btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

📢 The total crypto market cap has reached $2.7 trillion, according to the latest Binance Research report

September is showing strong results in institutional capital inflows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are the key driver — over the past week alone, net inflows have exceeded $986 million.

Institutional investors continue to actively accumulate positions, maintaining a highly positive market sentiment.

#BTC #ETF #BITCOIN #BINANCE $BTC $BNB

#BTC

This rhythm has indeed appeared twice: breaking the previous high, making a new high, and then getting cut in half.

From 69K to 17K and from 126K to 48K, the structure is symmetrical.

But this time there’s a variable being overlooked—the maximum drawdowns in the first two pullbacks were 75% and 62%, respectively.

And for this round, after coming down from 126K, the drop is only about 50%.

If the market structure changes, then the magnitude of the next pullback may also be different.

Projecting to 100K using the same ratios might be too mechanical.

I agree with the direction, but the exact entry points should be confirmed as we go.

After BTC breaks below 78,600, the rebound lacks strength—can holding 76,800 stop the decline?
In the previous observation period, the area around 78,600 was a key support zone that needed close confirmation.
Now the market has presented a new development:
Price has already fallen below this zone, and the short-term rebound has not yet managed to reclaim 79,500.
This means the focus of the order book is no longer simply whether “78,600 can hold,” but rather whether the buy-side support near 76,800 can prevent the weak structure from continuing to spread lower.
Many people see a bounce forming around 76,800 and immediately interpret it as “the drop is over.”
But the easiest misread today is treating a single stabilization as if the structure has already been repaired.
Because 79,500 was an important area repeatedly traded by the market.
If the rebound consistently fails to reclaim this level, price will still be trading below it, and in the short term we can only watch the weak rebound.
The derivatives market also hasn’t given a signal that “risk has been fully released.”
During verification, the BTC futures open interest remains around $53 billion. After price weakened, leverage participation in the market has not cooled down noticeably—meaning future volatility may still be amplified. You shouldn’t jump to conclusions based on just one rebound candlestick.
Going forward, watch only two things:
First, whether the area around 76,800 can continue to attract support, rather than showing up only with a one-time intraday bounce.
Second, whether price can reclaim 79,500. Until it’s reclaimed, the rebound should still be understood as a test after the failed repair.
Holding 76,800 only means there is temporary defense below.
Reclaiming 79,500 is what would indicate that this weak phase has truly started to improve.
#BTC #比特币行情 #行情观察 $BTC
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#BTC

I agree with half of the saying that the rallying phase has ended.

The structure is indeed weakening, but directly looking at 45K feels a bit jumpy.

There are also a few support zones in the middle that haven’t been tested yet; a one-time drop down to that level would require a large external shock.

The bias is bearish, but the magnitude is still being kept. We’ll talk again after the price reaches the next stage.

WHALES CLEAN THE SETTLEMENT MAP! $BTC READY FOR THE COUNTERATTACK 💥
The recent move by $BTC a $78,253.22 isn’t a coincidence: institutions have just executed a stop-loss hunt just above the major support at $78,000.
The RCI Ribbon shows sell exhaustion after the sharp rejection at $78,872.95. Historically, these lightning sweeps with rejection near round levels precede violent bullish impulses toward the upper resistances ($79,200 - $80,000).
Will you take advantage of this whales’ discount, or get left out watching the takeoff?
Position yourself right now in the widget below! 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #cryptosignals #BİNANCE #Cryptorallye

BREAKING: Bitcoin may have only 51 days left

The $BTC macro cycle has followed an almost flawless pattern:

2015 → 2017 bull market: 1,065 days
2017 → 2018 bear market: 365 days
2018 → 2021 bull market: 1,065 days
2021 → 2022 bear market: 365 days
2022 → 2025 bull market: 1,065 days

If the pattern repeats once again:
2025 → 2026 bear market: 365 days

This would mean that Bitcoin could form its next cycle bottom before October.

#BitcoinSurpasses$79K
#BTC

𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐏..... 𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐏..... 𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐏 🚨
$BTC JUST TOOK THE LIQUIDITY IT NEEDED 👀🔥

Bitcoin swept the sell-side liquidity around $77.5K, tapped the 4H order block — and reclaimed it almost instantly. 🧲📈

That looks like a liquidity grab, not weakness.

🎯 Next target: $82,300+
That’s where I’m watching for buy-side liquidity to get taken.

⚠️ After the sweep, distribution/rejection could begin.

❌ Bullish setup invalid if BTC loses the $77.5K order block.

Liquidity first. Direction second. 🎯

#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSDT $BTC

⚔️ Bitcoin trapped between two opposing forces

$BTC is in the $78,000 zone, and it’s no coincidence. It’s stuck in a macro tug-of-war between two forces that cancel each other out.

🔴 The bearish force: oil at $100

Brent ($BZ ) at $100 is a direct inflation shock. It makes transportation, food, and plastics more expensive, reigniting inflation within weeks. This forces the Fed to stay aggressive, which strengthens the dollar, lifts bond yields, and drains liquidity. For Bitcoin, it’s a headwind: bonds offer yield without volatility, and capital flees risk assets.



🟢 The bullish force: Treasury buybacks

The U.S. Treasury has tripled its long-term bond buybacks, reaching as much as $6 billion per operation. This injects liquidity, weakens the dollar, and lowers bond yields. For Bitcoin, it’s a tailwind: more available capital and bonds become less attractive. It’s the "debasement trade" in action.

⚖️ The result: fragile balance

The two forces are canceling each other out:

· If oil rises more → inflation → an aggressive Fed → Bitcoin falls.
· If the Treasury steps up buybacks → liquidity → a weaker dollar → Bitcoin rises.

🎯 What will break the tie?

· If Brent goes above $110** → the Fed hikes rates → BTC breaks lower toward **$70,000-$72,000.
· If the Treasury announces bigger stimulus (like using the $1 trillion TGA) → liquidity surges → BTC breaks higher toward **$85,000-$90,000**.

This week’s inflation data (CPI and PPI) will be key. If it confirms that oil is driving prices, the balance will tip to the downside. If it shows the impact is limited, the "debasement trade" could gain ground.

Meanwhile, the market stays range-bound. Patience and risk management are key: there’s no need to take a position until one of the two forces wins the battle.

#bitcoin #oil #analisis #estrategia #BTC

MY FAMILY, PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO $BTC — THE NEXT MOVE IS IMPORTANT ‼️

We’re watching the $BTC chart very closely. Yesterday, I mentioned that BTC had a chance to recover from around $78,700, and we did see a small recovery from that area.

But now #BTC is showing weakness again, and sellers are still active. In my opinion, the next major move could be a drop toward the $76,200–$75,500 strong support zone.

If $BTC reaches this support area and buyers defend it strongly, I’ll be watching for a big bounce back toward $78,700 and potentially $82,200.

For now, I’m not opening a new long position. I’m holding the short position and waiting for the next move.

Stay active, My Family. I’ll keep you updated closely.

4 CRYPTOS TO KEEP AN EYE ON TODAY (09/09) — The pullback I warned about came. Did you buy or get left out?

The market delivered exactly what I told you yesterday. Bitcoin hit $79,485, went to $77,620.01 on that 11:30 wick, and closed at $78,526. Today it’s trading between $77,917 and $79,760, now at $78,310.

Why did it drop? The Fed next week. The odds of a rate hike went to 60% and the market stalled.

I’m watching 4 today: $BTC , $ETH , $SOL, and $BNB

$BTC : It held my support at $77,620 and made a low at $77,917 today. It needs to reclaim $78,474 to target $79,760. If it loses $77,917, it opens the door to $76k. It’s down -0.20% today.

$ETH : The strongest one again. At $2,470, with a high of $2,523 and a low of $2,453. Falling only -0.48% while BTC is bleeding. ETH showing who’s in charge.

$SOL: At $102.44 (-0.64%) between $101.85 and $105.20. Lost momentum after yesterday’s -0.83%. If it breaks $102, it’ll go looking for $98k.

$BNB : Yesterday’s sweetheart turned into today’s worst. Opened at $751.64, hit $757.78, and now it’s at $733.38 with -2.42%. Giving back the whole pump.

Yesterday 13.9k of you saw the pullback alert. If you listened, you did well.

NOW ANSWER ME IN THE COMMENTS: Did you buy this drop around $77.9k, or are you waiting for BTC to lose $77k to enter at $76k? I’ll reply to everyone.

Follow me here on Square—every day at 6 PM I post the 4 that really matter.

#BTC #ETH #SOL #BNB

$BTC is sitting around $78.3K right now.

The current range looks like $76.5K–$82K, so I’m not rushing into a fresh trade here. With CPI and ECB data coming in, volatility could pick up quickly.

For me, the key level is $80K. If BTC breaks and holds above it, $82K could be the next short-term target.

Until we get confirmation, I’d rather stay patient than chase a move.

#DYOR。

#BTC #Bitcoin

HOW I HIT THE BTC LOW EVERY DAY (3-line method)

A lot of people asked me how I hit the low of $77,620 yesterday and $77,917 today. It’s not guessing. It’s this method I use every day in 2 minutes on the 15m chart on Binance.

Write this down:

LINE 1 - RED: Yesterday’s low
Yesterday my low was $77,620.01 at 11:30. Today the $BTC
went and grabbed $77,917 and spiked up to $77,770 to grab liquidity. The market ALWAYS returns to the previous low. That’s where the leveraged traders’ stop is.

LINE 2 - YELLOW: AVL (78,183 today)
This is the line shown on your screenshot as AVL. If the price is BELOW it, it’s a selling day. If it’s ABOVE, it’s a buying day. That’s it. Today the whole day was below it, that’s why it dropped.

LINE 3 - GREEN: Yesterday’s high
Yesterday was $79,485, today it was $79,760. This is your resistance to break through.

THE GOLDEN RULE NOBODY TELLS YOU:
When BTC touches the RED LINE (yesterday’s low) and is below the YELLOW line, it will push down 0.2% to 0.5% to clear the stops and come back. That’s what happened today: it touched $77,917, dipped to $77,770, and came back to $77,956.

If 2 15m candles close BELOW the red line, the next target is $76k. If it comes back up, it goes back to the yellow.

Do this tomorrow before you trade:
1. Get today’s low ($77,770) 2. Get today’s high ($79,760) 3. Check your AVL
Done. Now you already know where BTC will be fighting.

Save this post because tomorrow I’m going to share tomorrow’s 3 lines at 6 PM.

Who here already uses AVL to trade? Comment.

#BTC #ETH #SOL #BNB

URGENT WARNING AND A POSSIBLE LIQUIDITY TRAP FOR $BTC BEFORE THE REAL POSITION OPENER WITH TESTING OF 79K $ ZONES! 🔻⚠️

​🔹 Entry (Short): 79,400 - 79,800 $
​⛔ Stop Loss: 80,900 $
​🎯 Targets:
​• 78,200 $
​• 77,200 $

​Will the sellers manage to grab the liquidity at the top and move forward toward a correction of the 77K $ zones? Share your expectations! 👇
​#BTC #Binance #Crypto #Trading #Bearish

🚨 ¡BITCOIN ABSORPTION ZONE! $BTC SITS AT $78.5K SUPPORT AFTER LIQUIDITY SWEEP 🚨
Bitcoin trades at $78,703.00 (+0.32%) after an accelerated sweep that tested key supports at $78,000 - $78,570.71.
On the 1H chart, the Cinta RCI indicator is compressed in the oversold zone (-66.06), suggesting a possible tactical rebound to reclaim the 9- and 21-period moving averages located at $78,941.72 and $79,000.69.
Do you think $BTC will break through the $80,000 barrier before the day closes? Leave your opinion and trade the move below! 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #cryptotrading #BinanceSquare

WE ARE WAITING FOR BTC TO FALL INTO THE $60-70K ZONE 📉

Most likely, before the main drop, BTC will still make a move to fill the gap in the $86k area.
After that, there may be a reversal and a correction into the $67-70k zone, or, if the fall is deeper, into $60-63k.

So prepare USDT now—while on P2P you can buy it for 44.40–44.80 UAH.

When BTC moves down, USDT on P2P will already be 46–47 UAH. I’m preparing cash for a purchase before the next move of BTC to $100k. 🚀

#btc
$BTC

#BTC | The Swing map maintains strong asymmetry toward the shorters

With Bitcoin around 78,833 USD, the 3x, 5x, 10x, and 25x Swing Liquidation Map shows that the highest concentration of potential liquidations continues above the price.

🔴 The first major block of shorts appears from approximately 82,000–84,000 USD, with a particularly strong concentration around 84,000–87,000 USD. Higher up, relevant zones appear again near 91,000–94,000 USD and 99,000–103,000 USD.

🟢 Below that, long liquidations are much more spread out and farther away, with major blocks toward 54,000–57,000 USD and 44,000–48,000 USD.

The Swing reading remains clear: the accumulated volume of liquidations is considerably higher above the market. If #BTC recovers the 82,000–84,000 USD zone, it would start to enter the most heavily loaded shorters block on the map.

🔗 tradingdifferent.com/es/dashboard/liquidation-heatmap?code=binance-square

$BTC
The low-timeframe Liquidation Heatmap explains proper why BTC didn’t sweep dem higher levels today, innit

But the setup ain't changed, fam ,Now the path to all that liquidity up top looks way cleaner, giving BTC a proper chance to squeeze dem shorts next, simple as

#BTC

BITCOIN ALERT! $BTC CAE AT $78,250 AND IT IS NEARING THE PSYCHOLOGICAL SUPPORT OF $78,000 🚨
A new wave of selling shakes the 1-hour chart. Bitcoin pulls back to $78,253.22, leaving behind an aggressive red candle that has purged leveraged positions in the upper zone around $79,600.
However, at the bottom of the chart, buy volume begins to respond above the key level of $78,000, while the moving averages (MA9 at $78,753.89 and MA21 at $78,916.26) point to the natural target for a short-term rebound.
Are we seeing the definitive "dip" before the real rally toward $80,000, or will the bears break through the $78K?
Join the discussion in the comments and get your position ready before the market decides! 👇
#bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #CryptoTrading #BinanceSquare

#BitcoinSurpasses$79K

🔥 Bitcoin at a crossroads… $83K or a new correction?

After a strong rebound from the $60K bottom, $BTC has returned to trading near $78K–$79K, but the battle hasn’t been decided yet! 👀

🐂 The bullish scenario:
Holding above $79K–$80K could pave the way toward liquidity at $83K.

🐻 The bearish scenario:
Weakening momentum and breaking support may confirm a head-and-shoulders pattern and push the price into a deeper correction.

🎯 Right now, the most important zone is $78K–$80K… and the next breakout may determine the direction of the next move.

Which scenario are you with: $83K first, or a new drop? 👇

#BTC #BinanceSquare