btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

$BTC Consolidation continues. The KDJ has formed a dead cross

Current price: 79,827.2, up 1.42%. It topped at 81,500.0, then a single bearish candle quickly pulled back, breaking below the 80,000 integer level. It is currently hovering around 79,827.

The technical picture has turned clearly weaker: the KDJ has already formed a dead cross, with K at 15.9, D at 25.4, and J at -3.0. The MACD histogram has narrowed continuously from a high of 159.8 to -103.1; the green bars have turned red, and momentum confirmation suggests fading. RSI6 has also fallen to 45.1, hovering near neutral but slightly weak.

Price is currently sitting below the MA7 (79,969.0). It is ranging and tugging around the MA25 (79,878.6). The Super Trend line is at 79,306.0. As long as this level is not broken downward, the uptrend structure that started from 77,600 is still relatively intact—more like a strong consolidation rather than a trend reversal.

Based on the earlier analyst Ali Charts’ assessment, Bitcoin’s current movement may be forming a fractal structure similar to the late-2022 bottoming phase. The key resistance zone is around $83,000. This recent push upward has not yet reached that area. After the pullback, whether support can hold near 83,000 is worth ongoing observation.

Do you think this pullback is just a shakeout, or a sign of renewed weakness?

This is only my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.
#比特币守于7.94万美元 #BTC #WTI原油涨1.6%至84美元 #标普500涨0.7%科技板块涨3.3% $ETH $SOL

From the weekly chart perspective, the bullish divergence rebound of BTC has reached a critical point
1. First, the candlestick is about to touch the previous high of 82,000
2. Second, pushing above 82,000 is where MA120 sits
3. Its MACD shows a bottom divergence cross-down below zero, but it hasn’t crossed above the zero axis yet

Therefore, in my opinion, this is a rebound rather than a reversal. Anyway, I’ve already sold all the BTC I bought at around the 60,000 range when it was above 79,000; I’ll wait to enter again on a pullback. I suggest not to chase the price when BTC is close to 82,000 and above.
#BTC

#BTC Double Event Collision—Don’t Chase Upward Blindly Today

Today, the market has two major events that are very likely to trigger sharp volatility occurring on the same day. Everyone must stay alert.
First: BTC options worth roughly $6.4 billion expire today. The expiring positions are heavy; large option positions are stacked around 75,000 and 80,000. During this time window, the order-book positioning and positioning battles are likely to change.
Second: tonight at 10:00 p.m., a Federal Reserve official will deliver a themed speech. Macro commentary will directly affect market risk appetite. Combined with options expiration, today’s volatility will very likely be amplified in the short term.
The logic is actually quite simple.
At 80,000, you have the market’s first major threshold. Until the price truly holds above this level, don’t get anxious and start imagining upside potential to 82,000 or 84,000.
The area above is a region of strong supply. Chasing for gains there doesn’t offer a great risk-reward ratio, so it’s not recommended to buy high at this point.
During the day, you can wait and observe if the price pulls back. Pay close attention to how capital is supporting/absorbing near 79,000.
If there’s willingness from funds to take over and pick up the dip there, then a light-position, opportunistic long at support could be acceptable;
if you can’t see effective support, then choose to wait and observe—never follow the market higher blindly.
Event-driven trading has extremely many variables. Don’t gamble on direction based on gut feeling—be patient and wait for the market to provide a clear signal before acting.

This BTC bear is cutting losses again… and the position is getting smaller.
Trader Trader-DoshiAtoll has been rolling over a massive 40x $BTC short, but this morning he was forced to cut another 100 BTC, locking in a $1.335M loss.
His short entry was as low as $67,338.1, which makes the current situation even more painful. He now has just 198 #BTC left in the short position, with around $2.51M in unrealized losses still on the table.
And zooming out, the damage is already pretty serious ... the account has reportedly lost around $5.91M over the past 30 days.
Still short. Still fighting it. Let's see if he finally gets the move he's been waiting for... or ends up cutting the rest too.

Here is his address: 0x66f889094739dbb7d20aa60f645acd88feba75a9

$BTC $BTG $DOGE Brothers, the new Fed Chair Worsh—I'm really at my wit's end. After taking office, he barely says anything. When you ask him whether they'll raise rates because inflation is so high, he just keeps circling the question and won’t give any forward guidance. He says on the surface, “The central bank sees core inflation rising and is more inclined to raise rates,” but he simply won’t tell you whether he thinks inflation is actually getting worse. The moment he speaks, interest rates don’t fall—they rise instead. The market immediately votes with its feet.

Even more ridiculous: the 30-year US Treasury yield has already run up to a new high since 2019. Treasury Secretary Bessent couldn’t sit still, stepping in to repurchase and push yields down. What does this indicate? Liquidity isn’t as loose as people think, and the cost of funds for long-end capital has been steadily climbing. For crypto, this isn’t good news. Risky assets like BTC fear nothing more than rates staying stuck at high levels—like a water faucet that won’t get turned on.

On Friday, at Jackson Hole, he still has one chance. Economists want him to spell it out clearly: if inflation is really sticking, will the Fed raise rates or not—and how. But based on his previous style, he’ll most likely talk about AI, population, geopolitics, and continue to dodge.

My take: don’t listen to the talk. Watch how the long-end yields and US Treasuries move. If he keeps being vague, the market will only “pressure for an answer” using high yields. Don’t expect a sudden flood of liquidity in the short term—stay defensive, and wait for clear signals. Otherwise, you’ll get stranded on the mountain after a false breakout.

#美联储会议 #BTC #宏观经济 #加息

📝#BTC Everyone, pay attention to the Federal Reserve Chair’s debut tonight at 10:00 p.m. (Powell). This is the person whom Trump personally handpicked and promoted. I’m sure he’s a dove dressed in hawkish clothing, so volatility will be amplified—control your position size. If there’s a big drop, that’s a buying opportunity. I also think Goldman Sachs has added to its position again at #XAU ; the logic remains unchanged. There should be another main upswing—over the next three months, #ETH —reaching around 5000. Gold should move to around 6000.
History of the Ming (Ming Shi) · Zhu Sheng Biography: Build high walls, stockpile abundant grain, and bide your time before claiming the throne.
（Let’s meet at the peak—let’s wait and see）

HUGE BITCOIN SELL WALL AT $81,000

Over $100 MILLION worth of $BTC sell orders are sitting around the $81K level.

That makes $81,000 a critical resistance zone in the short term.

If buyers absorb that liquidity, #BTC could push higher and trigger another wave of momentum.

But if the wall holds, expect sellers to defend the level and potentially force a pullback before the next attempt.

$81K is the level to watch. 📊

The question is simple:

Will #Bitcoin break through the wall or get rejected again? 🚨

#Crypto #Bullish $BTC

$BTC 💥Update view #BTC latest for everyone to reference nhé

📌 Trading plan (Short Setup):

Short Entry Zone: 80k4 – 80k8 (Use the bounce to test the resistance after a quick dip to catch a good position)

Current Sideway Range: 78k8 – 80k6

Stop Loss (SL): > 81k6 (If it breaks this level, accept cutting directly)

🎯 Take Profit Levels:

TP1: 78k6 – 79k (Nearest support zone / lower edge of the sideway)

TP2: 76k3 – 76k7 (Deeper expected target for this correction move)

#TradingSignals
#ScalpingTrading
#SwingTrade

Click here to trade $BTC 👇👇👇

$80 000 for $BTC : the bull trend’s threshold or a chance for new accumulation?
$BTC is again near $80K after a failed test of $81K on August 25. The key resistance zone is $83–85K: a confident breakout could open the way to $90K and potentially $100K. If $80K fails to hold, attention will shift to $77–78K, and in a deeper correction—toward the $63K area.

📊 The fundamental backdrop remains positive: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted about $1.92B in net inflows over the week—the best result in roughly 10 months. An important upcoming catalyst is the CLARITY Act, a procedural vote on which in the Senate is expected in September. A positive outcome can support the crypto market, while a delay or failure could increase volatility. $80K is the battleground zone, $83–85K is the key to continuing the uptrend. 👀

#Bitcoin #BTC #crypto #BİNANCE #CLARITYAct

#BTC
BTC Outlook Update:

If the smaller timeframe continues, and you don’t know how to confirm the range of the consolidation, you can temporarily mark a range:

Draw a horizontal line at the high point. Areas near that horizontal line are the consolidation highs. Unless there is a strong trend, price is mainly expected to range within the box. You can watch around the horizontal line, or after a fake-break structure, you can take a swing short!

If it’s below the consolidation range, you can draw a trend line based on the current smaller timeframe low, forming a trend channel with the upper area—such as a parallel channel or a wedge channel!

$BTC Near 80,000 you’ve been grinding for so long that the volume has shrunk to only two tenths of the average volume. Either this is building up momentum or you’re waiting to unleash a big move. Many people chase in at this point—ask them and they say, “I feel like it’s about to break out.” Ask again and they can’t even say where their stop-loss is. The longer it consolidates, the more painful the breakout/turn will be. Before the direction is confirmed, don’t hard-guess. Control your position size and wait for a volume expansion before deciding. DYOR, keep your hands in check #BTC #比特币 #合约交易 #行情分析 # trading strategy

#BTC

Spiked up to 81,500 only to get smashed again! BTC once again falls below 80k. The consolidation range remains steady as Mount Tai—81–82k is still the high-altitude battleground!

$BTC Although on the smaller timeframe a brief high appears, the essence of the consolidation hasn’t changed!

On the smaller timeframe, the price briefly broke toward the vicinity of 81,500, but met resistance and pulled back. It has already dropped below 80k now, so the consolidation range is still valid. Just keep watching the high-point resistance above!

The expected high-point zone of 81–82k remains effective. Within the range, you can take swing short positions, and just monitor whether the trendline is shifting upward below! $BTC

$BTC stuck near 80,000 feels like a chunk of chewing gum—chew and chew but can’t get through, spit but you don’t dare. How can volume shrink to only 40% of usual, while the main players all went off to drink tea? In times like this, it’s easiest to set people up for a quick trade—one small bullish candle to trick you into chasing, then flip with a bearish bar to bury you. $ETH is even more brutal: the amplitude is only two points—maybe the trader’s training an EKG. Remember: rebounds without volume are just messing around. It’s better to miss out than to make a mistake. DYOR, keep your hands in check #BTC #以太坊 #行情分析 #短线交易 #trading-psychology

8.28 Big-Bread Market Analysis
On Friday, the market moved as scheduled. After BTC probed the 81500 high, it quickly faced downward pressure and pulled back. The current price is 79,600. After the spike, the sell pressure above was released in a concentrated manner.
The large-scale bullish trend has not changed, but the 81,500 level is a strong resistance. The market closed with a long upper-wick K-line, and the price action has entered a high-range consolidation period to digest the move. The long-vs-short game is clearly intensifying, and we expect another modest upward push!
Trading suggestion
Go long at 79,000–79,400
Stop-loss at 78,500
Targets: 81,000–81,500
#BTC

🔥$BTC $龙虾 Tonight at 22:00, the new U.S. Federal Reserve Chair (Powell?) makes his debut at Jackson Hole, and the crypto market is holding its breath. His remarks will set the tone for interest rates and regulation: a dovish stance could help BTC break through 83,000, while a hawkish stance may trigger a sharp drop. Currently, Bitcoin is hovering around 80,000; volatility has surged. Please control your position size strictly—don’t go all-in betting on a move. Stay rational and respect the market.
👇

#BTC #美联储 #杰克逊霍尔

Bernstein calls out $125,000 for Bitcoin—can it really rise that much? #BTC

Recently, Bernstein said Bitcoin could have a chance to reach $125,000 in December this year.
Based on today’s price, that would mean it still needs to climb about 58%.
So is it really possible?
Just look at the data on Polymarket.
Right now, the trading volume for the relevant contracts is already around $60 million.
The market-assigned probabilities are roughly:
$130,000: 7%
$120,000: 13%
So for $125,000, I think it’s about 10% or so.
And there’s an important detail here: as long as Bitcoin touches this price at any time in 2026, it counts—even if it doesn’t close at $125,000 by year-end.
Let’s compare other price points:
$100,000: 31%
$95,000: 42%
$90,000: 56%
In comparison like this, the market clearly seems to favor the $90,000 to $100,000 range more.
Of course, a 58% rise for Bitcoin isn’t impossible.
When the trend turns, it does move very fast—Bitcoin could rise by 28% in the first ten days—so $125,000 isn’t totally out of the question.
But the issue is this:
Whether it can reach a certain level is one thing; whether it can reach it with high probability is another.
Bernstein is looking more at Bitcoin’s larger cycle—useful for estimating roughly where prices might be over the next few years. But using that model to judge the exact price a few months from now is actually a lot less precise.
So if I had to place a bet right now, I’d only give $125,000 about a 10% chance.
As for the rest, we’ll have to see how the market plays out.

Breaking down from underlying logic, this round of BTC’s rise is a rebound, not the beginning of a bull market.

Poor Target Brother—he may get liquidated again.

Every bull market cycle happens because a massive amount of liquidity flows in. Whether it’s rate cuts, or a brand-new innovation narrative on a grand scale, or even the move toward crypto regulatory compliance—whatever it is, the underlying logic is the same: liquidity inflows drive bull markets.

Now, it’s obvious there’s no new innovation, no grand narrative, and no rate cuts.

This rebound is driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields: the Treasury Department increases its repurchase of Treasuries, and Trump calls out “crypto” with positive remarks—leading to a short-term sentiment rebound.

It also looks more like a tactic Trump is using to gain more support for the midterm elections.

Tell those politicians: if you want crypto to keep developing, you need to support me. I make a call and it will go up.

Next are two very clear bearish signals—watch the risks:
1. Claude’s parent company plans to announce its IPO on 9/7, with listing in October.

At that time, liquidity in the crypto market will be drained.

2. The midterm election is in November. During the election period, Trump may stir things up to win more support. After it ends, it becomes bearish.

So remember: don’t chase the price blindly.
$BTC #BTC

Superman 100U DCA Day 14 of $BTC ✅

Order filled price: $79288
Current price: $79626

Bitcoin (big pie) is grinding back and forth around the $80,000 mark—up and down, it’s enough to make people’s hearts race.

Those who are bullish are hoping it keeps pushing to new highs, while those afraid of buying high are always worrying about a pullback and a sell-wall dump.

Anyway, my strategy is:
I’ll DCA while waiting for Bitcoin to rise higher and then pull back for a bottom-buy. Recently I also started using a small amount of capital to buy MEME coins, mainly watching three chains: SOL, BSC, and Robinhood 😂
Based on my observations, the SOL chain is what cost me the most money, so I’m planning to focus on the Robinhood chain.

⚠️DYOR
#BTC #DCA

After a massive pump in $BTC now WHALES are building a huge resistance zone from $80,000 to $82,500.
$79,000,000 sitting at $82,500.
This isn't spoofing. It's big resistance.
That's why i have decided to go short on Bitcoin and other Altcoins. Dont miss this opportunity.
Short #BTC & #ETH Here 👇👇👇

#BTC Hold bullish—targets are clear. No matter how much the market dips or how it rises,

On day 9, ETF inflows came in, and the “big whales” are also piling on and targeting the $100,000 mark.

If you can’t beat them, join them! I’m also bullish—long the market and the bulls win.