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TradFi News | Warsh Must Explain Why the Fed Is Holding This Week While Keeping a December Hike AliveThe Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold its target range at 3.75%–4.00% at its October 27–28 meeting, leaving Chair Kevin Warsh with a communications challenge, according to The New York Times. He must explain why the Fed is not raising rates despite persistent inflation pressure, reaffirm its commitment to fighting inflation, and keep the door open to another hike in December.October Hike Bets FadedAfter the Fed raised rates in September, markets initially priced another hike for October. Comments in late September and early October from New York Fed President John Williams, Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Governor Christopher Waller, broadly signaling that the Fed could wait a little longer, cut the odds of an October hike from above 70% to below 30%. Odds have since fallen to about 12%.Inflation Pressures PersistHigh oil prices and demand for materials and electricity from AI infrastructure projects pushed up inflation pressure in September. Markets have also come under strain: the Nasdaq 100 has fallen more than 7% since its record high on October 6, and the 10-year Treasury yield stayed above 5% for several weeks.Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Santander U.S. Capital Markets, expects the Fed to hold this week but still sees a December hike as possible. Warsh needs to explain “why not act in October, and why December is still under consideration,” he said.A Politically Sensitive PauseSince taking office in May, Warsh has offered little forward guidance on the rate path. His brief press conference after the July hold unsettled markets. Hawkish remarks in August, the September hike and a dot plot signaling one more hike this year restored some stability. With the decision falling six days before the November 3 midterms, and after President Donald Trump criticized the September hike, analysts say Warsh needs to avoid any impression that the pause is politically motivated.

TradFi News | Warsh Must Explain Why the Fed Is Holding This Week While Keeping a December Hike Alive

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold its target range at 3.75%–4.00% at its October 27–28 meeting, leaving Chair Kevin Warsh with a communications challenge, according to The New York Times. He must explain why the Fed is not raising rates despite persistent inflation pressure, reaffirm its commitment to fighting inflation, and keep the door open to another hike in December.October Hike Bets FadedAfter the Fed raised rates in September, markets initially priced another hike for October. Comments in late September and early October from New York Fed President John Williams, Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Governor Christopher Waller, broadly signaling that the Fed could wait a little longer, cut the odds of an October hike from above 70% to below 30%. Odds have since fallen to about 12%.Inflation Pressures PersistHigh oil prices and demand for materials and electricity from AI infrastructure projects pushed up inflation pressure in September. Markets have also come under strain: the Nasdaq 100 has fallen more than 7% since its record high on October 6, and the 10-year Treasury yield stayed above 5% for several weeks.Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Santander U.S. Capital Markets, expects the Fed to hold this week but still sees a December hike as possible. Warsh needs to explain “why not act in October, and why December is still under consideration,” he said.A Politically Sensitive PauseSince taking office in May, Warsh has offered little forward guidance on the rate path. His brief press conference after the July hold unsettled markets. Hawkish remarks in August, the September hike and a dot plot signaling one more hike this year restored some stability. With the decision falling six days before the November 3 midterms, and after President Donald Trump criticized the September hike, analysts say Warsh needs to avoid any impression that the pause is politically motivated.

Bit Beacon

🚨 $BTC THE FED MOMENT IS HERE!

🇺🇸 FOMC TODAY — 2:00 PM ET
Current rate: 3.75%–4.00%
Forecast: HOLD at 3.75%–4.00%

🔴 HIKE → Selling pressure
🟢 HOLD → Possible relief rally
🚀 CUT → Potential explosive rally

🎙️ Warsh’s press conference: 2:30 PM ET

One decision. Massive volatility. Will Bitcoin explode or dump? Stay alert!

#FOMCWatch #Bitcoin #Crypto

BTC-0.19%

HotLike Team

Fed còn đó nỗi lo, Bitcoin vẫn nảy

Tin nóng cho thấy thị trường vẫn đang trong tâm trạng lẫn lộn. Một mặt, Bitcoin đã nảy nhẹ, cùng đà tăng của Nasdaq và KOSPI, cho thấy có lẽ một phần nhà đầu tư đang tìm thấy cơ hội. Nhưng mặt khác, nỗi lo về việc Fed tiếp tục tăng lãi suất vẫn còn đó, đè nặng lên tâm lý chung. Đây chính là yếu tố khiến dòng tiền vào tài sản rủi ro như crypto còn khá dè dặt, mọi người vẫn đang nín thở chờ tín hiệu rõ ràng hơn từ FOMC.

Với dân chơi crypto, những thông tin vĩ mô thế này quan trọng lắm, nó định hình khẩu vị rủi ro và cách chúng ta phân bổ vốn. Fed mà diều hâu quá, thì thị trường còn “lạnh” dài. Ngược lại, nếu có dấu hiệu nới lỏng, tâm lý sẽ hưng phấn hơn nhiều. Tựu chung, đây là lúc cần thận trọng, mọi quyết định đầu tư nên dựa trên nghiên cứu kỹ lưỡng chứ không phải cảm xúc nhất thời. Đây không phải lời khuyên đầu tư nhé bạn.

#Tinfed #FOMCWatch

BTC-0.19%

Bushra satti

🚨 FOMC DAY: Prepare for Massive Volatility!

The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision today at 2:00 PM ET, followed by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference at 2:30 PM ET. With current rates held at 3.75%–4.00%, an unexpected hike could trigger a sharp market drop, while a hold or surprise rate cut will likely trigger a bullish surge. Traders should expect extreme price swings across all financial assets—manage your leverage wisely and let the price action settle before entering new positions.

#FOMCWatch #CryptoTrading #BinanceSquare #MarketVolatility

BTC-0.19%

castbot_io

📰 为什么美联储加息反而可能加剧通胀和房价短缺？加密货币分析师Tom Lee在社交平台X上发文，与Rick Rieder的观点一致：美联储继续加息无法解决石油供应冲击，反而可能恶化住房供应不足问题。Lee指出，高利率会推高投资收益，刺激更多需求，这意味着市场对美联储加息的预期可能愈演愈烈，进一步助推通胀。Lee的看法来自Odaily的报道。为什么这条新闻重要？ Tom Lee作为知名加密分析师，他的观点往往受到市场关注。他认为加息无法解决根本问题，反而会刺激需求，这与传统经济学观点有一定差异。关键在于，Lee将此与住房短缺和通胀问题直接关联，暗示高利率环境下，资金流向房地产等硬资产的需求增加，而加密市场可能成为资金追逐高收益的备选对象。对市场的影响这条观点短期内可能引发市场对美联储政策效果的重新评估。从传导路径看，如果美联储因通胀压力持续加息，高利率环境下投资者可能会转向房地产等实物资产，加密市场作为另类投资可能受益于部分资金流入。但Lee的警告也暗示，这种资金流入可能无法弥补核心经济问题的根源，长期看，如果通胀持续高企，加密市场也可能面临风险。历史来看，2000年互联网泡沫破裂后，市场对利率与资产价格关系的理解也在不断演变。操作思路 Lee的判断意味着，在当前市场环境下，美联储的加息预期仍可能支撑加密市场的短期情绪，但投资者应警惕这种刺激需求可能带来的通胀恶果。加密市场可能受益于部分避险资金流入，但长期仍需关注核心经济周期。 $BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH 【判断附带失效条件】如果石油供应出现实质性缓解，这个判断作废本文无任何项目方赞助，作者不持有文中提及标的 ⚠️ 不构成投资建议，预测仅供参考 #FOMCWatch $BNB

📰 为什么美联储加息反而可能加剧通胀和房价短缺？

加密货币分析师Tom Lee在社交平台X上发文，与Rick Rieder的观点一致：美联储继续加息无法解决石油供应冲击，反而可能恶化住房供应不足问题。Lee指出，高利率会推高投资收益，刺激更多需求，这意味着市场对美联储加息的预期可能愈演愈烈，进一步助推通胀。Lee的看法来自Odaily的报道。

为什么这条新闻重要？
Tom Lee作为知名加密分析师，他的观点往往受到市场关注。他认为加息无法解决根本问题，反而会刺激需求，这与传统经济学观点有一定差异。关键在于，Lee将此与住房短缺和通胀问题直接关联，暗示高利率环境下，资金流向房地产等硬资产的需求增加，而加密市场可能成为资金追逐高收益的备选对象。

对市场的影响
这条观点短期内可能引发市场对美联储政策效果的重新评估。从传导路径看，如果美联储因通胀压力持续加息，高利率环境下投资者可能会转向房地产等实物资产，加密市场作为另类投资可能受益于部分资金流入。但Lee的警告也暗示，这种资金流入可能无法弥补核心经济问题的根源，长期看，如果通胀持续高企，加密市场也可能面临风险。历史来看，2000年互联网泡沫破裂后，市场对利率与资产价格关系的理解也在不断演变。

操作思路
Lee的判断意味着，在当前市场环境下，美联储的加息预期仍可能支撑加密市场的短期情绪，但投资者应警惕这种刺激需求可能带来的通胀恶果。加密市场可能受益于部分避险资金流入，但长期仍需关注核心经济周期。

$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH

【判断附带失效条件】如果石油供应出现实质性缓解，这个判断作废

本文无任何项目方赞助，作者不持有文中提及标的

⚠️ 不构成投资建议，预测仅供参考

#FOMCWatch

$BNB

උසබ තත්ත්වය

🚨 FED HOLDS RATES STEADY — IS THIS THE NEXT BIG MOVE FOR BITCOIN?
#FOMCWatch
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, and now all eyes are on $BTC . Crypto traders are watching closely for the next breakout opportunity.

The result is in: Actual 4.00%, Forecast 4.00%, Previous 4.00%. The Fed keeps rates unchanged

Will Bitcoin pump higher, or will the market sell the news?

TRADERS, THIS IS THE MOMENT TO WATCH THE CHARTS AND MANAGE RISK. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade.

YOUR NEXT MOVE: LONG, SHORT, OR WAIT?

Share your strategy in the comments. Are you preparing to buy the dip or trade a breakout?
$ETH $SOL
#EarningsSeason #ThailandSupremeCourtRulesBitcoinIsProperty #RobinhoodFalls8.4%AfterItsResults #Fed

#FOMCWatch 📊🔥 FED RATE DECISION: WHAT'S NEXT FOR CRYPTO?

The financial world is watching the Federal Reserve closely! 🇺🇸

Interest rate decisions can influence market sentiment, liquidity, and investor appetite for risk — including Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

🔍 Here are 3 key things to watch:

📉 Rate Cuts: Could support risk assets, depending on market expectations.

⏸️ Rates on Hold: The Fed's forward guidance may be just as important as the decision itself.

📈 Market Reaction: Bitcoin may move in either direction as traders react to the news.

💡 Remember: Markets often move based on expectations, not just the final announcement. Always manage risk and avoid emotional trading.

🚀 Your prediction: Will Bitcoin turn bullish or bearish after the Fed's decision?

👇 Share your thoughts in the comments!

#FOMC #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare

BTC-0.19%

Ghost Writer

අර්ධ වශයෙන් සත්යයි

ලිපිය

Bitcoin Holds $81K as 14,942 $BTC Exit Exchanges & Bessent Calms AI DebtBitcoin Holds $81,180 (1.343 Taker Buy/Sell) as 15,000 $BTC Leave Exchanges & Treasury Sec. Bessent Dismisses AI Credit Fears Cross-asset focus on $BTC, $SPYB , and $TLT.ETF : Tonight at 18:00 UTC, global macro and crypto desks face the inaugural FOMC rate decision under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. At surface level, Polymarket's $83.43M volume pool prices a 95.6% probability of a rate hold at 3.50%-3.75% (with just 2.5% odds of a 25 bps cut and 1.6% odds of a hike). Retail traders often mistake a 95% consensus hold for a low-volatility event. Yet cross-asset whale positioning on Binance Futures reveals intense institutional hedging beneath the calm surface. 1. The Macro Trap: $111 Oil Inflation vs. Cooling Housing & Labor Kevin Warsh inherits a sharply bifurcated US economy. On the inflation front, Middle East supply shocks have pushed Brent crude ($BZ) to $111.30 and WTI ($CL) to $101.70, lifting US retail gasoline near $4/gallon. Headline PCE inflation ticked up to 2.8% YoY in August (core PCE at 2.7%), well above the Fed's 2% target. Meanwhile, US job growth has remained virtually flat for 15 months with unemployment at 4.3%, and September pending home sales plunged 4.6% as mortgage rates climbed back above 6.38%. Notably, Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn published a high-conviction note this morning arguing that $BTC bottomed below $58,000 in June and has reclaimed its 50-week moving average near $80,930 (+1.39% on $8.50B 24h volume) - entering an accumulation regime that hinges on whether Warsh signals a December rate hike. 2. Decoding Binance Whale Positioning Ahead of the Print Smart money across Binance TradFi and Crypto perpetuals is splitting into three distinct camps: • $BTC ($80,930, +1.39%): 64.28% of Top Traders are positioned Long (L/S Ratio 1.80) with Open Interest at 68,584 BTC and a calm +0.0008% funding rate, leaving ample room for upside expansion without overleveraged froth. • $SPY ($771.3, +0.66%): Unlike tech bulls, 54.55% of top accounts are net Short $SPY heading into the press conference, hedging against hawkish balance-sheet commentary. • $TLT ($86.63, +0.24%): A massive 88.20% of Binance whales are Long 20+ Year Treasury Bonds (L/S Ratio 7.47, Taker Buy/Sell Ratio 1.671), front-running a structural peak in long-end yields. 3. Cross-Asset Execution Playbook The real volatility trigger is not the 18:00 UTC statement, but Warsh's 18:30 UTC press conference regarding December rate hike odds and the Fed's $6.6T balance sheet. If Warsh looks through energy-driven inflation and takes a December hike off the table, a daily close above $82,500 on $BTC is the key breakout confirmation. Are you positioned Long $BTC and $TLT into Warsh's debut, or holding dry powder for the post-FOMC wick? 4. ICT Liquidity Map & Quantitative Execution Levels on BTCUSDT ($BTC, $SPY, $TLT) On the 1H chart, $BTC is trading relative to its EMA50 ($80,631.21) and EMA200 ($80,955.93) with 1H RSI(14) printing 43.7. Untouched 36H buy-side liquidity (BSL) rests at $81,800.00 while 36H sell-side liquidity (SSL) sits at $79,468.30, leaving an intraday imbalance zone between $80,238.62 and $80,403.20. We don't predict, we react. Triggers first, entries second: look for reaction confirmation inside the $80,370.28 - $80,501.94 execution zone targeting TP1 $80,864.01 and TP2 $81,160.26, with hard invalidation at SL $79,843.63. ⚠️ NFA Disclaimer: Institutional cross-asset analysis for educational purposes only. Always manage your own risk. $BTC $SPY $TLT #FOMCWatch #bitcoin #Write2Earn

Bitcoin Holds $81K as 14,942 $BTC Exit Exchanges & Bessent Calms AI Debt

Bitcoin Holds $81,180 (1.343 Taker Buy/Sell) as 15,000 $BTC Leave Exchanges & Treasury Sec. Bessent Dismisses AI Credit Fears
Cross-asset focus on $BTC, $SPYB , and $TLT.ETF : Tonight at 18:00 UTC, global macro and crypto desks face the inaugural FOMC rate decision under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. At surface level, Polymarket's $83.43M volume pool prices a 95.6% probability of a rate hold at 3.50%-3.75% (with just 2.5% odds of a 25 bps cut and 1.6% odds of a hike). Retail traders often mistake a 95% consensus hold for a low-volatility event. Yet cross-asset whale positioning on Binance Futures reveals intense institutional hedging beneath the calm surface.
1. The Macro Trap: $111 Oil Inflation vs. Cooling Housing & Labor Kevin Warsh inherits a sharply bifurcated US economy. On the inflation front, Middle East supply shocks have pushed Brent crude ($BZ) to $111.30 and WTI ($CL) to $101.70, lifting US retail gasoline near $4/gallon. Headline PCE inflation ticked up to 2.8% YoY in August (core PCE at 2.7%), well above the Fed's 2% target. Meanwhile, US job growth has remained virtually flat for 15 months with unemployment at 4.3%, and September pending home sales plunged 4.6% as mortgage rates climbed back above 6.38%. Notably, Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn published a high-conviction note this morning arguing that $BTC bottomed below $58,000 in June and has reclaimed its 50-week moving average near $80,930 (+1.39% on $8.50B 24h volume) - entering an accumulation regime that hinges on whether Warsh signals a December rate hike.
2. Decoding Binance Whale Positioning Ahead of the Print Smart money across Binance TradFi and Crypto perpetuals is splitting into three distinct camps: • $BTC ($80,930, +1.39%): 64.28% of Top Traders are positioned Long (L/S Ratio 1.80) with Open Interest at 68,584 BTC and a calm +0.0008% funding rate, leaving ample room for upside expansion without overleveraged froth. • $SPY ($771.3, +0.66%): Unlike tech bulls, 54.55% of top accounts are net Short $SPY heading into the press conference, hedging against hawkish balance-sheet commentary. • $TLT ($86.63, +0.24%): A massive 88.20% of Binance whales are Long 20+ Year Treasury Bonds (L/S Ratio 7.47, Taker Buy/Sell Ratio 1.671), front-running a structural peak in long-end yields.
3. Cross-Asset Execution Playbook The real volatility trigger is not the 18:00 UTC statement, but Warsh's 18:30 UTC press conference regarding December rate hike odds and the Fed's $6.6T balance sheet. If Warsh looks through energy-driven inflation and takes a December hike off the table, a daily close above $82,500 on $BTC is the key breakout confirmation. Are you positioned Long $BTC and $TLT into Warsh's debut, or holding dry powder for the post-FOMC wick?
4. ICT Liquidity Map & Quantitative Execution Levels on BTCUSDT ($BTC, $SPY, $TLT) On the 1H chart, $BTC is trading relative to its EMA50 ($80,631.21) and EMA200 ($80,955.93) with 1H RSI(14) printing 43.7. Untouched 36H buy-side liquidity (BSL) rests at $81,800.00 while 36H sell-side liquidity (SSL) sits at $79,468.30, leaving an intraday imbalance zone between $80,238.62 and $80,403.20. We don't predict, we react. Triggers first, entries second: look for reaction confirmation inside the $80,370.28 - $80,501.94 execution zone targeting TP1 $80,864.01 and TP2 $81,160.26, with hard invalidation at SL $79,843.63.
⚠️ NFA Disclaimer: Institutional cross-asset analysis for educational purposes only. Always manage your own risk.
$BTC $SPY $TLT #FOMCWatch #bitcoin #Write2Earn

$BTC 熬一晚上等降息，等来一句按兵不动。10 票赞成 2 票反对，还有两个人嫌利率不够高，想加。

通胀超目标快六年了，这话我听了六年。油价又抬头，中信的研报直接把 12 月加 25bp 写上了。

BTC 现在 80,734，一天跌 0.13%，趴着不动。

降息没等到，排加息的先来了。行，接着等。#FOMCWatch

BTC-0.19%

castbot_io

📰 美联储按兵不动，比特币的78%升息预期为何难破？美联储最新声明显示维持利率不变，但市场正在消化78%可能在12月加息的可能性。分析师指出，美国国债收益率、美元强弱以及即将发布的通胀数据将是影响比特币走势的关键变数。这意味着BTC短期内将承受不确定性压力，但具体方向取决于这些宏观因素的共振。为什么这条新闻重要？美联储政策转向的模糊性给市场带来新的风险定价。通常情况下，利率预期会直接传导至加密货币，但这次分析师认为比特币需要观察更多宏观数据才能做出反应。这背后是加密市场对美联储鸽派信号的依赖正在减弱——过去一年中本币定价权重已经从35%降至28%，美元定价权重反升。更深层的原因是，比特币正从纯粹的反制资产，向一种需要同时分析宏观与行业基本面资产演变。对市场的影响这种政策不明确性直接导致BTC波动率溢价。根据加密数据分析平台Glassnode的测算，当前BTC的宏观风险溢价已达21.3%（高于正常水平的12.7%）。传导路径清晰：如果美联储后续数据继续释放鹰派信号，美元将重获动能，而美债收益率上升会吸引资金回流传统市场，这两者都会压制BTC。具体到价格表现，意味着只要10年期美债收益率突破3.5%、美元指数站上105，BTC就有可能跌破$80,000。这种传导的延迟性给了市场更多反复空间。操作思路目前BTC处于宏观压力与行业利好（如机构资金流入）的博弈状态。如果仅从宏观层面判断，美元指数若能在短期内突破105，意味着$80,000这个关键支撑位面临考验。分析师认为，在数据公布前保持谨慎更为稳妥。如果通胀数据不及预期（核心PCE增速低于0.3%），可能会削弱加息预期，为BTC提供反弹空间。如果美联储在12月最终选择加息，但幅度低于市场预期（25基点而非50基点），这种"惊喜"可能反而推动BTC短线上扬。这种情景下，$78,500-$79,500区间将成为重要观察位。本文无任何项目方赞助，作者不持有文中提及标的 $BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH ⚠️ 不构成投资建议，预测仅供参考 #FOMCWatch

📰 美联储按兵不动，比特币的78%升息预期为何难破？

美联储最新声明显示维持利率不变，但市场正在消化78%可能在12月加息的可能性。分析师指出，美国国债收益率、美元强弱以及即将发布的通胀数据将是影响比特币走势的关键变数。这意味着BTC短期内将承受不确定性压力，但具体方向取决于这些宏观因素的共振。

为什么这条新闻重要？
美联储政策转向的模糊性给市场带来新的风险定价。通常情况下，利率预期会直接传导至加密货币，但这次分析师认为比特币需要观察更多宏观数据才能做出反应。这背后是加密市场对美联储鸽派信号的依赖正在减弱——过去一年中本币定价权重已经从35%降至28%，美元定价权重反升。更深层的原因是，比特币正从纯粹的反制资产，向一种需要同时分析宏观与行业基本面资产演变。

对市场的影响
这种政策不明确性直接导致BTC波动率溢价。根据加密数据分析平台Glassnode的测算，当前BTC的宏观风险溢价已达21.3%（高于正常水平的12.7%）。传导路径清晰：如果美联储后续数据继续释放鹰派信号，美元将重获动能，而美债收益率上升会吸引资金回流传统市场，这两者都会压制BTC。具体到价格表现，意味着只要10年期美债收益率突破3.5%、美元指数站上105，BTC就有可能跌破$80,000。这种传导的延迟性给了市场更多反复空间。

操作思路
目前BTC处于宏观压力与行业利好（如机构资金流入）的博弈状态。如果仅从宏观层面判断，美元指数若能在短期内突破105，意味着$80,000这个关键支撑位面临考验。分析师认为，在数据公布前保持谨慎更为稳妥。如果通胀数据不及预期（核心PCE增速低于0.3%），可能会削弱加息预期，为BTC提供反弹空间。

如果美联储在12月最终选择加息，但幅度低于市场预期（25基点而非50基点），这种"惊喜"可能反而推动BTC短线上扬。这种情景下，$78,500-$79,500区间将成为重要观察位。

本文无任何项目方赞助，作者不持有文中提及标的

$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH

⚠️ 不构成投资建议，预测仅供参考

#FOMCWatch

BTC-0.19%

ETH-1.17%

CyberTni

昨天说等开牌磨洋工，这判断没打脸。牌昨晚开了，美联储把利率按在3.75%到4%没动，10比2，两张反对票还想加息，沃什也没把12月说死。翻译成人话就是：这次不加，但下次加不加，得看今晚PCE的脸色。
$BTC 昨晚先冲到81,700又滑回80,500，今早回到81,000上下，$ETH 在2,350附近晃。ETF的钱还是分家，$BTC 两天进了2.86亿，$ETH 两天出了1.49亿。说白了市场怕的不是这次，是12月那八成多的加息押注，十年期美债已经站上5.02%了。
今晚20:30，9月PCE预期3.6%到3.7%，比8月的3.4%还烫，Q3 GDP预期3%，两张卷子一起发。我不追这波反弹，PCE烫手的话81,000就是一日游。个人观点，仅供参考。
#FOMCWatch #USQ3GDPAndSeptemberPCEDueNextWeek
今晚PCE一出，$BTC 是先站稳81,800还是先回79,500？评论区站队。

BTC-0.19%

ETH-1.17%

96 không ngáo

Fed giữ lãi suất 3,75-4%, một phiếu đòi tăng ngay. $BTC vẫn đứng yên quanh 81.000 đô.

Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ vừa kết thúc phiên họp, giữ nguyên lãi suất đúng như phần lớn thị trường đã đoán. Ông Kevin Warsh là người duy nhất trong hội đồng bỏ phiếu đòi tăng lãi suất ngay trong năm nay.

Thông cáo chính thức giữ giọng thận trọng, không hé lộ gì về một đợt cắt giảm vào tháng 12 như nhiều người từng kỳ vọng.

Phiếu bất đồng của Warsh có kéo thêm ai khác vào cuộc họp tới hay không, đó vẫn là câu hỏi mở.

Tiền rẻ hơn cho tài sản rủi ro, trong đó có crypto, vì vậy vẫn phải chờ thêm.

Phản ứng giá thì khá bình thản. $BTC chỉ rung nhẹ quanh 81.000 đô sau tin, chưa có cú giật mạnh nào.

Nhánh lên: đóng nến 1h trên 81800.00 → vùng 82989.96. Hủy nếu về dưới 81205.02.
Nhánh xuống: đóng nến 1h dưới 80355.40 → vùng 79165.44. Hủy nếu vượt lại 80950.38.

Kịch bản có hiệu lực trong 24 giờ.
Quan sát cá nhân, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư
#TinFed #BitcoinSurpasses$81K #FOMCWatch

BTC-0.19%

SatoshiVibes

Fed Chair Warsh remains hawkish and focused on bringing price stability:

1. Fed keeps interest rates steady at 3.75-4%

2. Inflation remains elevated above 2% target for over 6 years.

3. Geopolitical uncertainty is the primary reason of rising inflation.

4. Economic activity is expanding and labour market remains strong.

5. In 2027, FOMC schedule will change with the same 8 Fed meetings annually but one meeting will only focus on monetary policy strategy without any rate decision.

6. In 2028, Fed will have two such monetary policy strategy meetings and six on rate decisions.

7. Warsh says its important to keep ‘time and space’ for such ‘strategic deliberations’ to focus on ‘long term horizon.’

8. On December rate hikes, Warsh says the coming period is ‘information rich’ and future hikes will depend on it.

9. Warsh says he is ‘unwilling and unable’ to call financial conditions tight.

10. Warsh believes higher interest does affect the AI spending, irrespective of their revenues.

11. Warsh clarified ‘politics’ or ‘midterm elections’ had no role in today’s decision about Fed rates.

12. Any decision on shrinking Fed balance sheet will only come early in Q1 2027, after recommendations from task force.

13. Overall, he doesn’t see current economic growth causing inflation but is closely watching numbers for future

#EarningsSeason #FOMCWatch #BTC

BTC-0.19%

Junaid_Cryptoo

උසබ තත්ත්වය

FED IMPACT — NEXT MOVES 🎯

The next move is completely data-dependent.
Upcoming CPI and jobs reports will be the key.
There were already 2 dissents in favor of a hike — hawkish pressure is building.

Possible scenarios:
Cool inflation data → Rate hike fears ease → Risk-on rally (positive for crypto & stocks)
Hot inflation data → Rate hike risk rises → Risk-off pressure on crypto and equities
Current macro backdrop: Cautiously neutral.

The next CPI print will decide the direction.
#FOMCWatch
$ICP $SOL $DOT

ලිපිය

تحليل أداء BTC خلال 24 ساعة📊 ملخص أداء BTC خلال 24 ساعة التغير في السعر: ارتفع سعر BTC بنسبة 0.6% خلال الـ 24 ساعة الماضية ليصل إلى 81,370 دولاراً. السبب الرئيسي: جاء هذا الارتفاع عقب استقرار أسعار الفائدة لدى الاحتياطي الفيدرالي، بالإضافة إلى تدفقات قوية على صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة.ملاحظة: المعلومات واردة من تقرير Binance AI وقد تكون غير دقيقة، وهي ليست نصيحة مالية. توقف رفع أسعار الفائدة (مرتفع):أبقى لجنة السوق المفتوحة الفيدرالية على أسعار الفائدة ثابتة عند 4.0%. أدى ذلك إلى تقليل حالة عدم اليقين على الصعيد الكلي، مما أشعل ارتفاعاً في السعر فوق 81,500 دولار مع حجم تداول ساعي ضخم بلغ 366 مليون دولار. تراكم صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة الفورية (مرتفع):استأنفت التدفقات المؤسسية بزيادة أسبوعية صافية قدرها 286 مليون دولار في صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة. تصدرت المشهد بلاك روك التي أضافت 3,441 بيتكوين. تدفقات رأس مال عدوانية (متوسط):تجاوز صافي التدفقات الساعية 73 مليون دولار عقب قرار أسعار الفائدة.شكلت الأوامر الكبيرة أكثر من 60% من حجم الشراء. توزيع الحيتان (مرتفع):قامت الحيتان ببيع أكثر من 8,160 بيتكوين إلى منصات تداول مؤسسية.أدى ذلك إلى استمرار عمليات جني الأرباح التي تحدّ من زخم الارتفاع فوق 81,500 دولار. مقاومة فنية (متوسط): بلغ مؤشر القوة النسبية للساعة ذروته فوق 81، بالقرب من الحد العلوي لمؤشر بولينجر (81,643 دولاراً).يشير ذلك إلى ظروف تشبع شرائي قصير الأمد وتباطؤ الزخم. ثغرات في العقد الأساسية (منخفض):تم الكشف عن ثغرات في برنامج بيتكوين كور تتعلق باستنفاد الذاكرة، والتي قد تتسبب في تعطل العقد إذا لم تُعالَج، مما يخلق حالة من عدم اليقين التشغيلي.#FOMCWatch

تحليل أداء BTC خلال 24 ساعة

📊 ملخص أداء BTC خلال 24 ساعة
التغير في السعر: ارتفع سعر BTC بنسبة 0.6% خلال الـ 24 ساعة الماضية ليصل إلى 81,370 دولاراً.
السبب الرئيسي: جاء هذا الارتفاع عقب استقرار أسعار الفائدة لدى الاحتياطي الفيدرالي، بالإضافة إلى تدفقات قوية على صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة.ملاحظة: المعلومات واردة من تقرير Binance AI وقد تكون غير دقيقة، وهي ليست نصيحة مالية.
توقف رفع أسعار الفائدة (مرتفع):أبقى لجنة السوق المفتوحة الفيدرالية على أسعار الفائدة ثابتة عند 4.0%.
أدى ذلك إلى تقليل حالة عدم اليقين على الصعيد الكلي، مما أشعل ارتفاعاً في السعر فوق 81,500 دولار مع حجم تداول ساعي ضخم بلغ 366 مليون دولار.
تراكم صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة الفورية (مرتفع):استأنفت التدفقات المؤسسية بزيادة أسبوعية صافية قدرها 286 مليون دولار في صناديق الاستثمار المتداولة.
تصدرت المشهد بلاك روك التي أضافت 3,441 بيتكوين.
تدفقات رأس مال عدوانية (متوسط):تجاوز صافي التدفقات الساعية 73 مليون دولار عقب قرار أسعار الفائدة.شكلت الأوامر الكبيرة أكثر من 60% من حجم الشراء.
توزيع الحيتان (مرتفع):قامت الحيتان ببيع أكثر من 8,160 بيتكوين إلى منصات تداول مؤسسية.أدى ذلك إلى استمرار عمليات جني الأرباح التي تحدّ من زخم الارتفاع فوق 81,500 دولار.
مقاومة فنية (متوسط):
بلغ مؤشر القوة النسبية للساعة ذروته فوق 81، بالقرب من الحد العلوي لمؤشر بولينجر (81,643 دولاراً).يشير ذلك إلى ظروف تشبع شرائي قصير الأمد وتباطؤ الزخم.
ثغرات في العقد الأساسية (منخفض):تم الكشف عن ثغرات في برنامج بيتكوين كور تتعلق باستنفاد الذاكرة، والتي قد تتسبب في تعطل العقد إذا لم تُعالَج، مما يخلق حالة من عدم اليقين التشغيلي.#FOMCWatch

BTC-0.19%

Vinhtocdo

උසබ තත්ත්වය

සත්යායනය කළ

#fomcwatch
Đội nội bộ của Fed bắt đầu "lực lượng lục đục" rồi anh em ơi!
Khác hẳn với màn đồng lòng 12-0 lần trước, lần này kết quả bỏ phiếu lãi suất là 10-2. Đã có 2 sếp "quay xe" đòi tăng lãi suất ngay lập tức chứ không chịu ngồi yên nữa. Trong khi đó, Fed vẫn thản nhiên phán câu xanh rờn: "Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp hầu như không thay đổi". Kinh tế Mỹ vẫn lì đòn, còn lạm phát thì cứng đầu, bảo sao các sếp Fed không đau đầu phân hóa cho được!
Trader chúng ta phải làm gì? Đơn giản là thắt dây an toàn, bật chế độ phòng thủ và quản lý vốn thật chặt, vì sóng gió sắp tới sẽ dập dìu lắm đây.
Lưu ý: Đây không phải lời khuyên tài chính.
Đăng ký tài khoản mới nhập mã giới thiệu: VINHTOCDO hoặc click link: https://www.binance.com/register?ref=VINHTOCDO để nhận ưu đãi nhé!
Click giao dịch bên dưới để ủng hộ tôi: $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#VINHTOCDO #FedInterestRate #CryptoTrading #FOMCMeeting #MacroEconomy #BinanceSquare

උසබ තත්ත්වය

#fomcwatch part 3
🚨 THE FED SOUNDS THE ALARM ON INFLATION! WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR BITCOIN? 📊🔥: $BTC
💥 The interest rate decision is in, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks could shape the market's next move!
🏛️ During his press conference, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered three key messages:
🔥 1. Inflation remains too high. The Fed remains committed to bringing inflation back to its 2% target.
📈 2. The U.S. economy continues to show strength. Warsh highlighted economic growth and resilient business investment.
⚠️ 3. Another rate hike is not a done deal! The Fed needs to assess incoming economic data before making its next move.
📊 WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BITCOIN?
🟢 If upcoming data shows cooling inflation, BTC could benefit from a more favorable market environment.
🔴 If inflation remains persistent and expectations for further rate hikes increase, risk assets could face additional selling pressure.
💎 TRADERS, STAY ALERT! Keep an eye on upcoming inflation data, interest rate expectations, and trading volume.
🚀 Markets don't just react to what the Fed does — they also react to what investors expect it to do next.
🔥 Do you think Bitcoin can sustain its recovery, or will interest rate uncertainty trigger another correction?
❤️ Found this analysis helpful? Give it a like 👍 and share it 🔁! Your support motivates me to keep creating valuable content for the community. 🚀
👇 Let me know in the comments! 👇
#FOMC‬⁩ #BTC #FederalReserve #BinanceSquare
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

BTC-0.19%

ZahidulIslam73:

Btc will 92

Jacob trade

සත්යායනය කළ

#fomcwatch
🚨 ALERTE FOMC : LA FED POURRAIT BOUSCULER LE MARCHÉ DES CRYPTOMONNAIES AUJOURD’HUI !
💥 Les marchés sont en état d’alerte maximale, et le Bitcoin pourrait s’apprêter à vivre une séance décisive !
📊 Selon les estimations de CME FedWatch, il y a environ 90 % de chances que la Fed maintienne ses taux d’intérêt entre 3,75 % et 4,00 %.
⏰ Annonce officielle : 28 octobre à 14 h (heure de New York).
🔥 Mais voici le véritable rebondissement ! La plus grande surprise pourrait venir des déclarations de la Fed et des signaux concernant ses futures décisions de politique monétaire.
📈 Un ton plus accommodant pourrait stimuler l’appétit pour le risque, tandis qu’un message plus restrictif pourrait relancer les pressions vendeuses sur le Bitcoin et les autres cryptomonnaies.
⚠️ TRADERS, PRÉPAREZ-VOUS ! La volatilité pourrait provoquer d’importants mouvements sur les marchés. Surveillez les niveaux de prix clés, confirmez les volumes d’échange et évitez d’entrer sur le marché sans stratégie claire.
💎 Tandis que certains réagissent à la peur, les traders préparés se concentrent sur la recherche d’opportunités.
🔥 La grande question est : profiteriez-vous de la volatilité liée au FOMC pour saisir une occasion de trading, ou attendriez-vous un signal plus clair ?
👇 Pensez-vous que le Bitcoin va repartir à la hausse ou subir une nouvelle correction ?
👇 Dites-le-moi dans les commentaires ! 👇
#fomc #Bitcoin #trading #BinanceSquare
À titre informatif uniquement. Ceci ne constitue pas un conseil financier. Le trading comporte des risques.
$EVAA
$BLESS

$BTC

FED HOLDS RATES

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75%–4.00%, as expected.

But the 10–2 vote tells a more interesting story. 👀

📌 Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack voted for a 0.25% rate hike.

📌 The Fed says economic activity is growing strongly.

📌 Inflation remains elevated, keeping further tightening on the table.

I think The hold was expected. The disagreement is what matters.

The Fed isn’t declaring victory over inflation. Markets will now watch the chair’s comments and upcoming data for clues about the next move.

For Bitcoin and other risk assets, the key question remains: will rates stay higher for longer?

#FOMCWatch #cryptofirst21

BTC-0.19%

mshabaka

ලිපිය

كيفين وارش بيقول مفيش أعذار.. التضخم لازم ينزل 🚨لو فاكر إن تثبيت الفائدة معناه إن الفيدرالي الأمريكي بدأ يطمن للأسعار، فتصريحات كيفين وارش بعد الاجتماع بتقول إن المعركة لسه مخلصتش. وارش كان واضح في نقطة أساسية: الفيدرالي لسه ما حققش استقرار الأسعار، ومفيش مبرر للتهاون في الهدف ده. وده معناه إن دورة التشديد النقدي لسه ما انتهتش، والقرار القادم للبنك مرتبط بالبيانات الاقتصادية اللي هتظهر خلال الفترة الجاية. ووضح كيفين وارش كمان إن تأثير رفع الفائدة في اجتماع سبتمبر بدأ يظهر، لكنه لسه مش كافي علشان نقول إن الأوضاع المالية وصلت لمستوى يضمن استقرار الأسعار 🚫 وفيه عامل تاني بيصعب مهمة الفيدرالي وهو سعر البترول، وارش قال ان فيه علاقة قوية بين ارتفاع أسعار الطاقة والتطورات السياسية وبين التضخم الأمريكي. ودي مشكلة لأن رفع الفائدة ممكن يهدي الطلب، لكن مش هيزود المعروض من البترول ولا هتنهي التوترات الجيوسياسية. كمان وارش أكد إن استقرار الأسعار هو الأولوية، وإن قرارات الفيدرالي مش المفروض تتأثر بالحسابات السياسية أو مواعيد الانتخابات 💪 واللي لفت الانتباه بردو في حديث وارش انه خصص اجتماعات في 2027 و2028 لمناقشة استراتيجية السياسة النقدية على المدى الطويل، من غير تصويت من الأعضاء على الفائدة في بعض الاجتماعات دي. يعني فيه تغيير في طريقة عمل الفيدرالي مستقبلًا، لكن ده مش معناه إن قرارات الفائدة هتتوقف. طيب، ده معناه إيه للأسواق والذهب؟ 👇 تثبيت الفائدة في حد ذاته مش مهم للسوق لأنه متسعر من زمان، لكن السؤال الأهم دلوقتي هل الفيدرالي هيقدر يسيطر على التضخم بالوضع الحالي؟ ولا ارتفاع البترول والأسعار هيفرض على البنك انه يرفع الفائدة تاني؟ طبعا استمرار الفائدة المرتفعة ممكن يدعم الدولار وعوائد السندات ويضعف الذهب، لكن لو ظهرت مؤشرات واضحة على تراجع التضخم ممكن وضع الذهب يتغير. وفي النهاية رسالة وارش في اجتماع النهارة: إن الفيدرالي مش هيتحرك لمجرد إن السوق عايزه يتحرك، لكنه بردو مش هيعتبر إن المهمة انتهت قبل ما يشوف استقرار حقيقي في الأسعار 👌 🌑 $NVDAB ✅@mshabaka $AMZNB $METAB {spot}(AMZNBUSDT) #$10.9BBitcoinOptionsExpireFriday #FOMCWatch #CanMicrosoftDeliverOnAI

كيفين وارش بيقول مفيش أعذار.. التضخم لازم ينزل 🚨

لو فاكر إن تثبيت الفائدة معناه إن الفيدرالي الأمريكي بدأ يطمن للأسعار، فتصريحات كيفين وارش بعد الاجتماع بتقول إن المعركة لسه مخلصتش.
وارش كان واضح في نقطة أساسية: الفيدرالي لسه ما حققش استقرار الأسعار، ومفيش مبرر للتهاون في الهدف ده. وده معناه إن دورة التشديد النقدي لسه ما انتهتش، والقرار القادم للبنك مرتبط بالبيانات الاقتصادية اللي هتظهر خلال الفترة الجاية.
ووضح كيفين وارش كمان إن تأثير رفع الفائدة في اجتماع سبتمبر بدأ يظهر، لكنه لسه مش كافي علشان نقول إن الأوضاع المالية وصلت لمستوى يضمن استقرار الأسعار 🚫
وفيه عامل تاني بيصعب مهمة الفيدرالي وهو سعر البترول، وارش قال ان فيه علاقة قوية بين ارتفاع أسعار الطاقة والتطورات السياسية وبين التضخم الأمريكي. ودي مشكلة لأن رفع الفائدة ممكن يهدي الطلب، لكن مش هيزود المعروض من البترول ولا هتنهي التوترات الجيوسياسية.
كمان وارش أكد إن استقرار الأسعار هو الأولوية، وإن قرارات الفيدرالي مش المفروض تتأثر بالحسابات السياسية أو مواعيد الانتخابات 💪
واللي لفت الانتباه بردو في حديث وارش انه خصص اجتماعات في 2027 و2028 لمناقشة استراتيجية السياسة النقدية على المدى الطويل، من غير تصويت من الأعضاء على الفائدة في بعض الاجتماعات دي. يعني فيه تغيير في طريقة عمل الفيدرالي مستقبلًا، لكن ده مش معناه إن قرارات الفائدة هتتوقف.
طيب، ده معناه إيه للأسواق والذهب؟ 👇
تثبيت الفائدة في حد ذاته مش مهم للسوق لأنه متسعر من زمان، لكن السؤال الأهم دلوقتي هل الفيدرالي هيقدر يسيطر على التضخم بالوضع الحالي؟ ولا ارتفاع البترول والأسعار هيفرض على البنك انه يرفع الفائدة تاني؟
طبعا استمرار الفائدة المرتفعة ممكن يدعم الدولار وعوائد السندات ويضعف الذهب، لكن لو ظهرت مؤشرات واضحة على تراجع التضخم ممكن وضع الذهب يتغير.
وفي النهاية رسالة وارش في اجتماع النهارة: إن الفيدرالي مش هيتحرك لمجرد إن السوق عايزه يتحرك، لكنه بردو مش هيعتبر إن المهمة انتهت قبل ما يشوف استقرار حقيقي في الأسعار 👌
🌑 $NVDAB
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සත්යායනය කළ

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Announces Major FOMC Meeting Changes

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has announced a significant overhaul of the FOMC meeting schedule:

🔹 Starting in 2027: One of the Fed's 8 annual meetings will be dedicated to long-term strategy and will not include an interest rate vote.

🔹 Starting in 2028: The Fed will continue holding 8 meetings per year, but only 6 will be used for interest-rate decisions, down from the current 8 rate-setting meetings.

📊 Why it matters: • Fewer rate-decision meetings could reduce policy noise and place greater focus on key meetings. • Markets may see bigger reactions around the six meetings where interest-rate decisions are actually made. • The change is intended to improve long-term policy discussions while maintaining regular communication with markets.
$APT | $ONDO | $SOL

💬 Do you think fewer Fed rate decisions will make markets more stable or more volatile? #Fed #FOMC #InterestRates #Macro #Markets #FOMCWatch

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ONDO+0.91%

APT+5.64%

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كيفين وارش بيقول مفيش أعذار.. التضخم لازم ينزل 🚨

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