cip

On September 4, the U.S. non-farm payrolls for August were released, with the creation of 162,000 new jobs—far above the 21,000 recorded in July.

Likewise, today, September 11, the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) for the month of August was published:

- Headline CPI (includes everything, including fuel and food): rose 0.4% from July to August, and 3.4% when comparing August 2026 against August 2025.

- Core CPI (excludes food and energy): rose 0.3% over the month, above the 0.2% expected, although year over year it fell to 2.4%, the lowest level since March 2021.

- Gasoline rose 3.9% in August.

Given a labor market stronger than expected and a renewed monthly uptick in core inflation, the likelihood that the Fed will approve a 0.25-point interest-rate hike at its next meeting on September 16 stands at above 80%; if it happens, it would be the first increase in rates since 2023.

For its part, the European Central Bank (ECB) has already announced a new 25-point rate increase, bringing the rate to 2.5% for the euro area.

From my perspective, if higher rates materialize in the U.S., this scenario could put pressure on the traditional stock market, especially exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and technology stocks. In addition, safe-haven assets—such as metals, particularly gold—could see increased volatility, while the temporary strengthening of the dollar and the greater appeal of the banking sector would ultimately impact the crypto-asset market, which is trending bearish in the short term.

#cpiwatch #CIP #Fed

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🚨 🇺🇸 Today’s US CPI data could become the biggest market trigger of the week for crypto and global risk assets. Traders across the market are closely watching the inflation numbers because they may shape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next move.

If CPI comes in lower than expected, it could boost confidence that inflation is cooling faster than anticipated. That scenario may increase hopes for future Fed rate cuts, which would likely push liquidity back into risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. 📈🚀

In that bullish case, Bitcoin could attempt another breakout while major altcoins may experience sharp momentum rallies as market sentiment quickly turns positive. Investors usually react strongly when inflation data supports easier monetary policy.

However, if CPI prints hotter than expected — especially near or above 3.9% — markets could react negatively. Higher inflation would reduce expectations for rate cuts and may strengthen fears of tighter financial conditions for longer. 📉

A stronger-than-expected CPI reading could trigger rapid volatility across crypto, stocks, and forex markets, leading to liquidations, panic selling, and aggressive short-term price swings.

Right now, the market is sitting in a high-risk, high-opportunity zone where one economic report could decide the next major direction for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Traders are preparing for fast reactions immediately after the data release. 🔥

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