btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

Lose less money in the crypto world—five big principles.

1. Invest in Bitcoin via DCA

2. Stay away from futures contracts

3. Buy Dogecoin when the monthly chart is bottoming out

4. Don’t mess with low-quality “shitcoin” trading platforms

5. Learn A-Sir’s spot DCA method: BTC BNB SOL CRCL HYPE
#BTC $BTC

BTC multi-period objective market analysis

4-hour period

Current price 79448

1. Moving averages: Price has fallen below the MA25. The short-term MA7 is flattening. MA25 has turned downward. Short-term bullish momentum is weakening, entering a short-term sideways and slightly weak pattern. MA99 is at 78697, which is the core support for this range.

2. RSI: 40.06. It has fallen from the highs, remaining neutral to slightly weak. It has not reached the oversold zone, and there is still room for further downside.

3. Volume: Trading volume has recently contracted. Bulls and bears are temporarily stuck, lacking capital with one-way pushing strength.

• Resistance levels: 80559, followed by the previous high at 82300

• Support levels: 79000, with strong support at 78697

Daily period

Overall, it is a high-range consolidation after a previous uptrend. The larger-scale uptrend structure has not been broken. The price’s pullback to the short-term moving averages is part of the rest period after the rise.

The RSI is in the neutral range, with no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. For now, there is no clear one-way direction.

Weekly period

The medium- to long-term primary trend remains upward. The large rally structure that was lifted from the low is still intact. The current market is classified as a pullback consolidation within the uptrend process, not a trend reversal.

Overall summary

Short term (4h): Slightly weak consolidation; price is in the bulls-bears watershed area, awaiting a directional choice.

Mid term (daily): Range-bound consolidation in a high zone; trend is undecided.

Long term (weekly): The larger trend is bullish.

Two objective scenarios
1) Downside: A volume-backed breakdown of 78697. On the 4-hour level, the correction would begin, with a downside target near 77000.

2) Upside: Break and hold above 80559 on high volume, restarting the rebound, and retesting the 82300 high point #BTC

Bitcoin 🟢

We saw a local increase up to the $80,400 mark, after which an immediate pullback followed.

I think this local bounce and prolonged churn within the range is simply luring people into long positions. Usually, a rise within a consolidation is taken as a positive signal, so many start entering longs expecting the uptrend to continue. But most often, such moves turn out to be just manipulation, after which price goes in the opposite direction.

If we break through the current local range and then hold—at least on the 4H timeframe—below $79,200, then the market correction should accelerate significantly.

#BTC $BTC

9.7 #BTC market analysis

The video is paused for one day because today the U.S. stock market is closed, and the low-volatility continuation continues into the weekend

BTC 79,500 - 80,200 consolidates in a tight range at the high end, squeezing between resistance 82,500 and support 76,000-78,000

ETH is relatively strong; resistance is 2,500, support is 2,340-2,400

After a rebound, gold is capped by resistance from the trendline; resistance is 4,450, support is 4,250-4,300

【Breaking! About 4,000 BTC Transferred, Worth About US$320 Million】
On September 7, 2026, a major security incident occurred on Bitcoin sidechain Liquid Network. About 4,000 BTC were transferred out from related wallets, worth approximately US$320 million.
Even more outrageous, the person who transferred the funds also claimed to be a "white-hat hacker." After the incident, Liquid Network has suspended new transactions, and some platforms have also suspended LBTC deposits and withdrawals.
It should be noted: this was not a hack of the Bitcoin mainnet, but a security issue on the Liquid sidechain.
The biggest question now is:
Will these 4,000 BTC be returned?
#BTC #Bitcoin #Liquid #Crypto $BTC

Whales are shorting en masse 🐋

Short positions by large traders on the Bitfinex exchange have reached a 7-month high.

Whales are shorting the market as actively as never before. I think not without reason.

#BTC $BTC

​🧬 🎯$BTC : MAKER IN PASTCI MINI APPLE: THE PAYLOAD FOR YESTERDAY’S SETUPS! 🔬🍎
​Bitcoin implemented a local low-update scenario, settling in the $79,360 zone. After liquidity removal, the price continues to stay above the SuperTrend.
​🔎 OPERATING DATA:
1️⃣ Whale Flow 🐋: Return of big capital! Daily inflow of large orders is +717.39. The 5-day base flipped into the green zone: +469.38.
2️⃣ Market Energy 🏔️⚡: OI is held around 105.5K BTC. The funding rate remains moderately bullish.
3️⃣ L/S Trap 📊: Total L/S accounts are stable around 1.06. However, traders on positions remain overheated in longs with a high coefficient of 2.02!
4️⃣ CVD & Z-SCORE 🛠️: Z-Score dropped to a diluted value of 0.40. CVD delta fell to -0.80, showing absorption of sell orders.
​🎯 LIQUIDITY MAGNETS:
⬆️ UP $80,500 – $81,500: The “Golden Apple” zone 🟡
⬇️ DOWN $79,000 – $78,000: The “Poisoned Apple” zone 🩸
​🍎 VERDICT Mini Apple:
Status — Golden Apple 🟡
A diluted Z-Score and Whale Flow returning indicate that a sweep down to $79K has exhausted sellers. Holding above $79.2K opens the path to a raid of $80.5K with an exit to $81.2K. However, keep in mind the overheated L/S — if $79K is lost, the maker will take liquidity at $78K.
​#BTC #MiniApple #BinanceSquare

⏳ Bitcoin Halving Countdown: the real “chips” are patience that carries you through the cycle. Based on the latest data from history.btc123.fans/half/ , the next Bitcoin halving is expected to happen on March 30, 2028 at 16:52, which is about 569 days from today. At that time, the block reward will drop from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. Every halving is a supply contraction written into the protocol: fewer newly minted coins, while human impatience, chasing rallies, and forgetting don’t automatically disappear. The hardest part of Bitcoin has never been understanding the halving—it’s whether you can stay active through a long wait. Split your capital into portions you can comfortably afford, buy in batches on a fixed schedule, and when prices swing wildly, don’t easily change your plan. This simple “stacking sats” approach is, in essence, trading time for decision-making space. It doesn’t promise profit on every trade, but it can help you avoid putting all your hope on a single “perfect entry.” The prerequisite is good position management—use only funds you won’t need in the long run. Page records show that after the first halving in 2012, the price went from $11 to $260; after the third halving in 2020, it went from $3,150 to $68,790. History won’t mechanically repeat, but supply slowing down, consensus expanding, and cycle patience form clues worth studying. When value investors buy Coca-Cola, they’re not looking at a one-day quote—they’re looking at the brand, cash flow, and long-term compounding. Stacking sats needs this perspective too: first confirm the scarcity and network value you recognize, then use discipline to push through the noise. There are 569 days until the halving—time is pricing in every person who keeps accumulating. May we trade fewer emotions and embrace more long-termism. Good night—may you stick to your plan, and also to your patience for the future. #BTC #互关互粉 #Bitcoin Halving

BTC is currently trading near 79,289.04 USDT on Binance. In the last 24 hours, it opened at 79,960.00, hit a high of 80,559.99, and a low of 79,001.10. This implies an approximate variation of -0.84% versus the period’s opening. In other words, BTC remains relatively stable today, with moderate intraday fluctuations and still within a high-price zone. If you’re tracking the short-term move, it’s worth watching whether it regains the 80,000 area or if it loses momentum near the daily low. This data is for the BTC/USDT spot market and reflects the current price at this moment on Binance.$BTC
#BTC

📊 BTC ANALYSIS — MONDAY 07/09 07:26 AM (Bolivia)

Price: $79,429.9 | High: $80,536.1 | Low: $78,938.7 | Change: -0.55%

📈 Quick analysis:

- BTC hit a high at $80,536 → dropped with a long wick → bounced back from $78,938 ✅
- Now it’s consolidating around $79,430 — equilibrium, no strong pressure
- RSI 55.5 → has room to move up, NOT overbought
- MACD and KDJ turning upward → signal of a possible rebound 🔵
- Resistance: $79,600 → $80,000 → $80,536
- Support: $79,200 → $78,938 (strong)

🎯 Conclusion: BTC is breathing and recovering. It didn’t break down with strength. It’s building energy to try to get back to $80,000. Patience — long-term outlook intact.

#Bitcoin #BTC

$BTC Evening report: 79,400 USD on the front line, slightly down 0.6% over 24 hours, with the whole day stuck in this narrow range of 78,900 to 80,500—within a $1,600 band. Trading volume over 24 hours: 67.5 billion, steady at normal levels.

Wall Street is starting to pivot. In August, NFP came in at 162,000; the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Inflation is still hovering above the 2% target. CME data has priced in a rising probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 58.4%, up from under 40% last week. “Wash” is being targeted by the White House—meaning the window for rate cuts is being squeezed.

Oil has another wrinkle. Aramco’s Jizan facility was hit again tonight, the second attack in the past month, boosting spot oil prices in the short term.

But there’s an unusual signal worth highlighting: the 90-day correlation between BTC and gold is 0.59, the highest since 2020. Yet its sensitivity to U.S. Treasury yields is only -0.17. In other words, people are using Bitcoin as a shadow of gold—but if rates truly move higher, it may not necessarily fall along with them.

F&G is still stuck at 71, seriously diverging from price action. If 79,100 can’t hold, it should first fall back to 78,200; only then should the discussion shift to a push toward the 80,000 integer if price can stand above 80,300.

#加息预期升温 #油价反弹支撑 #BTC

#BTC This week the key level is 79600, after trading activity over the weekend. I expect that this resistance will prevent further growth and we will see our 73, possibly already this week. Maybe next week. But a correction is needed. Then we will see whether we continue to fall or whether this will still be 73-85.

🔥 Crypto long/short tug-of-war! What should you do now with BTC, ETH, and SOL? Here’s the full picture

1. First, $BTC : current price —, 24h -0.5%, ranging and consolidating. The resistance above is —, and the bottom support below is —. When price is trapped between these two levels, it’s a ranging game—don’t jump to conclusions.

2. Next, $ETH : current price —, 24h +0.2%. It’s likely hovering around a key watershed area: if it holds support, rebounds still have the second half to play; if it breaks down, you’ll need to wait for the next base to form.

3. $SOL : current price —, 24h -1.8%, and it’s still the most volatile. Aggressive traders watch for a breakout near —; conservative traders wait for a pullback to — before acting.

📋 My trading plan (personal thoughts only, for reference):
Entry: — area, scale in nearby—don’t chase
Position sizing: no more than 10% of total capital
Take profit: level 1 — (stay cautious), level 2 —
Stop loss: if it breaks below —, exit decisively—don’t “hold and hope” through it
Reason: the structure above support hasn’t broken; following the trend matters more than predicting.

Are you currently fully in, half in, or in cash? Comment your position in the section below!

#BTC #ETH #crypto market
⚠️ Not financial advice—do your own research. The above is my personal review/thought process and does not constitute investment advice.

Iran plans to set up a “restricted zone” near the Strait of Hormuz. I think this message is even more worth market警惕 than just shooting down a few ships.

War is an instant of emotion, but changing shipping rules can affect global energy pricing as a whole.

A lot of people have become numb to Middle East news—they feel like, “it blows up today, talks tomorrow, and in the end the market will just keep rising anyway.” But the Strait of Hormuz isn’t a normal place. Here lies the most sensitive “throat” for global energy transport. Now the signals Iran is sending are also very direct: it is preparing to establish a new restricted area, and ships entering the relevant zone may face sanctions.

I think what the market is really afraid of isn’t whether Iran will completely close the strait. It’s that, going forward, every tanker that passes through here will have to recalculate safety costs, insurance costs, and political risk.

Oil prices have already rebounded back to nearly $100—this is where it gets really troublesome.

When oil rises, transportation costs rise; when transportation costs rise, inflation is likely to creep back in; and if inflation starts to reemerge, the Fed will have to weigh whether it can still afford to ease.

So this news will likely circle back—again—and land on BTC’s head.

Many people like to package Bitcoin as “digital gold,” and they think the more chaotic the war is, the more BTC will rise. I’ve never really agreed with such a simplistic logic.

In the short term, when a real risk event hits, the first reaction for funds is often to reduce leverage and hold cash. For Crypto—an asset with 24/7 trading and high volatility—it’s actually easier to be the first one to get cut.

But what’s interesting is that $BTC is still holding above $80,000 for now.

That suggests the market hasn’t been completely scared off by Middle East risk.

So if oil prices keep surging and BTC starts to weaken, that would be the classic “risk asset cool-down.” But if the Middle East keeps stirring and crude stays in a high-range, while BTC can still hold steady—or even push higher—then this strength shouldn’t be underestimated.

What Hormuz is bottlenecking isn’t just tankers.

It could be global inflation expectations, the Fed’s next move, and whether Crypto can keep rising comfortably.

I’ll watch this line more closely than the price chart.

#伊朗将设霍尔木兹海峡限制区 #霍尔木兹海峡 #BTC

I still believe $BTC will take correction from here, Here is why?

Still at resistance continuously getting rejected from resistance area

From 60K-->$80K we saw ETF buying and also price increment but now ETF are buying continuously from last 2 weeks but price is in range what it suggests?

It indicates someone is selling more then strategy and ETFs collective buying so once they stop buying for 2,3 days we will see a drop and minor selling from there side can easily drop back #BTC to 71K zone

Last data was also not in BTC favor

So looking at these 3 points we can say #bitcoin will drop from here

Instead of regretting later take action now......

SideSwap suspends Liquid services! 4,000 BTC moved out, did $320 million funds go bad?
Today, a major bombshell suddenly appeared in the crypto market.

SideSwap announced:
All swap, peg-in, and peg-out services related to Liquid have been suspended.
The reason is a security incident on the Liquid network.
Around 4,000 BTC was transferred out from the Liquid Federation wallet, worth about $320 million, accounting for 95% of the roughly 4,200 BTC reserves previously held.

What’s even more strange is:
This withdrawal was completed via SideSwap’s Peg-out Authorization Key (PAK).
However, Liquid states:
❌ The PAK itself was not compromised
❌ No other Federation key leaks were found
❌ SideSwap also said its own systems were not breached

Current disclosed information points to:
An Elements software vulnerability → resulting in L-BTC without real BTC backing → exchanged into real BTC through the normal peg-out process.
That means the most concerning possibility isn’t necessarily “private keys were stolen.”

Instead, it’s this:
The system treated fake L-BTC as if it were real L-BTC.
That’s also why Liquid chose to pause the network directly.
The entity claiming to be “white hat” has already contacted Blockstream via on-chain messages, and says that after the vulnerability is fixed and all nodes complete the upgrade, they are willing to return most of the BTC.

So now there are three key questions:
1️⃣ Can the 4,000 BTC ultimately be recovered?
2️⃣ How exactly was the Elements vulnerability exploited?
3️⃣ When will Liquid resume normal operation?

The good news is:
The Bitcoin mainnet itself has not been affected.

But this incident once again reminds the market:
BTC itself is safe ≠ BTC’s Layer 2, cross-chain bridges, custody, and anchoring mechanisms are equally safe.
Especially assets like L-BTC that rely on federation mechanisms—once a problem occurs with the underlying peg, the risk can quickly amplify.

This time, what truly needs attention isn’t whether BTC will drop because of the news, but whether the $320 million worth of BTC can be returned safely in the end.

#BTC #liquid #sideswap暂停liquid服务

I’m only sharing my personal opinion. If you’re here to be contrarian, please go around.

From a long-term perspective, this is very likely a bull market, but there is one more thing to watch: where will the next pullback find support? If it stops falling at 7.5, 7.3, or 7.1, that’s actually all fine. If it goes lower, say 6.5, then the structure is broken.

So if you haven’t gotten in yet, no need to rush. There will definitely be another chance to enter. The real question is: after a drop, will you still believe it’s a bull market, or will you swing back to being bearish?

Two key points:

1. Before Bitcoin started moving, gold had already started moving 12 days earlier. The patterns are almost identical: after about two months of accumulation at the bottom, both saw three consecutive days of strong gains. Whether it was driven by news or capital flows, the two are correlated, and Bitcoin also broke out only after two months of bottom accumulation.

The support line for gold’s bottom accumulation is at 4200. Last week’s non-farm payroll data was strongly bearish, but after dipping to around 4300 at the low, buying quickly increased and pushed prices up sharply. This shows that market demand is very strong, which is a sign of a bull market.

2. Most people have experienced bull markets before. Take a look at around May 10, 2025: after about two months of accumulation, ETH posted three straight days of big green candles, then moved sideways again in the 2500 range for another two months, after which it broke upward again all the way to 4900. In total, that took about five months. The front end of this bull run looks very similar to the current trend: bottom accumulation, three straight days of strong gains, and high-level consolidation. The bull trend is obvious.

Of course, no one can say for sure that it is definitely a bull market, because it still needs one pullback to confirm. In the early phase of the 2025 bull market, there was a deep 50% retracement before the second wave began. Looking back, that was just a shakeout: clearing weak hands, lowering the cost of the next push, and reducing the load. The main players are not here to dress everyone else in profit.

So set your expectations: within about a month there should be a deep correction, and then the second wave up should begin. If you believe this is a bull market, that will be your second chance to enter. If you don’t believe it, that’s fine with me—I’m only sharing my personal view, believe it or not, it’s up to you. If there is no pullback, then either stay on the sidelines and wait for the bull to end, or chase a breakout trade. There’s no other way. #BTC #ETH

Brothers, I used volume+price plus naked K to recheck the BTC 4-hour chart. I’m laying out the direction for everyone!
After starting around 76,264, it surged with increased volume to 82,300, which confirms that the previous upswing was indeed driven by funds.
But near 82,300, it started to go sideways (stalling), with volume gradually shrinking and bullish momentum clearly weakening.
Now it has pulled back to around 79,400. Overall this is a high-level, low-volume pullback—for now, it’s not a trend reversal.
The key support to watch is 78,800–79,000. If it holds, there’s still a chance for a rebound.
🔥 Short-term direction: wait for the pullback to stabilize around 78,800–79,000, and you can consider going long.
Long entry: around 78,900
Stop loss: 78,200
First target: 80,000
Second target: 80,600
If there’s a breakout above 80,600 with increased volume, then the upside continues to look at 81,000–82,300.
⚠️ If the 4-hour timeframe sees heavy volume breakdown below 78,800, the long setup logic is immediately invalid.
In that case, don’t try to catch it by force. If it rebounds to the 78,800–79,000 area, that’s actually a better place to observe a short opportunity.
Short reference: after a confirmed break below 78,800, set stop loss at 79,500, with targets at 77,300–76,200.
One sentence: don’t chase longs or shorts right now—focus on whether the 78,800 support holds or fails; increased volume is what confirms the direction.
$BTC
#BTC走势分析 #btc

$BTC has been grinding near 79500 for almost a full day now. The trading volume has shrunk to only two-tenths of the average volume. This kind of "stillness" is often more tormenting than "movement." Both bulls and bears are waiting—whoever can’t hold out first will suffer. Remember: when there’s no clear direction, staying in cash is also a position. Don’t trade just for the sake of trading—an itchy urge to trade is the first trigger of losses. DYOR, control your hands #BTC #比特币 #交易心理 #短线交易 #BinanceSquare

Bitcoin $BTC price has reached $81,407. Four-cycle pattern. Three parabolic rises. One pending.

2012: parabolic. 2016: parabolic. 2020: parabolic. 2026: pending.

Each previous cycle, before the parabolic rise appeared, looked like it had crashed.

This is now. The fourth parabolic rise has begun. #BTC #Crypto Buffett