btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

BTC: Is this breakdown a “bear trap” or the start of a real cascade?

BTC’s 1H chart is aligning perfectly with the Wyckoff structure, moving from UTAD (false breakout) to SOW (high-volume breakdown). Price is now aggressively testing the entry trigger near 80916.

If this is a false breakdown at the LPSY (Last Point of Supply), this is now a highly attractive transition point between a contrarian early entry and a confirmed entry.

• Entry: 80916.30 (confirmation required)
• Stop-loss: 79161.30 (with a carefully controlled risk/reward ratio)
• Profit targets: TP1 82035.3, TP2 82855, TP3 84357
#BTC

Bitcoin pulled off another successful fakeout last night. #BTC swept the liquidity below, stopped out the longs, then bounced back in a V-shape. It bottomed near 79,200 and rebounded to a high of 81,000—roughly a 2,000-point move.

Last night, after it broke below 80,000, I added a little to my short. When it bounced back to 80,200, I cut it immediately. So frustrating how it keeps moving like this: it dumped on Saturday, then bounced right back in a V. For now, as long as it holds above 80,000, it could continue ranging, and it may push back toward 82,000 again.

I was supposed to be taking a break, but I went live to steady everyone’s nerves and publicly led you all in opening positions to buy the dip.
I said, 【within 9 hours, it would recover to above 80,000】.
Then, before going to sleep, I also told everyone:
Don’t listen to other people’s bullshit. As long as 【the daily candle closes above 80,000】,
then right now, whether you added to your position along with us or joined us later,
you’re all going to make big money. Let’s go!
Go cast your votes, brothers!!投票链接：新生代找爱coin斯坦
@Crypto小胖 @宇神ETH These two are good brothers too. Everyone, go vote—they’re very responsible.
Those of you who’ve been watching my livestreams for a while know
I usually don’t take heavy positions; I generally trade with everyone using light positions.
But I felt this really was a great opportunity, so I led everyone into a position at this bottom.
As a trader, unlike an analyst, I also wanted to take a bold shot with everyone. My hands were shaking too,
but that’s how you seize an opportunity. Let’s fucking do it!!! Shit!
#BTC

Below $80,000—I still think it’s a test!

1️⃣ According to market reports, $BTC 10/24 hit a low of around $79,221, marking the second time in about 10 days it has fallen below $80,000.

2️⃣ According to reported ETF data, net outflows totaled around $770 million on 10/22–23 (the 23rd includes only some issuers). The week’s total is still a net inflow.

3️⃣ The FOMC rate decision is coming up next Wednesday, 10/28—a key moment!

The market is extremely volatile right now, so I urge everyone to be patient.

Also, with short-term outflows and weekly inflows happening at the same time, I’m curious: are institutions getting out, or just rotating their positions?

#BTC #比特币ETF #FOMC

【ZuoZuo’s Trade Idea】🎯 BTC wicked down to 79,221 and recovered to 80,470—time to go long?

At 23:00 last night, BTC plunged to 79,221 in a single wick. One-hour trading volume hit 169 million U, several times higher than during the daytime. The price didn’t continue falling, and by early morning it had reclaimed the 80,470 level. Current price: 80,899 (Binance spot, essentially flat over 24 hours).

The lows have been rising over the past few hours: 80,304 → 80,418 → 80,552. After the wick flushed out leveraged longs, the structure actually looks cleaner.

Direction: Long
Entry: 80,500–80,800
Stop-loss: 80,200 (below the 05:00 retest low of 80,304)
TP1: 81,500 (morning high on 10/24)
TP2: 82,060 (daily high on 10/23)

Rationale: The price quickly reclaimed 80,470 after breaking below it, which looks like a false breakdown caused by a weekend leverage flush. The hourly lows have also been steadily rising.
Invalidation: If the 1-hour candle closes back below 80,300, this trade setup is invalid.

Just my personal opinion. Please manage your own position size and risk.

My previous ZEC trade hit its stop-loss, and I’ll keep sharing updates on this one. Do you think this wick marked the bottom, or is it just a pause before next week’s FOMC? 👇

#BTC #比特币 #左左观点单 #FOMC

$BTC

🚨 BITCOIN: FINAL BULL TRAP OR THE LAST SHAKEOUT? 👀

Everyone is waiting for another crash… but what if Bitcoin is preparing for its next major move? 👀

📉 $81K → $73K → $67K → $53K?
🚀 Or will $BTC surprise everyone and recover before reaching those levels?

No one knows the exact bottom. Previous cycles can offer clues, but nothing is guaranteed.

The real question is… will you be ready for whichever direction BTC takes? 🐂🐻

👇 What's your prediction?

#BTC #Bitcoin

#BTC ｜Liquidity Watch 💧 10 / 25

After taking the liquidity below last night, price made a straight V-shaped reversal.

The 4H candle directly formed a CISD.

The liquidity above the high is at 82096, which is also a stop-loss zone for many short sellers.

To see whether this liquidity can be activated, watch whether price can build up in the premium zone.

🚨 BITCOIN RECLAIMS $81K LEVEL 🚨

According to Binance Market Data, $BTC crossed the 81,000 USDT milestone on Oct 25, 2026, at 02:41 UTC.

📍 Current Price: 81,000 USDT
📈 24H Change: +0.04%

Bitcoin is holding near the key $81K psychological zone as traders watch whether bulls can build momentum or face another rejection.

🔥 Key levels to watch: 🟢 Resistance: $82K–$83K
🔴 Support: $80K–$79.2K

Will BTC break higher or return for another retest? 👀

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Binance #EarningsSeason

(Not financial advice. DYOR.)

From the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin remains in a correction amid bearish divergence. The current candlestick is between MA120 and MA60, with no clear support. If it fails to reclaim and hold above 82,000 in the short term, a major market shift may follow. Over the next few weeks, the market is likely to fluctuate between 74,000 and 82,000. #BTC

Trading Plan Update $BTC and $ETH Daily 25/10/2026 :
- On yesterday’s H4 chart, BTC and ETH saw a very sharp decline, breaking through strong support
- Prices are currently recovering strongly, with green candles closing after forming long lower wicks
- The daily candle closed red, but had a fairly long lower wick and weak selling volume
- The nearest resistance levels for BTC and ETH are $81,800 and $2,410, respectively
- The RSI indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes have entered oversold territory and are expected to recover
=> Trading strategy: Wait for prices to retest the previous lows, then open long positions in BTC and ETH to catch the strong upward recovery

#BTC
#ETH

OUTLOOK #BTC FOR 25/10: BTC IS BOUNCING BACK UP — BUT COULD $81,900 BE A TRAP?

BTC is currently around $80,850. I lean toward a scenario where the price bounces up to sweep liquidity above before potentially resuming its decline. I wouldn’t prioritize chasing a Short at the current price.

H1 is showing a short-term BULLISH bounce, but the broader H4–H12–D trend structure still leans BEARISH.

BTC just swept the recent low near $79,190 and bounced back to $80,800.
The H1 RSI is around 53, and the MACD is recovering: short-term buying pressure is emerging.
However, BTC has yet to reclaim the $81,500–$82,200 supply zone to confirm a sustained reversal.

BTC could move up to the $81,500–$81,900 zone to test buy-side liquidity. If strong selling pressure appears there, BTC could continue lower to $80,300, or further down to $79,500–$79,200.

🚨 BITCOIN WARNING: Final Bull Trap?
$BTC is showing signs of weakness as the market enters a possible cycle-bottom formation phase.
📉 Possible downside path: $81K → $73K → $67K → $53K
But remember — markets can invalidate any scenario. Watch key support levels, liquidity zones, and volume confirmation before making decisions.
📌 Save this chart. Come back in a few weeks and compare the outcome.
🔔 Follow for real-time BTC updates, market structure & major moves.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate

Bitcoin just finished falling, and now a new threat is lining up.

Oil has surged to $117, a six-month high.
This time, it’s not just about higher prices—people are factoring in the cost of war.

Three things happened in three days:

The Houthis struck Saudi Arabia, and even its headquarters were evacuated.
An oil spill occurred off the coast of the UAE.
The US and Israel have a plan ready to strike Iran.
They’re just waiting until after the November 3 election.

Why is the crypto world worried about oil prices?

Bitcoin was already falling.
If oil prices rise further, everything gets more expensive,
and the Fed will be even less willing to turn on the money taps.
When money gets tight,
Bitcoin takes the hit first.

But history tells another story:
Over the past 13 midterm elections,
US stocks rose an average of 12% over the following six months.

That is, as long as there’s no war.
If fighting really breaks out, oil could top $120,
and then we could see the familiar sell-off play out all over again.

Here’s my take:

Before November 3, there’s probably nothing to worry about.
The market will just keep swinging back and forth, so don’t make rash moves.

After November 3,
whether or not Iran gets hit is the real question.

If there’s a strike: oil will surge, and Bitcoin will keep falling.
If there isn’t: once the uncertainty clears, whatever’s meant to rise will rise.

So the smartest move right now is to keep your position small.
Wait for the uncertainty to clear before making a move.
There’s no shame in that.

#Bitcoin #BTC

First, let’s check the score: Yesterday, I said ETH would head toward 2360 → 2300 if it couldn’t reclaim 2400. Sure enough, it failed to reclaim 2400, broke below 2360, and even wicked down to 2289 intraday before recovering to 2356. The 2000 scenario didn’t play out, so I was half right and half humbled. I’ll own that.

Back to this $BTC chart: On the 4H, we got a death cross at 83440, a brief struggle around the golden cross at 82730, then another death cross at 81417 pushing price down—three layers of resistance overhead. But a bullish divergence is emerging, and the double bottom at 79220 hasn’t broken. Yesterday, price wicked below 80,000 to 79240, then quickly turned around and recovered to 80782. The bears tried to knock it down in one go, but couldn’t. Now we’re stuck at 80929, just below the 81417 death-cross level. The Fear & Greed Index is at 46, neutral, and everyone’s waiting for the FOMC announcement next Tuesday or Wednesday. Earnings season is still having an afterglow, and this level is the real test. I’m leaning bearish, but I’m not chasing the short: if 81417 can’t be reclaimed, 80,000 will likely get tested again; if price reclaims it and holds, then we can start talking about a rebound. Just my personal opinion, not financial advice. Which comes first tomorrow: a break below 79220 or a reclaim of 81417? Pick a side in the comments.

#EarningsSeason #BTC #FOMC #Cryptocurrency

The BTC liquidation radar just came out, and the overhead stop-loss wall is at full strength: 100/100.

Data as of 10-25 09:45, current price $80,960.

━━ Overhead liquidation zones (top three) ━━

No. 1 $81,150–$81,450 Strength 100/100 Distance from current price +0.39%
Heat is rising +0.74%, and short stop-loss orders continue to pile up

No. 2 $82,000–$82,200 Strength 60/100 Distance from current price +1.44%
Heat +1.25%; the second wall is also getting thicker

No. 3 $80,950–$81,050 Strength 48/100 Distance from current price +0.14%
Right above the current price, almost within reach

━━ Liquidation zone below ━━

$78,800–$79,050 Distance from current price -2.21%
The remnants of long positions left by yesterday's 22:15 bearish candle

━━ What this chart is telling us ━━

The heat map strength at $81,150–$81,450 is maxed out, and heat is still rising.
Short stop-loss orders are continuing to pour into this zone.

The big players' logic: the thicker the stop-loss wall, the greater the payoff for pushing price into it.
There's no reason to leave a stop-loss wall worth around $116 million untouched.

The current price is only 0.14% away from $80,950—
this level is highly likely to be triggered first, then momentum could carry price toward the major wall at $81,150.
Short liquidations would provide fuel to push price toward $82,000.

━━ Two scenarios ━━

Main scenario (more likely):
Current price → sweep $80,950 → push to $81,150–$81,450 → watch $82,000
Entry: near $80,960; invalidated if price breaks below $80,400 and closes lower

Secondary scenario:
A decisive break below $80,500 on rising volume → drop to $78,800–$79,050

━━ Conclusion ━━

Stop-loss wall strength is 100, and heat is still rising—short-term bias is bullish.
Wait for a pullback near $80,960 to enter; don't chase the price higher.

Which side will BTC hit first today?
Comment A (sweep the overhead $81,150 stop-loss wall first) B (drop to the $78,800 liquidation pool below first) C (keep grinding sideways)

Follow me for livestreams and SMC lessons every night at 21:00
Register for a 20% trading fee discount 🔗 www.bsmkweb.cc/register?ref=XZBX666
🌿 Zhao | For reference only
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH #合约交易 #PerpetualFutures

🔥 $BTC is testing a critical zone. The next close could provide important signals.

After failing to sustain its recovery toward US$85,000 early in the week, BTC returned to trading in the US$80,500–81,000 range on Saturday (24/10).

This range deserves attention because it brings together recent support references. But a technical level is only confirmed when the price reaction shows that there is enough demand to defend it.

📉 Spot ETF flows also raised a red flag:

• Thursday (22/10): net outflows of approximately US$635.6 million.

• Friday (23/10): further outflows of around US$137.9 million.

That was nearly US$773.5 million in net redemptions over two days. This points to weakening short-term demand via ETFs, but on its own, it is not enough to confirm a lasting downtrend.

Two scenarios are worth monitoring:

🔹 Defending US$80,000: holding this range, followed by a recovery above nearby resistance levels, would ease immediate pressure on the price — without, by itself, confirming a resumption of the uptrend.

🔹 A sustained break below US$80,000: this would increase the risk of a deeper correction, with the US$78,000–76,000 range as a possible area to test.

This Sunday's weekly close (25/10) will help assess the strength of the defense, but it won't determine the next direction on its own.

The point isn't to predict the next move at all costs, but to observe which scenario the market confirms.


#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets

📡 Market Update | $BTCUSDT Holds $80K Into Fed Week

Yesterday was a macro day, not a crypto day. $BTCUSDT slipped below $80K on reports of US evacuations across the Middle East, then reclaimed the level to close near $80.8K, inside a $79.2K to $81K range.

What I find interesting is the split underneath. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw about $636M leave on Thursday and another $138M on Friday, while breadth stayed weak and only a handful of large names closed higher.

$ETHUSDT sits near $2,356 and $SOLUSDT near $102, both still soft against $BTCUSDT. That tells me capital is staying defensive rather than rotating out with confidence.

👀 The $80K area matters for now, with the Fed decision on Oct 28 and December hike talk as the next catalyst. A pause is widely expected, but the message around energy and inflation could still move the tape.

Personal opinion, not financial advice. DYOR.
#BTC #Crypto #CryptoMarket #Fed

Day 1 | The account is live—let’s talk about something real.

I’ve been trading for three years. In my first year, I thought I knew everything. I went all in on leveraged futures, posted screenshots of my trades in the group every day, and shared those moments when I’d made a few hundred U. I really thought I was born for this. Other people lost money because they were stupid. I was different—I had “market intuition.”

Then year two taught me a lesson.

I remember it so clearly. One night in May, I opened a 10x long. I had over 40,000 in my account before bed. I figured I’d sleep for a couple of hours and close the position when I woke up. Then, in the middle of the night, my wife shook me awake and said my phone wouldn’t stop buzzing. I grabbed it, still half-asleep, and saw the liquidation notice. In four hours, a long wick had swept right through my stop-loss, then the price bounced back. If I hadn’t fallen asleep, I could’ve manually closed before it hit. If I’d used a stop-limit instead of a stop-market order, the slippage wouldn’t have been so bad. If I hadn’t used 10x leverage. If I’d checked the chart before going to sleep.

No ifs.

That morning, I didn’t even get out of bed. I just lay there. My wife thought I was sick and asked what was wrong. I said I was fine. It wasn’t that I was upset. I was stunned. It wasn’t the 40,000 I was grieving. I’d suddenly realized something: all my “market intuition,” “technical skills,” and “strategies” had been worth nothing that night. I had no idea what I was doing. I’d just gotten lucky on a few trades and thought I’d figured it out.

After that, I stayed away for three months. Not because I’d quit, but because I was scared. Every time I opened the app, I remembered that notification in the middle of the night.

When I eventually came back to trading, I was a different person. I cut my position sizes in half, kept leverage below 3x, and set my stop-losses in advance without touching them. I made money more slowly, but I could sleep at night. I’ve been trading again for over a year now, and I haven’t been liquidated since.

It’s Sunday. BTC is hovering around 80,000, and I haven’t made a move. I don’t open positions on weekends—that’s a habit of mine. It’s not being timid; knowing when not to trade is more important than knowing when to trade. The Fed has an announcement next week, so I’ll take another look after Wednesday.

Going into the weekend with no open positions feels good. How’s your day going? Let’s chat in the comments 👇
#BTC

The market makers launched a surprise attack last night—and handed us the perfect dip to buy! It’s already reversed sharply!
Bitcoin is up 2.16%, gaining 1,713 points!
Ethereum is up 3.56%, gaining 81 points!
Congrats to all the Fish fans who watched the livestream last night and followed along! Let’s feast! #BTC $BTC

📊 Bitcoin, October 25: Holding $83,000–$86,000 and scenarios for month-end

Good morning! ☀️
Bitcoin is ending October in a tense sideways range around $83,000–$86,000.
Despite local consolidations, BTC dominance remains high, shaping the dynamics of the entire altcoin market.

What to watch today:

Support: $81,500 — a key zone for the bulls.
Resistance: $86,500 — a breakout would open the way to new Q4 highs.

Drivers: Inflows/outflows in spot ETFs and macroeconomic rate expectations.

💡 Strategy: Don’t rush into leveraged trades over the weekend; watch the daily candle close.

Trade idea for $BTC today:

Entry Zone: $81,000–$81,600 (a test of the bearish Order Block zone, imbalance, and premium range during a corrective bounce).

TP: $79,200 / $77,500 (the first target is a new local low and a sweep of liquidity below; the second target is a deeper support zone on a higher timeframe).

SL: $82,300 (placed above the local structural high; a breakout and price holding above this level would break the bearish structure and invalidate the trade idea).
👇

#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare