Recent market analysis shows that the likelihood of a Fed rate hike has fallen sharply. Most economic data has been weak, inflation has cooled, and dovish signals have become more frequent—for example, Yellen recently emphasized that the tightening cycle may be nearing its end. I personally believe there is a 90% chance the federal funds rate will remain unchanged at next week’s meeting. Market sentiment is currently cautious, the U.S. dollar index is under pressure, and Treasury yields reflect similar expectations. This shift is especially significant for crypto markets, as a stable Fed policy environment is more conducive to restoring market confidence.
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