btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

$BTC Consolidation continues. The KDJ has formed a dead cross

Current price: 79,827.2, up 1.42%. It topped at 81,500.0, then a single bearish candle quickly pulled back, breaking below the 80,000 integer level. It is currently hovering around 79,827.

The technical picture has turned clearly weaker: the KDJ has already formed a dead cross, with K at 15.9, D at 25.4, and J at -3.0. The MACD histogram has narrowed continuously from a high of 159.8 to -103.1; the green bars have turned red, and momentum confirmation suggests fading. RSI6 has also fallen to 45.1, hovering near neutral but slightly weak.

Price is currently sitting below the MA7 (79,969.0). It is ranging and tugging around the MA25 (79,878.6). The Super Trend line is at 79,306.0. As long as this level is not broken downward, the uptrend structure that started from 77,600 is still relatively intact—more like a strong consolidation rather than a trend reversal.

Based on the earlier analyst Ali Charts’ assessment, Bitcoin’s current movement may be forming a fractal structure similar to the late-2022 bottoming phase. The key resistance zone is around $83,000. This recent push upward has not yet reached that area. After the pullback, whether support can hold near 83,000 is worth ongoing observation.

Do you think this pullback is just a shakeout, or a sign of renewed weakness?

This is only my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.
#比特币守于7.94万美元 #BTC #WTI原油涨1.6%至84美元 #标普500涨0.7%科技板块涨3.3% $ETH $SOL

📝#BTC Everyone, pay attention to the Federal Reserve Chair’s debut tonight at 10:00 p.m. (Powell). This is the person whom Trump personally handpicked and promoted. I’m sure he’s a dove dressed in hawkish clothing, so volatility will be amplified—control your position size. If there’s a big drop, that’s a buying opportunity. I also think Goldman Sachs has added to its position again at #XAU ; the logic remains unchanged. There should be another main upswing—over the next three months, #ETH —reaching around 5000. Gold should move to around 6000.
History of the Ming (Ming Shi) · Zhu Sheng Biography: Build high walls, stockpile abundant grain, and bide your time before claiming the throne.
（Let’s meet at the peak—let’s wait and see）

This BTC bear is cutting losses again… and the position is getting smaller.
Trader Trader-DoshiAtoll has been rolling over a massive 40x $BTC short, but this morning he was forced to cut another 100 BTC, locking in a $1.335M loss.
His short entry was as low as $67,338.1, which makes the current situation even more painful. He now has just 198 #BTC left in the short position, with around $2.51M in unrealized losses still on the table.
And zooming out, the damage is already pretty serious ... the account has reportedly lost around $5.91M over the past 30 days.
Still short. Still fighting it. Let's see if he finally gets the move he's been waiting for... or ends up cutting the rest too.

Here is his address: 0x66f889094739dbb7d20aa60f645acd88feba75a9

There’s a trap happening right now with Bitcoin.

Not necessarily in the chart.

In the investor’s head.

When $BTC was much cheaper, buying seemed dangerous.

After a strong rally, buying starts to look safe.

But I try to separate two things:

Thesis ≠ execution.

I can remain extremely optimistic about Bitcoin in the long run and, at the same time, not think it’s smart to use all my capital after a vertical spike.

That’s why I like working with:

recurring contributions + cash + opportunistic buys + risk management.

My goal isn’t to nail the bottom.

It’s to keep accumulating Bitcoin without running out of ammunition precisely when the market offers the best opportunities.

$BTC

And you: do you keep cash waiting for opportunities, or do you invest 100% as soon as you receive money to contribute?

#bitcoin #DCA #BTC #smartdca

The position is still the same as yesterday’s first long; it was short by 300U to reach 81888. Currently the highest has risen to 81500. With this 30% position, as long as it doesn’t hit 78800 to lock in break-even, we’ll keep holding until 81888.

Also, last night while sleeping I set up a long order to add on with some unrealized profit, and the add-on was short by a few hundred U but didn’t get filled because it wasn’t set properly. If there’s no update to a new strategy, it will remain valid and keep standing by. Luckily I’m trading Bitcoin—look at Ethereum, this little trash has basically had no movement at all from 2600. #ETH #BTC

🚨 Friends, as you already saw #BTC is in the 80s. My advice: don’t trade or buy yet because it’s uncertain what the next price will be since there are still several liquidations to complete.

🛑 If you like my posts, I’d appreciate it if you leave your like 👍, thank you very much in advance

Most of the “ANALYSTS” still believe that #BTC will drop to $56,000 this year.

It’ll be funny to watch those same analysts say that maybe we’ll never have Bitcoin below $60K again. 😂

And the most interesting part is tracking the narrative shift:

First, the target was $50K.
Then, it turned into $52K.
Now they’re talking about $56K.

In a few more weeks, if the market keeps rising, they’ll say that BTC will fall to $58K. 😂

The market warns about when the bottom is in only a few times. After that, it simply leaves behind anyone who keeps waiting for prices that will never come.

The next 30 days should bring even more confirmations that the bottom has been set.

While some keep waiting for Bitcoin to drop dramatically, others have already positioned themselves for the next upward move.

The market doesn’t forgive those who spend too much time waiting for the perfect price.

$BTC really arrived at the bottom?

Focused on a strong resistance area on the weekly chart, if it breaks this resistance it can reach again above 100k… strong expectations, this reversal is awaited by all of us

#BTC

🚨 Nvidia’s earnings blew the roof off! Did Bitcoin get carried too?

Group: 点击加入玖玖的粉丝群

This time, Nvidia’s earnings once again beat market expectations. Quarterly revenue reached $96.2 billion, higher than the market’s forecast of about $92.3 billion. Guidance for the next quarter is even higher at $108.0 billion.

After the news broke, Nvidia jumped about 8% in pre-market trading, and tech stocks surged across the board. Companies related to AI infrastructure also rose along with the broader move. What’s even more worth paying attention to in the crypto space is that Bitcoin (the big one) also rebounded in sync, again challenging the $80,000 level.

What this really shows is that the market logic is becoming clearer: the linkage between AI, tech stocks, computing power, and risk assets is strengthening.

Nvidia’s management expects that FY2028 revenue could still grow by around 70%. They also said that future demand for computing power will remain enormous, and supply could continue to be a limiting factor.

So what the market is focused on this time is not just “one earnings report beating expectations.”

The real question is: has the AI boom really ended?
From the current picture, the answer may not be that simple yet. If tech stocks strengthen again and market risk appetite picks up, Bitcoin and the entire crypto market could continue to be driven by sentiment.

Next, key points to watch: whether Nvidia’s rally can sustain, and whether Bitcoin can truly hold above $80,000.

Click the avatar to watch the live stream + join the Jiujiu chat group to get daily strategies 🚀
#英伟达 #Aİ #BTC

🚨 #BTC BULLS ARE HOLDING THE LINE! 🛡️‼️
Morning #bitcoin Coffee ☕ 🌞 .... is Loading.... Don't miss it.....

Buying the dip like a boss! 👇‼️

Entry: 80150–80200

Stop-loss: 79500

TP1: 80600
TP2: 81000
TP3: 81400

Click here to trade 👇⬇️⬇️ Long.. With meee...👇⬇️ $BTC

#BTC
BTC Outlook Update:

If the smaller timeframe continues, and you don’t know how to confirm the range of the consolidation, you can temporarily mark a range:

Draw a horizontal line at the high point. Areas near that horizontal line are the consolidation highs. Unless there is a strong trend, price is mainly expected to range within the box. You can watch around the horizontal line, or after a fake-break structure, you can take a swing short!

If it’s below the consolidation range, you can draw a trend line based on the current smaller timeframe low, forming a trend channel with the upper area—such as a parallel channel or a wedge channel!

#BTC

Spiked up to 81,500 only to get smashed again! BTC once again falls below 80k. The consolidation range remains steady as Mount Tai—81–82k is still the high-altitude battleground!

$BTC Although on the smaller timeframe a brief high appears, the essence of the consolidation hasn’t changed!

On the smaller timeframe, the price briefly broke toward the vicinity of 81,500, but met resistance and pulled back. It has already dropped below 80k now, so the consolidation range is still valid. Just keep watching the high-point resistance above!

The expected high-point zone of 81–82k remains effective. Within the range, you can take swing short positions, and just monitor whether the trendline is shifting upward below! $BTC

🚨 US Debt Breaks $40 Trillion!
BlackRock: What could truly affect BTC may not be the regulatory bill, but this number!

Group: 点击进入玖玖的粉丝群

U.S. public debt has officially surpassed $40 trillion. Robert Michnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, believes that compared with the crypto regulatory bill the market has been closely watching, the increasingly heavy fiscal pressure in the U.S. may be the bigger variable affecting BTC’s long-term trajectory. 👀

What’s most worth focusing on now isn’t just the total debt, but also the fact that the interest the U.S. pays every year is already approaching $970 billion—almost comparable to defense spending. In simple terms, the U.S. is entering a cycle of “more debt, higher interest.” If, going forward, fiscal operations can only be sustained by increasing debt and expanding the money supply, then the market will naturally begin searching for assets that can hedge against the erosion of purchasing power caused by currency debasement.

That’s also why the “digital gold” narrative for BTC is being brought up again. 🟠

Michnick believes BTC and other crypto assets are not quite the same. Of course, the regulatory bill matters, but BTC already has spot ETFs, and its asset status in the U.S. has gained relatively clear market recognition.

What could truly change the logic of long-term capital allocation is, instead, the U.S. fiscal situation. Data shows that BlackRock’s IBIT currently holds a sizeable amount, and spot BTC ETF inflows have continued recently as well. Whether institutions will keep increasing their allocation in the future may increasingly come down to one question:

If U.S. debt continues to balloon, with the dollar’s purchasing power and fiscal risks continually debated by the market, will BTC become a “non-traditional reserve asset” in the eyes of more and more capital?
Of course, this logic isn’t a universal formula for the short term.

BTC will still be affected by liquidity, ETF flows, macro interest rates, and the leveraged market. Even Michnick himself previously warned that the sharp volatility caused by excessive leverage remains a major risk for BTC entering the institutional market.

But the figure of $40 trillion is definitely worth the market rethinking.

Click the avatar to watch the livestream + join the Jiuji chat group for daily strategies 🚀

#BTC #美国债务

8.28 Big-Bread Market Analysis
On Friday, the market moved as scheduled. After BTC probed the 81500 high, it quickly faced downward pressure and pulled back. The current price is 79,600. After the spike, the sell pressure above was released in a concentrated manner.
The large-scale bullish trend has not changed, but the 81,500 level is a strong resistance. The market closed with a long upper-wick K-line, and the price action has entered a high-range consolidation period to digest the move. The long-vs-short game is clearly intensifying, and we expect another modest upward push!
Trading suggestion
Go long at 79,000–79,400
Stop-loss at 78,500
Targets: 81,000–81,500
#BTC

Bernstein calls out $125,000 for Bitcoin—can it really rise that much? #BTC

Recently, Bernstein said Bitcoin could have a chance to reach $125,000 in December this year.
Based on today’s price, that would mean it still needs to climb about 58%.
So is it really possible?
Just look at the data on Polymarket.
Right now, the trading volume for the relevant contracts is already around $60 million.
The market-assigned probabilities are roughly:
$130,000: 7%
$120,000: 13%
So for $125,000, I think it’s about 10% or so.
And there’s an important detail here: as long as Bitcoin touches this price at any time in 2026, it counts—even if it doesn’t close at $125,000 by year-end.
Let’s compare other price points:
$100,000: 31%
$95,000: 42%
$90,000: 56%
In comparison like this, the market clearly seems to favor the $90,000 to $100,000 range more.
Of course, a 58% rise for Bitcoin isn’t impossible.
When the trend turns, it does move very fast—Bitcoin could rise by 28% in the first ten days—so $125,000 isn’t totally out of the question.
But the issue is this:
Whether it can reach a certain level is one thing; whether it can reach it with high probability is another.
Bernstein is looking more at Bitcoin’s larger cycle—useful for estimating roughly where prices might be over the next few years. But using that model to judge the exact price a few months from now is actually a lot less precise.
So if I had to place a bet right now, I’d only give $125,000 about a 10% chance.
As for the rest, we’ll have to see how the market plays out.

🚨 BITCOIN IS STARTING TO ATTACK THE $80K AGAIN

After breaking through this level, BTC is trying to prove that $80,000 can become support.

And this is what I’m watching 👀

🟢 Buy-side demand still strong
🟢 Institutional interest
🟢 Market with good depth

If BTC manages to consolidate above $80K, the next major psychological target could be $90K.

Obviously, nothing is guaranteed. If it loses $80K decisively, we could see a pullback.

But for now, I still see more reasons to be optimistic than to panic. 🚀

Does $80K become the new floor? 👇

$BTC #bitcoin #crypto #BTC

End of the bearish market for bitcoin, last call to accumulate. Don’t buy after the monthly RSI exceeds 55.

if you wanted a signal of what to do, waiting for a correction is not the right move #BTC

$BTC This time it’s reached back around the 80,000 area again.

But I think what’s most critical now isn’t whether we can break above 80,000.

It’s whether the 81,000 zone can truly be absorbed.

In the previous pushes higher, each time it reached the resistance area it started to grind—this suggests the sell pressure above hasn’t been fully digested yet.

Below, the 78,500 area is still being held, so the structure hasn’t broken.

This is the most uncomfortable part right now:

If you call it weak, it can’t really drop.
If you call it strong, it can’t get past 81,000.

What I want to see now is how it handles this range.

If it breaks above 81,000 on increased volume, then the bulls can be said to have real confidence.
If it gets knocked back below 80,000 again, then the short-term move will likely continue to keep washing.

Don’t rush to chase a single bullish candle.

A genuinely strong market is one where resistance is cleared—and when it pulls back, there are still buyers ready to pick it up.

#比特币受阻于81000美元50周均线 #BTC

🚨 $BTC DEMAND ZONE ABSORBING SELLER LIQUIDITY BEFORE EXPLOSIVE LEG TO 90K! 💥

Entry: 79,432.52 ⚡
Target: 83,548.50 - 87,527.00 🚀
Stop Loss: 77,182.90 ⚠️

📌 While retail panics over a minor leverage flush, institutional bids are quietly stacking up inside this golden demand block. 🦈 Smart money is stepping in to absorb every market sell order before the next macro breakout.

💡 Chasing breakouts above 90k is amateur hour when you have high-conviction order flow backing this retest right now. ⚡ Hesitation during high-reward reclaims usually leaves traders watching the move from the sidelines. 💬 Are you bidding this institutional sweep or waiting to FOMO at the high? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #LongSetup #Bitcoin #Crypto

🔥 💎