Most traders watch price. Smart money watches the halving cycle instead.
The signal: Brian Armstrong, Coinbase CEO, just declared that Bitcoin’s next halving, set for roughly 18 months from now, will likely trigger a new bull run that could push
$BTC to $400,000 by 2030. He cites on‑chain data showing a steep decline in active addresses during the downturn, followed by a rapid rebound in staking and liquidity provisioning.
#Bitcoin #Halving #CryptoForecast Interpretation: Armstrong’s analysis aligns with the classic supply‑demand model. The halving cuts mining rewards in half, tightening supply while demand continues to climb, especially as institutional adoption accelerates. The current dip is a “bottoming” phase, evidenced by whale activity shifting from short‑term speculation to long‑term holding. If the cycle repeats,
$BTC could see a 10‑fold rally over the next decade, mirroring the 2013‑2017 surge.
Watch list: Monitor the on‑chain metric “Miner Revenue to Total Revenue Ratio.” A sustained drop below 30% often precedes a price rally, as miners become less profitable and sell less, allowing the market to absorb more
$BTC at lower prices.
#MinerRevenue Thought closer: With the halving approaching, are you positioned to ride the next wave, or will you let the market’s momentum pass you by?