Reueus

在比特幣價格走勢疲軟的情況下，幾種山寨幣卻出現了大幅上漲。
最新數據顯示，$PIPPIN 和 $ASTER （ASTER）是過去一週表現最強的幣種。
這一走勢反映了在主要市場放緩時資金向山寨幣的輪換。它們的交易量和市值表明風險偏好仍然很高。
$PIPPIN 激增，周漲幅超過 175%

PIPPIN 的交易價格約爲 $0.4897，過去一週錄得約 175.18% 的增長。其市值約爲 4.8971 億美元，24 小時交易量爲 7649 萬美元。

Remains in a consolidation phase after dropping from the US$1.60 level earlier this month. On Thursday afternoon (Feb 12), the price was trading around US$1.37–US$1.38, attempting to hold a key support area.
Selling pressure has started to ease. Exchange reserves are declining, and community sentiment is improving following XRP Community Day. The big question is: is this momentum strong enough to end the sideways movement?
Price Still Trapped Below Key Resistance
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows XRP moving in the middle to lower range of the Bollinger Bands, with volatility beginning to contract. Band compression typically signals a consolidation phase after selling pressure fades.

However, the price has yet to break above the middle Bollinger Band (around the 20-day moving average). As long as XRP remains below this level, strong resistance sits in the US$1.45–US$1.50 range.

On the downside, US$1.35 serves as the nearest support. If this level fails, the next potential downside target is around US$1.28.

In short, the current market structure remains neutral to slightly bearish with no confirmed trend reversal yet.

Selling Pressure Is Fading, But No Strong Inflows Yet

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is still slightly below zero but has started to move upward from its recent lows. This suggests that selling pressure is gradually weakening.

That said, capital inflows have not yet returned in a meaningful way. Without a significant increase in volume, XRP risks continuing to trade within a narrow range.

Exchange Reserves Are Declining
On-chain data shows that XRP reserves on Binance have been decreasing in recent weeks. Lower exchange reserves generally mean fewer tokens are readily available for spot selling.
In theory, reduced supply on exchanges can ease short-term selling pressure. However, price rallies depend not only on supply reduction but also on rising demand.

Without a surge in buying interest or a strong catalyst, lower reserves alone may not be enough to drive a breakout.

How Big Is the Impact of XRP Community Day?
XRP Community Day primarily focuses on ecosystem updates and community engagement within the XRP Ledger. While it can improve sentiment and increase participation, it does not necessarily introduce immediate price-moving announcements.
During a consolidation phase, positive sentiment can act as short-term momentum fuel. However, its impact tends to be limited without support from broader factors such as:
Bitcoin’s price movement
Overall crypto market inflows
Major regulatory or fundamental catalysts
Conclusion: Confirmation Is Still Needed
To truly end the sideways phase, XRP needs to:
Hold firmly above the US$1.35 support level
Break convincingly above US$1.45 with strong volume
Until a valid breakout occurs, consolidation remains the primary scenario.
XRP Community Day may boost sentiment, but technical confirmation remains the key to a trend reversal.
$XRP

加密市場在2026年2月中旬進入高壓狀態。本月早些時候面臨巨大壓力後，比特幣（\u003cc-43/\u003e）目前正試圖在$68,000 - $70,000區間鞏固其力量。然而，最大的問題是：這次恢復是否足夠強勁以扭轉自十月高峯以來持續的 bearish 趨勢？
以下是對當前市場狀況的深入分析：
1. 市場情緒：極端恐懼主導
根據加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數，市場目前處於9級（極端恐懼）。這是過去一年中的最低點之一。從心理上來看，這一數字反映了零售投資者在看到比特幣從其歷史最高點（$126,000）回調超過45%後的疲憊。