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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
pitafi nasar:
yes
🚨 BREAKING: Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge as Supply Tightens 📈
BlackRock's IBIT just recorded $204 million in single-day Bitcoin ETF inflows, while weekly BTC ETF inflows turned positive for the second straight week after weeks of outflows.
🔥 Why this matters: • $204M flowed into BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF in one day. • Long-term holders now control 79% of Bitcoin's supply. • Exchange reserves are near multi-year lows, reducing available BTC. • Strong institutional demand + shrinking supply could fuel the next major rally.
👀 Big money is accumulating while Bitcoin becomes harder to buy. A classic supply squeeze may be forming.
#Bitcoin #BTC #ETF #BlackRock #Crypto $BTC $ETH
BlackRock's IBIT just recorded $204 million in single-day Bitcoin ETF inflows, while weekly BTC ETF inflows turned positive for the second straight week after weeks of outflows.
🔥 Why this matters: • $204M flowed into BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF in one day. • Long-term holders now control 79% of Bitcoin's supply. • Exchange reserves are near multi-year lows, reducing available BTC. • Strong institutional demand + shrinking supply could fuel the next major rally.
👀 Big money is accumulating while Bitcoin becomes harder to buy. A classic supply squeeze may be forming.
#Bitcoin #BTC #ETF #BlackRock #Crypto $BTC $ETH
Partly True
A Bitcoin old trader, who originally accumulated 5,000 $BTC has sold the remaining 1,000 BTC, worth approximately $65.56 million, about 2 hours ago, completing the liquidation of its entire holding.
The wallet received 5,000 #BTC 12 years ago when Bitcoin was trading around $332, for a total cost of roughly $1.66 million. It began selling on November 26, 2024, and has now sold all 5,000 BTC for approximately $435.75 million, at an average price of around $87,151 per BTC. The trade generated an estimated $434 million profit—an incredible 262x return.
Address: entity/a6f4cb83-3e17-4362-ab60-100374fd7a0f
The wallet received 5,000 #BTC 12 years ago when Bitcoin was trading around $332, for a total cost of roughly $1.66 million. It began selling on November 26, 2024, and has now sold all 5,000 BTC for approximately $435.75 million, at an average price of around $87,151 per BTC. The trade generated an estimated $434 million profit—an incredible 262x return.
Address: entity/a6f4cb83-3e17-4362-ab60-100374fd7a0f
Ezuku Medoria:
I can Hold It about in 72k so should it go that far or go down again? but it is going up and up
Verified
$BTC short-term outlook: I was wrong this time, and I closed my position at a loss to avoid a potential strong reversal. 🚨
The recent move was likely driven by renewed optimism around the CLARITY Act. Trump reportedly cleared the way for a potential vote by agreeing to an ethics provision addressing officials’ profits from digital assets.
The bill would give the SEC and CFTC joint oversight of digital assets, with lawmakers potentially voting before early August.
Technically, $BTC could revisit $71,000 if it breaks the $66,000 area with volume. I remain bearish long term below $78,000- $80,000.
#bitcoin #BTC
The recent move was likely driven by renewed optimism around the CLARITY Act. Trump reportedly cleared the way for a potential vote by agreeing to an ethics provision addressing officials’ profits from digital assets.
The bill would give the SEC and CFTC joint oversight of digital assets, with lawmakers potentially voting before early August.
Technically, $BTC could revisit $71,000 if it breaks the $66,000 area with volume. I remain bearish long term below $78,000- $80,000.
#bitcoin #BTC
$BTC up 5% in a day and the crowd is euphoric with FOMO everywhere.
They seem to forget it is still down more than 25% over the last two months...
Zooming out on the bigger picture shows we are clearly not yet in a bull cycle. Retests and resistances sit slightly above.
Chances to see rejection remain higher than any long-term reversal trend right now.
Maybe i'm Wrong, hard zone to be traded [D1].
#BTC #bitcoin
They seem to forget it is still down more than 25% over the last two months...
Zooming out on the bigger picture shows we are clearly not yet in a bull cycle. Retests and resistances sit slightly above.
Chances to see rejection remain higher than any long-term reversal trend right now.
Maybe i'm Wrong, hard zone to be traded [D1].
#BTC #bitcoin
Feed-Creator-756dbc92b1419f85ef97:
bhai plz lab bta do
$74M BTC SHORT ON THE BRINK OF LIQUIDATION 🚨
A massive $74,547,000 short position just opened on BTC with 40x leverage. The liquidation price is only $150 away—meaning this position is hanging by a thread. If it gets wiped, we could see a cascade of forced buying that sends price ripping higher.
The leverage alone tells me someone is betting hard. But when a whale is that close to the edge, the market tends to hunt them. That kind of tension doesn’t last long—something has to give.
Have you positioned yourself for a potential squeeze?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #Crypto #Volatility
⚡
A massive $74,547,000 short position just opened on BTC with 40x leverage. The liquidation price is only $150 away—meaning this position is hanging by a thread. If it gets wiped, we could see a cascade of forced buying that sends price ripping higher.
The leverage alone tells me someone is betting hard. But when a whale is that close to the edge, the market tends to hunt them. That kind of tension doesn’t last long—something has to give.
Have you positioned yourself for a potential squeeze?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #Crypto #Volatility
⚡
$BTC MASSIVE SHORT AT RISK - LIQUIDATION JUST $150 AWAY 🔥
A $74.5M short position with 40x leverage is sitting on a knife's edge on a top-tier exchange. With only $150 separating it from a full wipeout, any upward move could trigger a cascading squeeze. Market makers often hunt these levels before reversing, and the 40x leverage amplifies the reaction speed.
Volatility is the only guarantee right now. Are you positioned for either outcome?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #TradingAlert #Volatility
🔥
A $74.5M short position with 40x leverage is sitting on a knife's edge on a top-tier exchange. With only $150 separating it from a full wipeout, any upward move could trigger a cascading squeeze. Market makers often hunt these levels before reversing, and the 40x leverage amplifies the reaction speed.
Volatility is the only guarantee right now. Are you positioned for either outcome?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #TradingAlert #Volatility
🔥
Most traders are waiting for $70K... but the real opportunity may be before the breakout. 👀
🚀 $BTC BULLISH SETUP CONFIRMED
Leverage: 25x Isolated
📍 Entry: $65,400 – $65,700
🛑 Stop Loss: $64,000
🎯 TP1: $66,400
🎯 TP2: $67,300
🎯 TP3: $68,500
Why I'm Bullish
Buyers continue defending the $65.5K demand zone.
Higher lows confirm the short-term bullish structure.
Momentum is strengthening after a healthy pullback.
A breakout above the recent swing high could accelerate the move toward the $68K+ liquidity zone.
Risk Management
Use disciplined risk management and always respect your stop-loss.
Question: Will $BTC break above $68.5K next, or revisit the entry zone before continuing higher?
👇 Trade $BTC here
#BTC
🚀 $BTC BULLISH SETUP CONFIRMED
Leverage: 25x Isolated
📍 Entry: $65,400 – $65,700
🛑 Stop Loss: $64,000
🎯 TP1: $66,400
🎯 TP2: $67,300
🎯 TP3: $68,500
Why I'm Bullish
Buyers continue defending the $65.5K demand zone.
Higher lows confirm the short-term bullish structure.
Momentum is strengthening after a healthy pullback.
A breakout above the recent swing high could accelerate the move toward the $68K+ liquidity zone.
Risk Management
Use disciplined risk management and always respect your stop-loss.
Question: Will $BTC break above $68.5K next, or revisit the entry zone before continuing higher?
👇 Trade $BTC here
#BTC
$BTC HOLDS $65K AS CLARITY ACT CLEARS MAJOR HURDLE 🔥
Bitcoin is holding steady above $65,000 as the CLARITY Act moves closer to a Senate vote. Trump agreed to the ethics provision, removing the final obstacle. This is the kind of regulatory clarity the market has been waiting for.
Price action is compressed between $64.5k and $65.5k, a tight range that often precedes a big move. The market is coiling—one side is going to break. Do you think this news is enough to push Bitcoin higher?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ClarityAct #CryptoNews #Bitcoin
🔥
Bitcoin is holding steady above $65,000 as the CLARITY Act moves closer to a Senate vote. Trump agreed to the ethics provision, removing the final obstacle. This is the kind of regulatory clarity the market has been waiting for.
Price action is compressed between $64.5k and $65.5k, a tight range that often precedes a big move. The market is coiling—one side is going to break. Do you think this news is enough to push Bitcoin higher?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ClarityAct #CryptoNews #Bitcoin
🔥
$BTC CLARITY ACT CLEARS SENATE HURDLE – BULLISH 🚀
This is the closest the U.S. has ever come to clear crypto regulations. Trump agreeing to the ethics provisions removes the last major roadblock before the vote. If passed, the CLARITY Act defines SEC vs CFTC roles — a green light for institutional money.
The market hasn't priced this in yet. Sentiment is quiet, but this kind of regulatory clarity typically triggers a slow grind higher with explosive volume when it breaks. I'm watching the $60K-$62K zone for strength.
Do you think this gets passed before the election?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #CLARITYAct #Regulation #CryptoNews
🚀
This is the closest the U.S. has ever come to clear crypto regulations. Trump agreeing to the ethics provisions removes the last major roadblock before the vote. If passed, the CLARITY Act defines SEC vs CFTC roles — a green light for institutional money.
The market hasn't priced this in yet. Sentiment is quiet, but this kind of regulatory clarity typically triggers a slow grind higher with explosive volume when it breaks. I'm watching the $60K-$62K zone for strength.
Do you think this gets passed before the election?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #CLARITYAct #Regulation #CryptoNews
🚀
$BTC JUST BROKE $66K AND THE NEXT MOVE COULD BE VIOLENT 🔥
This is the exact bounce I flagged when BTC was testing $63K support. The market shook out weak hands and now we're seeing a clean reclaim of $66K with increasing volume on the 4H chart.
That $63K zone held like a magnet and momentum is accelerating. The daily structure is flipping bullish again with strong bid support stepping in.
Are you holding through this breakout or taking profits here?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Breakout #Bullish
🔥
This is the exact bounce I flagged when BTC was testing $63K support. The market shook out weak hands and now we're seeing a clean reclaim of $66K with increasing volume on the 4H chart.
That $63K zone held like a magnet and momentum is accelerating. The daily structure is flipping bullish again with strong bid support stepping in.
Are you holding through this breakout or taking profits here?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Breakout #Bullish
🔥
$BTC SHORT LIQUIDATION LURKING $100 AWAY FROM $74.5M WIPE 🎯
A $74,547,000 BTC short is just $100 from getting flushed. That size does not sit at a random level—it sits on a clear liquidity pocket that the market loves to sweep.
This is not noise. This is structural. When a position that large sits exposed at a key support, the probability of a quick move to grab that stop liquidity increases significantly on lower timeframe. The 1H chart shows price consolidating just above that zone with decreasing volume, suggesting absorption.
Who is behind this size? That question alone keeps this worth watching. Would you fade the sweep or wait for confirmation?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Liquidation #ShortSqueeze #Crypto
🎯
A $74,547,000 BTC short is just $100 from getting flushed. That size does not sit at a random level—it sits on a clear liquidity pocket that the market loves to sweep.
This is not noise. This is structural. When a position that large sits exposed at a key support, the probability of a quick move to grab that stop liquidity increases significantly on lower timeframe. The 1H chart shows price consolidating just above that zone with decreasing volume, suggesting absorption.
Who is behind this size? That question alone keeps this worth watching. Would you fade the sweep or wait for confirmation?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Liquidation #ShortSqueeze #Crypto
🎯
$BTC SHORT OF $74M OPENS – WHAT DOES THIS TRADER KNOW? 🧐
A single trader just entered a $74,609,000 short on Bitcoin — a position that liquidates if price moves just $100 higher. That is an unusually tight risk tolerance for a position this size.
This short sits directly below key resistance in a market that has been building liquidity above current levels for the past 48 hours. Volume is increasing on the 15-minute timeframe and the daily structure remains bullish after last week's sweep.
If the larger market participants are aware of this position, the odds of a short squeeze targeting that exact liquidation level increase significantly. Are you scaling into longs or waiting for a retest?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #Bitcoin #Crypto
⚡
A single trader just entered a $74,609,000 short on Bitcoin — a position that liquidates if price moves just $100 higher. That is an unusually tight risk tolerance for a position this size.
This short sits directly below key resistance in a market that has been building liquidity above current levels for the past 48 hours. Volume is increasing on the 15-minute timeframe and the daily structure remains bullish after last week's sweep.
If the larger market participants are aware of this position, the odds of a short squeeze targeting that exact liquidation level increase significantly. Are you scaling into longs or waiting for a retest?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #ShortSqueeze #Liquidation #Bitcoin #Crypto
⚡
$BTC SHORT LIQUIDATION AT $100 GAIN – WHALE RISKS IT ALL 🧐
A whale just opened a $74,609,000 short on $BTC . If Bitcoin pumps just $100 from here, that position gets wiped out.
That’s a massive conviction short in a market that’s been rejecting lower levels every time. The bid depth underneath suggests someone is very confident this pump stalls. But the liquidation stack above is thin — which means a quick squeeze could send him straight to the exit.
Are you siding with the whale or betting on the squeeze?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #WhaleWatch #ShortSqueeze #Bitcoin
🧐
A whale just opened a $74,609,000 short on $BTC . If Bitcoin pumps just $100 from here, that position gets wiped out.
That’s a massive conviction short in a market that’s been rejecting lower levels every time. The bid depth underneath suggests someone is very confident this pump stalls. But the liquidation stack above is thin — which means a quick squeeze could send him straight to the exit.
Are you siding with the whale or betting on the squeeze?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #WhaleWatch #ShortSqueeze #Bitcoin
🧐
$BTC SURGES TO $66K — IS THIS THE START OF A STRUCTURAL SHIFT? 🔥
Body:
Bitcoin just reclaimed the $66,000 handle, a level that has acted as both resistance and support multiple times since March. The move came on above-average volume, and the daily candle closed above it — the first time in over two weeks. Momentum is accelerating on the 4H timeframe as price compresses below the liquidity pool at $67.5k.
What’s interesting is the lack of retail FOMO so far. Funding rates remain neutral, which suggests this leg is being driven by spot demand, not leveraged speculation. That’s a healthier foundation for continuation, but we still need to see how price reacts at the next key resistance.
Are you treating this breakout as genuine or expecting a fakeout to sweep liquidity first?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Breakout #Liquidity #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
🔥
Body:
Bitcoin just reclaimed the $66,000 handle, a level that has acted as both resistance and support multiple times since March. The move came on above-average volume, and the daily candle closed above it — the first time in over two weeks. Momentum is accelerating on the 4H timeframe as price compresses below the liquidity pool at $67.5k.
What’s interesting is the lack of retail FOMO so far. Funding rates remain neutral, which suggests this leg is being driven by spot demand, not leveraged speculation. That’s a healthier foundation for continuation, but we still need to see how price reacts at the next key resistance.
Are you treating this breakout as genuine or expecting a fakeout to sweep liquidity first?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Breakout #Liquidity #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
🔥
DORMANT WHALE JUST MOVED 1000 $BTC TO BINANCE AFTER 4 MONTHS 🐋
An ancient whale that's been stacking since 2013 just sent $65.56M worth of BTC to a top-tier exchange after four months of silence. This same wallet has been gradually reducing its holdings over the past year — and this is the largest single move we've seen.
Whale on exchange usually means one thing: they're preparing to sell. When a holder this old decides to trim, the market tends to take notice. Will this trigger a local top or is it just profit-taking before the next leg up?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #WhaleAlert #Bitcoin #SellSignal #Crypto
💎
An ancient whale that's been stacking since 2013 just sent $65.56M worth of BTC to a top-tier exchange after four months of silence. This same wallet has been gradually reducing its holdings over the past year — and this is the largest single move we've seen.
Whale on exchange usually means one thing: they're preparing to sell. When a holder this old decides to trim, the market tends to take notice. Will this trigger a local top or is it just profit-taking before the next leg up?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #WhaleAlert #Bitcoin #SellSignal #Crypto
💎
$BTC testing the weekly uptrend line for the third time.
Long-term bottom still in question after my initial short bias. Higher time frames keep the weekly bearish while daily stays neutral.
Under 66,100 and especially 68,000 another rejection looks likely.
67,500 marks the key retest and 71,000 the next upper level.
A clean break above 68,000 on volume could push toward 71,000 while clearing 74,000 opens room toward 88,000.
Otherwise the 60,000 area returns with possible consolidation. Higher time frame plan remains the 50,000 zone.🚩
I tried to mapped all levels. What's your take? 👀
#BTC #bitcoin
Long-term bottom still in question after my initial short bias. Higher time frames keep the weekly bearish while daily stays neutral.
Under 66,100 and especially 68,000 another rejection looks likely.
67,500 marks the key retest and 71,000 the next upper level.
A clean break above 68,000 on volume could push toward 71,000 while clearing 74,000 opens room toward 88,000.
Otherwise the 60,000 area returns with possible consolidation. Higher time frame plan remains the 50,000 zone.🚩
I tried to mapped all levels. What's your take? 👀
#BTC #bitcoin
$BTC BULL CYCLE STRUCTURE REMAINS INTACT AFTER CORRECTIONS 💪
The higher highs and higher lows are still playing out on the weekly timeframe. I’ve been tracking this for years — every major dip so far has been bought aggressively, and the $168K projection is just an extension of that historical trendline.
Volume on the latest bounce picked up above average on top-tier exchanges, and we haven’t seen a structural breakdown yet. The path of least resistance is still up. Are you accumulating at these levels or waiting for a deeper sweep?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #CryptoCycle #LongTerm #BullMarket #Bitcoin
💎
The higher highs and higher lows are still playing out on the weekly timeframe. I’ve been tracking this for years — every major dip so far has been bought aggressively, and the $168K projection is just an extension of that historical trendline.
Volume on the latest bounce picked up above average on top-tier exchanges, and we haven’t seen a structural breakdown yet. The path of least resistance is still up. Are you accumulating at these levels or waiting for a deeper sweep?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #CryptoCycle #LongTerm #BullMarket #Bitcoin
💎
BTC/USDT Market Structure 📊
Price is currently consolidating between $62K – $67K.
🔹 Bullish: Break & close above $67.2K → Retest →
Potential move towards $73K–$74K
🔻 Bearish: Break & close below $61.7K → Retest →
Potential downside continuation
⚠️ My bias: Wait for confirmation & breakout. Don't chase the middle of the range.
What do you think — Bullish or Bearish? 👀👇
#BTC
Price is currently consolidating between $62K – $67K.
🔹 Bullish: Break & close above $67.2K → Retest →
Potential move towards $73K–$74K
🔻 Bearish: Break & close below $61.7K → Retest →
Potential downside continuation
⚠️ My bias: Wait for confirmation & breakout. Don't chase the middle of the range.
What do you think — Bullish or Bearish? 👀👇
#BTC
$TP HIT ON $BTC JUST AS THE SETUP SUGGESTED 🎯
Body:
That level I flagged earlier this morning? It got taken out clean. Price respected the resistance zone and the volume spike confirmed the move. No drama, no fakeout — just a textbook breakout that rewarded patience.
The momentum shift was subtle but clear on the 30-minute RSI divergence. Did you catch this one or are you waiting for the next setup?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #TPHit #SwingTrade #Crypto
🎯
Body:
That level I flagged earlier this morning? It got taken out clean. Price respected the resistance zone and the volume spike confirmed the move. No drama, no fakeout — just a textbook breakout that rewarded patience.
The momentum shift was subtle but clear on the 30-minute RSI divergence. Did you catch this one or are you waiting for the next setup?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #TPHit #SwingTrade #Crypto
🎯
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