buy on the pullback.” Don’t chase the price. Wait for the 1-hour line to pull back and confirm that the middle band support is effective before entering, so you can conservatively target rebound gains.
BTC: Go long in the 76,500–76,000 range, with a target around 78,500
ETH: Go long in the 2,420–2,400 range, with a target around 2,500
#BTC $ETH
Big pancake is now 77308, still grinding around the 77k area.
In the past 24 hours, the high was 78013 and the low was 75775. It fluctuated by a little over two thousand points on both sides, and basically didn’t move much for the day.
This is digestion after a sharp surge. A few days ago it jumped from 69k straight up to 78k—ten thousand points. If it didn’t pause to catch its breath, that would be abnormal.
The big 75k level has already been reclaimed and it’s holding fairly steadily—that’s the most crucial point. As long as it doesn’t fall back below, this upward structure hasn’t broken. No matter how long it moves sideways, it doesn’t matter.
The long position from the 6.26w move—I’m still holding it, unchanged, not a single hand sold.
7.6w is the line I’m watching. If it can hold there, after the consolidation it should continue upward. The next target above is the 80k whole-number level. If it breaks down below and can’t crawl back for a few days, I’ll say it immediately.
If you want to get on board, don’t chase it here—wait for it to shake out a proper-looking lower low. Entering at this position means you’ll see several-hundred-point swings up and down on both sides; it’s not worth it.
For the long term, I’m still bullish—just need patience in the short term. It may require waiting to see whether the resistance level can break through; when that happens, I’ll update the levels #BTC $BTC .
In the past 24 hours, the high was 78013 and the low was 75775. It fluctuated by a little over two thousand points on both sides, and basically didn’t move much for the day.
This is digestion after a sharp surge. A few days ago it jumped from 69k straight up to 78k—ten thousand points. If it didn’t pause to catch its breath, that would be abnormal.
The big 75k level has already been reclaimed and it’s holding fairly steadily—that’s the most crucial point. As long as it doesn’t fall back below, this upward structure hasn’t broken. No matter how long it moves sideways, it doesn’t matter.
The long position from the 6.26w move—I’m still holding it, unchanged, not a single hand sold.
7.6w is the line I’m watching. If it can hold there, after the consolidation it should continue upward. The next target above is the 80k whole-number level. If it breaks down below and can’t crawl back for a few days, I’ll say it immediately.
If you want to get on board, don’t chase it here—wait for it to shake out a proper-looking lower low. Entering at this position means you’ll see several-hundred-point swings up and down on both sides; it’s not worth it.
For the long term, I’m still bullish—just need patience in the short term. It may require waiting to see whether the resistance level can break through; when that happens, I’ll update the levels #BTC $BTC .
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