btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

❗BLAKE2b algorithm

Supporters of Bitcoin Knots are moving forward with a second breakaway hard fork attempt, scheduled around September 1, 2026, after an earlier minority branch (BIP-110) stalled due to a lack of miner support.

The core technical update replaces Bitcoin's traditional SHA-256d proof-of-work algorithm with BLAKE2b. This shift aims to eliminate reliance on existing SHA-256 ASIC miners by utilizing hardware compatible with the BLAKE2b algorithm, such as devices previously used for Sia mining.

However, major exchanges, mainstream wallets, and infrastructure providers have not publicly committed support for the new chain, raising questions about liquidity, wallet compatibility, and transaction replay risks.

#BTC #BITCOIN $BTC

📊 $BTC holds at $78K: resilience or calm before the storm?

Bitcoin stays at $78,000** despite a hostile environment: a hawkish Fed (58% chance of a rate hike in Sept.), oil above **$90** due to the Iran–U.S. war, and the first ETF outflow in 9 days (-$201.9M). It’s a test of resilience the market didn’t expect.


🛡️ Why is it staying put?

· Technical support holds: BTC has found buyers at $76,800-$77,000. As long as it stays above $78,000, the short-term bullish structure remains intact.
· Rotation into Bitcoin: BTC dominance has risen above 60%. Capital is leaving altcoins and taking refuge in Bitcoin.
· Michael Saylor buys: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) bought BTC for the first time in two months. It now holds 840,447 BTC at an average price of about ~$75,000.
· Cooling sentiment: the Fear & Greed Index fell from 81 (extreme greed) to 68-70, a healthier zone.

📉 Bearish forecasts

· "September effect": historically weak. 10x Research warns BTC could break below $60,000 and reach **$55,000** before the cycle’s floor.
· Active capitulation signals: VanEck notes that 8 of 12 signals have already been triggered, placing the bottom between September and November.
· The Fed won’t cut soon: inflation at 3.7% and unemployment at 4.1%. If Friday’s jobs report is strong, the odds of rate hikes could exceed 60%.

🔮 Can it hold without positive news?

Yes, but with conditions. The market has already priced in the pessimism. The next catalyst is Friday’s jobs report (58,000 jobs expected). A weak print could push BTC toward $80,000-$82,000. A strong print could send it to test $76,800-$77,000.

Base case: consolidation in the $77,000-$79,500 range until the next catalyst arrives.

Do you think Friday’s jobs report will be the catalyst Bitcoin needs? 👇

#bitcoin #BTC #trading #AnalisisTecnico #estrategia

URGENT: THE MOST PROFITABLE PERSISTENCE IN THE HISTORY OF BITCOIN!

An investor has just regained an estimated fortune of US$ 5 MILLIONS in Bitcoin ($BTC) after an incredible 12-YEAR battle! The user relentlessly tried to contact the old management in order to recover access to his lost assets in the past.

💡 THE IMPACT OF FORCED HODLing:
While Bitcoin trades today around $78.750, this case makes clear two crucial lessons for the market:
1️⃣ THE POWER OF TIME: What was a modest value more than a decade ago turned into generational wealth thanks to the parabolic appreciation of $BTC.
2️⃣ THE IMPORTANCE OF SELF-CUSTODY: Relying on third parties or old management can freeze your capital for years. Keeping your own private keys is the only real guarantee!

AND YOU? Would you have the same PATIENCE to fight for 12 YEARS to get your coins back, or would you have given up along the way?

Leave your opinion in the comments! 👇

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #HODL #BinanceSquare

BTC just pulled out a bullish candle with +1.23% on the 1-hour chart. On the 15-minute chart, though, the dual moving averages have all been pushed back underfoot. Visually, it looks like an attempt to push higher. But the real money moving is going in the opposite direction of this bullish candle.

In the past five large orders, net outflows totaled 1,056 BTC, while over the last three hours the spot net inflow of +3,287 BTC is almost entirely propped up by small and mid-sized orders being filled one by one. Institutions are withdrawing, retail traders are catching—this is distribution, not entry.

The derivatives side hasn’t supported this bullish candle either: open interest shrank by 1.95% over 24 hours, leverage loans collapsed by 66% over 12 hours, and the funding/fee rate is only 0.01%. The basis is still at a discount—there’s no new leverage or fresh capital. Any rebound is being held up purely by short-covering.

This move is basically a paper rebound. Go short at 78.8k directly. The first target is 77.0k. Above 79.4k is the supply/overhang zone from this round.

There’s only one condition for a reversal: large orders must continuously flip to net inflow, OI must turn upward with additional positioning, and price must hold above 79.4k—showing that real money is back. If that happens, shorts should撤 immediately.

#btc $BTC

#BTC Big.... Alert 🤯 I am doing Long here👇

🚀 BTC is holding the breakout zone… I’m targeting a fresh push toward the upside‼️🔥

Entry: 78,752.4

Stop-loss: 78,314.8

TP1: 79,200.0

TP2: 79,600.0

TP3: 80,026.1

Click here to trade 👇⬇️⬇️ Long.. With meee...👇⬇️ $BTC

$BTC Keep persevering. It isn't easy yet but it still looks good. In another context, one would say that #btc is ready to explode. We'll see soon what happens. Down below, the 70,000 to 72,000 range is still a possibility. Today I bought, like every day, $10 in #bitcoin and $10 in $BCH . Check out my long-term portfolio 👇

Bitcoin’s monthly chart has closed with a strong long bullish candle, which basically confirms that the bear market has hit bottom, and it can be qualitatively considered the start of a bull market. There is policy risk of an interest-rate hike in September, so there may be a shakeout in September.#BTC

$BTC at 78 870$ : The market is hesitating, and so am I when ordering a pizza 😅

Look at this 1-day chart—it tells a story:

We just went from $62,535 → we sprinted straight up to $81,478. Even Usain Bolt would’ve asked for a pause.

And now? We consolidate.

What I see:

1. The price at $78,870 is right up against the MA(7) at $78,634. Translation: short-term buyers are still defending. If we break $77,000 (the 24h low), we’ll say hello to the MA(25) at $70,902.

2. RSI at 67.31: We’re in the “warning, it’s getting hot” zone but not yet in overheat (70+). There’s still a bit of fuel left before the euphoria zone.

3. Volume 1.32B: It’s dropping. Normal after a pump. Everyone’s catching their breath again. This isn’t panic—it’s digestion.

My simple scenario, no crystal ball:

As long as we hold above $78,634 (MA7), the bias stays bullish. Target: a retest of $79,250, then $81,478.
If we lose $77,000, we don’t cry—we wait for $74,090 for the next decision.

This market doesn’t reward those who click the fastest; it rewards those who wait for the right setup.

So which team are you: “I’m waiting for the 80k break” or “I’m securing a bit”?

#BTC #AnalyseCrypto #BinanceSquare #cryptouniverseofficial

The moment the Fed chair spoke, BTC immediately gave back its gains—but in truth, no one who’s really smart got off the train 😏
In plain terms, when Warsh turned hawkish and said inflation still needs to be dealt with, the market understood instantly—don’t expect any easing in the short term. But take a look at the prediction market: the people betting on BTC hitting new highs by year-end didn’t budge at all; some even kept adding. Think about what that means—those who shout the loudest are often just fence-sitters, while the ones putting real money on the line long ago treated inflation as an old script.
I’ll be blunt: inflation data is no longer the switch that decides BTC’s life or death—the liquidity outlook is. The more stubbornly the Fed talks, the closer it signals a turning point is, and BTC is waiting for that moment. This little pullback right now is just the final chance for the hesitant to get on board.
Will you choose to bottom-fish now, or wait until the Fed really loosens its tone before chasing? Chat in the comments 👇
#BTC #牛市 #加密货币 #inflation

$BTC
🚨 Is Bitcoin at risk of a Long Squeeze?

📉 A drop in open interest means part of the leverage is leaving the market, but rising funding for Long trades suggests that the remaining traders are still betting on Bitcoin’s rise.

⚠️ The problem starts if the price falls: leveraged buy positions may be forced to close and get liquidated, increasing selling pressure and leading to a Long Squeeze.

📌 Holding above $79,700 is important, while a drop below $77K–$78K may increase liquidation risk and accelerate the decline.

Summary: Higher Long funding combined with a falling price can create strong pressure on leveraged buyers.

⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation#BTC

$BTC holders just moved 6,950 BTC to Binance... Trap or what?

This is the third 5K+ #bitcoin inflow surge since January, with previous spikes occurring near major price lows.

Could this be another stabilization signal instead of a sell signal?

#BTC

⚠️ Bull trap or push to $80K?

​$BTC closed the month clinging to $78,000. The market is split: the bears see an inevitable profit-taking pullback toward 73,000, while the bulls keep accumulating in anticipation of the big breakout.

​Trading volume is starting to compress... and when this happens, the move is usually violent. 💣

​👇 Which side are you on for this week?
A) Breakout to $80,000+
B) Pullback before to 73,000.


​#Bitcoin #BTC #crypto #BinanceSquare

🚨 $BTC doesn't ask permission.
While some wait for “the perfect entry,” Bitcoin keeps reminding us why it was created: limited supply, clear rules, and without relying on governments.
Volatility scares many.
Conviction separates those who study from those who only chase FOMO.
Is BTC speculation or the evolution of money?
#BTC #bitcoin #crypto #BinanceSquare #dyor

🚨 $BTC doesn’t need everyone to believe in it. It only needs them to understand, in due time, why it exists.
Each cycle repeats itself:
​“Bitcoin is already dead.”
​“Bitcoin is too expensive.”
​“I’ll wait for a dip.”
​“Now I missed it.”
📌 BTC was not created to promise quick gains. It was created with a limited supply, a decentralized network, and rules that don’t change due to political decisions.
That’s why, when uncertainty rises around money, inflation, debt, or traditional markets, Bitcoin returns to the center of the conversation.
But watch out: BTC can surge hard and also correct violently. Volatility is still part of the game; researching, defining risks, and avoiding trading out of FOMO matters more than chasing every move.
The big question for this cycle?
Is BTC just a speculative asset… or the foundation of a new way to save value?
💬 Comment: What do you think will be the most important Bitcoin narrative this year?
#bitcoin #BTC #crypto #BinanceSquare #blockchain

I’ll put my conclusion here first: if $BTC breaks and holds above $79,000, I’m still more inclined to watch and wait—I’m not chasing.

This breakout looks powerful, but I just don’t feel it’s relaxed enough.

Spot is currently 78,843.82; over the past 24 hours it’s basically been grinding sideways, up only about 0.163%.

But futures volume is already 8.9 times that of spot.

It feels like getting off work and coming back to Tiantongyuan: the elevator is going up, but everyone inside is secretly straining— the air feels tight 😅

Looking at the intraday range: the low is 77,000 and the high just tapped 79,250.

The spread isn’t small, which suggests this position isn’t one of those super clean one-way moves—it’s more like going back and forth to test.

Funding rate at +0.0083% isn’t extreme either, meaning sentiment is a bit hot, but not hot enough to be out of control.

So I don’t think this is a comfortable place to just blindly chase.

What bothers me even more: the news says the breakout is above 79,000, but right now spot is still hovering around 78,800.

That image of “it just surged up and then gets pulled back a little” is especially easy to make your brain run hot—thinking you’ll miss the chance if you don’t chase.

Honestly, in times like this, it’s easiest to get hit by emotions.

I was just checking the market while wearing a face mask, and a pimple just literally crouched in front of my keyboard; the cat looked calmer than me 😂

My own plan is to not add any position for now.

If it can stay above 79,000 for a bit longer, then I’ll admit this push-up is more solid.

If it can’t hold, then most likely this is still going to be a very tiring cycle of back-and-forth.

In this move, I’m seeing the breakout, but I’m not convinced.

The market can flip its mood really fast. Don’t give up your rhythm just because an integer-number level gets broken.$BTC #BTC

If you can’t hold, don’t get on the train. Anyway, I’m also learned the hard way through losses.

#StriveStrategy
#BTC
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Will US GDP jump 20%? The last time was after World War II—now Trump just blurts it out, and even adds a jab: “Don’t raise interest rates too fast.” Inflation is still above 2%—listen to what he’s really saying. It’s basically putting pressure on the Federal Reserve 🔥.

In plain terms, if he won’t let rates rise, then the faucet keeps running—high-volatility assets like BTC and ETH absolutely love a storyline like this. But a 20% growth rate? I’ll be blunt: it’s like a pie-in-the-sky promise bigger than a pizza 🍕. Since World War II, it’s happened only once—what exactly would support it? Still, the crypto market always trades expectations. As long as the rate-cut expectations don’t die, money will dare to rush in.

Do you think this is genuinely good news, or just hype and pumped-up talk? See you in the comments.

#Fed #BTC #ETH #加密货币

9.1 Day $BTC Morning Analysis and Views for This Month
Today is the first day of school, and it’s also the start of our re-launch this month. This month, let’s all work hard. Recently, all the orders in the live room have been for quantities of thousand-tiers or above. Yesterday I told everyone that the rebound is a “bearish rally.” Let’s take a look at the current status of the big pancake. The real “trigger point” for this round of market action is the Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish speech at Jackson Hole. He clearly stated that the anti-inflation mission is “far from complete.” After his remarks, the probability of a September rate hike jumped from 37% to 57%–60%.
In mid-September, three “time bombs” will detonate at the same time: the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, the Fed’s September 16 interest rate decision, and the quarterly derivatives settlement on “Four Witches’ Day.” Open interest in the futures market is as high as $54.8 billion. With such leverage, once the direction is set, volatility will be amplified to extreme levels.
$78,000 is not the bottom—it’s merely the echo of a bear-market rebound hitting the ceiling. When the tide truly recedes, we’ll see who was swimming naked. Personal suggestion from Yi Fan: look for the range around 79980–79580 for a sell setup. Target the area around 78000–77000. If it breaks down further, continue to look lower. #BTC #ETH #比特币守稳78000美元上方